Caribbean - Central America Weather
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- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 143863
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: E.Caribbean=Web Cams / Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather
High Surf Advisory
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
218 PM AST SAT OCT 31 2009
...LONG PERIOD SWELL WILL RAMP UP ALONG NORTHERN COASTLINES...
PRZ001-002-005-008-010-012-013-VIZ001-010230-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.SU.Y.0010.091031T1818Z-091103T1300Z/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-NORTH CENTRAL-NORTHWEST-
MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-
218 PM AST SAT OCT 31 2009
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AST TUESDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A HIGH SURF
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AST TUESDAY.
LONG PERIOD SWELL GENERATED BY A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO OUR
NORTHEAST HAVE BEGUN TO ARRIVE AND WILL SLOWLY INCREASE SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY. THE SWELL WILL BEGIN TO PRODUCE BREAKERS OF 10 FEET
OR MORE BEGINNING SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR THE ATLANTIC / CARIBBEAN WATERS ALONG THE NORTH / SOUTH FACING
...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL LOCAL ATLANTIC /
CARIBBEAN WATERS AND ALL OPEN PASSAGES...
LONG PERIOD...NORTHWEST SWELLS WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE LOCAL
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT AND RAMP UP THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.
THESE LONG PERIOD SWELLS WILL PRODUCE LARGE BREAKING WAVES OF
10 TO 15 FEET ALONG THE LOCAL REEFS...BEACHES AND SHOALS OF THE
LOCAL ISLANDS SUNDAY THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY MORNING. THEREFORE...A
HIGH SURF ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED.
THESE BREAKING WAVES WILL GENERATE STRONG AND DANGEROUS CURRENTS
WITHIN THE SURF ZONE...CALLED RIP CURRENTS. THESE NARROW OUTWARD
FLOWING CURRENTS CAN CARRY PEOPLE AND ANIMALS AWAY FROM THE COAST
LINE AND OUT TO SEA. IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...DO
NOT PANIC. CALMLY...REMAIN AFLOAT...GATHER YOUR BEARINGS RELATIVE
TO THE BEACH...AND SWIM PARALLEL TO THE BEACH. YOU WILL
EVENTUALLY LEAVE THE GRIP OF THIS NARROW CURRENT...AND BE ABLE
TO SAFELY SWIM TO SHORE.
LOCAL BEACH GOERS...AND INEXPERIENCED SURFERS AND SWIMMERS ARE
URGED TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER UNTIL THESE HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS
SUBSIDE. PERSONS ON THE BEACH SHOULD BE VIGILANT FOR LARGE
BREAKING WAVES SURGING UPON THE SHORE...WHICH CAN CARRY PEOPLE OF
ALL SIZES INTO THE OCEAN. YOU SHOULD AVOID BEING NEAR THE SHORE
LINE AND STAY OFF OF ROCK FORMATIONS.
THESE SURGING WAVES WILL ALSO CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR BEACH
EROSION DURING TIMES OF HIGH TIDE.
THE TIMES OF THE HIGH TIDE FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS ARE:
SAN JUAN HARBOR: 1.8 FEET AT 7:56 AM SUNDAY MORNING AND 1.2 FEET
AT 7:17 PM AST. TIDES WILL BE HIGHER MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
MAGENS BAY ST THOMAS: 1.6 FEET AT 8:17 AM SUNDAY AND 1.7 FEET AT
9:00 AM AST
STAY TUNED FOR ANY ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS OR POSSIBLE WATCHES OR
WARNINGS FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN
SAN JUAN.
THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV.
&&
$$
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
218 PM AST SAT OCT 31 2009
...LONG PERIOD SWELL WILL RAMP UP ALONG NORTHERN COASTLINES...
PRZ001-002-005-008-010-012-013-VIZ001-010230-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.SU.Y.0010.091031T1818Z-091103T1300Z/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-NORTH CENTRAL-NORTHWEST-
MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-
218 PM AST SAT OCT 31 2009
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AST TUESDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A HIGH SURF
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AST TUESDAY.
LONG PERIOD SWELL GENERATED BY A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO OUR
NORTHEAST HAVE BEGUN TO ARRIVE AND WILL SLOWLY INCREASE SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY. THE SWELL WILL BEGIN TO PRODUCE BREAKERS OF 10 FEET
OR MORE BEGINNING SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR THE ATLANTIC / CARIBBEAN WATERS ALONG THE NORTH / SOUTH FACING
...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL LOCAL ATLANTIC /
CARIBBEAN WATERS AND ALL OPEN PASSAGES...
LONG PERIOD...NORTHWEST SWELLS WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE LOCAL
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT AND RAMP UP THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.
THESE LONG PERIOD SWELLS WILL PRODUCE LARGE BREAKING WAVES OF
10 TO 15 FEET ALONG THE LOCAL REEFS...BEACHES AND SHOALS OF THE
LOCAL ISLANDS SUNDAY THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY MORNING. THEREFORE...A
HIGH SURF ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED.
THESE BREAKING WAVES WILL GENERATE STRONG AND DANGEROUS CURRENTS
WITHIN THE SURF ZONE...CALLED RIP CURRENTS. THESE NARROW OUTWARD
FLOWING CURRENTS CAN CARRY PEOPLE AND ANIMALS AWAY FROM THE COAST
LINE AND OUT TO SEA. IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...DO
NOT PANIC. CALMLY...REMAIN AFLOAT...GATHER YOUR BEARINGS RELATIVE
TO THE BEACH...AND SWIM PARALLEL TO THE BEACH. YOU WILL
EVENTUALLY LEAVE THE GRIP OF THIS NARROW CURRENT...AND BE ABLE
TO SAFELY SWIM TO SHORE.
LOCAL BEACH GOERS...AND INEXPERIENCED SURFERS AND SWIMMERS ARE
URGED TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER UNTIL THESE HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS
SUBSIDE. PERSONS ON THE BEACH SHOULD BE VIGILANT FOR LARGE
BREAKING WAVES SURGING UPON THE SHORE...WHICH CAN CARRY PEOPLE OF
ALL SIZES INTO THE OCEAN. YOU SHOULD AVOID BEING NEAR THE SHORE
LINE AND STAY OFF OF ROCK FORMATIONS.
THESE SURGING WAVES WILL ALSO CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR BEACH
EROSION DURING TIMES OF HIGH TIDE.
THE TIMES OF THE HIGH TIDE FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS ARE:
SAN JUAN HARBOR: 1.8 FEET AT 7:56 AM SUNDAY MORNING AND 1.2 FEET
AT 7:17 PM AST. TIDES WILL BE HIGHER MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
MAGENS BAY ST THOMAS: 1.6 FEET AT 8:17 AM SUNDAY AND 1.7 FEET AT
9:00 AM AST
STAY TUNED FOR ANY ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS OR POSSIBLE WATCHES OR
WARNINGS FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN
SAN JUAN.
THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV.
&&
$$
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- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 143863
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: E.Caribbean=Web Cams / Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
316 PM AST SAT OCT 31 2009
.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE LOCAL AREA FOR THE FEW
DAYS AS MID TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGING/SUBSIDENCE...LIMIT SHOWER
ACTIVITY.
SWALLOW MOISTURE ASSOCIATED TO AN OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY NORTH OF
THE ISLANDS...WILL CONTINUE TO BE PUSHED TOWARDS THE NORTHERN
COASTS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND CONTINUING OVERNIGHT.
THIS MAY BRING SOME LIGHT NORTHERLY PASSING SHOWERS ACROSS PARTS
OF THE ISLANDS AND SURROUNDING COASTAL WATERS DURING THAT PERIOD.
&&
.DISCUSSION...RELATIVELY DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR
THE NEXT 48 HOURS ACROSS THE DISCUSSION AREA...WITH ONLY A FEW
PASSING SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANT OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE
ABOVE MENTIONED.
THE BIG DEAL FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 72 HOURS WILL BE THE HAZARDOUS SEA
CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA WATERS.
SEE MARINE SECTION BELOW.
&&
.AVIATION...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS AND AT ALL
LOCAL TAF SITES UNTIL 01/06-08Z WHEN A COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH
THE AREA. THE FRONT WILL BRING A BAND OF CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED
SHOWERS THAT COULD BRING MVFR CONDITIONS DUE TO CEILINGS TO
TJBQ...TJSJ...TIST AND TNCM. CONDS WILL HAVE IMPROVED AGAIN TO VFR
BY 01/12-14Z.
