ATL : TROPICAL DEPRESSION IDA

[TheEuropean]

000
URNT15 KNHC 091013
AF304 0611A IDA HDOB 42 20091109
100530 2542N 08928W 6966 03149 0051 +093 +012 289016 016 016 001 00
100600 2540N 08928W 6966 03148 0055 +090 +012 290016 016 019 001 00
100630 2538N 08928W 6966 03152 0055 +090 +011 298015 016 013 002 00
100700 2537N 08928W 6967 03147 0055 +090 +011 298016 017 016 000 00
100730 2535N 08928W 6967 03148 0053 +092 +011 301016 016 011 000 00
100800 2533N 08929W 6967 03149 0053 +092 +011 297017 017 013 001 00
100830 2531N 08929W 6968 03147 0056 +090 +011 293017 017 019 000 00
100900 2529N 08929W 6970 03144 0058 +088 +011 297017 017 007 001 00
100930 2527N 08929W 6969 03147 0057 +088 +010 294017 018 019 000 00
101000 2526N 08929W 6967 03146 0060 +085 +010 296017 018 008 003 00
101030 2524N 08929W 6967 03148 0060 +085 +010 295018 019 011 002 00
101100 2522N 08929W 6967 03145 0060 +085 +009 292018 019 007 002 00
101130 2520N 08929W 6967 03148 0060 +085 +009 288018 019 009 002 00
101200 2518N 08929W 6966 03147 0060 +085 +009 285017 018 009 003 00
101230 2517N 08930W 6969 03143 0061 +085 +009 282017 018 008 003 00
101300 2515N 08930W 6966 03148 0061 +085 +009 280017 017 001 002 00
101330 2513N 08930W 6967 03147 0061 +085 +009 284017 017 000 001 00
101400 2511N 08930W 6970 03147 0058 +089 +010 286016 017 005 002 00
101430 2509N 08930W 6967 03150 0061 +087 +010 285016 016 000 001 00
101500 2508N 08930W 6967 03149 0057 +090 +010 290016 016 001 000 00
$$

000
URNT15 KNHC 091023
AF304 0611A IDA HDOB 43 20091109
101530 2506N 08930W 6969 03150 0053 +093 +010 288014 016 004 002 03
101600 2504N 08930W 6966 03151 0057 +089 +011 285016 017 001 001 00
101630 2502N 08930W 6969 03149 0056 +091 +011 289015 016 000 002 03
101700 2500N 08931W 6967 03150 0056 +090 +011 293015 015 005 003 00
101730 2459N 08931W 6967 03152 0063 +085 +011 298015 016 003 002 00
101800 2457N 08931W 6967 03148 0064 +085 +012 301015 016 003 000 03
101830 2455N 08931W 6969 03150 0070 +081 +012 292013 014 001 000 03
101900 2453N 08931W 6967 03151 0072 +080 +012 282013 013 000 001 03
101930 2451N 08931W 6967 03152 0071 +080 +011 289013 014 002 000 00
102000 2450N 08931W 6966 03151 0070 +080 +011 286014 014 001 000 00
102030 2448N 08931W 6972 03145 0071 +080 +011 288013 013 001 000 00
102100 2446N 08931W 6963 03154 0070 +080 +011 293013 013 001 001 00
102130 2444N 08932W 6970 03152 0073 +081 +012 286012 013 003 000 03
102200 2442N 08932W 6967 03153 0070 +082 +012 282010 011 000 000 00
102230 2441N 08932W 6969 03151 0068 +083 +012 279011 012 001 000 00
102300 2439N 08932W 6962 03158 0074 +080 +013 277011 012 001 000 03
102330 2437N 08933W 6967 03152 0071 +082 +013 285012 013 000 001 03
102400 2436N 08933W 6963 03156 0070 +083 +013 286014 014 002 000 00
102430 2434N 08934W 6970 03146 0071 +081 +013 286013 014 003 000 00
102500 2433N 08935W 6969 03149 0077 +075 +014 296009 012 000 000 03
$$

