WPAC : TROPICAL STORM MELOR (20W)

[HURAKAN]

Latest

[Macrocane]

That's Parma

[cycloneye]

To the member who is in Saipan,the track at the 0300z warning is a tad more closer to Saipan than the 2100z warning.Now the eye passes around 59 miles north of Saipan.

[supercane]

Macrocane, looks like unless NRL stitched the wrong microwave image that Hurakan did indeed show the correct image of Melor.

supercane

[HURAKAN]

Macrocane, looks like unless NRL stitched the wrong microwave image that Hurakan did indeed show the correct image of Melor.

supercane

I made the error post Parma's microwave image and then changed it to Melor.

[Macrocane]

Macrocane, looks like unless NRL stitched the wrong microwave image that Hurakan did indeed show the correct image of Melor.

supercane

It's weird, it was Parma before

[HURAKAN]

Looks like that small island is right on Melor's path

[supercane]

That island = Anatahan, and is uninhabited.

supercane

[supercane]

000
WTPQ34 PGUM 030255
TCPPQ4

BULLETIN
TYPHOON MELOR (20W) ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP202009
200 PM CHST SAT OCT 3 2009

...TYPHOON MELOR MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST CLOSER TO THE NORTHERN
MARIANAS...

A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN...TINIAN AND AGRIHAN.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA.

AT 100 PM CHST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON MELOR WAS LOCATED BY
RADAR AND SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 15.9 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
147.4 DEGREES EAST.

THIS IS ABOUT 125 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN
135 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF TINIAN
190 MILES NORTHEAST OF ROTA
245 MILES NORTHEAST OF GUAM AND
230 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF AGRIHAN.

TYPHOON MELOR IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 11 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 130 MPH. MELOR IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN
ITS INTENSITY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES FROM THE
CENTER WITHIN THE NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES WITHIN THE SOUTH
SEMICIRCLE.

REPEATING THE 100 PM CHST POSITION...15.9 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND
147.4 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 11 MPH WITH
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 130 MPH.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 5 PM CHST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 8 PM.

$$

WILLIAMS/EDSON

[supercane]

000
WTPQ54 PGUM 030255
TCEPQ4

TYPHOON MELOR (20W) POSITION ESTIMATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GUAM
100 PM CHST SAT OCT 3 2009

AT 1245 PM CHST...0245Z...THE PARTIALLY DEFINED EYE OF TYPHOON
MELOR WAS LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 15.9 DEGREES NORTH AND
LONGITUDE 147.4 DEGREES EAST.

THE CENTER IS AT AN ELEVATION OF 40700 FEET FROM THE GUAM RADAR. THE
EYE IS NOW LOCATED 245 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE GUAM RADAR AND 125
MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN. THE CENTER APPEARS TO BE MOVING TO
THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 11 MPH.

$$

WILLIAMS/MUNDELL

[supercane]

Winds gusting near TS force in Saipan.

532
ASPQ40 PGUM 030310
RWRPQ
WEATHER ROUNDUP FOR THE MARIANAS AND MICRONESIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
100 PM GSST SAT OCT 03 2009

GUZ001>004-030400-
MARIANA ISLANDS-

Code: Select all

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS 
GUAM AIRPORT   PTSUNNY   84  75  74 NW16G29   29.69F HX  92             
ANDERSEN AFB   PTSUNNY   82  73  74 NW22G30   29.68F                   
ROTA AIRPORT   CLOUDY    79  77  94 NW16      29.69S                   
TINIAN AP      NOT AVBL                                                 
SAIPAN AP      HVY RAIN  79  77  94 NW21G37   29.53F FOG

[HURAKAN]

:uarrow: That island = Anatahan

supercane

Thanks. I tried to find the name but wasn't sure.

[cycloneye]

Tropical Storm force winds in gusts blowing now in Saipan and the pressure is below 1000 mbs.

