SE TX/SW LA Winter WX - 2011-2012
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
Re: SE TX/SW LA winter wx:Let it Snow! Let it Snow! Let it Snow!
If anything does develop and we do get some "winter precip", how will SW LA be affected, to what extent, and what is the time frame on this? Thanks in advance for replies.
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Re: SE TX/SW LA winter wx:Let it Snow! Let it Snow! Let it Snow!
Oh nooooooooooo. As badly as I wanted snow I wanted to be out in it and taking pictures. I don't think it will happen. I'll have to sit in front of the fireplace, sip some eggnog and watch from a distance. I'm undergoing an emergency surgery in a few hours from an accident dealing with cold and ice. I fell in a commercial freezer at work and put a hole through and through my kneecap. In case I'm too out of it you guys take plenty of pictures for me okay? Anyone know how to make a snow angel? This is truely an amazing event for this area.
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Re: SE TX/SW LA winter wx:Let it Snow! Let it Snow! Let it Snow!
LaBreeze wrote:If anything does develop and we do get some "winter precip", how will SW LA be affected, to what extent, and what is the time frame on this? Thanks in advance for replies.
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
345 AM CST THU DEC 3 2009
...AN UNSEASONABLE SNOWFALL EXPECTED FRIDAY EVENING...
.ANOTHER GULF COAST LOW WILL FORM JUST OFFSHORE BROWNSVILLE ON FRIDAY...
THEN MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO...BEFORE ENTERING THE
NORTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO BY SATURDAY MORNING. THIS ROBUST FEATURE
WILL PHASE IN WITH A WESTERLY DISTURBANCE ALOFT...GENERATING
WIDESPREAD RAIN BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON...GIVING WAY TO SNOW BY FRIDAY
EVENING...AS THE GULF COAST LOW EXITS EASTWARD.
LAZ041>045-051>055-TXZ215-216-031900-
/O.NEW.KLCH.WS.A.0001.091205T0000Z-091205T1200Z/
CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-
CAMERON-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-LOWER ST. MARTIN-JEFFERSON-
ORANGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAKE CHARLES...JENNINGS...CROWLEY...
LAFAYETTE...ST. MARTINVILLE...CAMERON...ABBEVILLE...NEW IBERIA...
MORGAN CITY...BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR...ORANGE
345 AM CST THU DEC 3 2009
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT.
FRIDAY AFTERNOON RAINS WILL GIVE WAY TO A CONTINUOUS SNOW DURING
THE EVENING HOURS. ACCUMULATIONS FROM 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
DURING THE NIGHT...ENDING NEAR DAWN.
ROADWAYS AND BRIDGES MAY BE IMPACTED. MOTORIZED TRAVEL IS DISCOURAGED.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.
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southerngale
- Retired Staff
- Posts: 27418
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 1:27 am
- Location: Southeast Texas (Beaumont area)
Oh no, Jagno. I hope everything goes well and you make a speedy recovery!
I'm going to go ahead and copy and paste what I posted in the general Texas thread in this thread too... because the other one moves faster & cuz I'm a lil excited. lol
I just checked my 7-day forecast from NWS and a Winter Storm Watch just went up!
Friday Night: Snow likely, mainly before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25. North wind between 5 and 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
I'm going to go ahead and copy and paste what I posted in the general Texas thread in this thread too... because the other one moves faster & cuz I'm a lil excited. lol
I just checked my 7-day forecast from NWS and a Winter Storm Watch just went up!
Friday Night: Snow likely, mainly before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25. North wind between 5 and 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Winter Storm Watch
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
345 AM CST THU DEC 3 2009
...AN UNSEASONABLE SNOWFALL EXPECTED FRIDAY EVENING...
.ANOTHER GULF COAST LOW WILL FORM JUST OFFSHORE BROWNSVILLE ON FRIDAY...
THEN MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO...BEFORE ENTERING THE
NORTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO BY SATURDAY MORNING. THIS ROBUST FEATURE
WILL PHASE IN WITH A WESTERLY DISTURBANCE ALOFT...GENERATING
WIDESPREAD RAIN BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON...GIVING WAY TO SNOW BY FRIDAY
EVENING...AS THE GULF COAST LOW EXITS EASTWARD.
LAZ027>033-TXZ180>182-201-031900-
/O.NEW.KLCH.WS.A.0001.091205T0000Z-091205T1200Z/
VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-
TYLER-JASPER-NEWTON-HARDIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEESVILLE...ALEXANDRIA...MARKSVILLE...
DERIDDER...OAKDALE...VILLE PLATTE...OPELOUSAS...WOODVILLE...
JASPER...NEWTON...LUMBERTON
345 AM CST THU DEC 3 2009
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT.
FRIDAY AFTERNOON RAINS WILL GIVE WAY TO A CONTINUOUS SNOW DURING
THE EVENING HOURS. ACCUMULATIONS FROM 2 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
DURING THE NIGHT...ENDING NEAR DAWN.
ROADWAYS AND BRIDGES MAY BE IMPACTED. MOTORIZED TRAVEL IS DISCOURAGED.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.
Winter Storm Watch
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
345 AM CST THU DEC 3 2009
...AN UNSEASONABLE SNOWFALL EXPECTED FRIDAY EVENING...
.ANOTHER GULF COAST LOW WILL FORM JUST OFFSHORE BROWNSVILLE ON FRIDAY...
