Caribbean - Central America Weather

[abajan]

Barbados has been experiencing gale force wind gusts with light rain this morning but things calmed down considerably.
Btw, has anyone noticed how dry the recent water vapor imagery is in our region has been lately? The dryness is off the charts! No wonder Jamaica is in the throws of a drought. Barbados’ rainfall this year has been way below where it ought to be too.

[cycloneye]

Our friend abajan talked about the dry conditions in some parts of the Caribbean basin but San Juan is on the oposite as it has an above average rainfall in 2009 although December has been below normal so far.

Code: Select all

WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR
                                                  NORMAL
..................................................................


PRECIPITATION (IN)
  YESTERDAY        T             6.96 1981   0.16  -0.16     0.00
  MONTH TO DATE    1.47                      2.06  -0.59     0.90
  SINCE DEC 1      1.47                      2.06  -0.59     0.90
  SINCE JAN 1     64.50                     48.25  16.25    50.96


[cycloneye]

Gale Warning until Monday night for Caribbean waters

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAOFFNT3.shtml

AMZ084-131530-
SW CARIBBEAN S OF 15N W OF 75W
430 AM EST SUN DEC 13 2009

...GALE WARNING S OF 14N E OF 78W...

.TODAY THROUGH TUE...FROM 11N TO 14N E OF 78W NE TO E WINDS 30
TO 35 KT...DIMINISHING 25 TO 30 KT MON. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT.

ELSEWHERE N OF 10N E OF 83W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS
BUILDING 10 TO 14 FT IN E SWELL. W OF 83W NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20
KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT IN E SWELL.
S OF 10N VARIABLE WINDS 10 TO 15
KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL. ISOLATED SHOWERS S OF 11N.

.WED...N OF 11N E OF 83W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...EXCEPT 25 TO 30
KT OFF COAST OF COLOMBIA. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT...EXCEPT TO 12 FT NEAR
COAST OF COLOMBIA. W OF 83W NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9
FT IN NE SWELL. S OF 11N N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8
FT IN NE SWELL.

.THU...N OF 11N E OF 79W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11
FT. N OF 11N W OF 79W NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 9 FT.
ELSEWHERE...S OF 11N VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT IN NE
SWELL.

$$
AMZ086-131530-
E CARIBBEAN E OF 75W TO THE LEEWARD AND WINDWARD ISLANDS
430 AM EST SUN DEC 13 2009

...GALE WARNING FROM 12N TO 14N W OF 72W...

.TODAY AND TONIGHT...FROM 12N TO 14N W OF 72W NE TO E WINDS 30
TO 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING 11 TO 14 FT IN E SWELL. ELSEWHERE S OF
18N W OF 70W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING 9 TO 13 FT
IN E SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8
TO 11 FT IN E SWELL W OF 64W...AND 7 TO 10 FT E OF 64W. ISOLATED
SHOWERS.

.MON THROUGH TUE...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...EXCEPT NEAR COAST
OF COLOMBIA NE WINDS 25 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT...HIGHEST NEAR
COAST OF COLOMBIA.

.WED...W OF 68W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...EXCEPT NEAR COAST OF
COLOMBIA NE WINDS 25 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT...EXCEPT FAR SW
PORTION 10 TO 14 FT. E OF 68W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...
DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 TO 8
FT.

.THU...S OF 18N W OF 71W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 9
FT. ELSEWHERE...NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT.

[cycloneye]

Wind Advisory continues in effect for higher elevations of Puerto Rico until 9 AM Monday

http://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwat ... 20advisory

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
354 AM AST SUN DEC 13 2009

...WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS INTO EARLY
MONDAY...

PRZ002>004-006-007-009-131800-
/O.CON.TJSJ.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-091214T1300Z/
NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-CENTRAL INTERIOR-
PONCE AND VICINITY-WESTERN INTERIOR-
354 AM AST SUN DEC 13 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AST MONDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AST MONDAY.

