WPAC : TROPICAL DEPRESSION MIRINAE (23W)

[oaba09]

Looks like its wrapping its convection now, the models certainly are pretty worrying it has to be said.

It's been a while the capital got a direct hit from a typhoon.....this will be all over the news in the coming days

[drdavisjr]

It sure seems to be moving fast and with nothing to slow it down...

What a week we have in store for us

[drdavisjr]

Looks like its wrapping its convection now, the models certainly are pretty worrying it has to be said.

It's been a while the capital got a direct hit from a typhoon.....this will be all over the news in the coming days

I wonder if PAGASA and the gov't will try to downplay this thing ... talk about panic buying .

[ManilaTC]

Gosh, the track seems to be reminiscent of the Infamous STY Angela (Rosing: RP Name) of 1995. And also nearly the same date.

Angela hit us here in Metro Manila, Nov 4 1995.

Historically, the Subtropical Ridge would appear to be very strong at this time of year.

Also what I fear for is the track, JTWC has forecast the storm to completely miss the Bicol Region and run right smack into Northern Quezon where there are no enough landmass to shield the Metro.

[drdavisjr]

Looks like its wrapping its convection now, the models certainly are pretty worrying it has to be said.

It's been a while the capital got a direct hit from a typhoon.....this will be all over the news in the coming days

Oaba09, has Manila ever been hit directly from the east as they are saying now? In know Milenyo (Xangsane) came up from the southeast.

[oaba09]

Looks like its wrapping its convection now, the models certainly are pretty worrying it has to be said.

It's been a while the capital got a direct hit from a typhoon.....this will be all over the news in the coming days

Oaba09, has Manila ever been hit directly from the east as they are saying now? In know Milenyo (Xangsane) came up from the southeast.

STY Angela I believe.....Here's the track of TY Angela

[ManilaTC]

By the way the last time Manila was Hit by a Typhoon was Cat 3 Typhoon Xangsane (Milenyo) - Sept 26 2006

[drdavisjr]

STY Angela I believe.....Here's the track of TY Angela

I asked my wife last night if she remembered Rosing, she did. Considering the number of storms that come thru the area each year and she remembers one from '95 is pretty remarkable.

[oaba09]

STY Angela I believe.....Here's the track of TY Angela

I asked my wife last night if she remembered Rosing, she did. Considering the number of storms that come thru the area each year and she remembers one from '95 is pretty remarkable.

Well some are saying that angela is the 2nd most powerful storm to hit the WPAC

[dexterlabio]

Wait. I dunno if you still remember about typhoons Reming and Seniang. Haha. Don't be puzzled out with this. Why am I the only one who can still recall these typhoons that hit metro, maybe 2000 or 2001. Reming (Xangxane) hit NCR as a severe tropical storm. I only noted its rainfall because the waters went in my door. Seniang was a minimal typhoon when it hit Manila, and I noted its strong winds because it made my doors shaking the night of its passage. Haha.

Now, this storm is forecast to be added on my list. o_O

[cycloneye]

Tropical Storm Warning for Rota,Tinian and Saipan,watch remains for Guam

000
WTPQ32 PGUM 260939
TCPPQ2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP232009
800 PM CHST MON OCT 26 2009

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W CONTINUES TOWARD THE MARIANAS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR ROTA...TINIAN AND
SAIPAN.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL-STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39
MPH OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL-STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39
MPH OR HIGHER ARE POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AT 700 PM CHST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 148.9 DEGREES
EAST.

THIS IS ABOUT 295 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM AND
300 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W IS MOVING WEST AT 17 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A SLIGHT
TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST. ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...TROPICAL
DEPRESSION 23W IS EXPECTED TO PASS BETWEEN GUAM AND ROTA ON TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W IS
EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AND MAY BECOME A TROPICAL STORM WITHIN THE
NEXT 12 HOURS.

REPEATING THE 700 PM CHST POSITION...12.0 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND
148.9 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING WEST AT 17 MPH WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 MPH.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 11 PM CHST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 2
AM CHST TUESDAY.

$$

STANKO/EDSON

[oaba09]

Just saw this system on the news.........

[ManilaTC]

Wait. I dunno if you still remember about typhoons Reming and Seniang. Haha. Don't be puzzled out with this. Why am I the only one who can still recall these typhoons that hit metro, maybe 2000 or 2001. Reming (Xangxane) hit NCR as a severe tropical storm. I only noted its rainfall because the waters went in my door. Seniang was a minimal typhoon when it hit Manila, and I noted its strong winds because it made my doors shaking the night of its passage. Haha.

Now, this storm is forecast to be added on my list. o_O

Yep I do remember that, It was a back to back, Reming/Xangsane and Seniang/Bebinca 2000.
We constructed a basketball court.
Reming shook it, and Seniang finished it off

[drdavisjr]

Just saw this system on the news.........