000
URNT15 KNHC 091035
AF304 0611A IDA HDOB 44 20091109
102530 2431N 08936W 6971 03151 0068 +084 +014 296013 013 000 001 03
102600 2429N 08937W 6970 03149 0066 +087 +014 292013 013 000 001 03
102630 2428N 08938W 6966 03156 0062 +090 +015 290013 014 003 000 00
102700 2426N 08939W 6966 03158 0057 +094 +015 275012 013 000 002 03
102730 2425N 08940W 6970 03151 0060 +093 +016 264010 010 000 002 03
102800 2423N 08940W 6963 03165 0073 +088 +017 264011 011 999 999 03
102830 2422N 08938W 6969 03158 0071 +088 +017 265010 010 999 999 03
102900 2423N 08937W 6972 03149 0059 +092 +018 265010 010 000 001 03
102930 2425N 08935W 6963 03159 0070 +084 +018 279009 011 000 002 03
103000 2426N 08934W 6959 03165 0077 +081 +018 283009 010 999 999 03
103030 2428N 08934W 6966 03153 0063 +090 +017 282011 013 002 001 00
103100 2430N 08933W 6967 03153 0066 +086 +017 284010 011 000 002 00
103130 2431N 08932W 6968 03153 0074 +080 +016 275009 009 000 001 03
103200 2433N 08931W 6963 03160 0058 +092 +016 279013 013 000 001 00
103230 2434N 08930W 6967 03153 0073 +080 +016 265009 010 002 000 03
103300 2435N 08928W 6969 03148 0072 +080 +015 245010 011 003 000 00
103330 2436N 08927W 6964 03154 0066 +086 +014 253011 012 001 000 00
103400 2438N 08925W 6970 03150 0073 +080 +014 255009 010 004 000 03
103430 2439N 08924W 6965 03156 0070 +083 +015 267009 009 005 000 00
103500 2440N 08922W 6964 03156 0066 +085 +015 266011 012 003 000 00
$$

000
URNT15 KNHC 091043
AF304 0611A IDA HDOB 45 20091109
103530 2442N 08921W 6969 03151 0061 +088 +015 274013 014 004 002 00
103600 2443N 08920W 6967 03151 0062 +086 +015 278015 016 005 002 00
103630 2444N 08918W 6967 03150 0066 +082 +015 272014 015 002 001 00
103700 2446N 08917W 6967 03149 0073 +076 +015 258014 014 007 000 00
103730 2447N 08915W 6969 03146 0083 +069 +014 249014 014 000 002 00
103800 2448N 08914W 6969 03147 0084 +068 +013 248014 015 002 000 00
103830 2450N 08913W 6970 03146 0086 +066 +012 246015 016 011 003 00
103900 2451N 08911W 6969 03145 0083 +068 +012 250015 015 014 000 00
103930 2452N 08910W 6966 03149 0082 +069 +012 251014 015 001 001 00
104000 2454N 08908W 6965 03151 0070 +077 +012 256018 019 005 002 00
104030 2455N 08907W 6970 03143 0071 +076 +013 263018 019 007 001 00
104100 2456N 08905W 6966 03146 0071 +076 +014 264017 019 009 000 00
104130 2458N 08904W 6965 03148 0061 +083 +014 269020 020 004 001 00
104200 2459N 08902W 6970 03141 0062 +082 +014 271019 020 002 002 00
104230 2500N 08901W 6965 03147 0056 +085 +014 272021 022 001 002 00
104300 2502N 08859W 6967 03142 0055 +085 +015 270022 022 013 002 00
104330 2503N 08858W 6966 03143 0054 +085 +015 268023 023 015 002 00
104400 2505N 08857W 6961 03150 0057 +082 +015 276022 023 011 003 00
104430 2506N 08855W 6969 03138 0057 +081 +015 286024 026 016 002 00
104500 2507N 08854W 6967 03136 0052 +085 +014 292026 027 016 001 00
$$