THEN MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO...BEFORE ENTERING THE
NORTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO BY SATURDAY MORNING. THIS ROBUST FEATURE
WILL PHASE IN WITH A WESTERLY DISTURBANCE ALOFT...GENERATING
WIDESPREAD RAIN BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON...GIVING WAY TO SNOW BY FRIDAY
EVENING...AS THE GULF COAST LOW EXITS EASTWARD.
LAZ041>045-051>055-TXZ215-216-031900-
/O.NEW.KLCH.WS.A.0001.091205T0000Z-091205T1200Z/
CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-
CAMERON-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-LOWER ST. MARTIN-JEFFERSON-
ORANGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAKE CHARLES...JENNINGS...CROWLEY...
LAFAYETTE...ST. MARTINVILLE...CAMERON...ABBEVILLE...NEW IBERIA...
MORGAN CITY...BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR...ORANGE
345 AM CST THU DEC 3 2009
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT.
FRIDAY AFTERNOON RAINS WILL GIVE WAY TO A CONTINUOUS SNOW DURING
THE EVENING HOURS. ACCUMULATIONS FROM 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
DURING THE NIGHT...ENDING NEAR DAWN.
ROADWAYS AND BRIDGES MAY BE IMPACTED. MOTORIZED TRAVEL IS DISCOURAGED.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.
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HarlequinBoy
- Category 5
- Posts: 1400
- Age: 34
- Joined: Wed Nov 29, 2006 1:57 am
- Location: Memphis
Re: SE TX/SW LA winter wx:Let it Snow! Let it Snow! Let it Snow!
Jagno wrote:Oh nooooooooooo. As badly as I wanted snow I wanted to be out in it and taking pictures. I don't think it will happen. I'll have to sit in front of the fireplace, sip some eggnog and watch from a distance. I'm undergoing an emergency surgery in a few hours from an accident dealing with cold and ice. I fell in a commercial freezer at work and put a hole through and through my kneecap. In case I'm too out of it you guys take plenty of pictures for me okay? Anyone know how to make a snow angel? This is truely an amazing event for this area.
Sorry about your rather bizarre accident. Ouch.
Houston issued their Winter Storm Watch just like I guessed, except when you read the text it says a Snow Advisory is in effect. However I don't see one issued anywhere. Here's what I mean:
...SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM CDT FRIDAY UNTIL 12 AM
SATURDAY MORNING FOR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
.SNOW IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY FOR LOCATIONS ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE
FROM EAGLE LAKE TO CONROE TO SHEPHERD.
I have a friend in The Woodlands, TX who really wants some snow. Looks like she's going to get it again!
TXZ163-164-176>179-195>199-210>212-031900-
/O.NEW.KHGX.WS.A.0002.091204T1200Z-091205T0600Z/
AUSTIN-BRAZOS-BURLESON-COLORADO-GRIMES-HOUSTON-MADISON-MONTGOMERY-
POLK-SAN JACINTO-TRINITY-WALKER-WALLER-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BELLVILLE...BRENHAM...BROOKSHIRE...
BRYAN...CALDWELL...COLDSPRING...COLLEGE STATION...COLUMBUS...
CONROE...CORRIGAN...CROCKETT...EAGLE LAKE...GROVETON...
HEMPSTEAD...HUNTSVILLE...LAKE SOMERVILLE...LIVINGSTON...
MADISONVILLE...NAVASOTA...ONALASKA...PRAIRIE VIEW...SEALY...
SHEPHERD...THE WOODLANDS...TRINITY...WEIMAR...WILLIS
455 AM CST THU DEC 3 2009
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HOUSTON/GALVESTON HAS ISSUED A
WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.
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CYCLONE MIKE
- Category 5
- Posts: 2183
- Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 6:04 pm
- Location: Gonzales, LA
Re: SE TX/SW LA winter wx:Let it Snow! Let it Snow! Let it Snow!
I don't understand the BTR/MSY NWS. Yesterday they seemed a lot more cautious, if you will, about the upcoming storm vs. Lake Charles. Now this morning it has flipped. All of Southwest LA is in a winter storm watch that will probably be upgraded to a warning by tonight. Baton Rouge NWS says maybe advisories maybe needed. Talking an inch at best. Other differences is 70% percent chance of rain and snow friday and friday night for SW LA while for SE LA only 60% rain and snow for just friday night. I know it can and probably will change, seems BTR is always last to update, but has anything else changed since last nights model runs?
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attallaman
Re: SE TX/SW LA winter wx:Let it Snow! Let it Snow! Let it Snow!
My TV MET was saying this morning that the coast probably won't see any snow, snow, if any will be further inland but the MS GC can expect to receive lots of cold rain, a TV MET in Mobile said basically the same thing today at her station. Yesterday all I heard here was "snow on Friday night" so I guess the models have shifted further N.CYCLONE MIKE wrote:I don't understand the BTR/MSY NWS. Yesterday they seemed a lot more cautious, if you will, about the upcoming storm vs. Lake Charles. Now this morning it has flipped. All of Southwest LA is in a winter storm watch that will probably be upgraded to a warning by tonight. Baton Rouge NWS says maybe advisories maybe needed. Talking an inch at best. Other differences is 70% percent chance of rain and snow friday and friday night for SW LA while for SE LA only 60% rain and snow for just friday night. I know it can and probably will change, seems BTR is always last to update, but has anything else changed since last nights model runs?
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wxgirl69
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 120
- Age: 55
- Joined: Wed Nov 18, 2009 9:32 pm
- Location: Deer Park, Texas
Re: SE TX/SW LA winter wx:Let it Snow! Let it Snow! Let it Snow!
Just curious... I live in deer park and the areas north and east of us are under a winter storm watch..but, our little area is safe. Amazing what a few miles can make!!!!