&&
.MARINE...LARGE NORTHERLY SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO INVADE THE LOCAL
OFF SHORE ATLANTIC WATERS OVERNIGHT AND BEGIN TO AFFECT THE NEAR
SHORES WATERS IN THE AFTERNOON. THESE NORTHERLY SWELLS ARE
EXPECTED TO PEAK LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING.
DUE TO THIS ANTICIPATED MARINE CONDITIONS...A HIGH SURF ADVISORY
IS IN EFFECT FOR THE OFF SHORE ATLANTIC WATERS AND CARIBBEAN
PASSAGES BEGINNING ON SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
316 PM AST SAT OCT 31 2009
.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE LOCAL AREA FOR THE FEW
DAYS AS MID TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGING/SUBSIDENCE...LIMIT SHOWER
ACTIVITY.
SWALLOW MOISTURE ASSOCIATED TO AN OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY NORTH OF
THE ISLANDS...WILL CONTINUE TO BE PUSHED TOWARDS THE NORTHERN
COASTS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND CONTINUING OVERNIGHT.
THIS MAY BRING SOME LIGHT NORTHERLY PASSING SHOWERS ACROSS PARTS
OF THE ISLANDS AND SURROUNDING COASTAL WATERS DURING THAT PERIOD.
&&
.DISCUSSION...RELATIVELY DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR
THE NEXT 48 HOURS ACROSS THE DISCUSSION AREA...WITH ONLY A FEW
PASSING SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANT OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE
ABOVE MENTIONED.
THE BIG DEAL FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 72 HOURS WILL BE THE HAZARDOUS SEA
CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA WATERS.
SEE MARINE SECTION BELOW.
&&
.AVIATION...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS AND AT ALL
LOCAL TAF SITES UNTIL 01/06-08Z WHEN A COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH
THE AREA. THE FRONT WILL BRING A BAND OF CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED
SHOWERS THAT COULD BRING MVFR CONDITIONS DUE TO CEILINGS TO
TJBQ...TJSJ...TIST AND TNCM. CONDS WILL HAVE IMPROVED AGAIN TO VFR
BY 01/12-14Z.
&&
.MARINE...LARGE NORTHERLY SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO INVADE THE LOCAL
OFF SHORE ATLANTIC WATERS OVERNIGHT AND BEGIN TO AFFECT THE NEAR
SHORES WATERS IN THE AFTERNOON. THESE NORTHERLY SWELLS ARE
EXPECTED TO PEAK LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING.
DUE TO THIS ANTICIPATED MARINE CONDITIONS...A HIGH SURF ADVISORY
IS IN EFFECT FOR THE OFF SHORE ATLANTIC WATERS AND CARIBBEAN
PASSAGES BEGINNING ON SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
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- Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
000
AWCA82 TJSJ 311959
RWSVI
WEATHER SUMMARY FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
359 PM AST SAT OCT 31 2009
SKIES WERE MOSTLY CLEAR OVER THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. WINDS WERE
BREEZY AT 10 TO 15 MPH...AND SOME GUSTS REACHED 23 MPH THIS
AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES ROSE TO THE UPPER 80S.
BANDS OF MOISTURE EMBEDDED IN AN APPROACHING COOLER AND DRIER MASS
OF AIR ARE SLOWLY MOVING TOWARD SAINT THOMAS AND SAINT JOHN...BUT
THESE BANDS HAVE ALSO BEEN ERODING FROM THE EAST. CURRENTLY IT IS
EXPECTED THAT THE FINAL FRONTAL BAND WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA
AFTER 2 AM SUNDAY MORNING IN THE NORTH AND BETWEEN 4 AND 6 AM IN
SAINT CROIX. WINDS MAY INCREASE A LITTLE AT THAT TIME AND SOME AREAS
WILL FEEL NOTICEABLY COOLER AND DRIER. A FEW SHOWERS MAY ALSO BE
NOTED OVER LOCAL WATERS.
SMALL CRAFT WILL NEED TO EXERCISE CAUTION IN THE LOCAL OUTER
ATLANTIC WATERS...AS SEAS OF 6 FEET OR LESS AND WINDS OF 15 KNOTS
OR LESS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT.
INCREASINGLY HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY...AS
LARGE NORTHERLY SWELLS WILL BEGIN TO INVADE THE LOCAL WATERS. A
HIGH SURF ADVISORY WAS ISSUED FOR BREAKERS THAT WILL REACH 10 FEET
OR MORE BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY. THIS
ADVISORY PERTAINS TO THE NORTHERN VIRGIN ISLANDS ONLY.
$$
AWCA82 TJSJ 311959
RWSVI
WEATHER SUMMARY FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
359 PM AST SAT OCT 31 2009
SKIES WERE MOSTLY CLEAR OVER THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. WINDS WERE
BREEZY AT 10 TO 15 MPH...AND SOME GUSTS REACHED 23 MPH THIS
AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES ROSE TO THE UPPER 80S.
BANDS OF MOISTURE EMBEDDED IN AN APPROACHING COOLER AND DRIER MASS
OF AIR ARE SLOWLY MOVING TOWARD SAINT THOMAS AND SAINT JOHN...BUT
THESE BANDS HAVE ALSO BEEN ERODING FROM THE EAST. CURRENTLY IT IS
EXPECTED THAT THE FINAL FRONTAL BAND WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA
AFTER 2 AM SUNDAY MORNING IN THE NORTH AND BETWEEN 4 AND 6 AM IN
SAINT CROIX. WINDS MAY INCREASE A LITTLE AT THAT TIME AND SOME AREAS
WILL FEEL NOTICEABLY COOLER AND DRIER. A FEW SHOWERS MAY ALSO BE
NOTED OVER LOCAL WATERS.
SMALL CRAFT WILL NEED TO EXERCISE CAUTION IN THE LOCAL OUTER
ATLANTIC WATERS...AS SEAS OF 6 FEET OR LESS AND WINDS OF 15 KNOTS
OR LESS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT.
INCREASINGLY HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY...AS
LARGE NORTHERLY SWELLS WILL BEGIN TO INVADE THE LOCAL WATERS. A
HIGH SURF ADVISORY WAS ISSUED FOR BREAKERS THAT WILL REACH 10 FEET
OR MORE BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY. THIS
ADVISORY PERTAINS TO THE NORTHERN VIRGIN ISLANDS ONLY.
$$
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- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 143863
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: E.Caribbean=Web Cams / Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SAT OCT 31 2009
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
A NON-TROPICAL GALE CENTER IS LOCATED ABOUT 850 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST
OF BERMUDA. THIS LOW COULD SLOWLY ACQUIRE SOME SUBTROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS AS IT BEGINS TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN
NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...
LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SAT OCT 31 2009
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
A NON-TROPICAL GALE CENTER IS LOCATED ABOUT 850 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST
OF BERMUDA. THIS LOW COULD SLOWLY ACQUIRE SOME SUBTROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS AS IT BEGINS TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN
NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...
LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
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- Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
000
AXNT20 KNHC 312352
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT SAT OCT 31 2009
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS
OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED
ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER
OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.
BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 45W S OF 16N MOVING W 15-20 KT. WAVE IS
EMBEDDED WITHIN A BROAD AREA OF DEEP LAYERED MOISTURE AS
INDICATED BY TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY AND BENEATH
DIFFLUENCE ALOFT WHICH IS GIVING THE AREA SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION FROM 14N-20N BETWEEN 43W-49W.
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 65W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. WEAK WAVE
WITH LITTLE SIGNATURE AND A WEAK MOISTURE MAXIMUM ON THE TOTAL
PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE S OF 15N TO THE
COAST OF VENEZUELA BETWEEN 63W-68W.
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 85W S OF 17N MOVING W NEAR 15 KT. WAVE IS
MOSTLY INLAND OVER CENTRAL AMERICA AND IN THE E PACIFIC REGION
WITH LITTLE SIGNATURE OR ACTIVITY IN THE CARIBBEAN BASIN.
...THE ITCZ...
THE ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG 10N12W 7N25W 9N41W 10N48W
10N62W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN
90 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE ITCZ FROM 17W-22W AND S OF 11N INLAND
OVER SOUTH AMERICA BETWEEN 53W-60W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120/150 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE
ITCZ FROM 22W-38W.
...DISCUSSION...
GULF OF MEXICO...
AS OF 2100 UTC...A COLD FRONT EXTENDS ACROSS THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE NEAR TALLAHASSEE INTO THE GULF ALONG 24N89W 20N93W
THEN S THROUGH THE BAY OF CAMPECHE TO OVER S MEXICO NEAR 17N93W.
