Caribbean - Central America Weather

[Gustywind]

[cycloneye]

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
814 AM AST MON NOV 16 2009

PRC053-089-119-161515-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0385.091116T1214Z-091116T1515Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LUQUILLO PR-FAJARDO PR-RIO GRANDE PR-
814 AM AST MON NOV 16 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
LUQUILLO...FAJARDO AND RIO GRANDE

* UNTIL 1115 AM AST

* AT 813 AM AST DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED VERY HEAVY RAIN IN THE
ADVISORY AREA. STAY ALERT TO THE DANGERS OF FLOOD WATERS...AND
POSSIBLE FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS FROM THE NWS. IN THE EVENT OF A
WARNING...OR IF YOU WITNESS FLOODING...MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND QUICKLY
AND NEVER ATTEMPT TO CROSS A FLOODED ROADWAY.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

[cycloneye]

SPECIAL MARINE WARNING
AMZ710-715-161445-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.MA.W.0040.091116T1252Z-091116T1445Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SPECIAL MARINE WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
852 AM AST MON NOV 16 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR...
ATLANTIC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10 NM TO 19.5N...
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM...

* UNTIL 1045 AM AST

* AT 849 AM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
THUNDERSTORM...PRODUCING STRONG WINDS 34 KNOTS OR GREATER OVER
THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND CARIBBEAN PASSAGES SURROUNDING THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE BRITISH AND SPANISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. THESE
STORMS WILL PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS WITH RAPID CHANGES IN WIND
DIRECTION FROM SOUTHEAST TO NORTHWEST...NEAR ZERO VISIBILITIES AND
FREQUENT LIGHTNING. MARINERS SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR IMMEDIATELY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MARINERS CAN EXPECT GUSTY WINDS...HIGH WAVES...DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...
AND HEAVY RAINS. BOATERS SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR IMMEDIATELY...UNTIL
THIS STORM PASSES.

FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF CAUGHT ON THE
OPEN WATER STAY BELOW DECK IF POSSIBLE...KEEP AWAY FROM UNGROUNDED
METAL OBJECTS.

[cycloneye]

The Caribbean tent thread has been moved briefly from the Weather Attic forum for the members to see how bad the weather is in the NE Caribbean.You can see web cams from different areas at the first post of thread.Any member from outside the Caribbean can visit our tent and make comments.

[msbee]

I cannot believe the amount of rain this system has been bringing.
Our islands are very fragile and even a sudden downpour from a hard thunderstorm can cause us much trouble and serious damage.
Be safe everyone!
This is a report on stormcarib.com from a weather corespondent in Culebra.

Culebra Gulley-Washer

* By "William Kunke" <wkunke at verizonmail.com>
* Date: Mon, 16 Nov 2009 09:38:12 -0400

Good Morning, Since 1:30 this morning Culebra has received 9.60
inches of rain, at times coming faster than two inches an hour.
This makes for a tremendous amount of run-off as our soil is
already saturated. This run-off turns the bay an ugly brown.

More rain is indicated on the radar and also is predicted for a
couple of days. Hopefully some of that will just slip by out in
the sea.

Stay Safe, William

[cycloneye]

Here is an example of what occured yesterday in the San Juan metroflex.

http://www.elnuevodia.com/fotogaleria/638169/

[msbee]

Wow!
What a mess!
was everyone OK?
Is this system weakening at all??
Meaning will we get so much rain here?

Barbara

[cycloneye]

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
VIC010-161715-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.W.0062.091116T1414Z-091116T1715Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1014 AM AST MON NOV 16 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING ISLAND

IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
SAINT CROIX

* UNTIL 115 PM AST

* AT 1011 AM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL BEGINNING TO AFFECT ST CROIX. THESE STORMS HAVE
A RECENT HISTORY OF CREATING RAPID FLASH FLOODING IN ST THOMAS...THE
SPANISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO. EXPECT RAPID RAINFALL
RATES APPROACHING 3 INCHES AND HOUR FOR THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO. THIS
WILL LEAD TO RAPID FLASH FLOODING OF DRY GUTS AND LOW LYING AREAS.
NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOODED ROADWAY...AND TAKE ALL PRECAUTIONS NOW
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

[cycloneye]

Wow!
What a mess!
was everyone OK?
Is this system weakening at all??
Meaning will we get so much rain here?

Barbara

No deaths nor injuries occured yesterday.Lets see what happens today.They say,the front is weakening but there is a combination of a upper trough with the front and that is the trigger.For St Marteen,you may bey some of this later today as it moves slowly eastward.