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srainhoutx
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 6919
- Age: 67
- Joined: Sun Jan 14, 2007 11:34 am
- Location: Haywood County, NC
- Contact:
Re: SE TX/SW LA winter wx:Let it Snow! Let it Snow! Let it Snow!
Morning e-mail from Jeff...
And here we go….
NWS has issued a Winter Storm Watch effective from 600am Friday until midnight Friday for the northern ½ of SE TX this includes the following counties: Montgomery, Waller, Washington, Austin, Colorado, Grimes, Brazos, Burleson, Walker, Houston, Polk, Trinity, Madison, and San Jacinto counties.
Winter Storm Watch issued for all extreme SE TX and SW LA for Friday night including coastal counties.
Winter Storm Watch will likely be issued later today for additional portions of SE TX and northern counties of the coastal bend.
Discussion:
Powerful short wave dropping into New Mexico this morning will begin to swing into W and SW TX overnight. 295-300k isentropic lift begins to spread northward out of SW TX while strong forcing aloft develops surface low pressure over the western Gulf of Mexico. Cold arctic high pressure cell over WY this morning bleeds into the state with the low level air mass falling near to below freezing during the day on Friday. Impressive dynamical lift will come to bear over the region Friday afternoon and evening as the thermal profiles fall to freezing. GFS shows the formation of meso scale snow banding Friday afternoon along a line from Victoria to Houston while 06Z NAM shows for the first time no precip at all. Feel the NAM is under-forecasting the amount of moisture and will side with the wetter GFS and potential for greater accumulations. Given the fact that we are within 24 hours of the event…not sure more confidence will be gained. ECMWF and CMC still show little to no precip with this event while the GFS has also been very consistent since Monday on its placement of the QPF. All models do agree the air will be cold enough for snow along and north of a line from Beeville to Port Lavaca to Galveston.
Accumulations:
Winter Storm Watch Counties:
With temperatures falling to freezing early Friday over our NW and N counties, expect the most accumulation in this area. First few hours of snow will accumulate on grassy surfaces and elevated surfaces, as temperatures fall into the lower 30’s/upper 20’s will start to get widespread accumulations over bridges/overpasses and even some surface streets. Will go with 1-4” of snow accumulation within the Winter Storm Watch counties Friday afternoon/evening.
US 59 from Victoria to Liberty Co including metro Houston:
More impact melting will occur in this zone with first hours of snow melting on impact. Surface temperatures fall to freezing from NW to SE Friday afternoon with accumulations following the freeze line. Will likely see some accumulation on elevated surfaces with bridges/overpasses glazing over as the temperature falls to freezing. Will go with anywhere from a dusting to 2 inches in this corridor. Should the GFS verify significant accumulating snow will occur in this area…much greater than currently being predicted…if you go with the NAM or ECMWF a dusting is most likely.
Coastal Counties:
This area will be the last to change to snow and see freezing temperatures arrive. Matagorda Bay region will fall below freezing by late afternoon with a dusting to 1” of accumulation possible. Eastward over Brazoria, Galveston and Chambers counties, snow is likely but much will melt on impact and current thinking is little to no accumulation.
Impacts:
Will see some significant impacts as the temperatures fall toward and below freezing Friday and the precipitation develops/moves into the region. Initial impact melting on bridges/overpasses will then glaze over as the temperatures fall followed by slushy accumulation on top of a layer of ice. Troubles on the bridges will start NW and slide SE during the afternoon hours. Do not see surface streets being much of an issue given the warm ground conditions…but if it comes down hard enough…this could change.
Snow will be very heavy and wet given a moist air mass with decent water content. This is not ice that glazes everything over however accumulation on trees may be enough to bring down a few tree limbs.
Aviation will see the greatest impacts as freezing temperatures and precipitation result in de-icing procedures at the terminals. With the freezing level tanking to the surface during the day…aircraft will experience icing of their control surfaces in the low levels and on the ground. Low visibilities and ceilings along with de-icing with result in increasing delays at area airports. Think taxiways should remain clear unless heavy snow bands develop.
Actions:
TXDOT will begin applying de-icing agent to area freeways (US 290, I-45, US 59) this morning along with some of the high connector/flyover ramps that are usual problem areas during such events. Any bridge/overpass will have ice potential and extreme caution should be used when approaching these areas. Travel will become increasingly hazardous Friday afternoon as temperatures fall to freezing and glazing begins on area bridges/overpasses. Locations in the Winter Storm Watch area may see ice accumulation as early as mid morning Friday. A tough call for Harris County and metro Houston, but would expect issues to start in Montgomery and Waller counties and then spread SE into Harris County during the afternoon hours.
As with any winter weather event…high uncertainty remains until the event is usually in progress. Significant changes to the forecast and accumulations will be possible today and Friday and residents should stay alert to the forecast and changes.
Will send another update about 100pm and around 400pm.
And here we go….
NWS has issued a Winter Storm Watch effective from 600am Friday until midnight Friday for the northern ½ of SE TX this includes the following counties: Montgomery, Waller, Washington, Austin, Colorado, Grimes, Brazos, Burleson, Walker, Houston, Polk, Trinity, Madison, and San Jacinto counties.
Winter Storm Watch issued for all extreme SE TX and SW LA for Friday night including coastal counties.
Winter Storm Watch will likely be issued later today for additional portions of SE TX and northern counties of the coastal bend.