LARGE PRESSURE DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE ATLANTIC
OCEAN AND LOW PRESSURE ACROSS SOUTH AMERICA WILL RESULT IN BREEZY TO
WINDY CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS
OF PUERTO RICO.

CURRENT OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH ARE
OCCURRING AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 3000 FEET. HOWEVER...WINDS WILL
STRENGTHEN DURING THE DAY TODAY BRINGING THESE WINDS DOWN TO ABOUT
1500 FEET IN ELEVATION. DEEP VALLEYS AND LOW ELEVATIONS WILL SEE
LIGHTER WINDS DUE TO TERRAIN SHELTERING.

LOCATIONS SUCH AS JAYUYA...OROCOVIS AND BARRANQUITAS WILL EXPERIENCE
THE STRONGEST WINDS FOR THE LONGEST TIME PERIOD. LOWER ELEVATIONS
MAY STILL SEE GUSTS TO 25 TO 30 MPH ON AN OCCASIONAL
BASIS...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE NORTHERN WINDWARD COAST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S VIRGIN ISLANDS.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF 25 MPH OR
GREATER ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. PEOPLE IN THE
ADVISORY AREA SHOULD SECURE ANY LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS SUCH AS GARBAGE
CANS OR LAWN FURNITURE. TRUCKS AND HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD BE
PREPARED FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN
AND MOUNTAIN PASSES.

[cycloneye]

You literaly dont have to take a cruise to the Caribbean as there are many web cams posted at the first post of thread that it looks like a tour By doing this,the members dont have to navigate thru the pages looking for the cams as they are in one place.Radars from Cuba,Martinique and Cancun also have been added.As I have said before,these radars and cams will be very useful in the future when an area in particular may be affected by a tropical system or any other big weather event so we can see what is going on.If anyone has more cams,bring them here to then have the biggest album of web cams in the net.

Macrocane,I added to the 1rst post of cams one from San Salvador Volcano.

Also a Bermuda cam has been added as there are many people who live in the Caribbean islands that are from Bermuda and they go to the stormcarib.com site that has a parthnership with us.

[caribepr]

I went to work and came back via my little dinghy...I think I could have turned the engine off and just let the wind and current push me along! Very choppy and windy but no danger, pretty fun really (I have a hard, big Tortola dinghy, so that helps). I wouldn't have wanted to leave the bay though!

[cycloneye]

I went to work and came back via my little dinghy...I think I could have turned the engine off and just let the wind and current push me along! Very choppy and windy but no danger, pretty fun really (I have a hard, big Tortola dinghy, so that helps). I wouldn't have wanted to leave the bay though!

Welcome back Mj to our tent.Glad that you returned safe from Tortola. Winds will continue to blow hard until Monday morning.

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
206 PM AST SUN DEC 13 2009

...BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AT HIGHER
ELEVATIONS INTO EARLY MONDAY...

PRZ002>004-006-007-009-140215-
/O.CON.TJSJ.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-091214T1300Z/
NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-CENTRAL INTERIOR-
PONCE AND VICINITY-WESTERN INTERIOR-
206 PM AST SUN DEC 13 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AST MONDAY...

LARGE PRESSURE DIFFERENCES BETWEEN STRONG HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS
THE ATLANTIC AND AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ACROSS SOUTH AMERICA WILL
CONTINUE TO RESULT IN BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION
OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS
OF PUERTO RICO.

