Caribbean - Central America Weather

[Gustywind]

000
AWCA82 TJSJ 170933
RWSVI

WEATHER SUMMARY FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
533 AM AST TUE NOV 17 2009

SHOWERS CONTINUED THEIR PRESENCE IN THE WATERS AROUND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS AND SOME DRIFTED ON SHORE FROM THE SOUTH SOUTHWEST
LATER IN THE NIGHT. AMOUNTS HAVE BEEN SMALL SO FAR THIS MORNING.
TEMPERATURES FELL TO THE MID 70S AND WINDS HAVE BEEN LIGHT...LESS
THAN 7 MPH.

ALTHOUGH SHOWERS HAVE ENDED FOR MANY IN THE AREA...A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL HOVER NEARBY AND MAY SWEEP BACK AND FORTH OVER THE
AREA BETWEEN NOW AND FRIDAY. MOISTURE AHEAD OF THIS BOUNDARY WILL
ENHANCE THE SHOWER ACTIVITY OVER THE AREA FOR AT LEAST ONE OR TWO
MORE DAYS. SOME OF THE SHOWERS MAY BE QUITE HEAVY.

ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS...SEAS OF 5 FEET OR LESS AND WINDS OF
15 KNOTS OR LESS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

$$

[Gustywind]

From a correspondant of Dominica
http://www.stormcarib.com/reports/curre ... nica.shtml

Updates from the Islands -
- - Dominica - -Rain, Plenty of It
By Tom Fullbrook <fullbrookt at gmail.com>
Date: Tue, 17 Nov 2009 08:28:36 -0400

Good morning everyone,
More than enough rain yesterday. Light showers on and off most
of the day, then at about 6 in the evening the thunder started to grumble
and rumble. Few good strong streaks of lightening. Then the heavens
opened and down came the rain. It rained for 3 hours or more non stop.
Seemed to come in from the South/East. Rain was pretty heavy. So all
you in mud slide areas take care. The large hole I have dug in the garden
filled rapidly and I had my swimming pool in minutes.
It's still grey this morning. Light showers. Breeze kicking in. Sea, not
so nice, looks grey and very uninviting. Humidity feels like it's going up.
Thunder started the neighbours dog barking, and he was just left to
get on with it. He's barked for 14 hrs. Even after all our time here I don't
think it's something we will ever get used to.
Looks like more rain heading across the ridge at the east of us. It
is getting very dark out there.
I'm off, have my coffee, check out the view. Watch the sea change
colour from the run off from the river's. Go with great care out there today
if your going out to sea, or your near a river. Watch for those boulders that
come rocketing down with no warning.
You all take care.

Tommiegirl.

[msbee]

heavy heavy rain here

[Gustywind]

heavy heavy rain here

Ok tkanks to keep us informed Msbee, be safe! Nothing here, beautiful weather...
Gustywind

[Gustywind]

Looks like a good bulk is spreading on the Northern Leewards, not much surprised by the heavy heavy rain that you described in your location Msbee. Glad to see that you could have a rain magnet , your citern should appreciate, i tkink honestly . As usual be prudent.

[msbee]

my cistern is very happy
3 inches of rain fell in about 2 hours. Road are of course flooded.
It's still thundering but for now the rain has stopped.

[Gustywind]

my cistern is very happy
3 inches of rain fell in about 2 hours. Road are of course flooded.
It's still thundering but for now the rain has stopped.

Tkanks glad to see that! Humm...nice amounts Nice pic showing the road flooded.
Gustywind

[cycloneye]

Finnally Barbara,the needed rain arrived.

[Gustywind]

Finnally Barbara,the needed rain arrived.

Yesterday i told her to keep her fingers crossed and here we are for the Northern Leewards : rain rain rain!

[msbee]

Yes, Luis and Gusty
rain reached!
and now the sun is out!
Is this the end of it now?

[cycloneye]

Barbara,the worse of the bad weather has moved east of the islands and at the same time is weakening.Still some lingering humid air is in the area and will cause some scattered showers in parts of PR,VI and in the northern Leewards this afternoon.

[cycloneye]

The NWS in San Juan canceled the Flash Flood watch that was up for Puerto Rico as shower activity is far less than what the cretiria allows for a watch to be up so is good news as the rivers and creeks can continue to go down.

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
319 PM AST TUE NOV 17 2009

.SYNOPSIS...ELONGATED LOW PRES NORTH OF THE AREA WILL CONTINUE TO
WEAKEN AS IT MOVES TO THE EAST SOUTHEAST. A MUCH DRIER AND STABLE
AIR MASS HAS MOVED INTO THE REGION AND WILL PERSIST INTO THE END
OF THE WEEK. MID LEVEL HIGH ACROSS THE WRN CARIBBEAN WILL BUILD
EASTWARD OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AND SETTLE OVER THE REGION DURING
THE WEEKEND.