Discussion:
Powerful short wave dropping into New Mexico this morning will begin to swing into W and SW TX overnight. 295-300k isentropic lift begins to spread northward out of SW TX while strong forcing aloft develops surface low pressure over the western Gulf of Mexico. Cold arctic high pressure cell over WY this morning bleeds into the state with the low level air mass falling near to below freezing during the day on Friday. Impressive dynamical lift will come to bear over the region Friday afternoon and evening as the thermal profiles fall to freezing. GFS shows the formation of meso scale snow banding Friday afternoon along a line from Victoria to Houston while 06Z NAM shows for the first time no precip at all. Feel the NAM is under-forecasting the amount of moisture and will side with the wetter GFS and potential for greater accumulations. Given the fact that we are within 24 hours of the event…not sure more confidence will be gained. ECMWF and CMC still show little to no precip with this event while the GFS has also been very consistent since Monday on its placement of the QPF. All models do agree the air will be cold enough for snow along and north of a line from Beeville to Port Lavaca to Galveston.
Accumulations:
Winter Storm Watch Counties:
With temperatures falling to freezing early Friday over our NW and N counties, expect the most accumulation in this area. First few hours of snow will accumulate on grassy surfaces and elevated surfaces, as temperatures fall into the lower 30’s/upper 20’s will start to get widespread accumulations over bridges/overpasses and even some surface streets. Will go with 1-4” of snow accumulation within the Winter Storm Watch counties Friday afternoon/evening.
US 59 from Victoria to Liberty Co including metro Houston:
More impact melting will occur in this zone with first hours of snow melting on impact. Surface temperatures fall to freezing from NW to SE Friday afternoon with accumulations following the freeze line. Will likely see some accumulation on elevated surfaces with bridges/overpasses glazing over as the temperature falls to freezing. Will go with anywhere from a dusting to 2 inches in this corridor. Should the GFS verify significant accumulating snow will occur in this area…much greater than currently being predicted…if you go with the NAM or ECMWF a dusting is most likely.
Coastal Counties:
This area will be the last to change to snow and see freezing temperatures arrive. Matagorda Bay region will fall below freezing by late afternoon with a dusting to 1” of accumulation possible. Eastward over Brazoria, Galveston and Chambers counties, snow is likely but much will melt on impact and current thinking is little to no accumulation.
Impacts:
Will see some significant impacts as the temperatures fall toward and below freezing Friday and the precipitation develops/moves into the region. Initial impact melting on bridges/overpasses will then glaze over as the temperatures fall followed by slushy accumulation on top of a layer of ice. Troubles on the bridges will start NW and slide SE during the afternoon hours. Do not see surface streets being much of an issue given the warm ground conditions…but if it comes down hard enough…this could change.
Snow will be very heavy and wet given a moist air mass with decent water content. This is not ice that glazes everything over however accumulation on trees may be enough to bring down a few tree limbs.
Aviation will see the greatest impacts as freezing temperatures and precipitation result in de-icing procedures at the terminals. With the freezing level tanking to the surface during the day…aircraft will experience icing of their control surfaces in the low levels and on the ground. Low visibilities and ceilings along with de-icing with result in increasing delays at area airports. Think taxiways should remain clear unless heavy snow bands develop.
Actions:
TXDOT will begin applying de-icing agent to area freeways (US 290, I-45, US 59) this morning along with some of the high connector/flyover ramps that are usual problem areas during such events. Any bridge/overpass will have ice potential and extreme caution should be used when approaching these areas. Travel will become increasingly hazardous Friday afternoon as temperatures fall to freezing and glazing begins on area bridges/overpasses. Locations in the Winter Storm Watch area may see ice accumulation as early as mid morning Friday. A tough call for Harris County and metro Houston, but would expect issues to start in Montgomery and Waller counties and then spread SE into Harris County during the afternoon hours.
As with any winter weather event…high uncertainty remains until the event is usually in progress. Significant changes to the forecast and accumulations will be possible today and Friday and residents should stay alert to the forecast and changes.
Will send another update about 100pm and around 400pm.
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attallaman
Re: SE TX/SW LA winter wx:Let it Snow! Let it Snow! Let it Snow!
This from the NWS office in NOLA this AM:
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
549 AM CST THU DEC 3 2009
LAZ034>040-046>050-056>070-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-032130-
POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-TANGIPAHOA-
WASHINGTON-ST. TAMMANY-IBERVILLE-WEST BATON ROUGE-
EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION-ST. JAMES-
ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES-UPPER JEFFERSON-
ORLEANS-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE-
LOWER TERREBONNE-LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER JEFFERSON-
LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST. BERNARD-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE-WALTHALL-
PEARL RIVER-HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW ROADS...LIVONIA...
ST. FRANCISVILLE...JACKSON...CLINTON...GREENSBURG...MONTPELIER...
HAMMOND...PONCHATOULA...BOGALUSA...FRANKLINTON...SLIDELL...
MANDEVILLE...COVINGTON...LACOMBE...PLAQUEMINE...WHITE CASTLE...
PORT ALLEN...ADDIS...BRUSLY...BATON ROUGE...GONZALES...
DONALDSONVILLE...DENHAM SPRINGS...WALKER...PIERRE PART...
LABADIEVILLE...PAINCOURTVILLE...LUTCHER...GRAMERCY...LAPLACE...
RESERVE...THIBODAUX...RACELAND...LAROSE...DESTREHAN...NORCO...
METAIRIE...KENNER...NEW ORLEANS...BELLE CHASSE...CHALMETTE...
VIOLET...HOUMA...BAYOU CANE...CHAUVIN...DULAC...MONTEGUT...
GALLIANO...CUT OFF...GOLDEN MEADOW...PORT SULPHUR...EMPIRE...