VELOCITY WIND PROFILES AS WELL AS CURRENT UPPER AIR AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS CONTINUED TO SUGGEST THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 MPH
OR MORE ARE OCCURRING AT ELEVATIONS AT ABOUT 1500 FEET AND ABOVE.
LOCATIONS SUCH AS...JAYUYA...OROCOVIS AND BARRANQUITAS...AND PICO
DEL ESTE WILL EXPERIENCE THE STRONGEST WINDS THROUGH THE EVENING
HOURS THEN SLIGHTLY DECREASE OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...BEFORE INCREASING
AGAIN ON MONDAY MORNING. LOWER ELEVATIONS AND COASTAL AREAS WILL
ALSO EXPERIENCE OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 25 TO 30 MPH...ESPECIALLY ALONG
THE NORTHERN COAST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S VIRGIN ISLANDS.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF 25 MPH OR
GREATER ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. PEOPLE IN THE
ADVISORY AREA SHOULD SECURE ANY LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS SUCH AS GARBAGE
CANS OR LAWN FURNITURE. TRUCKS AND HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD BE
PREPARED FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN
AND MOUNTAIN PASSES.

[cycloneye]

Winter-like pattern to continue this week


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
341 PM AST SUN DEC 13 2009

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE MOVING ACROSS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WILL
MAINTAIN BREEZY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. WINDS WILL BE THE STRONGEST ACROSS HIGHER
ELEVATIONS...WITH A WIND ADVISORY REMAINING IN EFFECT FOR
ELEVATIONS OF 1500 FEET AND ABOVE ACROSS PUERTO RICO THROUGH 9 AM
AST MONDAY MORNING. PATCHY MOISTURE WILL ALSO BRING QUICK PASSING
SHOWERS ACROSS THE ISLANDS THROUGH AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...STRONG WINDS HAVE BEEN REPORTED ACROSS PUERTO RICO
TODAY...WITH A DECREASE IN WINDS EXPECTED ACROSS LOWER ELEVATIONS
AS THE WINDS BEGIN TO DECOUPLE DURING THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. WILL
STILL SEE SOME GUSTY WINDS WITH SHOWERS OVERNIGHT...BUT CONTINUE
TO THINK SUSTAINED WINDS WILL BE HIGHEST ABOVE 1500 FEET...SO DID
NOT ALTER PREVIOUS ADVISORY.

EXPECT A FAIRLY TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT TO PERSIST ACROSS THE
LOCAL ISLANDS THROUGH WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY...RESULTING IN BREEZY
TO OCCASIONALLY WINDY CONDITIONS THROUGH MID WEEK. IN ADDITION...AMPLE
MOISTURE UPSTREAM OF THE ISLANDS WILL RACE BY FROM TIME TO
TIME...BRINGING QUICK PASSING SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY DURING THE EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT HOURS. A FAIRLY SIGNIFICANT BATCH OF MOISTURE
EXTENDING JUST EAST NORTHEASTWARD TO THE NORTH OF THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS...WILL BRING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS FROM
SAINT THOMAS ACROSS NORTHEASTERN SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO OVERNIGHT
THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

MAY SEE A CHANGE IN THIS PERSISTENT WINTER LIKE WEATHER PATTERN BY
NEXT WEEKEND WHEN WINDS TURN MORE SOUTHERLY...BUT PREVIOUS
FORECAST ALREADY HINTED AT THIS AND NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES MADE TO
EXTENDED FORECAST THIS AFTERNOON.

&&

.AVIATION...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT ALL LOCAL TERMINAL
AERODROMES OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. PASSING CLOUDS AND SHOWERS WILL BRING
BRIEF MVFR EN ROUTE BTW THE NORTHERN LEEWARDS AND EASTERN PUERTO
RICO...AS WELL AS MTN TOP OBSCURATIONS ACROSS ERN PR BTW 1402/1412Z.
HOWEVER...NO SIGNIFICANT OPERATIONAL IMPACTS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME
AS VFR CONDS WILL PREVAIL.

&&

.MARINE...ROUGH AND HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE ACROSS LARGE SECTIONS OF THE LOCAL WATERS FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS...AS STRONG WINDS...LARGE WIND WAVES...AND NORTHERLY
SWELL AFFECT THE REGIONAL WATERS.

