Florida Weather

[tropicana]

continued nice and balmy in Florida, though temps were slightly below the records for the date today for the most part:-

Warm weather highs today, Mon Dec 14 2009

Naples 87F

Ft Myers 86F
Punta Gorda 86F

Miami 85F
Pemrboke Pines 85F
West Kendall 85F

Opa Locka 84F
Sarasota 84F
Lakeland 84F (record high TIE 2001)

Key West 83F
Marathon 83F
West Palm Beach 83F
Vero Beach 83F
Orlando 83F


Ft Lauderdale 82F
St Petersburg 82F
Clearwater 82F
Pompano Beach 82F

Melbourne 81F

-justin-

[Sanibel]

70 dewpoint humidity 71%.


Subjet stationary over Southeast creating an unseasonably warm tropical flow over us for the last week.


It can be warm here even with the sun approaching its yearly solstice low point in the sky.

[dizzyfish]

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0145 AM CST WED DEC 16 2009

VALID 181200Z - 191200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER CNTRL AND SRN FL...

...SYNOPSIS...

SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW LOCATED OVER NRN MEXICO HAS BECOME CUTOFF FROM PRIMARY BELT OF WLYS. THIS FEATURE WILL EJECT EWD THROUGH THE NRN GULF OF MEXICO AND INTO THE FL PENINSULA FRIDAY IN RESPONSE TO AMPLIFYING NRN STREAM WAVE. MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE
TIMING AND AMPLITUDE OF THIS IMPULSE. THIS TROUGH WILL INDUCE A MODEST SURFACE LOW OVER THE GULF THAT SHOULD DEVELOP EWD ACROSS THE NRN HALF OF THE PENINSULA FRIDAY AFTERNOON. WARM FRONT MAY LIFT NWD INTO THE CNTRL FL PENINSULA.


...FL PENINSULA...

SLY LOW-LEVEL JET WILL STRENGTHEN EARLY FRIDAY ACROSS ERN GULF AND
FL PENINSULA IN RESPONSE TO THE APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH.
CONVECTION WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING WITHIN ZONE OF WARM ADVECTION AND
ISENTROPIC LIFT ACROSS THE PENINSULA EARLY IN THE PERIOD...WITH THE
MORE WIDESPREAD CONVECTION LIKELY NORTH OF WARM FRONT. THE FRONT
SHOULD DEVELOP NWD DURING THE DAY...BUT NWD ADVANCE OF THE MOISTER
WARM SECTOR COULD BE LIMITED BY ONGOING PRECIPITATION. BEST
DESTABILIZATION POTENTIAL SHOULD REMAIN ACROSS SOUTH AND CNTRL FL
WHERE DEWPOINTS WILL RISE INTO THE UPPER 60S SOUTH OF WARM FRONT.
DEEP LAYER WIND AND VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES WILL STRENGTHEN WITH THE
APPROACH OF THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH. THREAT WILL EXIST FOR ORGANIZED
STORMS INCLUDING SUPERCELLS AND BOWING SEGMENTS WHERE SUFFICIENT
DESTABILIZATION OCCURS. ISOLATED TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WIND WILL BE
THE PRIMARY THREATS. WEAK LAPSE RATES AND LIKELIHOOD OF WIDESPREAD
CLOUDS AND AREAS OF PRECIPITATION REMAIN POTENTIAL LIMITING FACTORS.

..DIAL.. 12/16/2009

[dizzyfish]

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
335 PM EST WED DEC 16 2009

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-170900-
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CEDAR KEY...CHIEFLAND...CRYSTAL RIVER...
INVERNESS...BUSHNELL...THE VILLAGES...BROOKSVILLE...SPRING HILL...
NEW PORT RICHEY...ZEPHYRHILLS...CLEARWATER...ST. PETERSBURG...
BRANDON...TAMPA...LAKELAND...WINTER HAVEN...BRADENTON...
WAUCHULA...SEBRING...AVON PARK...SARASOTA...VENICE...ARCADIA...
PORT CHARLOTTE...PUNTA GORDA...CAPE CORAL...FORT MYERS
335 PM EST WED DEC 16 2009


...POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS AND COASTAL HAZARDS ON FRIDAY...


AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE WESTERN
GULF OF MEXICO ON THURSDAY. THIS LOW IS THEN EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY
AS IT MOVES EAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF COAST THURSDAY NIGHT AND
THEN ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA ON FRIDAY. AHEAD OF THE
LOW AN INCREASING MOIST SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW WILL DEVELOP OVER WEST
CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. THIS
INCREASING SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL HELP TO BUILD SEAS OVER THE ADJACENT
GULF WATERS. THE BUILDING SEAS WILL GENERATE LARGE BREAKING WAVES
AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG AND HIGH SURF ALONG AREA BEACHES
ON FRIDAY WITH ABOVE NORMAL TIDES POSSIBLY CAUSING SOME COASTAL
FLOODING AT TIMES OF HIGH TIDE ON FRIDAY.

THE STRONG SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW AND INCREASING SEAS WILL MAKE FOR
HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS OVER THE GULF WATERS AND INLAND
WATER WAYS...AND MARINERS...FISHERMEN...AND BOATING ENTHUSIASTS
MAY WANT TO POSTPONE TRIPS INTO THE GULF UNTIL CONDITIONS IMPROVE.

