Severe Weather Threat for NE Gulf Tues/Wed.

[CrazyC83]

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
GAC069-021915-
/O.NEW.KJAX.SV.W.0264.091202T1834Z-091202T1915Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
134 PM EST WED DEC 2 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
WESTERN COFFEE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA

* UNTIL 215 PM EST

* AT 134 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 16
MILES SOUTHWEST OF AMBROSE...OR 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF
WILLACOOCHEE...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
AMBROSE...PRIDGEN AND BROXTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED SOME WEAK ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM.
WHILE NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...A TORNADO MAY STILL DEVELOP. IF A
TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A
STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER OR DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY
OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EST WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON FOR NORTHERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

&&

LAT...LON 3149 8311 3156 8307 3161 8306 3167 8300
3175 8300 3179 8296 3179 8287 3175 8283
3167 8284 3164 8280 3143 8304 3142 8315
3147 8316
TIME...MOT...LOC 1834Z 224DEG 26KT 3144 8317

$$

ZAPPE

[CrazyC83]

TORNADO WARNING
GAC009-159-169-237-021915-
/O.NEW.KFFC.TO.W.0126.091202T1844Z-091202T1915Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
144 PM EST WED DEC 2 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EXTREME NORTHWESTERN BALDWIN COUNTY IN CENTRAL GEORGIA
SOUTHEASTERN JASPER COUNTY IN CENTRAL GEORGIA
NORTH CENTRAL JONES COUNTY IN CENTRAL GEORGIA
PUTNAM COUNTY IN CENTRAL GEORGIA

* UNTIL 215 PM EST

* AT 141 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR
HILLSBORO OR 17 MILES SOUTHWEST OF EATONTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
55 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
PHOENIX...STANFORDVILLE...ETHRIDGE...AND MERIWETHER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE IN A MOBILE HOME OR VEHICLE...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE
A STURDY SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

IF YOU SEE WIND DAMAGE...LARGE HAIL OR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING...WAIT
UNTIL AFTER THE STORM HAS PASSED...AND THEN CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE TOLL FREE AT 1 8 6 6 7 6 3 4 4 6 6.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EST WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA.

&&

LAT...LON 3326 8325 3323 8325 3305 8363 3319 8376
3348 8331 3348 8328 3346 8326 3345 8326
3339 8322 3340 8318 3334 8314 3331 8314
TIME...MOT...LOC 1842Z 234DEG 47KT 3317 8361

$$
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORNADO WARNING
GAC069-021930-
/O.NEW.KJAX.TO.W.0039.091202T1839Z-091202T1930Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
139 PM EST WED DEC 2 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN COFFEE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA

* UNTIL 230 PM EST

* AT 139 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 12 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF AMBROSE...OR 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF WILLACOOCHEE...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
AMBROSE...BROXTON AND PRIDGEN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WHEN A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED BASED ON DOPPLER RADAR...IT MEANS
THAT STRONG ROTATION HAS BEEN DETECTED IN THE STORM. A TORNADO MAY
ALREADY BE ON THE GROUND...OR IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SHORTLY. IF YOU
ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM...MOVE INDOORS AND TO THE
LOWEST LEVEL OF THE BUILDING. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF DRIVING...DO
NOT SEEK SHELTER UNDER A HIGHWAY OVERPASS.

SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN INTERIOR
HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER
YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER OR DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY
OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EST WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON FOR NORTHERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

&&

LAT...LON 3149 8311 3156 8307 3161 8306 3167 8300
3175 8300 3179 8296 3179 8287 3175 8283
3165 8283 3149 8302 3142 8315 3147 8316
TIME...MOT...LOC 1839Z 224DEG 26KT 3147 8314

$$

ZAPPE

[CrazyC83]

TORNADO WARNING
GAC155-021915-
/O.NEW.KTAE.TO.W.0095.091202T1848Z-091202T1915Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
148 PM EST WED DEC 2 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EASTERN IRWIN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...

* UNTIL 215 PM EST

* AT 145 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
DEVELOPING TORNADO NEAR WRAY...OR NEAR AMBROSE...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 40 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
RURAL EASTERN IRWIN COUNTY AT 200 PM EST

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

RELAY REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
TALLAHASSEE AT (8 5 0) 9 4 2 8 8 3 3. OR...YOU MAY CONTACT THE
NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EST WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON FOR NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA.