YSCLOSKEY...CENTREVILLE...WOODVILLE...GLOSTER...LIBERTY...
CROSBY...MCCOMB...TYLERTOWN...PICAYUNE...BAY ST. LOUIS...
WAVELAND...DIAMONDHEAD...GULFPORT...BILOXI...PASCAGOULA...
OCEAN SPRINGS...MOSS POINT...GAUTIER...ST. MARTIN
549 AM CST THU DEC 3 2009
...THE POTENTIAL FOR WINTRY PRECIPITATION WILL EXIST FOR MOST AREAS
FRIDAY NIGHT...
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH FRIDAY
AND FRIDAY NIGHT. A COLD AIRMASS IS ALREADY ESTABLISHED OVER THE
REGION AND WILL PROVIDE THE POTENTIAL FOR AREAS OF SNOW OR A
WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION FRIDAY NIGHT.
AN ALL SNOW LINE WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE AREA FROM THE
NORTHWEST AROUND SUNSET FRIDAY AND SHOULD BE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
FROM BAYOU SORREL TO HATTIESBURG MISSISSIPPI BY MIDNIGHT. THIS
INCLUDES THE BATON ROUGE METROPOLITAN AREA. A SNOW SLEET MIX
SHOULD EXIST ALONG A LINE FROM THIBODAUX TO SAUCIER MISSISSIPPI AT
MIDNIGHT INCLUDING THE NORTHSHORE OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A RAIN
SLEET MIX SHOULD EXIST ALONG A LINE FROM HOUMA TO OCEAN SPRINGS
MISSISSIPPI BY MIDNIGHT...INCLUDING THE SOUTHSHORE AREA OF
METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS...GULFPORT AND BILOXI. ACCUMULATIONS OF
ANY WINTRY MIXED PRECIPITATION ARE EXPECTED TO BE NO GREATER
THAN ONE INCH WITH THE BEST CHANCES FOR ACCUMULATIONS ALONG AND
NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM THIBODAUX TO SAUCIER MISSISSIPPI.
THE LARGEST PROBLEM ASSOCIATED WITH THIS EVENT WILL BE THE POSSIBILITY
OF PRECIPITATION FREEZING ON ELEVATED ROADWAYS BECOMING A TRAVEL
HAZARD. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES MAY BE NECESSARY LATER TODAY OR
EARLY FRIDAY.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
549 AM CST THU DEC 3 2009
LAZ034>040-046>050-056>070-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-032130-
POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-TANGIPAHOA-
WASHINGTON-ST. TAMMANY-IBERVILLE-WEST BATON ROUGE-
EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION-ST. JAMES-
ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES-UPPER JEFFERSON-
ORLEANS-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE-
LOWER TERREBONNE-LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER JEFFERSON-
LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST. BERNARD-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE-WALTHALL-
PEARL RIVER-HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW ROADS...LIVONIA...
ST. FRANCISVILLE...JACKSON...CLINTON...GREENSBURG...MONTPELIER...
HAMMOND...PONCHATOULA...BOGALUSA...FRANKLINTON...SLIDELL...
MANDEVILLE...COVINGTON...LACOMBE...PLAQUEMINE...WHITE CASTLE...
PORT ALLEN...ADDIS...BRUSLY...BATON ROUGE...GONZALES...
DONALDSONVILLE...DENHAM SPRINGS...WALKER...PIERRE PART...
LABADIEVILLE...PAINCOURTVILLE...LUTCHER...GRAMERCY...LAPLACE...
RESERVE...THIBODAUX...RACELAND...LAROSE...DESTREHAN...NORCO...
METAIRIE...KENNER...NEW ORLEANS...BELLE CHASSE...CHALMETTE...
VIOLET...HOUMA...BAYOU CANE...CHAUVIN...DULAC...MONTEGUT...
GALLIANO...CUT OFF...GOLDEN MEADOW...PORT SULPHUR...EMPIRE...
YSCLOSKEY...CENTREVILLE...WOODVILLE...GLOSTER...LIBERTY...
CROSBY...MCCOMB...TYLERTOWN...PICAYUNE...BAY ST. LOUIS...
WAVELAND...DIAMONDHEAD...GULFPORT...BILOXI...PASCAGOULA...
OCEAN SPRINGS...MOSS POINT...GAUTIER...ST. MARTIN
549 AM CST THU DEC 3 2009
...THE POTENTIAL FOR WINTRY PRECIPITATION WILL EXIST FOR MOST AREAS
FRIDAY NIGHT...
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH FRIDAY
AND FRIDAY NIGHT. A COLD AIRMASS IS ALREADY ESTABLISHED OVER THE
REGION AND WILL PROVIDE THE POTENTIAL FOR AREAS OF SNOW OR A
WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION FRIDAY NIGHT.
AN ALL SNOW LINE WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE AREA FROM THE
NORTHWEST AROUND SUNSET FRIDAY AND SHOULD BE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
FROM BAYOU SORREL TO HATTIESBURG MISSISSIPPI BY MIDNIGHT. THIS
INCLUDES THE BATON ROUGE METROPOLITAN AREA. A SNOW SLEET MIX
SHOULD EXIST ALONG A LINE FROM THIBODAUX TO SAUCIER MISSISSIPPI AT
MIDNIGHT INCLUDING THE NORTHSHORE OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A RAIN
SLEET MIX SHOULD EXIST ALONG A LINE FROM HOUMA TO OCEAN SPRINGS
MISSISSIPPI BY MIDNIGHT...INCLUDING THE SOUTHSHORE AREA OF
METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS...GULFPORT AND BILOXI. ACCUMULATIONS OF
ANY WINTRY MIXED PRECIPITATION ARE EXPECTED TO BE NO GREATER
THAN ONE INCH WITH THE BEST CHANCES FOR ACCUMULATIONS ALONG AND
NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM THIBODAUX TO SAUCIER MISSISSIPPI.