Well, did they say anything about Manila being in the forecast track?

[dexterlabio]

Wow. I thought I'm the only one who can recall those two. The names Reming, Seniang and Xangxane (the int'l name) is already known by most of us to be related in 2006 typhoon season.

Hey, it's been 15 years since I had an encounter with a typhoon's eye. The trees outside were all shaking then the environment was at peace suddenly. I tried to look out my window to see if that is already the eye, because if not then maybe the typhoon weakened surprisingly. However, I saw the sky was almost clear, with some clouds on top, I just couldn't describe it any more better. That was the time that I had STY Rosing (Angela) eye to eye

[cycloneye]

Forecast for Guam

Tonight...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. North winds 15 to 20 mph. Lows around 77.

Tuesday...Damaging winds possible. Northwest winds 25 to 35 mph shifting to west in the afternoon. Cloudy with numerous locally heavy showers and isolated thunderstorms. Highs near 83.

Tuesday Night...Damaging winds possible. South winds 25 to 35 mph becoming southeast 15 to 25 mph after midnight. Cloudy with numerous locally heavy showers and isolated thunderstorms. Lows around 77.

Forecast for Rota

Tonight...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph. Lows around 77.

Tuesday...Damaging winds possible. North winds 25 to 35 mph shifting to east in the afternoon. Cloudy with numerous locally heavy showers and isolated thunderstorms. Highs near 83.

Tuesday Night...Damaging winds possible. Southeast winds 25 to 35 mph decreasing to 15 to 25 mph after midnight. Cloudy with numerous locally heavy showers and isolated thunderstorms. Lows around 77.

Forecast for Tinian

Tonight...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph. Lows around 77.

Tuesday...Damaging winds possible. East winds 25 to 35 mph. Cloudy and windy with numerous locally heavy showers and isolated thunderstorms. Highs near 83.

Tuesday Night...Damaging winds possible. East winds 20 to 30 mph decreasing to 15 to 25 mph after midnight. Cloudy with numerous locally heavy showers and isolated thunderstorms. Lows around 77.


Forecast for Saipan

Tonight...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph. Lows around 77.

Tuesday...Damaging winds possible. East winds 25 to 35 mph. Cloudy and windy with numerous locally heavy showers and isolated thunderstorms. Highs near 83.

Tuesday Night...Damaging winds possible. East winds 20 to 30 mph decreasing to 15 to 25 mph after midnight. Cloudy with numerous locally heavy showers and isolated thunderstorms. Lows around 77.

[drdavisjr]

Wow. I thought I'm the only one who can recall those two. The names Reming, Seniang and Xangxane (the int'l name) is already known by most of us to be related in 2006 typhoon season.

Hey, it's been 15 years since I had an encounter with a typhoon's eye. The trees outside were all shaking then the environment was at peace suddenly. I tried to look out my window to see if that is already the eye, because if not then maybe the typhoon weakened surprisingly. However, I saw the sky was almost clear, with some clouds on top, I just couldn't describe it any more better. That was the time that I had STY Rosing (Angela) eye to eye

Do you happen to remember how long power was out after the storm?

[dexterlabio]

Just saw this system on the news.........

Well, did they say anything about Manila being in the forecast track?

I saw the news a while ago. PAGASA chief Nathaniel Cruz didn't say directly where the storm is currently heading, but he said something like the storm is expected to pass in Central or Southern Luzon area, including NCR.

[drdavisjr]

Forecast for Saipan

Tonight...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph. Lows around 77.

Tuesday...Damaging winds possible. East winds 25 to 35 mph. Cloudy and windy with numerous locally heavy showers and isolated thunderstorms. Highs near 83.

Tuesday Night...Damaging winds possible. East winds 20 to 30 mph decreasing to 15 to 25 mph after midnight. Cloudy with numerous locally heavy showers and isolated thunderstorms. Lows around 77.

Thanks, cycloneye. With so many of us in Manila online, we might tend to forget the threat on the Mariana's tonight and tomorrow.

[dexterlabio]

Wow. I thought I'm the only one who can recall those two. The names Reming, Seniang and Xangxane (the int'l name) is already known by most of us to be related in 2006 typhoon season.

Hey, it's been 15 years since I had an encounter with a typhoon's eye. The trees outside were all shaking then the environment was at peace suddenly. I tried to look out my window to see if that is already the eye, because if not then maybe the typhoon weakened surprisingly. However, I saw the sky was almost clear, with some clouds on top, I just couldn't describe it any more better. That was the time that I had STY Rosing (Angela) eye to eye

Do you happen to remember how long power was out after the storm?

Rosing knocked out the post lines in Manila. It was almost a week or two, if I can clearly recall. I didn't experience the same thing with 2000's Reming, Seniang, and 2006's Milenyo. You can see the pieces of rocks flying with Rosing's intense wind gusts O_O