000
URNT15 KNHC 091053
AF304 0611A IDA HDOB 46 20091109
104530 2509N 08852W 6967 03137 0047 +087 +013 286027 027 020 003 00
104600 2510N 08851W 6968 03134 0043 +090 +013 289029 029 022 002 00
104630 2511N 08849W 6967 03136 0040 +090 +014 289030 030 024 002 00
104700 2513N 08848W 6966 03137 0039 +092 +014 291030 030 027 001 00
104730 2514N 08846W 6967 03133 0032 +095 +014 292031 031 028 001 00
104800 2515N 08845W 6967 03130 0028 +099 +014 292031 031 027 001 00
104830 2516N 08844W 6967 03130 0024 +100 +014 289031 032 028 001 00
104900 2518N 08842W 6967 03131 0022 +101 +015 288031 032 032 000 00
104930 2519N 08841W 6969 03127 0018 +103 +015 290032 032 033 000 00
105000 2520N 08839W 6965 03132 0012 +108 +015 294032 032 036 000 00
105030 2522N 08838W 6965 03133 0014 +105 +015 295027 028 038 000 00
105100 2523N 08836W 6969 03126 0016 +102 +015 300028 030 040 000 00
105130 2524N 08835W 6964 03129 0024 +094 +015 301030 031 039 002 00
105200 2526N 08834W 6968 03120 0020 +097 +015 296027 027 041 001 00
105230 2527N 08832W 6967 03122 0018 +096 +015 297027 027 041 001 00
105300 2528N 08831W 6968 03120 0018 +095 +016 303030 032 042 002 00
105330 2530N 08829W 6964 03123 0015 +096 +016 311036 038 044 001 00
105400 2531N 08828W 6964 03120 0008 +098 +016 310039 041 045 001 00
105430 2532N 08826W 6977 03102 9985 +116 +017 302041 042 045 001 00
105500 2533N 08825W 6961 03119 9974 +122 +017 295041 042 045 001 00
$$

000
URNT15 KNHC 091103
AF304 0611A IDA HDOB 47 20091109
105530 2535N 08824W 6965 03108 9975 +119 +018 292044 047 044 002 00
105600 2536N 08822W 6972 03096 9975 +113 +018 301049 051 043 002 00
105630 2537N 08821W 6988 03075 9973 +114 +017 302048 051 043 002 00
105700 2539N 08819W 6954 03113 9972 +111 +016 301045 046 044 003 00
105730 2540N 08818W 6975 03091 9965 +119 +015 296034 042 042 001 00
105800 2541N 08817W 6958 03110 9965 +119 +015 282020 023 033 004 03
105830 2543N 08816W 6975 03085 9951 +128 +015 266014 016 033 004 03
105900 2545N 08816W 6969 03092 9943 +133 +015 275014 019 038 003 00
105930 2547N 08815W 6970 03087 9953 +122 +016 355004 012 037 002 00
110000 2548N 08816W 6967 03090 9955 +120 +018 039012 016 036 003 00
110030 2550N 08816W 6971 03085 9958 +117 +018 030016 018 036 003 00
110100 2552N 08816W 6968 03090 9959 +116 +017 041020 020 036 002 00
110130 2553N 08816W 6969 03087 9959 +114 +017 050021 021 038 004 00
110200 2555N 08816W 6966 03094 9972 +106 +018 062022 023 038 004 00
110230 2557N 08816W 6966 03096 9979 +102 +018 072024 024 040 004 00
110300 2558N 08816W 6970 03093 9987 +097 +018 075025 025 041 004 00
110330 2600N 08816W 6967 03100 9990 +097 +018 079028 030 040 006 03
110400 2602N 08816W 6969 03094 9994 +094 +018 084033 035 044 007 00
110430 2604N 08816W 6967 03104 0009 +084 +017 090033 034 046 006 00
110500 2605N 08816W 6968 03102 0017 +080 +015 094034 036 048 007 00
$$

[TheEuropean]