A WELL DEFINED ROPE CLOUD WITH SHOWERS DEFINES THE LEADING EDGE
OF THE FRONT OVER THE GULF. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 75 NM W
OF THE FRONT WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS S OF
22N BETWEEN 90W-95W. STRONG NLY WINDS ARE W OF THE FRONT WITH
GALE FORCE WINDS OVER THE SW GULF. THIS FRONT IS SUPPORTED ALOFT
BY A SHARP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY TO OVER THE SE U.S. AND PROVIDING MOIST SWLY DIVERGENT
FLOW ALOFT BETWEEN THE TROUGH AND AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ANCHORED
IN THE W ATLC COVERING THE E GULF E OF 87W. STRONG SUBSIDENCE
AND DRY STABLE AIR HAS MOVED IN OVER THE NW GULF THUS CLEARING
SKIES W OF A LINE FROM THE MISSISSIPPI COAST TO TAMPICO MEXICO
WITH A SURFACE RIDGE BUILDING BEHIND THE FRONT ANCHORED OVER N
MEXICO BY A 1025 MB HIGH. SIMILAR DRY AIR AND STRONG SUBSIDENCE
IS OVER THE E GULF E OF THE FRONT WITH SOME SCATTERED SEABREEZE
SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE INLAND ALONG THE
W COAST OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL
OVER THE SE GULF SUN NIGHT AS WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO BELOW GALE
FORCE SUN AFTERNOON.
CARIBBEAN SEA...
IN ADDITION TO THE TWO TROPICAL WAVES IN THE CARIBBEAN IS A
SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN FROM 11N78W TO
THE NE TIP OF NICARAGUA NEAR 14N84W GENERATING SCATTERED
SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 175 NM N OF THE SURFACE
TROUGH. UPPER LOW IS CENTERED OVER GUATEMALA NEAR 15N89W AND IS
GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA AND INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO E OF THE FRONT IN
THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS FROM W PANAMA NW TO
THE YUCATAN CHANNEL ENHANCING THE ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE
SURFACE TROUGH ABOVE AS WELL AS THE ACTIVITY OVER THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA. THE BROAD UPPER RIDGE ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC IS
FORCING STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND DRY STABLE AIR OVER THE N
CARIBBEAN N OF A LINE FROM THE N LEEWARD ISLANDS ALONG 16N73W TO
21N84W. HOWEVER...SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE OVER THE GREATER ANTILLES DUE TO THE REMNANTS
OF A FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT DISSIPATES ALONG THE N COAST OF
HISPANIOLA.
ATLANTIC OCEAN...
THE PRIME FOCUS IN THE ATLC WATERS TONIGHT IS THE 1000 MB LOW
CENTERED NEAR 29N47W WITH A COLD FRONT THAT EXTENDS ALONG 27N47W
20N54W TO 19N60W WHERE IT DISSIPATES TO ALONG THE N COAST OF
HISPANIOLA NEAR 20N72W. THE UPPER SUPPORT FOR THIS SYSTEM IS A
LARGE UPPER LOW/TROUGH CENTERED NEAR 27N52W. A LARGE UPPER RIDGE
IS TO THE W ANCHORED OVER THE W ATLC NEAR 30N72W AND A SECOND
UPPER RIDGE TO THE E ANCHORED OVER THE E ATLC NEAR 33N20W. THIS
SCENARIO IS TAPPING INTO TROPICAL MOISTURE AND GENERATING A
LARGE AREA OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN
120 NM W OF THE FRONT AND WITHIN 150 NM E OF THE FRONT E OF
54W...FROM 26N-30N BETWEEN 50W-56W...AND N OF 30N FROM 34W-54W.
STRONG SUBSIDENCE COVERS THE W ATLC BUT SCATTERED/BROKEN LOW
LEVEL CLOUDS REMAIN PRESENT. HOWEVER...THE SAME SCENARIO OF DRY
AIR AND STRONG SUBSIDENCE IS ALSO OVER THE E ATLC BUT WITH
RATHER CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT. A SURFACE RIDGE OVER THE W ATLC IS
ANCHORED BY A 1030 MB HIGH JUST SE OF THE CANADIAN MARITIMES
WITH A SECOND SURFACE RIDGE OVER THE E ATLC ANCHORED BY A 1026
MB HIGH N OF MADEIRA ISLANDS.
$$
WALLACE
AXNT20 KNHC 312352
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT SAT OCT 31 2009
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS
OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED
ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER
OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.
BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 45W S OF 16N MOVING W 15-20 KT. WAVE IS
EMBEDDED WITHIN A BROAD AREA OF DEEP LAYERED MOISTURE AS
INDICATED BY TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY AND BENEATH
DIFFLUENCE ALOFT WHICH IS GIVING THE AREA SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION FROM 14N-20N BETWEEN 43W-49W.
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 65W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. WEAK WAVE
WITH LITTLE SIGNATURE AND A WEAK MOISTURE MAXIMUM ON THE TOTAL
PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE S OF 15N TO THE
COAST OF VENEZUELA BETWEEN 63W-68W.
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 85W S OF 17N MOVING W NEAR 15 KT. WAVE IS
MOSTLY INLAND OVER CENTRAL AMERICA AND IN THE E PACIFIC REGION
WITH LITTLE SIGNATURE OR ACTIVITY IN THE CARIBBEAN BASIN.
...THE ITCZ...
THE ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG 10N12W 7N25W 9N41W 10N48W
10N62W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN
90 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE ITCZ FROM 17W-22W AND S OF 11N INLAND
OVER SOUTH AMERICA BETWEEN 53W-60W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120/150 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE
ITCZ FROM 22W-38W.
...DISCUSSION...
GULF OF MEXICO...
AS OF 2100 UTC...A COLD FRONT EXTENDS ACROSS THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE NEAR TALLAHASSEE INTO THE GULF ALONG 24N89W 20N93W
THEN S THROUGH THE BAY OF CAMPECHE TO OVER S MEXICO NEAR 17N93W.
A WELL DEFINED ROPE CLOUD WITH SHOWERS DEFINES THE LEADING EDGE
OF THE FRONT OVER THE GULF. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 75 NM W
OF THE FRONT WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS S OF
22N BETWEEN 90W-95W. STRONG NLY WINDS ARE W OF THE FRONT WITH
GALE FORCE WINDS OVER THE SW GULF. THIS FRONT IS SUPPORTED ALOFT
BY A SHARP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY TO OVER THE SE U.S. AND PROVIDING MOIST SWLY DIVERGENT
FLOW ALOFT BETWEEN THE TROUGH AND AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ANCHORED
IN THE W ATLC COVERING THE E GULF E OF 87W. STRONG SUBSIDENCE
AND DRY STABLE AIR HAS MOVED IN OVER THE NW GULF THUS CLEARING
SKIES W OF A LINE FROM THE MISSISSIPPI COAST TO TAMPICO MEXICO
WITH A SURFACE RIDGE BUILDING BEHIND THE FRONT ANCHORED OVER N
MEXICO BY A 1025 MB HIGH. SIMILAR DRY AIR AND STRONG SUBSIDENCE
IS OVER THE E GULF E OF THE FRONT WITH SOME SCATTERED SEABREEZE
SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE INLAND ALONG THE
W COAST OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL
OVER THE SE GULF SUN NIGHT AS WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO BELOW GALE
FORCE SUN AFTERNOON.
CARIBBEAN SEA...
IN ADDITION TO THE TWO TROPICAL WAVES IN THE CARIBBEAN IS A
SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN FROM 11N78W TO
THE NE TIP OF NICARAGUA NEAR 14N84W GENERATING SCATTERED
SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 175 NM N OF THE SURFACE
TROUGH. UPPER LOW IS CENTERED OVER GUATEMALA NEAR 15N89W AND IS
GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA AND INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO E OF THE FRONT IN
THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS FROM W PANAMA NW TO
THE YUCATAN CHANNEL ENHANCING THE ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE
SURFACE TROUGH ABOVE AS WELL AS THE ACTIVITY OVER THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA. THE BROAD UPPER RIDGE ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC IS
FORCING STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND DRY STABLE AIR OVER THE N
CARIBBEAN N OF A LINE FROM THE N LEEWARD ISLANDS ALONG 16N73W TO
21N84W. HOWEVER...SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE OVER THE GREATER ANTILLES DUE TO THE REMNANTS
OF A FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT DISSIPATES ALONG THE N COAST OF
HISPANIOLA.
ATLANTIC OCEAN...
