ATL : TROPICAL DEPRESSION IDA

[wxman57]

I still see a fairly healthy llc. its getting sheared sure, but pretty strong convection over it. and its moving nicely to the north. wxman what kind of speed of movement you getting?

See that. Looks like the LLC got very disorganized a few hours ago and is reforming near that convection. I estimate the LLC is near 26.9N/88.5W now. It's a bit west of the NHC's earlier estimate. Convective burst is probably temporary, as wind shear will continue to take its toll.

[brunota2003]

Save these two for future reference!

[cycloneye]

This is one of many cams scattered in the gulf coast that are posted at the sticky thread on the top of forum.

Panama City Web cam.

[deltadog03]

Well, this is IDA's last shot to make landfall as a TS. LLC looks pretty good with some bursting going on right now, but how long does that last b4 its sheared is the question.

[deltadog03]

wxman, is she starting to turn a bit? maybe a NNE movement now?

[Sanibel]

The black IR dot is a good example of the storm's personality even when sheared. Put Ida in a juicy Gulf in August and I think you would see different results.


What probably happened here is the Caribbean SST boost and energy just perfectly transitioned over to the Gulf ventilating shear and trough and furthered the intensity climb while over the Loop Current. As some of the pros were predicting, Ida crashed fast once this tongue of favorable conditions ended when the storm hit the full Gulf features. I personally think Ida having a fiesty nature helped too.


North turn now.

[ROCK]

sort of looks like there are 2 seperate lows lined up to her west. one starting to get entrained into IDA circulation. If these 2 features were not there, IDA would have gone ET by now, IMO....

[Sanibel]

Pulled that dry slot on the south quadrant along with it all the way up:

[deltadog03]

Whats crazy is, I think the little spin/thing WEST of IDA is actually helping IDA sustain convection over the center. Its pretty much STOPPED a lot of drier air from getting into IDA's center.

[wxman57]

wxman, is she starting to turn a bit? maybe a NNE movement now?

Hard to tell. I don't see much, if any, motion west of north. Radar should pick it up soon. That'll help. Just remember that it may be tilted to the north, and radar will be looking at the top of the storm vs. the lower-level center.

[Sanibel]

Coming into range on Mobile long range radar:



http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?rid=MOB&product=N0Z&overlay=11101111&loop=yes

[deltadog03]

True, I got what I think is the LLC about 185 miles due S of mobile.

[Sanibel]

Being down here in the fetch coming around the Atlantic High pressure dome I can tell you the killer was cool air combined with weak GOM SST's.


Overcast here. Still having summer thin blood it feels chilly at 77* with a steady wind from the east for 4 days now.

[ROCK]

Whats crazy is, I think the little spin/thing WEST of IDA is actually helping IDA sustain convection over the center. Its pretty much STOPPED a lot of drier air from getting into IDA's center.

yes, if both of those features were not there she would have been toast long ago.....I think there are 2 lows next to her along the coast. One for the books thats for sure...

[TheEuropean]

A new AF mission is going on:

000
URNT15 KNHC 091638
AF303 0711A IDA HDOB 02 20091109
163030 3026N 08855W 9892 00228 0159 +186 +153 077025 028 999 999 03
163100 3027N 08854W 9634 00427 0143 +164 +146 090033 039 999 999 03
163130 3027N 08852W 9444 00614 0146 +150 +142 096038 039 999 999 03
163200 3025N 08852W 9210 00840 0162 +143 +142 103044 046 999 999 03
163230 3024N 08853W 8960 01078 0179 +149 +109 106040 043 999 999 03
163300 3022N 08855W 8796 01242 0164 +152 +043 099036 038 018 002 00
163330 3021N 08856W 8662 01370 0163 +148 -008 097036 037 024 000 00
163400 3019N 08858W 8520 01512 0164 +143 -021 095039 039 019 003 00
163430 3017N 08859W 8464 01569 0164 +138 -018 092039 039 021 003 00
163500 3016N 08901W 8464 01567 0163 +140 -016 089038 038 028 000 00
163530 3014N 08903W 8470 01560 0158 +145 -008 088039 040 027 000 00
163600 3012N 08905W 8467 01561 0156 +146 +015 088038 038 028 002 03
163630 3011N 08906W 8470 01559 0153 +149 +014 086037 038 033 000 00
163700 3009N 08908W 8466 01562 0151 +152 +003 082036 036 027 003 00
163730 3007N 08910W 8466 01563 0151 +154 -001 079035 035 028 003 00
163800 3005N 08912W 8470 01556 0150 +150 +002 079035 036 027 001 00
163830 3004N 08913W 8465 01559 0148 +150 +006 079036 036 039 003 03
163900 3002N 08915W 8466 01559 0152 +147 +009 078035 036 032 002 03
163930 3000N 08917W 8462 01565 0151 +148 +013 078034 035 030 001 00
164000 2958N 08919W 8459 01564 0149 +145 +017 078036 038 028 002 00
$$

[deltadog03]

Sweet, got more recon coming in. Thanks for posting these btw!

[Stormcenter]

I must say I'm impressed with the way she is hanging.
She definitely looks a lot better then she did 5 hours ago.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-vis.html

[deltadog03]

Looks like there is a bouy on the NW side of the LLC that is at 53mph at the moment. This bouy was at 40mph, I think, about 30 mins ago. *sustained wind*

[TheEuropean]

000
URNT15 KNHC 091648
AF303 0711A IDA HDOB 03 20091109
164030 2957N 08920W 8458 01567 0149 +145 +015 080038 039 031 001 00
164100 2955N 08922W 8458 01567 0146 +145 +013 083036 037 035 001 03
164130 2953N 08924W 8459 01558 0144 +142 +013 083038 039 999 999 03
164200 2951N 08926W 8457 01552 0146 +139 +010 083038 039 999 999 03
164230 2950N 08927W 8457 01551 0142 +140 +016 082039 040 999 999 03
164300 2948N 08929W 8458 01557 0147 +128 +031 086040 041 999 999 03
164330 2946N 08931W 8461 01556 0155 +116 +073 088040 041 999 999 03
164400 2944N 08933W 8457 01558 0156 +111 +096 087041 043 999 999 03
164430 2943N 08934W 8457 01561 0154 +123 +061 086039 041 033 001 03
164500 2941N 08936W 8462 01556 0151 +120 +085 085040 041 031 000 03
164530 2939N 08938W 8457 01561 0150 +126 +045 083039 040 033 000 03
164600 2937N 08940W 8462 01554 0144 +133 +067 081039 040 042 000 03
164630 2936N 08941W 8461 01554 0143 +131 +063 080038 039 999 999 03
164700 2934N 08943W 8451 01551 0139 +124 +058 080039 040 999 999 03
164730 2932N 08945W 8457 01555 0143 +133 +061 077039 039 999 999 03
164800 2930N 08947W 8461 01553 0134 +140 +037 077039 040 999 999 03
164830 2929N 08948W 8456 01551 0137 +139 +037 077040 041 999 999 03
164900 2927N 08950W 8465 01550 0138 +145 +062 078037 039 999 999 03
164930 2925N 08952W 8455 01563 0141 +140 +070 076036 037 030 000 00
165000 2923N 08954W 8454 01563 0143 +139 +075 075036 036 028 000 03
$$

[ROCK]

I must say I'm impressed with the way she is hanging.
She definitely looks a lot better then she did 5 hours ago.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-vis.html

You impressed SC? come on now! youve been dogging IDA since the beginning. Now do you believe since you are seeing it?