&&

LAT...LON 3164 8301 3162 8303 3161 8303 3160 8305
3156 8305 3148 8311 3147 8313 3148 8321
3167 8315 3167 8300
TIME...MOT...LOC 1848Z 214DEG 36KT 3158 8306

$$

14-MROCZKA

[Evil Jeremy]

Hmm, interesting that the end of the tail is anchoring in the central of the GOM. What do you all make of that?
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-wv.html

[CrazyC83]

That might be a greater threat for the Florida peninsula, especially central Florida, this evening?

[CrazyC83]

New watch coming out for GA/SC.

[CrazyC83]

50/40 tornado probs.

SEL9

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 789
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
210 PM EST WED DEC 2 2009

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA
COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 210 PM UNTIL
900 PM EST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
SAVANNAH GEORGIA TO 45 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF ORANGEBURG SOUTH
CAROLINA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 788...

DISCUSSION...A MESOLOW/MCV IN CENTRAL GA WILL TRACK NEWD ALONG A
RETREATING WARM FRONT INTO CENTRAL SC THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...AND
ONGOING PRE-FRONTAL STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NEWD OVER SE GA
INTO SRN SC. THE MOIST AND WEAKLY UNSTABLE WARM SECTOR WILL SURGE
NWD ACROSS SC IN ADVANCE OF THE LOW...WHILE LOW-MID LEVEL VERTICAL
SHEAR WILL REMAIN QUITE FAVORABLE FOR EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING A FEW TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.


...THOMPSON

[CrazyC83]

NWS Peachtree City seems to have 2 quick tornado reports (sounds like EF1 and EF0):

000
NWUS52 KFFC 021923
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
223 PM EST WED DEC 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0120 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 SE FORSYTH 32.98N 83.88W
12/02/2009 MONROE GA EMERGENCY MNGR

LIKELY TORNADO. SOME MINOR HOME DAMAGE. SOME TREE TOPS
WERE BROKEN OFF. THERE WAS A RELATED CAR CRASH WITH
INJRIES AT THE INTERSECTION OF GA 87 AND ROCK QUARRY
ROAD. DAMAGE STARTED NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF GOSE AND
CALLAWAY ROAD.

0130 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 E JULIETTE 33.11N 83.77W
12/02/2009 JONES GA EMERGENCY MNGR

POSSIBLE TORNADO. SOME TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN EAST OF
JULIETTE.


&&

$$

JLF

[CrazyC83]

New watch shortly: N FL/SE GA.

[CrazyC83]

SEL0

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 790
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
245 PM EST WED DEC 2 2009

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

NORTH FLORIDA
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA
COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 245 PM UNTIL
1000 PM EST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTH OF BRUNSWICK
GEORGIA TO 75 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF OCALA FLORIDA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 788...WW 789...

DISCUSSION...A BROKEN BAND OF PRE-FRONTAL THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES TO
MOVE EWD INTO SE GA/N FL AND ADJACENT COASTAL AREAS OF THE FL COAST
N OF TBW. SURFACE TEMPERATURES NEAR 80 F AND DEWPOINTS OF 68-70 F
WILL CONTRIBUTE TO SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY FOR STRONG UPDRAFTS.
MEANWHILE...DEEP-LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR
SUPERCELLS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON/EVENING AS THE MAIN SYNOPTIC SYSTEM
MOVES JUST NW OF THIS AREA. THE GREATER TORNADO THREAT IS EXPECTED
THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS SE GA THIS AFTERNOON...WITH A SOMEWHAT LESSER
THREAT FARTHER S INTO FL WHERE LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL GRADUALLY VEER
AND WEAKEN INTO EARLY TONIGHT.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.


...THOMPSON

[CrazyC83]

SPC AC 021957

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0157 PM CST WED DEC 02 2009

VALID 022000Z - 031200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM CNTRL/NRN FL NEWD INTO THE
ERN CAROLINAS AND SERN VA...