THE PRIME FOCUS IN THE ATLC WATERS TONIGHT IS THE 1000 MB LOW
CENTERED NEAR 29N47W WITH A COLD FRONT THAT EXTENDS ALONG 27N47W
20N54W TO 19N60W WHERE IT DISSIPATES TO ALONG THE N COAST OF
HISPANIOLA NEAR 20N72W. THE UPPER SUPPORT FOR THIS SYSTEM IS A
LARGE UPPER LOW/TROUGH CENTERED NEAR 27N52W. A LARGE UPPER RIDGE
IS TO THE W ANCHORED OVER THE W ATLC NEAR 30N72W AND A SECOND
UPPER RIDGE TO THE E ANCHORED OVER THE E ATLC NEAR 33N20W. THIS
SCENARIO IS TAPPING INTO TROPICAL MOISTURE AND GENERATING A
LARGE AREA OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN
120 NM W OF THE FRONT AND WITHIN 150 NM E OF THE FRONT E OF
54W...FROM 26N-30N BETWEEN 50W-56W...AND N OF 30N FROM 34W-54W.
STRONG SUBSIDENCE COVERS THE W ATLC BUT SCATTERED/BROKEN LOW
LEVEL CLOUDS REMAIN PRESENT. HOWEVER...THE SAME SCENARIO OF DRY
AIR AND STRONG SUBSIDENCE IS ALSO OVER THE E ATLC BUT WITH
RATHER CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT. A SURFACE RIDGE OVER THE W ATLC IS
ANCHORED BY A 1030 MB HIGH JUST SE OF THE CANADIAN MARITIMES
WITH A SECOND SURFACE RIDGE OVER THE E ATLC ANCHORED BY A 1026
MB HIGH N OF MADEIRA ISLANDS.
$$
WALLACE
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- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 143863
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: E.Caribbean=Web Cams / Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
935 PM AST SAT OCT 31 2009
.SYNOPSIS...LARGE CUTOFF LOW OVR THE CNTRL ATLC WILL MAINTAIN A
DEEP NORTHERLY FLOW ACROSS THE REGION OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
A LONG NRLY FETCH WILL PRODUCE LARGE BREAKING WAVES ALONG THE
NORTH COAST OF PR/USVI THROUGH TUE.
&&
.DISCUSSION...MODELS SHOW A RAPID INCREASE IN PWAT OVERNIGHT ALONG
WITH STEEPENING LOW-LVL LAPSE RATES AND INSTABILITY. THIS SHOULD RESULT
IN AN INCREASE IN LOW-TOPPED CONVECTION. BOTH TJUA AND TSJU RADARS
ALREADY SHOW A MARKED INCREASE IN SHOWER CVRG THIS EVENING. THIS
TREND SHOULD CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AS CDFNT NORTH OF 20N PUSHES
TOWARD THE AREA. ANTICIPATE SCT SHOWERS TO AFFECT THE NORTH
COAST/SLOPES OF PR/USVI.
&&
.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WITH ONLY VCSH AT TJBQ/TJSJ AND TIST
OVERNIGHT AND EARLY SUN.
&&
.MARINE...BUOY 41043 INDICATES SEAS UP 6 FT AND A SWELL PERIOD OF
13 SECS. 18Z WNA MODEL SHOWS SEAS INCREASING TO 10 FT ACROSS OFFSHORE
ATLC WATERS MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
935 PM AST SAT OCT 31 2009
.SYNOPSIS...LARGE CUTOFF LOW OVR THE CNTRL ATLC WILL MAINTAIN A
DEEP NORTHERLY FLOW ACROSS THE REGION OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
A LONG NRLY FETCH WILL PRODUCE LARGE BREAKING WAVES ALONG THE
NORTH COAST OF PR/USVI THROUGH TUE.
&&
.DISCUSSION...MODELS SHOW A RAPID INCREASE IN PWAT OVERNIGHT ALONG
WITH STEEPENING LOW-LVL LAPSE RATES AND INSTABILITY. THIS SHOULD RESULT
IN AN INCREASE IN LOW-TOPPED CONVECTION. BOTH TJUA AND TSJU RADARS
ALREADY SHOW A MARKED INCREASE IN SHOWER CVRG THIS EVENING. THIS
TREND SHOULD CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AS CDFNT NORTH OF 20N PUSHES
TOWARD THE AREA. ANTICIPATE SCT SHOWERS TO AFFECT THE NORTH
COAST/SLOPES OF PR/USVI.
&&
.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WITH ONLY VCSH AT TJBQ/TJSJ AND TIST
OVERNIGHT AND EARLY SUN.
&&
.MARINE...BUOY 41043 INDICATES SEAS UP 6 FT AND A SWELL PERIOD OF
13 SECS. 18Z WNA MODEL SHOWS SEAS INCREASING TO 10 FT ACROSS OFFSHORE
ATLC WATERS MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.
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- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 143863
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: E.Caribbean=Web Cams / Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather
Good morning to all.Typical morning showers when a front passes are falling here.Also fresh breeze from the NE.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
524 AM AST SUN NOV 1 2009
.SYNOPSIS...THE REMNANTS OF AN OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BRING
ISOLATED SHOWERS TO PUERTO RICO TODAY AS LARGE SEAS BUILD ACROSS
THE LOCAL ATLANTIC WATERS AND CARIBBEAN PASSAGES.
&&
.DISCUSSION...THE FRAGMENTS OF AN OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY...DRAPED
JUST NORTHEAST OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS...ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO
DISSIPATE THROUGH THE DAY...BRINGING MAINLY ISOLATED SHOWERS
ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS. THE TROPICAL WAVE PASSING WELL TO OUR
SOUTH IS EXPECTED TO HAVE NO IMPACT ON THE LOCAL WEATHER.
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...EXPECT MAINLY FAIR WEATHER ACROSS THE
LOCAL ISLANDS AS LIMITED LOW LEVEL MOISTURE COMBINED WITH A FAIRLY
STRONG LOW TO MID LEVEL CAP WILL HELP TO SUPPRESS ANY WIDESPREAD
SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS. THE MAIN CONCERN WILL BE
THE ROUGH AND HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS...COMBINED WITH
DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS...EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST
WEDNESDAY.
&&
.AVIATION...EXPECT PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS WITH A VCTY -SHRA OR
TWO ACROSS THE ALL LOCAL ISLANDS AND TAF SITES THROUGH THE MORNING
HOURS. A FEW SHOWERS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP OVER THE INTERIOR AND
SOUTHWESTERN SECTIONS OF PR THIS AFTERNOON...BUT ARE NOT EXPECTED
TO IMPACT EITHER TJMZ OR TJPS...WITH PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS ALL THE LOCAL TAF SITES THROUGH THE
EVENING HOURS.
&&
.MARINE...LARGE LONG PERIOD NORTH NORTHEASTERLY SWELLS WILL
COMBINE WITH MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS...TO CREATE ROUGH AND
HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS ACROSS THE LOCAL ATLANTIC WATERS AND
CARIBBEAN PASSAGES FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THESE SWELLS WILL
BUILD RAPIDLY THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS TODAY...EVENTUALLY PEAKING
OVERNIGHT MONDAY...AND FALLING BELOW SMALL CRAFT CRITERIA BY
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...EXPECT THESE SWELLS TO CREATE
DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS...AND DUE TO THE NORTH NORTHEASTERLY
DIRECTION OF THESE SWELLS...THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY WAS EXPANDED
TO INCLUDE SAINT CROIX AND EXTENDED THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...AS
THE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE BREAKING WAVES AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS
IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
&&
.CLIMATE...OCTOBER 2009 WAS THE WARMEST OCTOBER ON RECORD AT THE
LUIS MUNOZ MARIN INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT IN SAN JUAN. SEE THE LATEST
HEADLINE ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN HOMEPAGE FOR
MORE INFORMATION.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
524 AM AST SUN NOV 1 2009
.SYNOPSIS...THE REMNANTS OF AN OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BRING
ISOLATED SHOWERS TO PUERTO RICO TODAY AS LARGE SEAS BUILD ACROSS
THE LOCAL ATLANTIC WATERS AND CARIBBEAN PASSAGES.
&&
.DISCUSSION...THE FRAGMENTS OF AN OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY...DRAPED
JUST NORTHEAST OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS...ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO
DISSIPATE THROUGH THE DAY...BRINGING MAINLY ISOLATED SHOWERS
ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS. THE TROPICAL WAVE PASSING WELL TO OUR
SOUTH IS EXPECTED TO HAVE NO IMPACT ON THE LOCAL WEATHER.