THE LARGEST PROBLEM ASSOCIATED WITH THIS EVENT WILL BE THE POSSIBILITY
OF PRECIPITATION FREEZING ON ELEVATED ROADWAYS BECOMING A TRAVEL
HAZARD. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES MAY BE NECESSARY LATER TODAY OR
EARLY FRIDAY.
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srainhoutx
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 6919
- Age: 67
- Joined: Sun Jan 14, 2007 11:34 am
- Location: Haywood County, NC
- Contact:
Re: SE TX/SW LA winter wx:Let it Snow! Let it Snow! Let it Snow!
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
743 AM CST THU DEC 3 2009
...FREEZE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SOUTHEAST TEXAS FROM NOON
FRIDAY UNTIL MID MORNING SATURDAY...
.AN ARCTIC AI MASS IS FORECAST TO PLUNGE INTO SOUTHEAST TEXAS ON
FRIDAY BRINGING WINTRY PRECIPITATION AND BELOW FREEZING
TEMPERATURES TO MUCH OF THE AREA.
TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-032145-
/O.NEW.KHGX.FZ.W.0003.091204T1800Z-091205T1500Z/
AUSTIN-BRAZORIA-BRAZOS-BURLESON-CHAMBERS-COLORADO-FORT BEND-
GALVESTON-GRIMES-HARRIS-HOUSTON-JACKSON-LIBERTY-MADISON-MATAGORDA-
MONTGOMERY-POLK-SAN JACINTO-TRINITY-WALKER-WALLER-WASHINGTON-
WHARTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALVIN...ANAHUAC...ANGLETON...BAY CITY...
BELLVILLE...BRENHAM...BROOKSHIRE...BRYAN...CALDWELL...CLEVELAND...
COLDSPRING...COLLEGE STATION...COLUMBUS...CONROE...CORRIGAN...
CROCKETT...DAYTON...EAGLE LAKE...EDNA...EL CAMPO...FREEPORT...
FRIENDSWOOD...GALVESTON...GROVETON...HEMPSTEAD...HOUSTON...
HUMBLE...HUNTSVILLE...KATY...LAKE JACKSON...LAKE SOMERVILLE...
LEAGUE CITY...LIBERTY...LIVINGSTON...MADISONVILLE...
MISSOURI CITY...MONT BELVIEU...NAVASOTA...ONALASKA...PALACIOS...
PASADENA...PEARLAND...PIERCE...PRAIRIE VIEW...RICHMOND...
ROSENBERG...SEALY...SHEPHERD...SUGAR LAND...TEXAS CITY...
THE WOODLANDS...TOMBALL...TRINITY...WEIMAR...WHARTON...WILLIS...
WINNIE
743 AM CST THU DEC 3 2009
...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON FRIDAY TO 9 AM CST
SATURDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HOUSTON/GALVESTON HAS ISSUED A
FREEZE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON FRIDAY TO 9 AM CST
SATURDAY. THIS WILL BE THE FIRST WIDESPREAD FREEZE OF THE SEASON.
AN ARCTIC AIR MASS IS EXPECTED TO PLUNGE INTO THE REGION FRIDAY.
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP TO NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING OVER
THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA BY MID AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES
OVER THE CENTRAL AND INLAND COASTAL LOCATIONS SHOULD FALL TO AT
OR JUST BELOW FREEZING DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING
HOURS.
LATEST PROJECTIONS ARE THAT THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA
COULD EXPERIENCE FROM 10 TO 12 HOURS OF BELOW FREEZING
TEMPERATURES. FOR OTHER LOCATIONS...THE APPROXIMATE HOURS OF BELOW
FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE AS FOLLOWS: WESTERN LOCATIONS 6 TO 8
HOURS... CENTRAL LOCATIONS INCLUDING THE HOUSTON METRO 3 TO 5
HOURS...NEAR COASTAL AREA WITH 1 TO 3 HOURS. FREEZING
TEMPERATURES ARE NOT EXPECTED ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST AND BEACHES.
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM ABOVE FREEZING SOON AFTER SUNRISE WHERE
SNOW DOES NOT COVER THE GROUND.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
743 AM CST THU DEC 3 2009
...FREEZE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SOUTHEAST TEXAS FROM NOON
FRIDAY UNTIL MID MORNING SATURDAY...
.AN ARCTIC AI MASS IS FORECAST TO PLUNGE INTO SOUTHEAST TEXAS ON
FRIDAY BRINGING WINTRY PRECIPITATION AND BELOW FREEZING
TEMPERATURES TO MUCH OF THE AREA.
TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-032145-
/O.NEW.KHGX.FZ.W.0003.091204T1800Z-091205T1500Z/
AUSTIN-BRAZORIA-BRAZOS-BURLESON-CHAMBERS-COLORADO-FORT BEND-
GALVESTON-GRIMES-HARRIS-HOUSTON-JACKSON-LIBERTY-MADISON-MATAGORDA-
MONTGOMERY-POLK-SAN JACINTO-TRINITY-WALKER-WALLER-WASHINGTON-
WHARTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALVIN...ANAHUAC...ANGLETON...BAY CITY...