MESOLOW SE OF KAHN AT 19Z WILL LIKELY TRACK TOWARD AXIS OF STRONG
PRESSURE FALLS AND INTO THE INSITU COLD AIR DAMMING EVENT OVER
UPSTATE SC LATE THIS AFTN WHILE WEAKENING. LLVL RESPONSE TO THIS
FEATURE...AND THE PARENT LOW UPSTREAM W OF THE APLCNS...WILL ADVECT
THE MARINE BOUNDARY LAYER INLAND THROUGH TONIGHT. AS A
RESULT...MID-UPR 60S DEW POINTS SHOULD ARRIVE ACROSS THE ERN SC
MIDLANDS AND THE SANDHILLS/CSTL PLAINS OF NC BY EARLY-MID EVENING.

MOST OF THE SVR EVENT IS LIKELY TO UNFOLD THROUGH TONIGHT. WATER
VAPOR SHOWS A STRONG JET WRAPPING AROUND THE UPR LOW TRANSLATING
INTO NRN FL AND SRN GA AT MID-AFTN. PRE-FRONTAL BAND OF STORMS HAS
INTENSIFIED AS LARGE SCALE ASCENT ARRIVED WITH A QLCS LIKELY TO
EVOLVE AS THE STORMS ADVANCE TO THE ENE TONIGHT.

PREV FCST REASONING REMAINS IN TACT...WITH THE PRIMARY CHANGES TO
THIS UPDATE FOCUSING ON THE TORNADO THREAT /A COUPLE THAT COULD BE
STRONG/ FROM CSTL GA NEWD INTO THE ERN CAROLINAS. OTHERWISE...SVR
PROBABILITIES HAVE BEEN TRIMMED BEHIND THE PRE-FRONTAL
TROUGH...EXCEPT ACROSS A SMALL PART OF NERN AL WHERE COLDER MID-LVL
TEMPERATURES ASSOCD WITH THE UPR LOW INTERACT WITH RESIDUAL LLVL
MOISTURE. ONLY ISOLD DMGG WIND GUSTS/BRIEF TORNADO RISKS WILL EXIST
HERE THROUGH MID-EVENING.

..RACY.. 12/02/2009

[CrazyC83]

Moderate risk soon? These don't usually take place in slight risk events.

ZCZC SPCPWOSPC ALL
WOUS40 KWNS 022003
NCZ000-SCZ000-030200-

PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0203 PM CST WED DEC 02 2009

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF EASTERN SC AND NC
THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE
POSSIBLE DEVELOPMENT OF TORNADOES OVER EASTERN PARTS OF SC AND NC
THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SUPPORT THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW STRONG
AND POSSIBLY LONG-LIVED TORNADOES.

WHILE OVERALL SEVERE THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE
WIDESPREAD...THE POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT TORNADO AFTER DARK
WARRANTS HEIGHTENED SAFETY PRECAUTIONS.

TORNADOES DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AT THIS TIME OF YEAR CAN BE
PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS BECAUSE THEY ARE USUALLY FAST-MOVING AND
OBSCURED BY RAIN AND DARKNESS.

THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE

EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA



STATE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGERS ARE MONITORING THIS DEVELOPING
SITUATION. THOSE IN THE THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE
WEATHER SAFETY RULES AND TO LISTEN TO RADIO...TELEVISION...AND NOAA
WEATHER RADIO FOR POSSIBLE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND STATEMENTS
TONIGHT.

..RACY.. 12/02/2009

$$

[CrazyC83]

Due to the potential for serious nocturnal tornadoes even if the overall threat isn't extreme, how much additional public impact would putting a PDS on the overnight watch even if it isn't numerically warranted gain?

[CrazyC83]

This is not good.

2030 UNK 8 NNE BRISTOL APPLING GA 3155 8216 *** 2 INJ *** EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTED TREES...POWERLINES AND SEVERAL HOMES DESTROYED NEAR GEORGIA HIGHWAY 15. POSSIBLE TORNADO. (JAX)

[Dave]

Latest warning Crazy...weak rotation in this one....
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
456 PM EST WED DEC 2 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN CHARLTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA
SOUTHERN BRANTLEY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA
EXTREME EASTERN WARE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA

* UNTIL 545 PM EST

* AT 456 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
STEVEN FOSTER STATE PARK...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO RACE
POND.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED SOME WEAK ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM.
WHILE NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...A TORNADO MAY STILL DEVELOP. IF A
TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A
STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

[psyclone]

a few discrete cells are trying to pop ahead of the main line southwest of tampa bay. these cells could be worth watching as they approach the coast north of tampa bay in the next hour or two.