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...EXPECT MAINLY FAIR WEATHER ACROSS THE
LOCAL ISLANDS AS LIMITED LOW LEVEL MOISTURE COMBINED WITH A FAIRLY
STRONG LOW TO MID LEVEL CAP WILL HELP TO SUPPRESS ANY WIDESPREAD
SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS. THE MAIN CONCERN WILL BE
THE ROUGH AND HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS...COMBINED WITH
DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS...EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST
WEDNESDAY.
&&
.AVIATION...EXPECT PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS WITH A VCTY -SHRA OR
TWO ACROSS THE ALL LOCAL ISLANDS AND TAF SITES THROUGH THE MORNING
HOURS. A FEW SHOWERS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP OVER THE INTERIOR AND
SOUTHWESTERN SECTIONS OF PR THIS AFTERNOON...BUT ARE NOT EXPECTED
TO IMPACT EITHER TJMZ OR TJPS...WITH PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS ALL THE LOCAL TAF SITES THROUGH THE
EVENING HOURS.
&&
.MARINE...LARGE LONG PERIOD NORTH NORTHEASTERLY SWELLS WILL
COMBINE WITH MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS...TO CREATE ROUGH AND
HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS ACROSS THE LOCAL ATLANTIC WATERS AND
CARIBBEAN PASSAGES FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THESE SWELLS WILL
BUILD RAPIDLY THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS TODAY...EVENTUALLY PEAKING
OVERNIGHT MONDAY...AND FALLING BELOW SMALL CRAFT CRITERIA BY
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...EXPECT THESE SWELLS TO CREATE
DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS...AND DUE TO THE NORTH NORTHEASTERLY
DIRECTION OF THESE SWELLS...THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY WAS EXPANDED
TO INCLUDE SAINT CROIX AND EXTENDED THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...AS
THE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE BREAKING WAVES AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS
IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
&&
.CLIMATE...OCTOBER 2009 WAS THE WARMEST OCTOBER ON RECORD AT THE
LUIS MUNOZ MARIN INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT IN SAN JUAN. SEE THE LATEST
HEADLINE ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN HOMEPAGE FOR
MORE INFORMATION.
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- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 143863
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: E.Caribbean=Web Cams / Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather
Surely,last month was very warm.
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/sju/?n=record110109
October 2009 was the warmest October on record at the Luis Muñoz Marin International Airport in San Juan. The average low temperature was 79F, a full degree warmer than the previous record of 78F set in 1980, and the average high temperature was the 89.9F, the seventh warmest average high temperature for the month ever recorded. During the month, the record warmest minimum temperature was tied or broken on 15 separate days, and the average daily temperature was above normal every single day of the month. Below is a table with the 10 warmest October average temperatures, minimum temperatures, and maximum temperatures.
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/sju/?n=record110109
October 2009 was the warmest October on record at the Luis Muñoz Marin International Airport in San Juan. The average low temperature was 79F, a full degree warmer than the previous record of 78F set in 1980, and the average high temperature was the 89.9F, the seventh warmest average high temperature for the month ever recorded. During the month, the record warmest minimum temperature was tied or broken on 15 separate days, and the average daily temperature was above normal every single day of the month. Below is a table with the 10 warmest October average temperatures, minimum temperatures, and maximum temperatures.
Code: Select all
Average T Minimum T Maximum T
1 84.4 2009 1 79 2009 1 91 1982
2 84.4 1980 2 78 1980 2 90.8 1981
3 84 1992 3 77.4 1983 2 90.8 1980
4 83.7 1982 4 77.2 1992 4 90.7 1992
5 83.5 1983 5 77.1 1976 5 90.7 1987
6 83.5 1973 5 77.1 1973 6 90.1 1979
7 83.3 1981 7 77 2006 7 89.9 2009
8 83.3 1987 8 76.9 1972 8 89.8 1973
9 83.1 2006 9 76.7 1997 9 89.7 1983
10 83 1979 10 76.5 1998 10 89.4 1994
(Data from the Luis Muñoz International Airport dates back to January 1st, 1956.)
Year to date, the temperature in San Juan has averaged 82.5F, which is the 4th warmest start to a year on record at the airport. This is 1.2F below the strong El Niño year of 1983, which ended up being the warmest year on record in San Juan. Click here to see the monthly climate summary for San Juan.
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- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 143863
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: E.Caribbean=Web Cams / Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 AM EST SUN NOV 1 2009
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
A NON-TROPICAL GALE CENTER IS LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES EAST
OF BERMUDA. THIS LOW HAS THE POTENTIAL TO ACQUIRE SOME SUBTROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES
NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN NORTHWARD. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN
30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM...
REFER TO HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 AM EST SUN NOV 1 2009
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
A NON-TROPICAL GALE CENTER IS LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES EAST
OF BERMUDA. THIS LOW HAS THE POTENTIAL TO ACQUIRE SOME SUBTROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES
NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN NORTHWARD. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN
30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM...
REFER TO HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE

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- Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
000
AXNT20 KNHC 011150
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
705 AM EST SUN NOV 01 2009
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS
OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED
ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER
OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.
BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY
THROUGH 1015 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 49W TO THE SOUTH OF
16N MOVING WESTWARD 10 TO 15 KT. THIS WAVE IS MOVING TOWARD
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. THIS IS THE SAME TROUGH THAT HAS BEEN
SUPPORTING THE 1001 MB GALE LOW PRESSURE CENTER AND THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC FRONTAL BOUNDARY. UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW
IS ON TOP OF THE AREA THROUGH WHICH THIS WAVE IS MOVING. SHOWERS
AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN IN THE AREA FROM 10N TO 20N
BETWEEN 40W AND 53W FOR AT LEAST THE LAST SIX HOURS. IT IS
EASILY POSSIBLE THAT SOME PRECIPITATION REMAINS.
AN EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 66W/67W TO THE
SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WESTWARD 10 TO 15 KT. THIS WAVE IS MOVING
THROUGH THE AREA OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. ISOLATED MODERATE
SHOWERS FROM 13N TO 15N BETWEEN 62W AND 70W PROBABLY ARE RELATED
TO THE TROUGH AND THEY MAY NOT BE RELATED TO THE WAVE.
A WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 87W...PASSING
THROUGH HONDURAS...TO THE SOUTH OF 17N MOVING WESTWARD 10 KT.
THIS WAVE IS MOVING THROUGH THE AREA OF THE BELIZE UPPER LEVEL
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER.
...THE ITCZ...
12N15W 9N28W 10N48W...INTO NORTHEASTERN VENEZUELA NEAR 10N62W.
WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS FROM 5N TO 8N BETWEEN AFRICA AND 26W...AND
FROM 6N TO 9N BETWEEN 40W AND 46W.
...DISCUSSION...
THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA INCLUDING SOUTHERN MEXICO AND
THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO...
THE ONE-TIME HEALTHY LARGE-SCALE UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER DURING THE LAST FOUR DAYS HAS DIMINISHED IN
SIZE AND INFLUENCE. ONE CYCLONIC CENTER NOW IS IN SOUTHERN
BELIZE. A SECOND CYCLONIC CENTER IS IN THE EASTERN ISTHMUS
OF TEHUANTEPEC. THE CYCLONIC FLOW AROUND THIS CENTER STILL IS
APPARENT FROM THE COASTS OF GUATEMALA AND EL SALVADOR TO THE
WATERS JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA BETWEEN 86W
AND 96W. SHOWERS REMAIN ALONG THE COAST FROM THE GULF OF HONDURAS
TO THE NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA COAST...AND FROM 23N89W
TO 18N93W. SHOWERS REMAIN IN WESTERN NICARAGUA IN AN AREA OF
UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT WIND FLOW.
THE REST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH THAT SUPPORTS THE CURRENT COLD FRONT
HAS MOVED NORTHEASTWARD BEYOND NORTHERN GEORGIA. THE FRONT
HAS BEEN SLOWING DOWN DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS. MOISTURE WITH
THE FRONT COVERS THE AREA BETWEEN THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND
THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO NORTHEASTWARD...
NARROWING TO THE FLORIDA BIG BEND. DRY AIR IN SUBSIDENCE
SURROUNDS THE MOISTURE WITH THE FRONT. THE COLD FRONT PASSES
THROUGH NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA INTO THE EAST-CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO...CURVING TOWARD THE WATERS THAT ARE JUST OFF THE
NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...AND FINALLY TO
THE EASTERN ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC OF MEXICO. SHOWERS ARE ABOUT
100 NM TO THE NORTH OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...AND TO THE SOUTH
OF 21N TO THE EAST OF 94W. GALE FORCE WINDS ARE OBSERVED TO THE
SOUTH OF 21N TO THE WEST OF THE FRONT.