[cycloneye]

Ocean Park web cam.



Luquillo Beach web cam.

[Gustywind]

Wow!
What a mess!
was everyone OK?
Is this system weakening at all??
Meaning will we get so much rain here?

Barbara

No deaths nor injuries occured yesterday.Lets see what happens today.They say,the front is weakening but there is a combination of a upper trough with the front and that is the trigger.For St Marteen,you may bey some of this later today as it moves slowly eastward.

Absolutely Cycloneye, you're right. Glad to see all these informations and that everybody is OK in your ilsand. For your info Barbara, the Nothern Leewards are right now under an yellow alert for a risk of strong showers and tstorms. So let's be prudent carib islanders!
http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antill ... ivi_in.pdf

[Gustywind]

Here is the weather forecast of Meteo-France concerning the risk of strong showers/tstorms.

Synopsis and observations

A pretty large system accompanied with rain showers and tstorms is reaching the BVI islands, after he has crossed Puerto Rico. A strong line of tstorms added to a wind shift should concern our islands during the end of the morning.

Forecasts
Some tstorms and a few strong showers are forecasted during the next hours. With this passing front, the wind could shift from NO with gustywinds up to 60 kilometers per hour or even 70. The thunderstorm activity will be strong sometimes.
This type of perturbed weather should continue at least tommorow,Tuesday.

Summary
The risk of this feature is moderate.
The impact expected is weak or moderate.

Validity Duration of the feature
Till Tuesday morning.

Next weather forecast
Near 5H30 PM this afternoon.

[cycloneye]

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SPECIAL MARINE WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1108 AM AST MON NOV 16 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR...
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI...VIEQUES AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO
OUT 10 NM...
MONA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N...
CARIBBEAN WATERS OF PUERTO RICO FROM 10 NM TO 17N...
ANEGADA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N...

* UNTIL 100 PM AST

* AT 1105 AM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
A LARGE CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG WINDS
OF 34 KNOTS OR GREATER OVER THE CARIBBEAN PASSAGES BETWEEN ST THOMAS
AND ST CROIX...EXTENDING SOUTHWEST TO WATERS 15 NM SOUTH OF VIEQUES
AND MAINLAND PUERTO RICO. THESE STORMS WILL PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS WITH
RAPID CHANGES IN WIND DIRECTION FROM SOUTHEAST TO NORTHWEST...NEAR
ZERO VISIBILITIES AND POSSIBLY WATERSPOUTS. MARINERS ARE ADVISED TO
SEEK SAFE HARBOR IMMEDIATELY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF CAUGHT ON THE
OPEN WATER STAY BELOW DECK IF POSSIBLE...KEEP AWAY FROM UNGROUNDED
METAL OBJECTS.

[Gustywind]

[Gustywind]

From a correspondant on the weather site of stormcarib.com
http://www.stormcarib.com/reports/current/vieques.shtml
- Updates from the Islands -
- - Vieques (PR) - -
- Rain
By "El Quenepo Reservations" <reservations at elquenepovieques.com>
Date: Mon, 16 Nov 2009 10:15:29 -0400

It started last night around 10:00PM with loud booms of thunder. Sheets of rain fell with a great lightening show. I finally had to turn off the movie as the storm was too loud to hear the sound on the TV. Oh well. I snuggled in with a book. The rain continued all night. Heavy rain occurred around 2:00AM and continued all night until 6:45 AM. The plants are happy but it looks like a flood raced through the paths in the back garden.
It has just started to rain again. Thank goodness I had time to clean the gutters and sweep the wet leaves off the porch. I think that this means I should have another cup of coffee and focus on projects indoors. We should see rain most of the day. Be safe if your driving. Town should be dead so it might be a good time to go to the post office and the bank. No lines!