BELLVILLE...BRENHAM...BROOKSHIRE...BRYAN...CALDWELL...CLEVELAND...
COLDSPRING...COLLEGE STATION...COLUMBUS...CONROE...CORRIGAN...
CROCKETT...DAYTON...EAGLE LAKE...EDNA...EL CAMPO...FREEPORT...
FRIENDSWOOD...GALVESTON...GROVETON...HEMPSTEAD...HOUSTON...
HUMBLE...HUNTSVILLE...KATY...LAKE JACKSON...LAKE SOMERVILLE...
LEAGUE CITY...LIBERTY...LIVINGSTON...MADISONVILLE...
MISSOURI CITY...MONT BELVIEU...NAVASOTA...ONALASKA...PALACIOS...
PASADENA...PEARLAND...PIERCE...PRAIRIE VIEW...RICHMOND...
ROSENBERG...SEALY...SHEPHERD...SUGAR LAND...TEXAS CITY...
THE WOODLANDS...TOMBALL...TRINITY...WEIMAR...WHARTON...WILLIS...
WINNIE
743 AM CST THU DEC 3 2009
...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON FRIDAY TO 9 AM CST
SATURDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HOUSTON/GALVESTON HAS ISSUED A
FREEZE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON FRIDAY TO 9 AM CST
SATURDAY. THIS WILL BE THE FIRST WIDESPREAD FREEZE OF THE SEASON.
AN ARCTIC AIR MASS IS EXPECTED TO PLUNGE INTO THE REGION FRIDAY.
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP TO NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING OVER
THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA BY MID AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES
OVER THE CENTRAL AND INLAND COASTAL LOCATIONS SHOULD FALL TO AT
OR JUST BELOW FREEZING DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING
HOURS.
LATEST PROJECTIONS ARE THAT THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA
COULD EXPERIENCE FROM 10 TO 12 HOURS OF BELOW FREEZING
TEMPERATURES. FOR OTHER LOCATIONS...THE APPROXIMATE HOURS OF BELOW
FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE AS FOLLOWS: WESTERN LOCATIONS 6 TO 8
HOURS... CENTRAL LOCATIONS INCLUDING THE HOUSTON METRO 3 TO 5
HOURS...NEAR COASTAL AREA WITH 1 TO 3 HOURS. FREEZING
TEMPERATURES ARE NOT EXPECTED ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST AND BEACHES.
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM ABOVE FREEZING SOON AFTER SUNRISE WHERE
SNOW DOES NOT COVER THE GROUND.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.
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Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Ike/Harvey
Member: National Weather Association
Wx Infinity Forums
http://wxinfinity.com/index.php
Facebook.com/WeatherInfinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
Member: National Weather Association
Wx Infinity Forums
http://wxinfinity.com/index.php
Facebook.com/WeatherInfinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
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srainhoutx
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 6919
- Age: 67
- Joined: Sun Jan 14, 2007 11:34 am
- Location: Haywood County, NC
- Contact:
Re: SE TX/SW LA winter wx:Let it Snow! Let it Snow! Let it Snow!
Yeah Jason. Busy day ahead for a lot of folks. Next week is looking interesting as well...
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
348 AM EST THU DEC 03 2009
VALID 12Z THU DEC 03 2009 - 00Z SAT DEC 05 2009
THE STRONG STORM SYSTEM OVER THE EAST THIS MORNING WILL QUICKLY
DEPART THE REGION EXCEPT FOR THE LINGERING COLD FRONT ACROSS
FLORIDA. THE BULK OF THE REMAINING WIDESPREAD RAIN OVER THE
NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OUT OF THE
AREA BY THIS AFTERNOON WITH LINGERING LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS
SOUTH AND EAST OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO AS WELL AS ACROSS WEST
VIRGINIA AS MOIST LOW LEVEL FLOW TRACKS ACROSS THE REGION.
ALTHOUGH THE COLD FRONT WILL CLEAR THE MID ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST
BY THIS AFTERNOON WITH MUCH DRIER AIR BEHIND IT... TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN MILD ACROSS THESE REGIONS WITH WESTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW
AT THE SURFACE AND THE CORE OF THE COLD AIR STAYING TO THE WEST.
COLDER AIR WILL WORK ITS WAY TO THE NORTHEAST AND MID ATLANTIC
BEGINNING TONIGHT AND LAST INTO THE WEEKEND.
THE CORE OF THE COLD AIR WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS FROM THE NORTHERN
ROCKIES/PLAINS DOWN TO THE GULF COAST WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES 15 TO
30 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE FOR EARLY DECEMBER BOTH TODAY AND FRIDAY.
WITH COLD AIR IN PLACE... AN UPPER LEVEL WAVE THAT IS CURRENTLY
OVER THE CENTRAL ROCKIES WILL HELP TO TRIGGER SNOW FROM SOUTHERN
COLORADO THROUGH EASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO WEST TEXAS TODAY AND
TONIGHT. AS THE UPPER WAVE TRACKS SOUTHEASTERLY ON FRIDAY... A
DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO FORM IN THE GULF OF MEXICO WHICH WOULD
THEN WRAP PRECIPITATION BACK INTO SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS WITH SNOW
POSSIBLE ON THE NORTHWEST FRINGES OF THE PRECIPITATION WITH SOME
LOW END ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE. HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO EXPECTED TO
BEGIN IMPACTING CENTRAL FLORIDA FRIDAY AFTERNOON... IN THE
VICINITY OF THE STATIONARY FRONT... AS LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW
INCREASES ACROSS THE COLDER AIRMASS.
