I guess winter is here.

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Scott Patterson
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I guess winter is here.

#1 Postby Scott Patterson » Sat Dec 05, 2009 9:20 pm

I guess winter is here.

Image

A chance of snow every day for a long time and no temperatures reaching freezing are in the long term forecast.

Text Forecast:

Tonight: Snow. Low around 2. North wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.

Sunday: Snow. High near 17. East wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west northwest. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.

Sunday Night: A 30 percent chance of snow before 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around -3. Wind chill values as low as -15. West northwest wind between 5 and 10 mph.

Monday: Snow likely. Cloudy, with a high near 19. Calm wind becoming west northwest around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible.

Monday Night: Snow likely. Cloudy, with a low around 3. North wind around 5 mph becoming calm. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Tuesday: Snow likely. Cloudy, with a high near 22. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Tuesday Night: A 30 percent chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around -2.

Wednesday: A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 21.

Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 2.

Thursday: A slight chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 26.

Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 6.

Friday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 31.

Friday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 8.

Saturday: Partly sunny, with a high near 29.
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Re: I guess winter is here.

#2 Postby iorange55 » Sat Dec 05, 2009 9:34 pm

Bragger
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#3 Postby Ntxw » Sat Dec 05, 2009 9:54 pm

Jealousness! lol jk cold and snow occasionally keeps us on our feet, that is just too much :lol:
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#4 Postby CajunMama » Sat Dec 05, 2009 10:17 pm

And here I was just excited to get some snow (got mainly sleet though :( ). Welcome to winter! I'm looking forward to more of your great pictures!
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#5 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun Dec 06, 2009 10:09 am

Massive blizzard expected to hit the Midwest this week...Iowa and Wisconsin should be hardest hit and it could be devastating in those areas.

000
FLUS43 KDVN 061035
HWODVN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
435 AM CST SUN DEC 6 2009

IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007-
009-015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-071000-
BENTON IA-BUCHANAN IA-BUREAU IL-CARROLL IL-CEDAR IA-CLARK MO-
CLINTON IA-DELAWARE IA-DES MOINES IA-DUBUQUE IA-HANCOCK IL-
HENDERSON IL-HENRY IA-HENRY IL-IOWA IA-JACKSON IA-JEFFERSON IA-
JO DAVIESS IL-JOHNSON IA-JONES IA-KEOKUK IA-LEE IA-LINN IA-LOUISA IA-
MCDONOUGH IL-MERCER IL-MUSCATINE IA-PUTNAM IL-ROCK ISLAND IL-
SCOTLAND MO-SCOTT IA-STEPHENSON IL-VAN BUREN IA-WARREN IL-
WASHINGTON IA-WHITESIDE IL-
435 AM CST SUN DEC 6 2009

...HIGH IMPACT...POTENTIALLY CRIPPLING WINTER STORM TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...EAST
CENTRAL IOWA...NORTHEAST IOWA...SOUTHEAST IOWA AND NORTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERSPREAD THE ENTIRE AREA
TONIGHT. THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE THE FIRST WIDESPREAD SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS OF THE SEASON. CURRENT INFORMATION SUGGESTS 2 TO 3
INCHES NORTH OF A MARENGO...IOWA TO GALENA...ILLINOIS LINE BY
SUNRISE TUESDAY. SNOW AMOUNTS OF AN INCH OR LESS ARE POSSIBLE SOUTH
OF A FAIRFIELD...IOWA TO STERLING...ILLINOIS LINE.

THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SLICK ROADS DEVELOPING LATE TONIGHT AND
MONDAY MORNING WITH PAVEMENT TEMPERATURES AROUND FREEZING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...AN EXTREMELY STRONG...POTENTIALLY HISTORIC
WINTER STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE OUT OF THE PLAINS INTO THE GREAT LAKES.
THIS SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE LARGE AREAS OF HEAVY SNOWFALL OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
STRONG WINDS OF 30 TO 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL DEVELOP BY
WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD BLOWING SNOW AND
VERY LOW VISIBILITIES RESULTING IN DIFFICULT...IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE
TRAVEL CONDITIONS. CURRENT INDICATIONS SUPPORT MOST OR ALL OF THE
OUTLOOK AREA WILL EXPERIENCE BLIZZARD TO NEAR BLIZZARD WEATHER
CONDITIONS MUCH OF THE DAY WEDNESDAY.

THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SYSTEM THAT MAY RESULT IN PROLONGED
POWER OUTAGES OVER LARGE AREAS AND DAMAGE FROM FALLEN TREES OR LARGE
TREE LIMBS. INTERESTED INDIVIDUALS SHOULD MONITOR THIS PRODUCT FOR
FURTHER UPDATES AND MORE SPECIFICS ON THIS POWERFUL SYSTEM AND PLAN
ACCORDINGLY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER REPORTS REGARDING SNOWFALL AMOUNTS AND WINTER WEATHER
IMPACTS WILL BE GREATLY APPRECIATED OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

$$

08/NICHOLS
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Re: I guess winter is here.

#6 Postby srainhoutx » Sun Dec 06, 2009 10:34 am

This storm maybe a record breaker...

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
500 AM PST SUN DEC 6 2009

.DISCUSSION...
VERY INTERESTING PATTERN SETTING UP FOR THE REGION LATER TONIGHT AND
MONDAY. COLD AND DRY AIRMASS ORIGINATING FROM WESTERN CANADA HAS
SETTLED IN ACROSS THE INTERIOR OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA IN THE WAKE OF
THE MAINLY DRY COLD FRONT THAT SWEPT SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE REGION ON
SATURDAY. THE MODERATELY STRONG NORTHERLY GRADIENTS THAT DEVELOPED
SATURDAY WEAKENED OVERNIGHT ALLOWING THE AIRMASS OVER THE VALLEY TO
DECOUPLE RESULTING IN LIGHT WINDS MOST AREAS AND COLD TEMPERATURES.
SOME FROST WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING IN THE VALLEY WHERE LIGHTER
WINDS OCCURRED...MAINLY ALONG THE EAST SIDE...BUT DEWPOINTS REMAIN
TOO LOW MOST OTHER AREAS (MID TO UPPER 20S).

SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE NEXT UPSTREAM SYSTEM OVER THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST MOVING SOUTHWARD. THIS SYSTEM WILL USHER AN EVEN COLDER
AIRMASS SOUTHWARD INTO THE REGION LATER TONIGHT AND MONDAY WITH SNOW
LEVELS LOWERING TO THE VALLEY FLOOR AS 850 MB TEMPS LOWER TO -4 TO
-5 C AND 1000/500 MB THICKNESS LOWERS TO 522 TO 525 DM ACROSS THE
REGION. NAM AND GFS CONTINUE TO FORECAST STRONG LOW-LEVEL
FRONTOGENESIS TO OCCUR LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY AHEAD OF A WAVE THAT
DEVELOPS ALONG THE COLD FRONT AS IT SWEEPS SOUTH. STRONG UPWARD
VERTICAL MOTION IS FOCUSED OVER THE I-80 AND HIGHWAY 50 CORRIDOR...
AND THAT/S WHERE THE HEAVIEST QPF IS EXPECTED. NAM CROSS-SECTIONS
FOR KSAC INDICATING POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL IN THE
SACRAMENTO AREA LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY WITH OVERLAP OF STRONG OMEGA
(-30 UB/SEC) WITH A THICK REGION OF DENDRITIC SNOW GROWTH. IF THIS
PANS OUT...WE COULD SEE RECORD SNOWFALL FOR THE AREA (24 HOUR RECORD
SNOWFALL FOR DOWNTOWN SACRAMENTO IS 3.5 INCHES SET ON JANUARY 4TH
AND 5TH 1888)
. STEEP LAPSE RATES AND SOME OROGRAPHIC CONTRIBUTION
WILL ENHANCE SNOW AMOUNTS OVER THE FOOTHILLS AND WEST SLOPES OF THE
NORTHERN SIERRA NEVADA.
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#7 Postby brunota2003 » Sun Dec 06, 2009 11:40 am

PDS Winter Storm Warning/Blizzard Warning, anyone?
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Re: I guess winter is here.

#8 Postby srainhoutx » Sun Dec 06, 2009 11:54 am

:uarrow:
Very possible. Not to take away from anything from the "local Winter Wether threads" discussions, I started a "general discussion" Topic for those that may want to participate and perhaps learn as our "pros" and other knowledgeable enthusiasts are posting much more than usual. Since many regions will be involved with this Major Winter Storm Event, it will be very interesting to watch unfold for many folks.

viewtopic.php?f=22&t=107168
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Re:

#9 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun Dec 06, 2009 2:40 pm

brunota2003 wrote:PDS Winter Storm Warning/Blizzard Warning, anyone?


Those would be totally unofficial, since winter watches and warnings are issued by local offices, not the SPC.
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Re: I guess winter is here.

#10 Postby SEAZSky » Sun Dec 06, 2009 2:44 pm

Also, for SE AZ -

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
944 AM MST SUN DEC 6 2009

AZZ019-030-033>035-070100-
/O.CON.KTWC.WS.A.0004.091208T0000Z-091209T0000Z/
NORTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY-UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-
TUCSON METRO/MARANA/GREEN VALLEY-SANTA CRUZ COUNTY-COCHISE COUNTY-
944 AM MST SUN DEC 6 2009

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON ABOVE 6000 FEET..

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON ABOVE 6000 FEET.

* TIMING...VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW WILL DEVELOP MONDAY WITH
WIDESPREAD VALLEY RAIN AND SIGNIFICANT MOUNTAIN SNOW EXPECTED
MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...FOR LOCATIONS ABOVE 7000 FEET...12 TO 18
INCHES OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE. BETWEEN 6000 AND 7000 FEET...6 TO
12 INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED.

* SNOW LEVELS...SNOW LEVELS WILL INITIALLY BE AROUND 7000 FEET
MONDAY AFTERNOON...THEN FALL TO 5000 FEET TUESDAY MORNING.

* WINDS...BREEZY TO WINDY WITH SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO
30 MPH AND GUSTS TO 45 MPH ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN.

* IMPACTS...SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED ABOVE 6000 FEET. THE
STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL RESULT IN AREAS
OF BLOWING SNOW...REDUCING VISIBILITIES BELOW A QUARTER MILE AT
TIMES. TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS. SOME ROADS
MAY BECOME IMPASSABLE...ESPECIALLY DUE TO DRIFTING OF SNOW AND
SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION BY TUESDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS..

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY SERIOUSLY IMPACT TRAVEL. GUSTY WINDS
AND BLOWING SNOW IS ALSO POSSIBLE. THOSE PLANNING TRAVEL INTO THE
WATCH AREA SHOULD PREPARE FOR DIFFICULT WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS.

LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL TELEVISION OR RADIO
STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION SERVICE PROVIDER FOR UPDATES
ON THIS DEVELOPING WINTER STORM. ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION IS
ON THE INTERNET AT http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON
===================================

So, please keep off our local mountains.......! :cold:

Stan
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#11 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Dec 11, 2009 11:08 pm

Less than 100 miles to the south of me, some places have got as much as 5 feet of lake effect snow - with another 2 feet or so forecast.
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