THE REST OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA...
THE GFS MODEL FOR 500 MB SHOWS A NORTHWEST-TO-SOUTHEAST ORIENTED
INVERTED TROUGH FROM NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA TO THE NORTHERN
COLOMBIA COAST ALONG 74W/75W. SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS
HAVE BEEN IN THE AREA OF THE 500 MB INVERTED TROUGH SINCE
31/2245 UTC. 500 MB ANTICYCLONIC FLOW AND BROAD 200 MB CYCLONIC
FLOW ON TOP OF THAT...MIXED IN WITH THE DRY AIR IN SUBSIDENCE
FROM 24 HOURS AGO...COVER THE REST OF THE AREA.
THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...
DEEP LAYER CYCLONIC FLOW AROUND A 32N53W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
CENTER COVERS THE AREA FROM 18N TO 35N BETWEEN 45W AND 70W.
THE TROUGH FROM THIS CENTER EVENTUALLY EXTENDS TO THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA NEAR 15N60W AND 13N78W. THIS DEEP LAYER TROUGH
SUPPORTS THE 1001 MB GALE LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR
31N52W. A STATIONARY FRONT PASSES THROUGH 31N47W TO 24N48W...
CURVING TO 19N59W AND 21N67W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED
CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE PRECIPITATION COVER THE AREA TO THE NORTH
OF 10N BETWEEN 40W AND 60W.
$$
MT
AXNT20 KNHC 011150
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
705 AM EST SUN NOV 01 2009
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS
OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED
ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER
OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.
BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY
THROUGH 1015 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 49W TO THE SOUTH OF
16N MOVING WESTWARD 10 TO 15 KT. THIS WAVE IS MOVING TOWARD
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. THIS IS THE SAME TROUGH THAT HAS BEEN
SUPPORTING THE 1001 MB GALE LOW PRESSURE CENTER AND THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC FRONTAL BOUNDARY. UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW
IS ON TOP OF THE AREA THROUGH WHICH THIS WAVE IS MOVING. SHOWERS
AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN IN THE AREA FROM 10N TO 20N
BETWEEN 40W AND 53W FOR AT LEAST THE LAST SIX HOURS. IT IS
EASILY POSSIBLE THAT SOME PRECIPITATION REMAINS.
AN EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 66W/67W TO THE
SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WESTWARD 10 TO 15 KT. THIS WAVE IS MOVING
THROUGH THE AREA OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. ISOLATED MODERATE
SHOWERS FROM 13N TO 15N BETWEEN 62W AND 70W PROBABLY ARE RELATED
TO THE TROUGH AND THEY MAY NOT BE RELATED TO THE WAVE.
A WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 87W...PASSING
THROUGH HONDURAS...TO THE SOUTH OF 17N MOVING WESTWARD 10 KT.
THIS WAVE IS MOVING THROUGH THE AREA OF THE BELIZE UPPER LEVEL
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER.
...THE ITCZ...
12N15W 9N28W 10N48W...INTO NORTHEASTERN VENEZUELA NEAR 10N62W.
WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS FROM 5N TO 8N BETWEEN AFRICA AND 26W...AND
FROM 6N TO 9N BETWEEN 40W AND 46W.
...DISCUSSION...
THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA INCLUDING SOUTHERN MEXICO AND
THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO...
THE ONE-TIME HEALTHY LARGE-SCALE UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER DURING THE LAST FOUR DAYS HAS DIMINISHED IN
SIZE AND INFLUENCE. ONE CYCLONIC CENTER NOW IS IN SOUTHERN
BELIZE. A SECOND CYCLONIC CENTER IS IN THE EASTERN ISTHMUS
OF TEHUANTEPEC. THE CYCLONIC FLOW AROUND THIS CENTER STILL IS
APPARENT FROM THE COASTS OF GUATEMALA AND EL SALVADOR TO THE
WATERS JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA BETWEEN 86W
AND 96W. SHOWERS REMAIN ALONG THE COAST FROM THE GULF OF HONDURAS
TO THE NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA COAST...AND FROM 23N89W
TO 18N93W. SHOWERS REMAIN IN WESTERN NICARAGUA IN AN AREA OF
UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT WIND FLOW.
THE REST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH THAT SUPPORTS THE CURRENT COLD FRONT
HAS MOVED NORTHEASTWARD BEYOND NORTHERN GEORGIA. THE FRONT
HAS BEEN SLOWING DOWN DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS. MOISTURE WITH
THE FRONT COVERS THE AREA BETWEEN THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND
THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO NORTHEASTWARD...
NARROWING TO THE FLORIDA BIG BEND. DRY AIR IN SUBSIDENCE
SURROUNDS THE MOISTURE WITH THE FRONT. THE COLD FRONT PASSES
THROUGH NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA INTO THE EAST-CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO...CURVING TOWARD THE WATERS THAT ARE JUST OFF THE
NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...AND FINALLY TO
THE EASTERN ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC OF MEXICO. SHOWERS ARE ABOUT
100 NM TO THE NORTH OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...AND TO THE SOUTH
OF 21N TO THE EAST OF 94W. GALE FORCE WINDS ARE OBSERVED TO THE
SOUTH OF 21N TO THE WEST OF THE FRONT.
THE REST OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA...
THE GFS MODEL FOR 500 MB SHOWS A NORTHWEST-TO-SOUTHEAST ORIENTED
INVERTED TROUGH FROM NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA TO THE NORTHERN
COLOMBIA COAST ALONG 74W/75W. SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS
HAVE BEEN IN THE AREA OF THE 500 MB INVERTED TROUGH SINCE
31/2245 UTC. 500 MB ANTICYCLONIC FLOW AND BROAD 200 MB CYCLONIC
FLOW ON TOP OF THAT...MIXED IN WITH THE DRY AIR IN SUBSIDENCE
FROM 24 HOURS AGO...COVER THE REST OF THE AREA.
THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...
DEEP LAYER CYCLONIC FLOW AROUND A 32N53W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
CENTER COVERS THE AREA FROM 18N TO 35N BETWEEN 45W AND 70W.
THE TROUGH FROM THIS CENTER EVENTUALLY EXTENDS TO THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA NEAR 15N60W AND 13N78W. THIS DEEP LAYER TROUGH
SUPPORTS THE 1001 MB GALE LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR
31N52W. A STATIONARY FRONT PASSES THROUGH 31N47W TO 24N48W...
CURVING TO 19N59W AND 21N67W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED
CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE PRECIPITATION COVER THE AREA TO THE NORTH
OF 10N BETWEEN 40W AND 60W.
$$
MT
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Re: E.Caribbean=Web Cams / Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
435 AM AST SUN NOV 1 2009
...LARGE BREAKING WAVES EXPECTED ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF PUERTO
RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...
VIZ002-011645-
/O.EXB.TJSJ.SU.Y.0010.091101T1000Z-091104T1400Z/
ST CROIX-
435 AM AST SUN NOV 1 2009
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM AST WEDNESDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A HIGH SURF
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM AST WEDNESDAY.
LONG PERIOD NORTHERLY SWELL WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE NORTH COAST OF
ST. CROIX EARLY THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY AND
BEGIN TO SUBSIDE ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THE SWELL WILL BEGIN TO PRODUCE
BREAKERS OF 10 FEET OR MORE BEGINNING THIS MORNING.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR THE ATLANTIC WATERS ALONG THE NORTH FACING BEACHES
...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR OUTER ATLANTIC WATERS
BEGINNING AT 6 AM AST SUNDAY...
THESE LONG PERIOD SWELLS WILL PRODUCE LARGE BREAKING WAVES OF 10 TO
15 FEET ALONG THE LOCAL REEFS...BEACHES AND SHOALS OF THE LOCAL
ISLANDS SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. THEREFORE...A HIGH SURF
ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED.
THESE BREAKING WAVES WILL GENERATE STRONG AND DANGEROUS CURRENTS
WITHIN THE SURF ZONE...CALLED RIP CURRENTS. THESE NARROW OUTWARD
FLOWING CURRENTS CAN CARRY PEOPLE AND ANIMALS AWAY FROM THE COAST
LINE AND OUT TO SEA. IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...DO NOT
PANIC. CALMLY...REMAIN AFLOAT...GATHER YOUR BEARINGS RELATIVE TO THE
BEACH...AND SWIM PARALLEL TO THE BEACH. YOU WILL EVENTUALLY LEAVE
THE GRIP OF THIS NARROW CURRENT...AND BE ABLE TO SAFELY SWIM TO
SHORE.