Code: Select all

Wind  from the NNW (330 degrees) at 26 MPH (23 KT) gusting to 41 MPH (36 KT) 
Visibility  2 mile(s) 
Sky conditions  overcast 
Weather  Heavy rain
Mist 
Precipitation last hour  0.17 inches 
Temperature  75 F (24 C) 
Dew Point  75 F (24 C) 
Relative Humidity  100% 
Pressure (altimeter)  29.51 in. Hg (999 hPa) 


http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/PGSN.html

[JTE50]

I had a pressure of 997 about 1.5 hours ago here in Saipan. Waves on the north shore at Banzai Cliffs are huge. Several hit and the spray went 50+ feet over the top of the cliff where I was filming. The cliff is probably 175 feet above the water. Never thought I'd see that. A bunch of locals werer totally soaked. They had kids with them but I warned them about the waves. The north shore is where the action is if you like getting wet!

Going back out in an hour an expect the waves to be even bigger!

[cycloneye]

I had a pressure of 997 about 1.5 hours ago her in Saipan. Waves on the north shore at Banzai Cliffs are huge. Several hit and the spray went 50+ feet over the top of the cliff where I was filming. The cliff is probably 175 feet above the water. Never thought I'd see that. The north shore is where the action is if you like getting wet!

When you can post photos.Be careful there.

[supercane]

000
WTPQ54 PGUM 030400
TCEPQ4

TYPHOON MELOR (20W) POSITION ESTIMATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GUAM
200 PM CHST SAT OCT 3 2009

AT 145 PM CHST...0345Z...THE POORLY DEFINED EYE OF TYPHOON MELOR WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
147.2 DEGREES EAST.

THE CENTER IS AT AN ELEVATION OF 39500 FEET FROM THE GUAM RADAR. THE
EYE IS NOW LOCATED 240 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE GUAM RADAR AND 110
MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN. THE CENTER APPEARS TO BE MOVING TO
THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 11 MPH.

$$

WILLIAMS/MUNDELL

[HURAKAN]

latest

[supercane]

000
WTPQ84 PGUM 030400
HLSPQ4

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TYPHOON MELOR LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
200 PM CHST SAT OCT 3 2009

...TYPHOON MELOR MOVING CLOSER TO THE NORTHERN MARIANAS...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
FOR PEOPLE IN THE NORTHERN MARIANAS AND SURROUNDING WATERS OUT TO
40 NM.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN...TINIAN AND
AGRIHAN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 100 PM CHST...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON MELOR WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.9 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 147.4 DEGREES EAST.
THIS IS ABOUT 125 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN...135 MILES EAST-
NORTHEAST OF TINIAN...190 MILES NORTHEAST OF ROTA...AND 230 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF AGRIHAN.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
MELOR IS A LARGE AND DANGEROUS TYPHOON. THE RADIUS OF DAMAGING
WINDS EXTENDS FAR FROM THE CENTER ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE TYPHOON
BUT IS SIGNIFICANTLY SMALLER SOUTH OF THE CENTER. AS A RESULT...
TYPHOON FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY TO REMAIN JUST NORTH OF THE SAIPAN
COASTAL WATERS. ANY UNEXPECTED JOG SOUTHWARD BY THE TYPHOON EYE
COULD BRING THE RADIUS OF TYPHOON FORCE WINDS OVER THE MARINE
ZONES. DAMAGING WINDS ARE OCCURRING IN THE NORTHERN MARIANAS AT
THIS TIME...AND ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PEOPLE ARE URGED TO REMAIN INFORMED AND LISTEN FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. DO NOT LISTEN TO RUMORS OR UNINFORMED
OPINIONS. RATHER...SEEK AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION FROM YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. MARINERS
SHOULD KEEP INFORMED OF THE LATEST COASTAL WATERS FORECAST.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AROUND 9 PM CHST...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

GUZ003-004-PMZ153-154-031700-
/X.CON.PGUM.TY.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
TINIAN-SAIPAN-TINIAN COASTAL WATERS-SAIPAN COASTAL WATERS-
200 PM CHST SAT OCT 3 2009

...TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
TYPHOON MELOR IS EXPECTED TO MAKE ITS CLOSEST APPROACH TO SAIPAN
AND TINIAN WITHIN THE NEXT SIX HOURS. ISLANDS IN THE NORTHERN
MARIANAS BETWEEN SAIPAN AND AGRIHAN WILL EXPERIENCE TYPHOON
CONDITIONS THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING AS MELOR PASSES THROUGH THE
NORTHERN MARIANAS. TINIAN...SAIPAN AND AGRIHAN REMAIN IN TYPHOON
CONDITION OF READINESS 1.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE BEEN
COMPLETED. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS CAN CAUSE WIDESPREAD DAMAGE. WIND
GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO APPROACH 85 MPH ON TINIAN AND SAIPAN AND 75
MPH ON AGRIHAN. THESE WINDS CAN DESTROY POORLY CONSTRUCTED WOOD
AND TIN BUILDINGS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN
AROUND. IF YOU LIVE IN A TIN-ROOF HOME...PLAN TO LEAVE IT FOR
MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. BOAT OWNERS SHOULD SECURE THEIR CRAFT.
STAY INFORMED AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS TYPHOON MELOR APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
ARE OCCURRING ON TINIAN AND SAIPAN...AND ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING
ON AGRIHAN. LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BECOME AIRBORNE...CAUSING
ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE INJURY. SOME POWER LINES MAY BE
KNOCKED DOWN BY FALLING TREES...RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER
OUTAGES. MANY LARGE BRANCHES OF TREES WILL BE SNAPPED...AND A FEW
TREES MAY BE UPROOTED.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM SURGE WILL CAUSE INUNDATION OF 3 TO 6 FEET ABOVE HIGH TIDE
WINDWARD COASTS. HAZARDOUS SURF OF 12 TO 16 FEET ON ALL EXPOSURES
IS POSSIBLE. RIP CURRENTS WILL BE DEADLY.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING. SOME FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED IN WESTERN VILLAGES
AS OVERFLOW FROM LAKE SUSUPE COMBINES WITH THE STORM SURGE.

$$

GUZ002-PMZ152-031700-
/X.CON.PGUM.TR.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ROTA-ROTA COASTAL WATERS-
200 PM CHST SAT OCT 3 2009

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH ARE FORECAST TO
OCCUR TONIGHT AS MELOR PASSES THROUGH THE NORTHERN MARIANAS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FINAL PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED. GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY
RAINS CAN CAUSE OUTSIDE ACTIVITIES TO BECOME DANGEROUS. SECURE
LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND. IF YOU LIVE IN A
TIN-ROOF HOME...YOU MAY NEED TO LEAVE IT FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL
SHELTER. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&

...WINDS...
THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 60 MPH. CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES AND BE READY TO ACT.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
A STORM SURGE OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE HIGH TIDE ON NORTH AND NORTHWEST
EXPOSURES IS POSSIBLE. HAZARDOUS SURF OF 10 TO 12 FEET IS POSSIBLE.

$$

MUNDELL

[supercane]

339
ASPQ40 PGUM 030510
RWRPQ
WEATHER ROUNDUP FOR THE MARIANAS AND MICRONESIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
300 PM GSST SAT OCT 03 2009

GUZ001>004-030600-
MARIANA ISLANDS-

Code: Select all

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS 
GUAM AIRPORT   MOSUNNY   84  77  79 W20       29.64F HX  94             
ANDERSEN AFB   PTSUNNY   82  73  74 NW20G30   29.63F                   
ROTA AIRPORT   HVY RAIN  79  75  89 NW25      29.59F                   
TINIAN AP      NOT AVBL                                                 
SAIPAN AP      LGT RAIN  79  77  94 W23G39    29.46F   

Pressure at Saipan = 997.5 mb

[supercane]

431
WTPQ54 PGUM 030454
TCEPQ4

TYPHOON MELOR (20W) POSITION ESTIMATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GUAM
300 PM CHST SAT OCT 3 2009

AT 245 PM CHST...0445Z...THE POORLY DEFINED EYE OF TYPHOON MELOR WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 16.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
146.9 DEGREES EAST.

THE CENTER IS AT AN ELEVATION OF 38000 FEET FROM THE GUAM RADAR. THE
EYE IS NOW LOCATED 230 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE GUAM RADAR AND 105
MILES NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN. THE CENTER APPEARS TO BE MOVING TO THE
WEST-NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH. THE CENTER HAS BECOME LESS VISIBLE IN THE
RADAR VIEW AS IT DRIFTS SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD INTO A REGION OF RADAR
BEAM BLOCKAGE. RADAR POSITION ESTIMATES WILL BE RESUMED IF THE EYE
EMERGES WITHIN AN AREA OF SUITABLE RADAR DATA COVERAGE.