000
URNT15 KNHC 091113
AF304 0611A IDA HDOB 48 20091109
110530 2607N 08816W 6966 03111 0036 +069 +013 095036 038 047 009 00
110600 2609N 08816W 6966 03111 0035 +072 +012 088035 037 047 005 00
110630 2611N 08816W 6963 03120 0025 +082 +011 089030 034 044 006 00
110700 2612N 08816W 6968 03111 0026 +082 +013 096035 037 045 007 00
110730 2614N 08816W 6967 03114 0028 +083 +015 103040 042 045 006 00
110800 2616N 08816W 6966 03118 0031 +080 +016 105043 044 046 008 00
110830 2618N 08816W 6970 03114 0034 +077 +016 109042 043 045 010 00
110900 2620N 08816W 6979 03101 0053 +062 +016 109043 044 047 012 00
110930 2621N 08816W 6971 03113 0055 +062 +014 103040 042 043 012 00
111000 2623N 08816W 6963 03123 0062 +055 +012 109038 040 043 011 00
111030 2625N 08816W 6979 03110 0068 +056 +010 107040 043 042 007 00
111100 2627N 08816W 6965 03122 0063 +059 +010 101041 043 046 010 00
111130 2629N 08816W 6968 03118 0060 +063 +010 102041 045 045 009 00
111200 2631N 08816W 6962 03128 0067 +058 +010 109041 044 044 010 00
111230 2632N 08816W 6971 03118 0062 +064 +010 108044 044 043 008 00
111300 2634N 08816W 6967 03127 0058 +070 +011 106048 051 041 007 00
111330 2636N 08816W 6967 03131 0065 +066 +011 097054 056 042 007 00
111400 2638N 08816W 6967 03129 0069 +062 +011 096058 060 044 007 00
111430 2640N 08816W 6969 03130 0084 +054 +011 092059 060 043 008 00
111500 2641N 08816W 6966 03133 0091 +050 +010 086055 057 042 009 00
$$

000
URNT15 KNHC 091123
AF304 0611A IDA HDOB 49 20091109
111530 2643N 08816W 6970 03130 0094 +049 +010 090058 060 041 009 00
111600 2645N 08816W 6966 03137 0090 +053 +009 089057 059 041 008 00
111630 2646N 08816W 6970 03134 0090 +053 +009 090052 054 041 009 00
111700 2648N 08816W 6970 03136 0099 +047 +009 090049 050 040 009 00
111730 2650N 08816W 6967 03137 0098 +049 +009 089048 048 040 009 00
111800 2651N 08816W 6966 03141 0096 +050 +009 090046 048 042 009 00
111830 2653N 08816W 6967 03143 0097 +050 +009 087044 044 043 009 00
111900 2655N 08816W 6973 03139 0108 +046 +009 083044 045 041 009 00
111930 2656N 08816W 6963 03151 0113 +041 +009 082045 046 040 008 00
112000 2658N 08816W 6971 03143 0112 +046 +008 084043 045 041 007 00
112030 2700N 08816W 6965 03149 0104 +051 +007 086042 042 041 007 00
112100 2702N 08816W 6971 03144 0106 +052 +007 088042 042 041 007 00
112130 2703N 08816W 6969 03149 0110 +050 +008 081039 040 040 008 00
112200 2705N 08816W 6960 03159 0122 +041 +007 078035 036 041 007 00
112230 2707N 08816W 6969 03149 0116 +045 +006 077032 033 038 007 00
112300 2708N 08816W 6969 03151 0109 +053 +006 076032 032 039 006 00
112330 2710N 08816W 6968 03148 0114 +048 +007 080028 030 037 007 00
112400 2712N 08816W 6972 03149 0112 +052 +007 083022 023 039 006 00
112430 2713N 08816W 6973 03147 0113 +052 +007 075019 020 037 007 00
112500 2715N 08816W 6963 03158 0111 +052 +007 075016 017 037 008 00
$$

