ATL : TROPICAL DEPRESSION IDA

[Ivanhater]

HWRF closest approach to the coast

[Crostorm]

Here is another buoy on east side of Ida

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/show_plot.php? ... _label=EST

[CourierPR]

I don't see the turn to the NW yet.

http://metofis.rsmas.miami.edu/~dortt/s ... 1_loop.gif

I don't think it will occur.

[ROCK]

Ivan, starting to see a pattern here. Maybe the Euro will jump on board also tonight. You can stay up for that!!

[shah8]

I don't buy any of the 0z models, at least until I see that nw turn into the Yucatan. I think the campeche low is adding tremendous amount of noise to the models.

[Ivanhater]

UKMET closest approach to the northern gulfcoast..that's windy!

[SouthFLTropics]

I had previously gone on my gut instinct and said somewhere along the West Coast of Florida near Longboat Key but I'm starting to think that Ida is the ghost of Irene ...Could it be??? Sure looks to be headed NNE to me. Only time will tell...

SFT

[blp]

Anybody have an updated microwave pass. I found the below, but it is a little hard to read but it looks to be organizing and a little east of the 12Z NHC plot.

[jinftl]

One thing is clear....ida really cut down the amount of time she spent over land with her track...

[SouthFLTropics]

The models showing a more central Gulf track don't even have the current motion correct...they are showing the system heading more nw in the short term. Her motion has been north....gained 0 longitude in the last 24 hours.

Watch out Bermuda... the deep flow Bam is pointing right at you. (This is a joke for those that don't know.)



I am looking forward to the new GFDL, and HWRF. If they keep this up, it should make for an interesting scenario...
-Eric

Wouldn't it be funny if our climatological friend the CLP5 nailed one and the other models got it wrong. You know the old saying. Even a dead clock is wrong twice a day!

SFT

[deltadog03]

I think all systems are a go for a quick ramp up. Thing looks pretty good for spending time on land like it did.

[ericinmia]

On this loop you can really see the clouds wrapping together to form a unified CDO.

Once that happens, I am curious to see what Ida can do in medium divergent shear with warm water infront of her.... ???

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-ir2.html

[xcool22]

000
WTNT61 KNHC 070629
TCUAT1
TROPICAL STORM IDA TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112009
130 AM EST SAT NOV 7 2009

...IDA REGAINS TROPICAL STORM STATUS...

RECENTLY RECEIVED GEOSTATIONARY SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT IDA
HAS REGAINED TROPICAL STORM STATUS WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF
NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR.

FORECASTER BRENNAN

[jinftl]

Posted earlier...but this merits repeating....the tropical cyclone heat potential (tchp) in ida's path is explosive in potential....compare the current readings with the readings 4 years ago...




Ida will not be lacking in high-octane warm water to potentially charge her up.

[Evil Jeremy]

000
WTNT61 KNHC 070629
TCUAT1
TROPICAL STORM IDA TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112009
130 AM EST SAT NOV 7 2009

...IDA REGAINS TROPICAL STORM STATUS...

RECENTLY RECEIVED GEOSTATIONARY SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT IDA
HAS REGAINED TROPICAL STORM STATUS WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF
NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR.

FORECASTER BRENNAN

Welcome to the forum, and thanks for passing along the update!

[ericinmia]

Wouldn't it be funny if our climatological friend the CLP5 nailed one and the other models got it wrong. You know the old saying. Even a dead clock is wrong twice a day!

SFT

I'm heading off to bed, but i'm going to be curious as to where she is in the morning... Does she start a WNW drift? OR.... Continue her N with easterly wobbles in it motion? We shall see...
Laters All
-Eric

[ozonepete]

000
WTNT61 KNHC 070629
TCUAT1
TROPICAL STORM IDA TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112009
130 AM EST SAT NOV 7 2009

...IDA REGAINS TROPICAL STORM STATUS...

RECENTLY RECEIVED GEOSTATIONARY SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT IDA
HAS REGAINED TROPICAL STORM STATUS WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF
NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR.

FORECASTER BRENNAN

Welcome, xcool22!

[xcool22]

thank any time .she move to n now . i.m use Enhanced Infrared Satellite by weather tap .

[Sanibel]

Ida is still too bare on 3 sides. Could still make hurricane. Shear making illusion of N movement.


2nd Rapid Intensification looks unlikely.

[boca]

Ida is still too bare on 3 sides. Could still make hurricane. Shear making illusion of N movement.

Ida definetly moving N even though I'm tired.