Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

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serenata09
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Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

#721 Postby serenata09 » Wed Dec 02, 2009 10:06 pm

Yeah, I think it's extremely light/if even reaching the ground. Just noticed it on the AccuWeather.com radar.

http://www.accuweather.com/radar-state. ... te&large=0
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wxgirl69
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Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

#722 Postby wxgirl69 » Wed Dec 02, 2009 10:09 pm

weatherguy425 wrote:Double D, you don't completely miss out :lol:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... f_042l.gif

I see blue and green colors.Is the blue snow and green rain or do the colors stand for precip amounts?
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Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

#723 Postby iorange55 » Wed Dec 02, 2009 10:12 pm

wxgirl69 wrote:
weatherguy425 wrote:Double D, you don't completely miss out :lol:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... f_042l.gif

I see blue and green colors.Is the blue snow and green rain or do the colors stand for precip amounts?



Precip amount if you look at the bottom left of that screen it shows the color chart.
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#724 Postby Corey_n_clute » Wed Dec 02, 2009 10:16 pm

MAIN CONCERN RIGHT NOW IS THE FORECAST QPF THESE AREAS...
AND THEN THE EXTENT OF THE SFC-BASED ABOVE FREEZING LAYER FURTHER
SOUTH (OVER HOUSTON AND COAST) AND IF CHANGEOVER OCCURS TOO LATE
FOR ANY ACCUMULATION. LATER SHIFTS WILL ADDRESS THIS AND LOOK INTO
POSSIBLE HIGHLIGHTS FOR FRIDAY.

what dose this mean for the southern and costal areas?..
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Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

#725 Postby weatherguy425 » Wed Dec 02, 2009 10:18 pm

It just means that they arent sure when the changover will occur and how much if any will accumulate, especially for areas south of I10, we should begin to know mre by tomorrow aft. probably...
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#726 Postby gofrogs » Wed Dec 02, 2009 10:32 pm

What are the new modelsw hsowing aobut friday for the dfw area and about the even that might happen next week
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Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

#727 Postby HarlequinBoy » Wed Dec 02, 2009 10:44 pm

Someone should answer what the "models are showing for next week" to satisfy the curiosity of several people, including myself.

But back to the absolutely unprecedented snow forecast for the Houston metro, any bets as to where/when Winter Storm Watches are going up. I think they'll be hoisted for areas north of Houston in the morning update, and then if the models continue to remain consistent an advisory or watch will be put in place for Houston proper. I honestly have no problem with a watch being put up for as little as an inch of snow in areas where it is so rare. I said unprecedented above because I read somewhere earlier today Houston has never had snow two winters in a row?
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#728 Postby southerngale » Wed Dec 02, 2009 10:45 pm

If I'm not mistaken, the 0Z NAM shows more precip for us in the Golden Triangle area than previous runs, which I believe each run has increased QPF a little each time, overall. I compared the 18Z to the 0Z and if I'm reading the maps correctly, it shows more precip for this area. Not that this will be the correct run or anything, but encouraging, nonetheless. Not that I believe any of this nonsense.... :P
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Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

#729 Postby iorange55 » Wed Dec 02, 2009 10:48 pm

The new GFS just updated, and it's basically showing the same it shows more precip for the San Antonio area than the NAM which is good, and more precip overall. The bulls eye looks to be Houston, and just North of Houston for the heaviest Precip. Dallas will Mostly just see flurries is my guess, but it could change I suppose.




Image


Image
Last edited by iorange55 on Wed Dec 02, 2009 10:49 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re:

#730 Postby HarlequinBoy » Wed Dec 02, 2009 10:49 pm

southerngale wrote:If I'm not mistaken, the 0Z NAM shows more precip for us in the Golden Triangle area than previous runs, which I believe each run has increased QPF a little each time, overall. I compared the 18Z to the 0Z and if I'm reading the maps correctly, it shows more precip for this area. Not that this will be the correct run or anything, but encouraging, nonetheless. Not that I believe any of this nonsense.... :P


You best start believing. Lake Charles graphic on their page is showing an inch just north of Beaumont, and obviously LC is being conservative for the time being.
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Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

#731 Postby zaqxsw75050 » Wed Dec 02, 2009 10:49 pm

I don't think DFW area will see much if anything at all.
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Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

#732 Postby iorange55 » Wed Dec 02, 2009 11:04 pm

Wfaa weatherman for the Dallas area Pete Delkus's tweet (lol)

snow showers & snow flurries will develop friday with accumulations possible. higher amounts south of dfw with lower amounts north.
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#733 Postby gofrogs » Wed Dec 02, 2009 11:10 pm

I wonder what he means by acumulations hmm well see but the atmoshpere will be dynamic and time and time agian i am looking forward to next week.
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Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

#734 Postby serenata09 » Wed Dec 02, 2009 11:23 pm

CBS 11 News met just said some accumulating snow on Friday and another chance for snow next Wednesday. :froze:
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Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

#735 Postby iorange55 » Wed Dec 02, 2009 11:26 pm

serenata09 wrote:CBS 11 News met just said some accumulating snow on Friday and another chance for snow next Wednesday. :froze:




Next week is looking VERY interesting. The models still aren't showing it getting as cold as I think it will, but they're going on the right track.
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#736 Postby Ntxw » Wed Dec 02, 2009 11:30 pm

How cold is it in the source region of that strong high?
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Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

#737 Postby mysterymachinebl » Wed Dec 02, 2009 11:31 pm

iorange55 wrote:Wfaa weatherman for the Dallas area Pete Delkus's tweet (lol)

snow showers & snow flurries will develop friday with accumulations possible. higher amounts south of dfw with lower amounts north.


Yeah, and David Finfrock said we won't get much, if anything. LoL
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Re:

#738 Postby iorange55 » Wed Dec 02, 2009 11:36 pm

Ntxw wrote:How cold is it in the source region of that strong high?



I see -17 and -11 and -8 around that area.
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Re: Re:

#739 Postby cheezyWXguy » Wed Dec 02, 2009 11:42 pm

iorange55 wrote:
Ntxw wrote:How cold is it in the source region of that strong high?



I see -17 and -11 and -8 around that area.

And itll probably be even colder up there by the time the high is fully developed in about 3 days. GFS seems to slowly be trending toward a good snow episode for the north half of texas and all of oklahoma. Hopefully this trend continues.
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Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

#740 Postby AggieSpirit » Thu Dec 03, 2009 12:10 am

This potential cold outbreak next week -- are we talking 1989 or 1983 again?

It's been a while since something truly remarkable like that happened....
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