WPAC : TROPICAL DEPRESSION PARMA (19W)

[cycloneye]

And to make things worse,it moves more slowly as it nears Taiwan.

[brunota2003]

Looking at the Sat images, I wouldn't be surprised if it was 135 mpg already (1 min sustained)!

[HURAKAN]

Look at that eye. Extremely small

[HURAKAN]

Multi-Agency Tropical Cyclone Forecast

[Cookie]

That track and intensity is bone chilling.

very much so.

I cant believe how much this system has intensified since I was last on 24 hrs ago.

[Derek Ortt]

MM5 off of GFS has Melor moving fairly quickly to the west as an insanely large and powerful typhoon.

This results in Parma stalling JUST NORTH of the Philippines, basically flooding them out even worse than last week

this is after a landfall as a very strong typhoon of course

[Macrocane]

I'm very worried about the possibility of Parma stalling on Philippines after what happened with Ketsana, also I have a friend on Taiwan I think I should warn him about Parma.

[Squarethecircle]

First vis out:


Quite impressive.

Also:
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
5.8 / 936.4mb/109.8kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
(3hr avg)
5.8 6.8 7.3

Latitude bias adjustment to MSLP : +3.8mb

Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR :N/A km

Center Temp : -12.9C Cloud Region Temp : -82.3C

[leanne_uk]

this is a truely amazing looking storm. I dont think i have saw an eye so small on a typhoon.
Its scary to think how fast this system has developed since even this time yesterday.

[cycloneye]

30/2030 UTC 11.5N 131.7E T6.5/6.5 PARMA -- West Pacific

That is intensity of 127kts. http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/CI-chart.html

[brunota2003]

Wilma? Is that you?

[masaji79]

Any guess on how small Parma's eye is?

[Squarethecircle]

Wilma:Parma:

You may have to squint to see the eyes.

[brunota2003]

They look to be the same size, but at that scale, 10 or 15 miles could easily look like 2 or 4.

[leanne_uk]

wilma's looks slightly bigger but hey what do i know lol.

Nah i am on the mobile so trying to look at them both but i honestly see wilma with an eye a little bigger

[somethingfunny]

That's a strange looking typhoon. I mean, the eye is miniscule and I believe it's very powerful...but the structure doesn't look right at all. It's lopsided and appears to only have one decent outflow channel. Compared to the bottom busters I'm used to seeing in the Atlantic, or even to Jimena or Choi-Wan, this storm doesn't look especially healthy. Is there some shear in the vicinity or a dry slot off to the storm's east? I certainly hope this thing collapses as quickly as it's intensified.

[StormingB81]

I have seen so many different paths from this storm to it going o PI to going into Okinawa. Gonna be interesting to see where it wants to go.

[Squarethecircle]

Is the black pixel in the middle of the eye an error?

[wxmann_91]

It's too bad there's no recon out there. They would easily find something ~900mb in there (you know, with the -90C ring of cloud tops, the pinhole eye...). Should be bottoming out right now as an ERC should begin soon.

Another thing, the deep layer ridging seems to be stronger than what models progged. I think this will make landfall in northern Luzon in about 36-48 hr, despite what the agencies forecast.

[StormingB81]

I hope not. They just got nailed with that tropical storm I would hate to see how this storm would finish them off.