AS THE LOW PRESSURE AREA APPROACHES A MORE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT
FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. AS THE LOW MOVES EAST
NORTHEAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN PENINSULA DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY A
SQUALL LINE WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF A TRAILING COLD
FRONT OVER THE ADJACENT GULF WATERS EARLY FRIDAY MORNING WITH THE
LINE OF STORMS LIKELY TO AFFECT THE REGION FROM MID MORNING THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS.

AT THE CURRENT TIME SUFFICIENT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE COMBINED WITH
STRONG PREFRONTAL CONVERGENCE...SUFFICIENT DEEP LAYERED SHEAR AND
A STRONG LOW LEVEL JET MAY HELP TO PRODUCE ORGANIZED STORMS CONTAINING
DAMAGING WINDS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED TORNADOES AND MARINE WATERSPOUTS.
IN ADDITION SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND DEADLY LIGHTNING STRIKES
WILL ACCOMPANY THE STORMS AS THEY MOVE ACROSS THE REGION. IN THE WAKE
OF THE COLD FRONT A BRISK NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW WILL USHER IN A MUCH
COOLER AND DRIER AIR MASS WITH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED ACROSS
THE REGION THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND...WITH SOME NEAR FREEZING
TEMPERATURES POSSIBLE OVER THE NATURE COAST BY SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY.
IN ADDITION TO THE COOLER TEMPERATURES THE BRISK NORTHWEST WIND FLOW
WILL KEEP SEA ELEVATED OVER THE ADJACENT GULF WATERS WITH HAZARDOUS
BOATING CONDITIONS CONTINUING.

ALL RESIDENTS AND VISITORS OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS DURING
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
UPDATES ON THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION.

[Sanibel]

We have another wet Nino winter Low approaching us from the Gulf.


This has bailed us out of what was setting up to be a bad dry season drought.

[boca]

On the east coast here in Boca Raton we've received between 4 and 5 inches of rain today.Where getting training effect from the storms coming off the Atlantic and tomorrow the squalline from the Gulf.Iyts localized because 20 miles inland to the west coast is dry.

[HURAKAN]

Latest

[boca]

Unbelievable amounts of rain check this out.

http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.p ... od+Warning

[Evil Jeremy]

Tornado watch for all of SFL. We are going to get clobbered today.

[Evil Jeremy]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
851 AM EST FRI DEC 18 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
WEST CENTRAL COLLIER COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST FLORIDA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF NAPLES AND PELICAN BAY...

* UNTIL 945 AM EST

* AT 850 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR NAPLES...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

THIS STORM IS ALSO CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF
60 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE...
BETWEEN NAPLES AND PELICAN BAY...
AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES.

[AdamFirst]

The rain just hasn't let up in Northern Broward/Southern Palm Beach Counties. It's been falling with varied intensity for the past...30 hours? It seems that long.

[HURAKAN]

Port Saint Lucie received 12.13 inches of rain yesterday. 6 inches fell in just 90 minutes, or 1 inch every 15 minutes! WOW

Link - http://www.accuweather.com/news-summary.asp

[Evil Jeremy]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
938 AM EST FRI DEC 18 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL MIAMI-DADE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST FLORIDA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...HOMESTEAD MIAMI SPEEDWAY...
HOMESTEAD...

* UNTIL 1045 AM EST

* AT 938 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR HOMESTEAD
MIAMI SPEEDWAY...MOVING NORTHWARD AT 20 MPH.

THIS STORM IS ALSO CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF
60 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
FLORIDA CITY...
HOMESTEAD MIAMI SPEEDWAY...
PRINCETON...
GOULDS...
CUTLER BAY...
CUTLER RIDGE...
AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES.


I really hope it does not damage the track lol. I go to the NASCAR race there every year.

[HURAKAN]

Latest

[Sanibel]

Only a 1/2 inch here. 72*

[HURAKAN]

So far, 1.66 inches of rain

[JonathanBelles]

90% chance of rain with a 15% chance of severe storms, and I barely got rain! BIG BUST!!

[dizzyfish]

.65" here since around 5 this morning.

[Sanibel]

Cold front settling in. Slow penetrating front won't hit coldest point until monday. 70* and sunny with chilly wind.

[jinftl]

Localized extremely heavy rainfall amounts in Northeast Miami-Dade and Southeast Broward counties on Dec. 17-18 produced flooding. Some rainfall amounts from the hardest hit areas for the 2-day period:

North Miami Beach S-29 (SFWMD) 14.25 inches
Hollywood (NWS coop) 13.32
Fort Lauderdale-Hollywood Intl AP (KFLL) 7.74
Pompano Beach CoCoRAHS 6.72
Pompano Beach Airport (KPMP) 5.45
North Miami Beach (NWS coop) 2.03 (to show localized nature of heaviest rains)
Coconut Creek S-37B (SFWMD) 7.42
Oakland Park S-37A (SFWMD) 5.42
Delray Beach S-40 (SFWMD) 5.82
West Boca Raton S-39 (SFWMD) 4.66
Boynton Beach S-41 (SFWMD) 5.29

Much cooler....but nowhere near record....temps have set in. Forecast lows of 45-50 in metro areas of Miami-Dade and Broward, rebounding to 65-70 on Sunday. Record lows, by comparison, are in the low to mid 30's for the date.

With month-to-date temps running about 6.4 deg above normal in Miami and 6.5 deg above normal in Fort Lauderdale (through 12/18), it would be tough to erase that kind of deficit and not end up with an above normal December...stay tuned.