[msbee]

same4 winds here

Weather Forecast for the SSS Islands valid until Tuesday morning 06:00 hours December 15, 2009.
Issued: Monday, December 14, 2009 06:00 A.S.T. (10:00 UTC.)

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE OPEN WATERS DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND ABOVE NORMAL SEAS UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...
Weather:
Today morning through Tuesday morning: Partly cloudy, at times briefly mostly cloudy with a few passing showers; breezy.

Forecast high will be 29 °C, 84 °F. and low about 24 °C, 75 °F.
Sunrise will occur at 6:35 A.M. and Sunset will occur at 5:39 P.M.

Winds:
Today: East to Northeast, 15 to 25 miles per hour with occasional gusts to 30 miles per hour.
Tonight through Tuesday morning: East Northeast and 12 to 22 miles per hour with occasional gusts to 28 miles per hour.

Synopsis: Fresh trade winds will continue across the region through Tuesday evening as a tight pressure gradient between the Atlantic High pressure and a broad low pressure over Colombia persists. Otherwise, patches of low level clouds with embedded isolated showers will continue to move across the local region bringing periods of cloudiness and passing showers to the islands. However, no significant rainfall is expected with this shower activity. As for marine conditions, Rough and hazardous seas will continue in response to the increasing winds across the regional waters today. As a result Small Craft Advisories will remain in effect until further notice.

Sea Conditions: Choppy to locally very rough with waves between 4 and 8 feet. The highest waves will be over the open waters and off the North and East facing shores.

Special Features: Ongoing ash emissions from the Soufrière Hills Volcano in Montserrat. The cloud of ash continues to move West through the Caribbean, hence, staying South of the local area.

Outlook until Wednesday morning: Partly cloudy with a few passing showers.

Forecaster: Thomas.H. M. Lauffer.

[cycloneye]

There are new web cams that have been added to the first post of this thread as cams from Aruba and Cayman islands are there.Yesterday cams from San Salvador and Bermuda were added.Also the Sattelite image that our friend Gustywind posts from Meteo-France is there.

You literaly dont have to take a cruise to the Caribbean as there are many web cams posted at the first post of thread that it looks like a tour By doing this,the members dont have to navigate thru the pages looking for the cams as they are in one place.As I have said before,the radars and cams will be very useful in the future when an area in particular may be affected by a tropical system or any other big weather event so we can see what is going on.If anyone has more cams,bring them here to then have the biggest album of web cams in the net.

[Gustywind]

There are new web cams that have been added to the first post of this thread as cams from Aruba and Cayman islands are there.Yesterday cams from San Salvador and Bermuda were added.Also the Sattelite image that our friend Gustywind posts from Meteo-France is there.

You literaly dont have to take a cruise to the Caribbean as there are many web cams posted at the first post of thread that it looks like a tour By doing this,the members dont have to navigate thru the pages looking for the cams as they are in one place.As I have said before,the radars and cams will be very useful in the future when an area in particular may be affected by a tropical system or any other big weather event so we can see what is going on.If anyone has more cams,bring them here to then have the biggest album of web cams in the net.

Tkanks Luis, i appreciate your post and this wink for Gustywind. I'm glad to see how fast this thread grown it's awesome! Cycloneye has put its own contribution as many others carib members, congrats to all!
Gustywind

[Gustywind]

[cycloneye]

There are new web cams that have been added to the first post of this thread as cams from Aruba and Cayman islands are there.Yesterday cams from San Salvador and Bermuda were added.Also the Sattelite image that our friend Gustywind posts from Meteo-France is there.

You literaly dont have to take a cruise to the Caribbean as there are many web cams posted at the first post of thread that it looks like a tour By doing this,the members dont have to navigate thru the pages looking for the cams as they are in one place.As I have said before,the radars and cams will be very useful in the future when an area in particular may be affected by a tropical system or any other big weather event so we can see what is going on.If anyone has more cams,bring them here to then have the biggest album of web cams in the net.