LOCAL BEACH GOERS...AND INEXPERIENCED SURFERS AND SWIMMERS ARE URGED
TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER UNTIL THESE HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS
SUBSIDE. PERSONS ON THE BEACH SHOULD BE VIGILANT FOR LARGE BREAKING
WAVES SURGING UPON THE SHORE...WHICH CAN CARRY PEOPLE OF ALL SIZES
INTO THE OCEAN. YOU SHOULD AVOID BEING NEAR THE SHORE LINE AND STAY
OFF OF ROCK FORMATIONS.
THESE SURGING WAVES WILL ALSO CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR BEACH EROSION
DURING TIMES OF HIGH TIDE.
THE TIMES OF THE HIGH TIDE FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS ARE:
CHRISTIANSTED ST CROIX: 1.0 FEET AT 6:35 AM SUNDAY AND 1.1 FEET
AT 7:16 AM AST MONDAY.
STAY TUNED FOR ANY ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS OR POSSIBLE WATCHES OR
WARNINGS FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN SAN
JUAN.
THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE
INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU
OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
435 AM AST SUN NOV 1 2009
...LARGE BREAKING WAVES EXPECTED ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF PUERTO
RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...
VIZ002-011645-
/O.EXB.TJSJ.SU.Y.0010.091101T1000Z-091104T1400Z/
ST CROIX-
435 AM AST SUN NOV 1 2009
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM AST WEDNESDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A HIGH SURF
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM AST WEDNESDAY.
LONG PERIOD NORTHERLY SWELL WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE NORTH COAST OF
ST. CROIX EARLY THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY AND
BEGIN TO SUBSIDE ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THE SWELL WILL BEGIN TO PRODUCE
BREAKERS OF 10 FEET OR MORE BEGINNING THIS MORNING.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR THE ATLANTIC WATERS ALONG THE NORTH FACING BEACHES
...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR OUTER ATLANTIC WATERS
BEGINNING AT 6 AM AST SUNDAY...
THESE LONG PERIOD SWELLS WILL PRODUCE LARGE BREAKING WAVES OF 10 TO
15 FEET ALONG THE LOCAL REEFS...BEACHES AND SHOALS OF THE LOCAL
ISLANDS SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. THEREFORE...A HIGH SURF
ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED.
THESE BREAKING WAVES WILL GENERATE STRONG AND DANGEROUS CURRENTS
WITHIN THE SURF ZONE...CALLED RIP CURRENTS. THESE NARROW OUTWARD
FLOWING CURRENTS CAN CARRY PEOPLE AND ANIMALS AWAY FROM THE COAST
LINE AND OUT TO SEA. IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...DO NOT
PANIC. CALMLY...REMAIN AFLOAT...GATHER YOUR BEARINGS RELATIVE TO THE
BEACH...AND SWIM PARALLEL TO THE BEACH. YOU WILL EVENTUALLY LEAVE
THE GRIP OF THIS NARROW CURRENT...AND BE ABLE TO SAFELY SWIM TO
SHORE.
LOCAL BEACH GOERS...AND INEXPERIENCED SURFERS AND SWIMMERS ARE URGED
TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER UNTIL THESE HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS
SUBSIDE. PERSONS ON THE BEACH SHOULD BE VIGILANT FOR LARGE BREAKING
WAVES SURGING UPON THE SHORE...WHICH CAN CARRY PEOPLE OF ALL SIZES
INTO THE OCEAN. YOU SHOULD AVOID BEING NEAR THE SHORE LINE AND STAY
OFF OF ROCK FORMATIONS.
THESE SURGING WAVES WILL ALSO CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR BEACH EROSION
DURING TIMES OF HIGH TIDE.
THE TIMES OF THE HIGH TIDE FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS ARE:
CHRISTIANSTED ST CROIX: 1.0 FEET AT 6:35 AM SUNDAY AND 1.1 FEET
AT 7:16 AM AST MONDAY.
STAY TUNED FOR ANY ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS OR POSSIBLE WATCHES OR
WARNINGS FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN SAN
JUAN.
THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE
INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU
OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV.
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- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 143863
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: E.Caribbean=Web Cams / Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather
The gale low northeast of the Caribbean is now invest 96L.But its not comming to us as it will move to the NW and north.But indirectly is already affecting us in terms of the high surf.




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Re: E.Caribbean=Web Cams / Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather
Look how big is the circulation of this low that is sending the high surf to us.


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000
AWCA82 TJSJ 011508
RWSVI
WEATHER SUMMARY FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1108 AM AST SUN NOV 1 2009
WINDS HAVE BEEN EAST NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH THIS MORNING ACROSS
THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AS SLIGHTLY COOLER AND DRIER AIR FILTERS
IN FROM THE FRONT STILL YET TO PASS THE AREA. TEMPERATURES REACHED
88 IN SAINT THOMAS AND 86 DEGREES IN SAINT CROIX BY 11 AM. SKIES
HAVE BEEN MOSTLY CLEAR...BUT THERE HAVE BEEN PASSING PATCHES OF
CLOUDS. LITTLE OR NO RAIN WAS RECORDED.
THE FRONTAL BAND NORTH OF THE AREA IS QUITE WEAK AND IS EXPECTED
TO DRIFT THROUGH THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. SHOWERS...IF ANY...WILL
BE ISOLATED. BREEZES WILL CONTINUE MODERATE FROM THE NORTHEAST.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR ALL ATLANTIC WATERS AND
ALL PASSAGES DUE TO BUILDING SEAS. INCREASINGLY HAZARDOUS MARINE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY...AS LARGE NORTHERLY SWELLS WILL
CONTINUE TO INVADE THE LOCAL WATERS. LONG PERIOD SWELL HAVE ALREADY
BEGUN PENETRATING THE LOCAL MARINE WATERS FROM THE NORTH AND
PERIODS OF 15 SECONDS HAVE BEEN REGISTERED...BUT WAVE HEIGHTS
REPORTED SO FAR HAVE BEEN LESS THAN 4 FEET. BUOYS TO THE NORTH HAVE
EXCEEDED 10 FEET AND EXPECT SOME OF THIS ENERGY TO MAKE IT ONSHORE
BY AFTERNOON. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY WAS ISSUED FOR THE NORTHERN
EXPOSED COASTS OF U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. EXPECT DANGEROUS RIP
CURRENTS AND BREAKERS THAT WILL REACH 10 FEET OR MORE THROUGH AT
LEAST TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
$$
AWCA82 TJSJ 011508
RWSVI
WEATHER SUMMARY FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1108 AM AST SUN NOV 1 2009
WINDS HAVE BEEN EAST NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH THIS MORNING ACROSS
THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AS SLIGHTLY COOLER AND DRIER AIR FILTERS
IN FROM THE FRONT STILL YET TO PASS THE AREA. TEMPERATURES REACHED
88 IN SAINT THOMAS AND 86 DEGREES IN SAINT CROIX BY 11 AM. SKIES
HAVE BEEN MOSTLY CLEAR...BUT THERE HAVE BEEN PASSING PATCHES OF
CLOUDS. LITTLE OR NO RAIN WAS RECORDED.
THE FRONTAL BAND NORTH OF THE AREA IS QUITE WEAK AND IS EXPECTED
TO DRIFT THROUGH THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. SHOWERS...IF ANY...WILL
BE ISOLATED. BREEZES WILL CONTINUE MODERATE FROM THE NORTHEAST.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR ALL ATLANTIC WATERS AND
ALL PASSAGES DUE TO BUILDING SEAS. INCREASINGLY HAZARDOUS MARINE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY...AS LARGE NORTHERLY SWELLS WILL
CONTINUE TO INVADE THE LOCAL WATERS. LONG PERIOD SWELL HAVE ALREADY
BEGUN PENETRATING THE LOCAL MARINE WATERS FROM THE NORTH AND
PERIODS OF 15 SECONDS HAVE BEEN REGISTERED...BUT WAVE HEIGHTS
REPORTED SO FAR HAVE BEEN LESS THAN 4 FEET. BUOYS TO THE NORTH HAVE
EXCEEDED 10 FEET AND EXPECT SOME OF THIS ENERGY TO MAKE IT ONSHORE
BY AFTERNOON. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY WAS ISSUED FOR THE NORTHERN
EXPOSED COASTS OF U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. EXPECT DANGEROUS RIP
CURRENTS AND BREAKERS THAT WILL REACH 10 FEET OR MORE THROUGH AT
LEAST TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
$$
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- cycloneye
- Admin
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- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
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Re: E.Caribbean=Web Cams / Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather
Code Orange
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 PM EST SUN NOV 1 2009
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
A NON-TROPICAL GALE CENTER IS LOCATED ABOUT 550 MILES EAST
OF BERMUDA. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BECOME A LITTLE MORE
CONCENTRATED NEAR THE CENTER SINCE YESTERDAY AND THIS LOW HAS THE
POTENTIAL TO ACQUIRE SOME SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN
NORTHWARD. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM... REFER TO
HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 PM EST SUN NOV 1 2009
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
A NON-TROPICAL GALE CENTER IS LOCATED ABOUT 550 MILES EAST
OF BERMUDA. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BECOME A LITTLE MORE
CONCENTRATED NEAR THE CENTER SINCE YESTERDAY AND THIS LOW HAS THE
POTENTIAL TO ACQUIRE SOME SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN
NORTHWARD. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM... REFER TO
HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
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Re: E.Caribbean=Web Cams / Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
105 PM EST SUN NOV 01 2009
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS
OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED
ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER
OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.
BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
A 999 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 32N53W WITH A STATIONARY FRONT
THAT EXTENDS ALONG 32N48W 23N50W 19N60W TO 24N74W. THE UPPER
LEVEL SUPPORT FOR THIS SYSTEM IS A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW
CENTERED NEAR 29N55W. INSTABILITY AND LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE
SYSTEM IS GENERATING DISORGANIZED SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
FROM 30N-33N BETWEEN 52W-58W. THE SURFACE LOW HAS A MEDIUM
CHANCE...30 TO 50 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR
TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
105 PM EST SUN NOV 01 2009
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS
OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED
ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER
OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.
BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
A 999 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 32N53W WITH A STATIONARY FRONT
THAT EXTENDS ALONG 32N48W 23N50W 19N60W TO 24N74W. THE UPPER
LEVEL SUPPORT FOR THIS SYSTEM IS A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW
CENTERED NEAR 29N55W. INSTABILITY AND LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE
SYSTEM IS GENERATING DISORGANIZED SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
FROM 30N-33N BETWEEN 52W-58W. THE SURFACE LOW HAS A MEDIUM
CHANCE...30 TO 50 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR
TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
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Re: E.Caribbean=Web Cams / Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
147 PM AST SUN NOV 1 2009
...LARGE BREAKING WAVES EXPECTED ALONG THE NORTHERN EXPOSED
COASTLINES OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...
PRZ001-002-005-008-010-012-013-VIZ001-002-020215-
/O.CON.TJSJ.SU.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-091104T1400Z/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-NORTH CENTRAL-NORTHWEST-
MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
147 PM AST SUN NOV 1 2009
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM AST WEDNESDAY...
A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM AST WEDNESDAY.
LONG PERIOD NORTHERLY SWELLS WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE NORTHERN
EXPOSED COASTLINES OF PUERTO RICO...CULEBRA...VIEQUES...ST. THOMAS
AND ST. JOHNS THIS AFTERNOON. SWELL MAY ALSO REACH SAINT CROIX
THIS EVENING. THESE SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK MONDAY
EVENING...AND SUBSIDE BELOW HIGH SURF ADVISORY CRITERIA BY
WEDNESDAY MORNING.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THESE LONG PERIOD NORTHERLY SWELLS WILL PRODUCE LARGE BREAKING WAVES
OF 10 TO 15 FEET OR LARGER ALONG THE NORTHERN EXPOSED REEFS...
BEACHES...AND SHOALS OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING.
THESE BREAKING WAVES WILL GENERATE STRONG AND DANGEROUS CURRENTS
WITHIN THE SURF ZONE...CALLED RIP CURRENTS. THESE NARROW OUTWARD
FLOWING CURRENTS CAN CARRY PEOPLE AND ANIMALS AWAY FROM THE COAST
LINE AND OUT TO SEA. IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...DO NOT
PANIC. CALMLY...REMAIN AFLOAT...GATHER YOUR BEARINGS RELATIVE TO THE
BEACH...AND SWIM PARALLEL TO THE BEACH. YOU WILL EVENTUALLY LEAVE
THE GRIP OF THIS NARROW CURRENT...AND BE ABLE TO SAFELY SWIM TO
SHORE.
LOCAL BEACH GOERS...AND INEXPERIENCED SURFERS AND SWIMMERS ARE URGED
TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER UNTIL THESE HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS
SUBSIDE. PERSONS ON THE BEACH SHOULD BE VIGILANT FOR LARGE BREAKING
WAVES SURGING UPON THE SHORE...WHICH CAN CARRY PEOPLE OF ALL SIZES
INTO THE OCEAN. YOU SHOULD AVOID BEING NEAR THE SHORE LINE AND STAY
OFF OF ROCK FORMATIONS.
THESE SURGING WAVES WILL ALSO CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR BEACH EROSION
DURING TIMES OF HIGH TIDE.
THE TIMES OF THE HIGH TIDE FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS ARE:
SAN JUAN HARBOR: 1.2 FEET AT 7:17 PM AST THIS EVENING AND 1.9
FEET AT 8:41 AM MONDAY. TIDES WILL BE HIGHER TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY.
MAGENS BAY ST THOMAS: 1.7 FEET AT 9:00 AM AST MONDAY AND 9:47 AM TUESDAY.
STAY TUNED FOR ANY ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS OR POSSIBLE WATCHES OR
WARNINGS FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN SAN
JUAN.
THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE
INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU
OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
147 PM AST SUN NOV 1 2009
...LARGE BREAKING WAVES EXPECTED ALONG THE NORTHERN EXPOSED
COASTLINES OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...
PRZ001-002-005-008-010-012-013-VIZ001-002-020215-
/O.CON.TJSJ.SU.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-091104T1400Z/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-NORTH CENTRAL-NORTHWEST-
MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
147 PM AST SUN NOV 1 2009
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM AST WEDNESDAY...
A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM AST WEDNESDAY.
LONG PERIOD NORTHERLY SWELLS WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE NORTHERN
EXPOSED COASTLINES OF PUERTO RICO...CULEBRA...VIEQUES...ST. THOMAS
AND ST. JOHNS THIS AFTERNOON. SWELL MAY ALSO REACH SAINT CROIX
THIS EVENING. THESE SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK MONDAY
EVENING...AND SUBSIDE BELOW HIGH SURF ADVISORY CRITERIA BY
WEDNESDAY MORNING.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THESE LONG PERIOD NORTHERLY SWELLS WILL PRODUCE LARGE BREAKING WAVES
OF 10 TO 15 FEET OR LARGER ALONG THE NORTHERN EXPOSED REEFS...
BEACHES...AND SHOALS OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING.
THESE BREAKING WAVES WILL GENERATE STRONG AND DANGEROUS CURRENTS
WITHIN THE SURF ZONE...CALLED RIP CURRENTS. THESE NARROW OUTWARD
FLOWING CURRENTS CAN CARRY PEOPLE AND ANIMALS AWAY FROM THE COAST
LINE AND OUT TO SEA. IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...DO NOT
PANIC. CALMLY...REMAIN AFLOAT...GATHER YOUR BEARINGS RELATIVE TO THE
BEACH...AND SWIM PARALLEL TO THE BEACH. YOU WILL EVENTUALLY LEAVE
THE GRIP OF THIS NARROW CURRENT...AND BE ABLE TO SAFELY SWIM TO
SHORE.
LOCAL BEACH GOERS...AND INEXPERIENCED SURFERS AND SWIMMERS ARE URGED
TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER UNTIL THESE HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS
SUBSIDE. PERSONS ON THE BEACH SHOULD BE VIGILANT FOR LARGE BREAKING
WAVES SURGING UPON THE SHORE...WHICH CAN CARRY PEOPLE OF ALL SIZES
INTO THE OCEAN. YOU SHOULD AVOID BEING NEAR THE SHORE LINE AND STAY
OFF OF ROCK FORMATIONS.
THESE SURGING WAVES WILL ALSO CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR BEACH EROSION
DURING TIMES OF HIGH TIDE.
THE TIMES OF THE HIGH TIDE FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS ARE:
SAN JUAN HARBOR: 1.2 FEET AT 7:17 PM AST THIS EVENING AND 1.9
FEET AT 8:41 AM MONDAY. TIDES WILL BE HIGHER TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY.
MAGENS BAY ST THOMAS: 1.7 FEET AT 9:00 AM AST MONDAY AND 9:47 AM TUESDAY.
STAY TUNED FOR ANY ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS OR POSSIBLE WATCHES OR
WARNINGS FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN SAN
JUAN.
THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE
INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU
OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV.
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