000
URNT15 KNHC 091133
AF304 0611A IDA HDOB 50 20091109
112530 2717N 08816W 6969 03153 0109 +053 +008 072013 014 038 007 00
112600 2719N 08816W 6969 03155 0113 +053 +007 073012 013 038 007 00
112630 2720N 08816W 6967 03157 0113 +052 +007 073011 011 037 007 00
112700 2722N 08816W 6969 03153 0110 +055 +007 071012 013 036 008 00
112730 2724N 08816W 6969 03155 0110 +056 +007 079014 014 036 008 00
112800 2726N 08816W 6965 03162 0117 +051 +007 078015 015 036 008 00
112830 2727N 08816W 6971 03155 0112 +056 +007 091015 015 036 008 00
112900 2729N 08816W 6963 03165 0106 +061 +006 095016 016 035 009 00
112930 2731N 08816W 6970 03156 0102 +065 +006 102016 017 034 009 00
113000 2733N 08816W 6963 03167 0108 +062 +007 115015 015 036 009 00
113030 2734N 08815W 6973 03159 0113 +059 +007 112017 019 036 009 00
113100 2736N 08816W 6967 03165 0118 +056 +006 111019 020 036 008 00
113130 2738N 08816W 6969 03164 0116 +061 +006 109020 021 035 008 03
113200 2740N 08816W 6963 03173 0118 +063 +006 102022 023 999 999 03
113230 2740N 08819W 6974 03160 0114 +062 +006 095023 024 038 010 03
113300 2739N 08821W 6971 03162 0115 +060 +006 101023 024 042 010 03
113330 2738N 08823W 6970 03164 0118 +059 +005 109024 025 043 011 03
113400 2739N 08825W 6931 03205 0119 +053 +004 103021 023 043 011 03
113430 2739N 08827W 6594 03627 0136 +026 -001 147021 023 999 999 03
113500 2740N 08829W 6330 03954 0138 +007 -008 165012 019 999 999 03
$$

000
URNT15 KNHC 091143
AF304 0611A IDA HDOB 51 20091109
113530 2741N 08831W 6054 04324 0118 -008 -017 326002 005 999 999 03
113600 2741N 08833W 5812 04621 0053 -007 -024 174003 004 999 999 03
113630 2742N 08835W 5622 04884 0039 -017 -028 165013 017 043 010 03
113700 2742N 08837W 5441 05159 0211 -028 -030 181012 016 037 044 03
113730 2743N 08839W 5286 05382 0224 -041 -041 234007 009 037 012 00
113800 2744N 08841W 5116 05637 0239 -050 -050 218012 013 036 006 00
113830 2744N 08843W 4974 05867 0253 -065 -065 233013 014 034 005 01
113900 2745N 08846W 4862 06042 0266 -082 +999 231011 014 034 002 01
113930 2745N 08848W 4740 06245 0281 -092 +999 237006 008 035 001 01
114000 2746N 08850W 4624 06438 0292 -104 +999 224004 005 036 002 01
114030 2746N 08852W 4513 06616 0298 -112 +999 196006 007 035 002 01
114100 2747N 08854W 4412 06790 0310 -122 +999 183007 007 034 000 05
114130 2748N 08856W 4295 07000 0323 -132 +999 191005 006 033 000 01
114200 2748N 08858W 4192 07188 0335 -143 +999 211006 006 031 001 01
114230 2749N 08900W 4097 07358 0347 -153 +999 217008 008 030 002 01
114300 2750N 08902W 4009 07529 0357 -161 +999 212008 010 031 002 01
114330 2750N 08905W 3938 07665 0366 -170 -217 198010 011 030 002 01
114400 2751N 08907W 3918 07698 0367 -172 -358 177009 009 032 003 00
114430 2752N 08909W 3925 07681 0363 -170 -452 177008 008 030 005 00
114500 2752N 08912W 3922 07683 0361 -173 -490 180008 009 030 002 00
$$