[Dave]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
540 PM EST WED DEC 2 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
EASTERN CHARLTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA
EASTERN BRANTLEY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA
EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN WAYNE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA
NASSAU COUNTY IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA
EXTREME NORTHERN DUVAL COUNTY IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA
CAMDEN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA
GLYNN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA

* UNTIL 645 PM EST

* AT 540 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE
LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM WAYNESVILLE TO KINGS FERRY TO
19 MILES SOUTHWEST OF RATLIFF...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8
MILES EAST OF NAHUNTA TO 10 MILES EAST OF FOLKSTON TO 21 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF CALLAHAN...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO KINGS
FERRY...WAYNESVILLE...WOODBINE...WAVERLY...THALMANN...CALLAHAN...
EVERETT...KINGSLAND...RATLIFF...DOCK JUNCTION...BRUNSWICK...COUNTRY
CLUB ESTATES...JEKYLL ISLAND...ST. SIMONS...KINGS BAY BASE...SEA
ISLAND...HIGH POINT...ST. MARYS...LITTLE ST. SIMMONS ISLAND...YULEE
AND DUNGENESS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED SOME WEAK ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM.
WHILE NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...A TORNADO MAY STILL DEVELOP.

[Dave]

Current JAX NWS Radar Shot (green triangles are hail aloft sizes) - circle = weak rotation

[Dave]

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2189
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0444 PM CST WED DEC 02 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN GA...SC AND ERN NC

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 789...

VALID 022244Z - 030015Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 789 CONTINUES.

THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD GRADUALLY INCREASE EARLY THIS EVENING
ACROSS THE ERN PART OF TORNADO WATCH 789. ROTATING STORMS SHOULD BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORNADOES.THE THREAT SHOULD EXPAND NEWD INTO
FAR ERN SC AND ERN NC. A NEW TORNADO WATCH TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE
CURRENT WW WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED OVER THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS.

A DEEPENING SFC LOW OVER THE OH VALLEY WILL CONTINUE NEWD THIS
EVENING. A WARM FRONT EXISTS EAST SOUTHEAST OF THE LOW ACROSS THE
SRN APPALACHIAN MTNS NEAR THE SC-NC STATE-LINE TO NEAR THE COAST OF
SERN NC. THIS BOUNDARY WILL MOVE QUICKLY NWD OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS
ALLOWING LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE TO INCREASE ACROSS ERN SC AND ERN NC
WITH SFC DEWPOINTS REACHING THE UPPER 60S TO NEAR 70 F FROM MYRTLE
BEACH TO NEAR CAPE HATTERAS. INCREASING INSTABILITY AND CONVERGENCE
ALONG SEVERAL CONFLUENCE ZONES WILL MAKE CONDITIONS MORE FAVORABLE
FOR SFC-BASED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. THE LATEST WSR-88D VWPS IN
ERN NC SHOW A STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT FROM THE LOW TO
MID-LEVELS SUGGESTING A THREAT FOR ROTATING STORMS AND TORNADOES
WILL EXIST.

..BROYLES.. 12/02/2009


ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP...JAX...FFC...

[HurricaneBelle]

a few discrete cells are trying to pop ahead of the main line southwest of tampa bay. these cells could be worth watching as they approach the coast north of tampa bay in the next hour or two.

MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
553 PM EST WED DEC 2 2009

GMZ850-853-870-873-022315-
/O.CON.KTBW.MA.W.0160.000000T0000Z-091202T2315Z/
553 PM EST WED DEC 2 2009

...A SPECIAL MARINE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM EST...

FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS...
COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 60
NM...INCLUDING CEDAR KEY...DUNEDIN...OZELLO AND YANKEETOWN...

AT 548 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING WIND GUSTS OVER 34
KNOTS FROM 11 NM NORTH OF CEDAR KEY TO 69 NM WEST OF DUNEDIN...OR
FROM 8 NM EAST OF SUWANNEE RIVER TO 65 NM WEST OF INDIAN ROCKS
BEACH. DOPPLER RADAR ALSO INDICATED A WATERSPOUT 38 MILES WEST OF
CLEARWATER BEACH. MOVEMENT WAS NORTHEAST AT 30 TO 35 KNOTS.