Tkanks Luis, i appreciate your post and this wink for Gustywind. I'm glad to see how fast this thread grown it's awesome! Cycloneye has put its own contribution as many others carib members, congrats to all!
Gustywind

Thank you for those words.But this tent thread is not exclusivly mine (Although I started it) is like a gift for all of our Caribbean and Centralamerican friends to participate whenever they want to talk about what is going on weatherwise in the area they live.I can say its a sure thing that this thread will be very active when a tropical system or a big weather event affects any area in the Caribbean or Centralamerica.And as you said,that first post keeps growing and growing......

Also,our partnership with stormcarib.com will encourage people that go to that site to also come here and participate with us.

[Gustywind]

There are new web cams that have been added to the first post of this thread as cams from Aruba and Cayman islands are there.Yesterday cams from San Salvador and Bermuda were added.Also the Sattelite image that our friend Gustywind posts from Meteo-France is there.

You literaly dont have to take a cruise to the Caribbean as there are many web cams posted at the first post of thread that it looks like a tour By doing this,the members dont have to navigate thru the pages looking for the cams as they are in one place.As I have said before,the radars and cams will be very useful in the future when an area in particular may be affected by a tropical system or any other big weather event so we can see what is going on.If anyone has more cams,bring them here to then have the biggest album of web cams in the net.

Tkanks Luis, i appreciate your post and this wink for Gustywind. I'm glad to see how fast this thread grown it's awesome! Cycloneye has put its own contribution as many others carib members, congrats to all!
Gustywind

Thank you for those words.But this tent thread is not exclusivly mine (Although I started it) is like a gift for all of our Caribbean and Centralamerican friends to participate whenever they want to talk about what is going on weatherwise in the area they live.I can say its a sure thing that this thread will be very active when a tropical system or a big weather event affects any area in the Caribbean or Centralamerica.And as you said,that first post keeps growing and growing......

Also,our partnership with stormcarib.com will encourage people that go to that site to also come here and participate with us.

Nice post nice words too; you make sense as usual Cycloneye . Let's continue on this wonderfull trend .

[abajan]

The high surf advisory and small craft warning is still in effect for Barbados with swells as high as 15 feet!

[caribepr]

I'm in! It's just been a very odd season/year for me. But while I may not be as 'vocal' I'm still paying attention and grateful for everyone keeping up with what is going on. Especially you Luis, the man I tell everyone here is my weather guru

[cycloneye]

Oh,thank you Mj for those words.

Yes,the winter-type pattern continues!!!!

WEATHER SUMMARY FOR PUERTO RICO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1000 PM AST MON DEC 14 2009

PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES PREVAILED THIS EVENING ACROSS PUERTO RICO...
VIEQUES...CULEBRA AND THE SURROUNDING COASTAL WATERS. THE NWS
DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS THE
OFFSHORE CARIBBEAN WATERS...ACROSS THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
ALSO OVER EASTERN SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO. LIMITED SHOWER
ACTIVITY WAS DETECTED ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE REGION SO FAR THIS
EVENING. THE WINDS HAVE BEEN FROM THE EAST NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 15
MPH...WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS AND THE COASTAL TEMPERATURES LATE IN
THE EVENING WERE MOSTLY IN THE MIDDLE 70S.

AN AREA OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE WEST CENTRAL ATLANTIC
WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT PUSHES SOUTHWARD TOWARDS THE LOCAL
ISLANDS THROUGH MID WEEK. THIS WILL RESULT IN CONTINUED BREEZY
CONDITIONS AND QUICK PASSING SHOWERS AFFECTING THE AREA FROM TIME TO
TIME. THE REMNANTS OF AN OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO BRING
BRIEF PASSING SHOWER ACTIVITY OVERNIGHT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING...ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTHERN COASTAL MUNICIPALITIES OF
PUERTO RICO.

ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS...ROUGH AND HAZARDOUS SEA CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH MID WEEK. AS A RESULT...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES
REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR ALL ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN WATERS...EXCEPT
FOR THE NEAR SHORE WATERS OF SOUTHWEST PUERTO RICO. IN ADDITION...
MODERATE NORTHERLY SWELLS WILL PEAK ACROSS THE LOCAL ATLANTIC WATERS
AND CARIBBEAN PASSAGES OVERNIGHT...CONTRIBUTING TO CONFUSED SEAS AND
DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS ALONG THE NORTHERN EXPOSED COASTLINES OF
THE LOCAL ISLANDS.

[cycloneye]

Good morning to all.Last night it felt like a true winter as fresh winds were blowing and I slept with a blanket.Those winds are keeping the seas rough and the small craft advisory continues in effect until Wednesday evening.

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
425 AM AST TUE DEC 15 2009

...FRESH TO NEAR STRONG WINDS AND HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS LARGE SECTIONS OF THE REGIONAL
WATERS THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK...

.SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE WEST CENTRAL ATLANTIC...WILL
HELP MAINTAIN A FRESH TO NEAR STRONG WIND FLOW ACROSS THE
LOCAL WATERS INTO TUESDAY. IN ADDITION...LONG PERIOD NORTH
NORTHEAST SWELLS HAVE GENERALLY PEAKED ACROSS THE LOCAL ATLANTIC
WATERS AND THE CARIBBEAN PASSAGES...BUT WILL CONTINUE TO RESULT
IN ROUGH AND HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT THROUGH
AT LEAST THIS AFTERNOON.

AMZ710-151630-
/O.EXT.TJSJ.SC.Y.0057.000000T0000Z-091216T2200Z/
ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N-
425 AM AST TUE DEC 15 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AST WEDNESDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AST
WEDNESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS AND
SEAS OF 7 FEET AND GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
MARINE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

[cycloneye]

First hints of a cold front passage on Christmas day thru the NE Caribbean.But as they say,is still far to know what exactly will occur so stay tuned.

http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php ... glossary=1

AS FOR THE LONG TERM...MODELS CONTINUE TO SUGGEST THE APPROACH OF A
FRONTAL SYSTEM ACROSS THE LOCAL ATLANTIC WITH INCREASING MOISTURE
ACROSS THE AREA ABOUT A WEEK OR SO FROM NOW...AS THE SUBTROPICAL
RIDGE SHIFTS EAST OF THE AREA...AND A LONG WAVE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS
THE WEST ATLANTIC. IF THIS PANS OUT...WE COULD SEE INCREASED
CLOUDINESS AND RAINFALL...POSSIBLE FRONTAL PASSAGE...AND SOME COOLER
CONDITIONS AROUND CHRISTMAS DAY. AS ALWAYS...THIS IS STILL A WAYS
OUT...AND WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR AND STICK WITH PERSISTENCE FOR
NOW.

[Gustywind]

First hints of a cold front passage on Christmas day thru the NE Caribbean.But as they say,is still far to know what exactly will occur so stay tuned.

http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php ... glossary=1

AS FOR THE LONG TERM...MODELS CONTINUE TO SUGGEST THE APPROACH OF A
FRONTAL SYSTEM ACROSS THE LOCAL ATLANTIC WITH INCREASING MOISTURE
ACROSS THE AREA ABOUT A WEEK OR SO FROM NOW...AS THE SUBTROPICAL
RIDGE SHIFTS EAST OF THE AREA...AND A LONG WAVE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS
THE WEST ATLANTIC. IF THIS PANS OUT...WE COULD SEE INCREASED
CLOUDINESS AND RAINFALL...POSSIBLE FRONTAL PASSAGE...AND SOME COOLER
CONDITIONS AROUND CHRISTMAS DAY. AS ALWAYS...THIS IS STILL A WAYS
OUT...AND WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR AND STICK WITH PERSISTENCE FOR
NOW.

Let's hope nothing too worst that won't be a nice christmas present , as usual we have to wait and see