Ascending

000
URNT15 KNHC 091154
AF304 0611A IDA HDOB 52 20091109
114530 2753N 08915W 3926 07675 0358 -175 -507 177010 011 026 004 00
114600 2754N 08918W 3926 07672 0358 -168 -513 161011 012 026 003 00
114630 2755N 08921W 3926 07668 0357 -166 -308 158012 012 027 003 00
114700 2755N 08923W 3932 07661 0356 -170 +999 171011 011 027 003 01
114730 2756N 08926W 3927 07670 0355 -170 -170 182011 011 027 003 00
114800 2757N 08929W 3928 07665 0356 -172 -173 188012 012 027 003 00
114830 2758N 08932W 3931 07661 0356 -174 +999 191012 013 026 002 01
114900 2759N 08935W 3926 07669 0354 -178 -178 193013 015 026 002 01
114930 2800N 08938W 3927 07670 0354 -180 -321 195019 021 025 002 00
115000 2800N 08941W 3927 07667 0353 -180 -444 194022 022 025 001 00
115030 2801N 08944W 3926 07668 0352 -180 -493 198022 023 024 002 00
115100 2802N 08947W 3926 07669 0352 -176 -514 197025 027 025 002 00
115130 2803N 08950W 3929 07668 0353 -178 -522 200026 026 026 001 00
115200 2804N 08953W 3926 07664 0353 -177 -525 201022 024 029 001 00
115230 2805N 08956W 3927 07665 0352 -173 -526 197022 023 031 002 00
115300 2806N 08959W 3927 07665 0352 -173 -526 196021 022 031 002 00
115330 2806N 09002W 3927 07664 0352 -170 -525 199020 020 031 003 00
115400 2807N 09005W 3927 07663 0350 -170 -524 201018 019 031 003 00
115430 2808N 09007W 3927 07662 0350 -175 -523 206017 018 030 002 00
115500 2809N 09010W 3927 07665 0349 -180 -523 205019 020 028 003 00
$$

000
URNT15 KNHC 091203
AF304 0611A IDA HDOB 53 20091109
115530 2810N 09013W 3927 07666 0349 -178 -522 202018 019 025 003 00
115600 2811N 09016W 3926 07671 0348 -176 -521 202019 020 027 002 00
115630 2812N 09019W 3929 07661 0346 -171 -508 209021 022 024 005 00
115700 2813N 09022W 3926 07657 0345 -174 -279 210018 018 026 004 03
115730 2814N 09025W 3928 07656 0344 -176 +999 214016 018 027 005 05
115800 2815N 09028W 3926 07660 0345 -182 -212 208015 015 028 005 03
115830 2815N 09030W 3927 07653 0345 -180 -216 199012 013 030 005 03
115900 2816N 09033W 3926 07664 0345 -182 -221 199011 012 033 007 03
115930 2817N 09036W 3929 07660 0346 -178 -224 193012 013 030 006 03
120000 2818N 09039W 3926 07659 0344 -176 -226 191015 016 999 999 03
120030 2819N 09042W 3928 07656 0343 -178 -228 205011 014 999 999 03
120100 2820N 09045W 3927 07657 0342 -187 -225 223013 014 999 999 03
120130 2821N 09048W 3926 07659 0342 -189 -191 214015 016 999 999 03
120200 2822N 09051W 3923 07663 0343 -197 +999 215012 014 999 999 05
120230 2823N 09053W 3922 07672 0345 -202 +999 241010 012 999 999 05
120300 2823N 09056W 3927 07654 0344 -201 +999 269012 014 999 999 05
120330 2824N 09059W 3927 07657 0343 -199 +999 287012 015 999 999 05
120400 2825N 09102W 3929 07657 0345 -197 +999 272009 010 999 999 05
120430 2826N 09104W 3925 07664 0345 -195 -195 255009 009 999 999 03
120500 2827N 09107W 3927 07658 0344 -192 -192 244011 012 999 999 03
$$

Heading home

[attallaman]

Now that it appears that Ida is beginning to fall apart will the traffic on this board also diminish? Can I still expect to receive some bad weather out of what now remains of Ida in my area? It's overcast here right now and the winds are out of the NNE at 15 gusting to 21, barometric pressure is 30.06" with no rain. The NOLA stations are on this like it was headed their way today, Mobile stations are giving good coverage too. Unfortunately no FL stations on my Cable One but years ago I use to get ABC affiliate WEAR TV 3 out of P'Cola, FL. If WEAR TV 3 is still around they're probably giving this some coverage.

You should still be getting a hefty amount of rain and wind from Ida and the cold front over the next couple of days.