&&

.DISCUSSION...12Z JSJ SOUNDING WAS REALLY MORE REPRESENTATIVE OF
THE AIR MASS EAST OF THE USVI AS STRONG WESTERLIES CARRIED THE
BALLOON FURTHER EAST. A 12Z ACARS TEMP PROFILE FROM BORINQUEN AND
THE 12Z SANTO DOMINGO SOUNDING LIKELY TO BE MORE REPRESENTATIVE OF
THE AIR MASS CURRENTLY OVR PUERTO RICO. THE BORINQUEN SOUNDING
SHOWED A STOUT CAP THAT HAS STRENGHTEN/LOWERED TO 750MB AND A H5 TEMP OF
ONLY -2C. A RECENT 1850Z ACARS FROM SAN JUAN SHOWS ONLY -2C AT 550
MB. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CONFIRMS THIS STRONG SUBSIDENCE.

FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS...FAIR WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED AS MID
LEVEL RIDGING STRENGHTENS AS MID LEVEL HIGH OVER THE WRN CARIBBEAN
BUILDS EAST. ANY CONVECTION FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS WILL BE SHALLOW
AND VERY LIMITED. HAVE REMOVED MENTION OF TSTMS FROM THE FCST.

[msbee]

We can all start to breathe a little easier now.

[cycloneye]

We can all start to breathe a little easier now.

That is right.Here is all about clean up of the areas that were affected by the floodings in the past two days.

[cycloneye]

WEATHER SUMMARY FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
348 PM AST TUE NOV 17 2009

MOSTLY SUNNY TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WERE OBSERVED ACROSS THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS THIS AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS WERE OBSERVED
ACROSS THE LOCAL COASTAL WATERS...WITH NO PRECIPITATION DETECTED
OVER LAND. THE WINDS HAVE REMAINED SOUTHWESTERLY AT LESS THAN 10
MPH THE PAST FEW HOURS.

DRIER AIR BEGAN TO FILTER IN ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS TODAY
AND IS EXPECTED TO LINGER FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. AS A
RESULT...EXPECT MAINLY FAIR WEATHER ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS FOR
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK...WITH ONLY ISOLATED PASSING SHOWERS
EXPECTED.

ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS...NO PRECAUTIONARY STATEMENTS ARE IN
EFFECT AT THIS TIME AS SEAS OF 5 FEET OR LESS AND WINDS OF 15
KNOTS OR LESS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

$$

SR

[cycloneye]

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
347 PM AST TUE NOV 17 2009

PUERTO RICO AND U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS WATERS

AMZ700-180830-
347 PM AST TUE NOV 17 2009

.SYNOPSIS FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS WATERS...
LOW PRESSURE NORTH OF PUERTO RICO WILL MOVE SLOWLY EAST SOUTHEAST
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. A SURFACE TROUGH ASSOCIATED TO THIS LOW
WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. THIS
SYSTEM WILL FINALLY PUSH WELL EAST OF THE AREA BY WEDNESDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD TOWARD THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK.

$$

AMZ710-180830-
ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N-
347 PM AST TUE NOV 17 2009

.TONIGHT...SOUTH SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 KNOTS. SEAS 4 TO 5 FEET.
ISOLATED SHOWERS.
.WEDNESDAY...SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 KNOTS. SEAS 4 FEET. ISOLATED
SHOWERS.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...EAST SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 KNOTS. SEAS 3 TO
4 FEET. ISOLATED SHOWERS.
.THURSDAY...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 KNOTS. SEAS 3 TO 4 FEET. ISOLATED
SHOWERS.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...EAST SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 KNOTS. SEAS 3 TO
4 FEET. ISOLATED SHOWERS.
.FRIDAY...EAST NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 KNOTS. SEAS 4 TO 6 FEET.
ISOLATED SHOWERS...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS.
.SATURDAY...EAST NORTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 14 KNOTS. SEAS 5 TO 6 FEET.
ISOLATED SHOWERS.
.SUNDAY...EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS. SEAS 5 TO 6 FEET. ISOLATED
SHOWERS.

[expat2carib]

We can all start to breathe a little easier now.

Great msbee. Let's hope we all get "just" enough. (not too much please)

Here we still have some moderate rain in lots of small rainy episodes. The Island can handle it.

BTW Dominica is negotiating on a contract to export water to the other islands

[Gustywind]

Back to green code in Guadeloupe given Meteo-France. Let's enjoy it right now:D.

[Gustywind]

We can all start to breathe a little easier now.

Great msbee. Let's hope we all get "just" enough. (not too much please)

Here we still have some moderate rain in lots of small rainy episodes. The Island can handle it.

BTW Dominica is negotiating on a contract to export water to the other islands

Hi expat2carib, glad to see all these informations. A bit surprised with the contract to export water to the other islands? That's nice good idea... with all these rivers that's not impossible no?
In Guadeloupe tkinks are more trigged... a strike is cooking steadily that does not smell good. Yesterday it was the rush to have some fuel. The LKP is not agree with all the points of the French Governement and they call for another huge strike next Tuesday 24th November. The big strike with the 44 days of "death island" (end of January till 3rd of March 2009) is always in all the heads . Let's wait and see, but things are very worrying here. I will keep your informed as possible.
Gustywind