OUT WEST... HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THROUGH TONIGHT AT WHICH
POINT A COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN TO ENTER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST.
MOISTURE IS LACKING ACROSS THE REGION SO ANY PRECIPITATION THAT
FALLS WILL BE LIGHT... WITH SOME LIGHT MOUNTAIN SNOWS POSSIBLE.
THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BE THE BEGINNINGS OF A MUCH COLDER
AIRMASS TO IMPACT THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT OF THE COUNTRY FOR
THIS WEEKEND.
OTTO
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
348 AM EST THU DEC 03 2009
VALID 12Z THU DEC 03 2009 - 00Z SAT DEC 05 2009
THE STRONG STORM SYSTEM OVER THE EAST THIS MORNING WILL QUICKLY
DEPART THE REGION EXCEPT FOR THE LINGERING COLD FRONT ACROSS
FLORIDA. THE BULK OF THE REMAINING WIDESPREAD RAIN OVER THE
NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OUT OF THE
AREA BY THIS AFTERNOON WITH LINGERING LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS
SOUTH AND EAST OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO AS WELL AS ACROSS WEST
VIRGINIA AS MOIST LOW LEVEL FLOW TRACKS ACROSS THE REGION.
ALTHOUGH THE COLD FRONT WILL CLEAR THE MID ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST
BY THIS AFTERNOON WITH MUCH DRIER AIR BEHIND IT... TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN MILD ACROSS THESE REGIONS WITH WESTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW
AT THE SURFACE AND THE CORE OF THE COLD AIR STAYING TO THE WEST.
COLDER AIR WILL WORK ITS WAY TO THE NORTHEAST AND MID ATLANTIC
BEGINNING TONIGHT AND LAST INTO THE WEEKEND.
THE CORE OF THE COLD AIR WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS FROM THE NORTHERN
ROCKIES/PLAINS DOWN TO THE GULF COAST WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES 15 TO
30 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE FOR EARLY DECEMBER BOTH TODAY AND FRIDAY.
WITH COLD AIR IN PLACE... AN UPPER LEVEL WAVE THAT IS CURRENTLY
OVER THE CENTRAL ROCKIES WILL HELP TO TRIGGER SNOW FROM SOUTHERN
COLORADO THROUGH EASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO WEST TEXAS TODAY AND
TONIGHT. AS THE UPPER WAVE TRACKS SOUTHEASTERLY ON FRIDAY... A
DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO FORM IN THE GULF OF MEXICO WHICH WOULD
THEN WRAP PRECIPITATION BACK INTO SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS WITH SNOW
POSSIBLE ON THE NORTHWEST FRINGES OF THE PRECIPITATION WITH SOME
LOW END ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE. HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO EXPECTED TO
BEGIN IMPACTING CENTRAL FLORIDA FRIDAY AFTERNOON... IN THE
VICINITY OF THE STATIONARY FRONT... AS LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW
INCREASES ACROSS THE COLDER AIRMASS.
OUT WEST... HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THROUGH TONIGHT AT WHICH
POINT A COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN TO ENTER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST.
MOISTURE IS LACKING ACROSS THE REGION SO ANY PRECIPITATION THAT
FALLS WILL BE LIGHT... WITH SOME LIGHT MOUNTAIN SNOWS POSSIBLE.
THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BE THE BEGINNINGS OF A MUCH COLDER
AIRMASS TO IMPACT THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT OF THE COUNTRY FOR
THIS WEEKEND.
OTTO
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Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Ike/Harvey
Member: National Weather Association
Wx Infinity Forums
http://wxinfinity.com/index.php
Facebook.com/WeatherInfinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
Member: National Weather Association
Wx Infinity Forums
http://wxinfinity.com/index.php
Facebook.com/WeatherInfinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
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vbhoutex
- Storm2k Executive
- Posts: 29112
- Age: 73
- Joined: Wed Oct 09, 2002 11:31 pm
- Location: Cypress, TX
- Contact:
Re: SE TX/SW LA winter wx:Let it Snow! Let it Snow! Let it Snow!
wxgirl69 wrote:Just curious... I live in deer park and the areas north and east of us are under a winter storm watch..but, our little area is safe. Amazing what a few miles can make!!!!
Not sure what you mean "is safe". IMO, we will be put under a Winter Storm Watch a little later than the current areas unless things change significantly. Even in the inner metro area, if the snow comes down as hard as the NWS states it could in some bands, then most of the metro area will, at a minimum, see a dusting of snow if not some accumulation. Some of the accumulation depends on the duration of the heavier snows predicted as opposed to a general light to moderate snow. As stated in the discussions, the heaviest accumulations will more than likely be to the W, N and NW of the inner metro area. The biggest caveat now with this system is going to be where the core actually tracks-too far north and it is all rain or a rain snow mix-too far south and we get a dusting-right over the CWA and some areas could see up to 4" accumulations imo, but those would be in the NW burbs.
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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CYCLONE MIKE
- Category 5
- Posts: 2183
- Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 6:04 pm
- Location: Gonzales, LA
Re: SE TX/SW LA winter wx:Let it Snow! Let it Snow! Let it Snow!
I guess our forecast MIGHT come around with you guys out to the west of us. Still only saying a 60% chance of mix friday night with temps not even getting below freezing. Guess they would rather play it safe for now than start some mass panic around here.
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Re:
jasons wrote:Looking forward to the snow for sure but it looks like I may need to wrap some of my more tender palms for this one
Oh my, I completely forgot about the plants. I have to get them protected tonight.
Thanks for the reminder!!
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