ATL : TROPICAL DEPRESSION IDA

[HURAKAN]

The NE quadrant should be interesting!!

[Sanibel]

Bingo. I suspected we'd be pushing category 2 when they got there. My guess was 100KTs FL from appearance.(The boy still has it).

[Aric Dunn]

it was a hurricane a long while ago.. lol

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

IDA is really intensifying it appears.

[Ivanhater]

HWRF

[HURAKAN]

118
WTNT31 KNHC 080557
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IDA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 15A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112009
1200 AM CST SUN NOV 08 2009

...IDA STRENGTHENING...MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO FROM TULUM TO CABO CATOCHE. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRAND CAYMAN ISLAND.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA ALLEN NORTHWARD TO SAN FELIPE. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF
PINAR DEL RIO.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...
PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR
AREA OUTSIDE THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

AT 1200 AM CST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IDA WAS LOCATED
BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE
20.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.3 WEST OR ABOUT 110 MILES...175 KM...
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF COZUMEL MEXICO AND ABOUT 120 MILES...195 KM...
SOUTH OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA.

IDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL HEADING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 48
HOURS WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK
...IDA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE YUCATAN CHANNEL AND INTO THE
SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO TODAY.

DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 90 MPH...150
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IDA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...BUT A SLOW WEAKENING IS
EXPECTED TO BEGIN ON MONDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
140 MILES...220 KM...FROM THE CENTER. NOAA BUOY 42056...LOCATED IN
THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ABOUT 120 MILES...195 KM...EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF COZUMEL MEXICO...RECENTLY REPORTED A ONE-MINUTE
SUSTAINED WIND OF 56 MPH...91 KM/HR.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON AN OBSERVATION FROM
NOAA BUOY 42056 IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.

IDA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES
OVER PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND WESTERN CUBA...WITH
POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

...SUMMARY OF 1200 AM CST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...20.1N 85.3W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 12 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
300 AM CST.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/KIMBERLAIN

[Aric Dunn]

maybe they will listen to the gfdl and hwrf now.. lol

[Evil Jeremy]

DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 90 MPH...150
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

[andyis]

Hey guys, can someone please post a infared satellite loop of the Caribbean/Gulf of Mexico for us

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

If these tracks verify, it could get very rough along the Gulf Coast near the FL/AL Border...
wouldn't be surprised to see a small area of hurricane force winds approach
the coast, and a very large area of tropical storm force winds possibly
200+ miles in radius

[drezee]

Ida is approaching the warmest TCHP over the next 18 hours...starting now...

[cycloneye]

Ok,after this big news of a cat 1 or 2,I will go to morfeus and rest for a long day here tommorow.

[Blown Away]

I dont see it much .. maybe down to 10mph and no wnw motion..

http://flhurricane.com/imageanimator.php?70
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/loop-wv.html

I'm tired and I know radar can be deceptive with regards to motion, but you still see NNW when you look at the radar and satellite? The satellite shows a west jump in the last few frames.

[artist]

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconusir.html
try this, seems to be updating fastest.

[Ivanhater]

Wow, Wasn't this JUST upgraded to a hurricane?

[cycloneye]

I will go to bed so anyone can continue posting the obs.

[Aric Dunn]

DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 90 MPH...150
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

that was to be expected..

[CrazyC83]

Wow, Wasn't this JUST upgraded to a hurricane?

It's probably been a hurricane for quite a while. It probably was one since about 0000Z.

[Evil Jeremy]

Ill do it

[Evil Jeremy]

000
URNT15 KNHC 080558
AF306 0311A IDA HDOB 21 20091108
055030 2005N 08521W 8440 01352 9852 +191 +146 281005 007 019 005 00
055100 2004N 08522W 8419 01378 9841 +219 +148 252012 016 999 999 03
055130 2002N 08521W 8438 01359 9828 +247 +152 234024 028 014 005 03
055200 2001N 08520W 8435 01364 9828 +252 +158 240033 035 025 004 00
055230 2000N 08518W 8433 01373 9840 +246 +166 234038 041 032 004 00
055300 1959N 08517W 8417 01400 9855 +236 +173 230047 051 038 005 00
055330 1957N 08516W 8435 01395 9865 +242 +177 228055 058 045 003 00
055400 1956N 08515W 8433 01406 9888 +221 +180 225063 064 048 001 00
055430 1955N 08514W 8437 01413 9907 +208 +182 221066 067 047 004 00
055500 1954N 08512W 8426 01433 9924 +195 +181 215066 067 047 003 00
055530 1953N 08511W 8429 01440 9938 +182 +178 209064 064 045 005 00
055600 1952N 08510W 8432 01442 9946 +181 +174 208064 065 048 003 00
055630 1951N 08509W 8429 01453 9953 +186 +169 208062 064 047 004 00
055700 1950N 08508W 8428 01463 9964 +180 +165 208059 060 048 005 00
055730 1949N 08507W 8426 01468 9966 +189 +161 210060 060 050 003 00
055800 1948N 08506W 8429 01470 9971 +191 +158 209060 060 050 003 00
055830 1947N 08505W 8430 01477 9976 +193 +156 212059 059 050 003 00
055900 1946N 08503W 8429 01482 9985 +190 +154 211058 059 048 004 00
055930 1945N 08502W 8429 01486 9989 +192 +153 211056 057 047 003 00
060000 1944N 08501W 8426 01496 0002 +179 +153 212054 055 047 003 00
$$
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