Have a good one,
K

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1036 AM AST MON NOV 16 2009

.UPDATE...STRONG AREA OF PRE FRONTAL CONVERGENT SHEAR LINE AHEAD
OF COLD FRONT NOW OVER THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...ALIGNED SW/NE AND
SWEEPING INTO THE ANEGADA PASSAGE ATTM. VERY IMPRESSIVE RAINFALL
RATES AND ACCUMULATIONS CONTINUE THIS MORNING...WITH ST THOMAS
REPORTING 2.58 INCHES OF RAIN IN ABOUT ONE HOUR. SEVERAL PRODUCTS
OUTLINING THE HAZARDS EXPECTED HAVE BEEN ISSUED...AND FF WATCH HAS
BEEN UPDATED FOR TIMING. LATEST SATELLITE AND RADAR IMAGERY
SUGGESTING BEST CONVERGENCE TO REMAIN AWAY FROM THE ISLAND OF
PUERTO RICO TODAY...BUT NEWS IS BAD FOR ALL THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS...AND LEEWARD ISLANDS. EXPECT TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IN THOSE
AREAS...WITH FLASH FLOODING ALREADY REPORTED IN ST THOMAS...AND
LIKELY OCCURRING IN ST CROIX NOW. THESE STORMS PRODUCED RECORD
FLOODING AND SEVERAL PROBLEMS OVER THE SAN JUAN METRO AREA
YESTERDAY...AND WILL CONTINUE TO BE A VERY SERIOUS THREAT FOR A
FEW DAYS. IN FACT...MODELS SHOWING ANOTHER CONVERGENT
BAND...LIKELY ASSOCIATED WITH THE TRUE COLD FRONT TO SWEEP OVER
MAINLAND PR AND MOST OF THE USVI TOMORROW. MOVEMENT OF THE FRONT
IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW AND ERRATIC...AND COULD EVEN BECOME
STATIONARY. THIS WILL PRESENT A VERY HIGH THREAT OF SERIOUS
FLOODING CONCERNS FOR TUESDAY OVER MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA. WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE SITUATION THROUGHOUT THE DAY...BUT THIS
EVENT IS SHAPING UP TO THE STRONGEST FRONTAL HEAVY RAIN EVENT OF
THE LAST SEVERAL YEARS.

[msbee]

from the looks of the satellite we should be getting rain now.. Looks like we are under the system already but no
rain here yet.
It's overcast and there is thunder in the distance.

[cycloneye]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
101 PM AST MON NOV 16 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING ISLAND

IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
SAINT CROIX

* UNTIL 415 PM AST

* AT 1259 PM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR
INDICATED THE HEAVIEST RAINS HAVE MOVED EAST AND SOUTH OF ST
CROIX...BUT MODERATE TO LIGHT RAINS WILL CONTINUE FOR AN HOUR OR
TWO. NEVERTHELESS...FLASH FLOODING FROM DRAINAGE OF THE EXTREMELY
HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO CREATE DANGEROUS CONDITIONS FOR THE
NEXT FEW HOURS. NEVER ATTEMPT TO CROSS A FLOODED ROADWAY.

[cycloneye]

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
106 PM AST MON NOV 16 2009

PRC001-007-009-019-025-039-041-043-045-059-073-075-081-093-107-111-
113-121-125-141-149-153-162000-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0387.091116T1706Z-091116T2000Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CIALES PR-CAGUAS PR-CIDRA PR-COAMO PR-COMERIO PR-AIBONITO PR-
AGUAS BUENAS PR-BARRANQUITAS PR-JAYUYA PR-ADJUNTAS PR-MARICAO PR-
OROCOVIS PR-SABANA GRANDE PR-SAN GERMAN PR-UTUADO PR-YAUCO
PR-VILLALBA PR-LARES PR-GUAYANILLA PR-JUANA DIAZ PR-PONCE
PR-PENUELAS PR-104 PM AST MON NOV 16 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
CIALES...CAGUAS...CIDRA...COAMO...COMERIO...AIBONITO...AGUAS
BUENAS...BARRANQUITAS...JAYUYA...ADJUNTAS...MARICAO...
OROCOVIS...SABANA GRANDE...SAN GERMAN...UTUADO...YAUCO...
VILLALBA...LARES...GUAYANILLA...JUANA DIAZ...PONCE AND PENUELAS

* UNTIL 400 PM AST

* AT 104 PM AST DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED VERY HEAVY RAIN IN THE
ADVISORY AREA. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR RAPID FLOODING OF
STREAMS...LOW LYING AND URBAN AREAS. UP TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN IS
LIKELY IN ISOLATED LOCATIONS OF CENTRAL INTERIOR PUERTO RICO UNTIL 4
PM. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE ISLAND...PLEASE
STAY ALERT AND TAKE ACTION IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

[cycloneye]

The Caribbean tent thread has been moved from the Weather Attic forum to this Talking Tropics forum for most of today to let the members see how bad the weather is in the NE Caribbean.You can see web cams from different areas at the first post of thread.Any member from outside the Caribbean can visit our tent and make comments.