When will that happen here? Later in the day today or tonight? I remember a TS Bill which came ashore in SE LA a few years back, well before Katrina, I was on the "dirty" side of TS Bill, the NE quadrant but I will have to say that TS Bill was not a weak TS, it packed quite a punch here, a tree in my neighbor's yard was blown over on top of her house, pretty windy that day, it was on my birthday, June 29, the year I don't recall except it was well before Katrina.

[HURAKAN]

Ida is extratropicalifying, and I know thats not a word lol.

Perfect!

Extratropicalifying - The action of going extratropical

Oxford needs to heard about this!! lol

[wxman57]

Is it me, or does it appear to have made a N or even NNE turn already? First visible sat loop seems to suggest so.

You're seeing the result of SW shear. Convection is being blown off to the NNE-NE. You can't see the actual center on those IR shots very well.

[ronjon]

Is it me, or does it appear to have made a N or even NNE turn already? First visible sat loop seems to suggest so.

You're seeing the result of SW shear. Convection is being blown off to the NNE-NE. You can't see the actual center on those IR shots very well.

The convection lines south of La (there are two of them) are moving from west to east signifying a dramatic change in steering. I would not be surprised that Ida (or extratropical storm Ida) actually is shunted more northeast or east fairly soon - or at least the heavy weather is. These badly sheared systems have a habit of making some usual movements that are poorly forecasted by the models (i.e. Irene, Keith,etc).

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-vis.html

[psyclone]

it just makes sense to give enormous weight to climo here. north gulf coast hurricane landfalls in November are a "powerball" meteorlogical event. i would take that bet anytime. that said, i am impressed at the rapidity with which ida has degraded.

[Thunder44]

Is it me, or does it appear to have made a N or even NNE turn already? First visible sat loop seems to suggest so.

You're seeing the result of SW shear. Convection is being blown off to the NNE-NE. You can't see the actual center on those IR shots very well.

I don't know about that. When I look at the visible loop here, it looks like LLC the is being shunted to the east somewhat too. It's also becoming broader and less defined:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-vis.html

[Dean4Storms]

Winds picking up here and thankfully Ida looks like she is going to weaken moreso that what the NHC had forecasted!!

[MGC]

Should be downgraded at the next advisory. Getting sheared pretty bad.....MGC

[tolakram]

Visible loop:

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... mframes=10

ImageShack is having issues so no graphics.

[stormy1970al]

Conditions in South Alabama feel more like fall...a cold front through at the moment. It is cloudy and a windy but nothing out of the ordinary for this area.

[tolakram]

In the end shear wins.

[AtlanticWind]

Looks like whatever is left of Ida will be pushed NE than East , I am thinking no landfall on the northen gulf coast .

[TampaFl]

Looks like whatever is left of Ida will be pushed NE than East , I am thinking no landfall on the northen gulf coast .

So are you saying Ida will come ashore(or whats left of her) along the Big Bend Area or Florida West Coast north of Tampa.

[Blown Away]

Looks like whatever is left of Ida will be pushed NE than East , I am thinking no landfall on the northen gulf coast .

The actual center or what is left of it will come ashore along the forecast track but most of the energy will be displaced well to the east.

[AtlanticWind]

Looks like whatever is left of Ida will be pushed NE than East , I am thinking no landfall on the northen gulf coast .

So are you saying Ida will come ashore(or whats left of her) along the Big Bend Area or Florida West Coast north of Tampa.

Yes , looking at the water vapor imagery ,that would be my guess, of course lets see what the NHC says in the next advisory.

[tolakram]

Still some fight left.



http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-vis.html

If you turn on SST you can see Ida is heading over a last batch of warm water, then it's all downhill.

[PTPatrick]

"the center" of Ida is going to end up ashore somewhere on the northern Gulf coast, likely right between MObilt and Pensacola just as the NHC says...the storms are another story. They are being sheared pretty fast which makes it look like its turning NE but trust that it is not.


EDIT: Looking at latest satellite images there is some new converction near the center. Not saying it will make a differance to anybody but seems like there may still be a closed eye?

[jasons2k]

This is an excellent example of just how fragile tropical systems are (structurally). Throw in some shear and a cooler boundry layer and you get the recipe for a system falling apart.