Christmas week tornado outbreak? MDT risk Dec. 24

[Dave]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
856 AM CST THU DEC 24 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN IBERIA PARISH IN SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
SOUTHEASTERN LAFAYETTE PARISH IN SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
WEST CENTRAL ST. MARTIN PARISH IN SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF ST. MARTINVILLE...

* UNTIL 930 AM CST

* AT 854 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO BETWEEN
YOUNGSVILLE AND CADE...MOVING NORTH AT 30 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
BROUSSARD BY 905 AM CST...
ST. MARTINVILLE BY 910 AM CST...

[Dave]

Santa's may bypass an area tonight and come back tomorrow. Going for coffee...been awake about 20 mins now.

[Dave]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
856 AM CST THU DEC 24 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN IBERIA PARISH IN SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
SOUTHEASTERN LAFAYETTE PARISH IN SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
WEST CENTRAL ST. MARTIN PARISH IN SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF ST. MARTINVILLE...

* UNTIL 930 AM CST

* AT 854 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO BETWEEN
YOUNGSVILLE AND CADE...MOVING NORTH AT 30 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
BROUSSARD BY 905 AM CST...
ST. MARTINVILLE BY 910 AM CST...

[Dave]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
910 AM CST THU DEC 24 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN MOREHOUSE PARISH IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...
ASHLEY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...WEST CROSSETT...NORTH CROSSETT...
HAMBURG...CROSSETT...

* UNTIL 1015 AM CST

* AT 911 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR WEST
CROSSETT MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
WEST CROSSETT AND CROSSETT BY 920 AM CST...
NORTH CROSSETT BY 930 AM CST...
OLD MILO AND HAMBURG BY 945 AM CST...
FOUNTAIN HILL BY 955 AM CST...
SNYDER BY 1005 AM CST...

[Dave]

I knew there was a reason I didn't put anything on the roof this year....forecast for my area....Santa may need a canoe as well.

WIDESPREAD RAINFALL...HEAVY AT TIMES...CAN BE EXPECTED THIS
EVENING AND TONIGHT ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA. THIS COULD HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO CAUSE FLOODING.

STRONG WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT...WITH GUSTS UP TO 40
MPH. THIS MAY BLOW AROUND UNSECURED OBJECTS...SUCH AS CHRISTMAS
DECORATIONS.

[Dave]

DEC 24 09:45:00 EST
TORNADO
CHURCH POINT
ACADIA
LA
LAW ENFORCEMENT
POSSIBLE TORNADO AT CHURCH POINT WITH A ROOF OFF A HOUSE.

[Dave]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
917 AM CST THU DEC 24 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN ST. LANDRY PARISH IN CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
NORTHWESTERN ST. MARTIN PARISH IN SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF BREAUX BRIDGE...

* UNTIL 945 AM CST

* AT 916 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR BREAUX
BRIDGE...MOVING NORTH AT 35 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
CECILIA AT 920 AM
HENDERSON AT 920 AM

[Dave]

Everybody have a Merry Christmas. I'm leaving in 30 mins to visit my parents, then sister, and on into KY for Christmas tomorrow...Stay safe!

[CrazyC83]

Very sad to see this just a day before Christmas...

1450 UNK SCOTT LAFAYETTE LA 3024 9209 *** 1 FATAL *** TREE ON A HOUSE IN SCOTT. (LCH)

[CrazyC83]

Upgrade to moderate risk - this is the first such issuance since early summer I believe...

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2282
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0934 AM CST THU DEC 24 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN LA AND SRN MS

CONCERNING...OUTLOOK UPGRADE

VALID 241534Z - 241630Z

...DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK IS BEING UPGRADED TO A MODERATE RISK IN
THE UPCOMING 1630Z ISSUANCE FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST LA AND
SOUTHERN MS...

WARM SECTOR WILL CONTINUE TO BECOME FAVORABLE FOR DISCRETE TORNADIC
SUPERCELLS AHEAD OF SQUALL LINE ADVANCING EWD THROUGH LOWER MS
VALLEY. TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS
ALONG THE LINE.

..PETERS.. 12/24/2009


ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX...LCH...

LAT...LON 29009151 30179154 31209163 31579140 31869124 31989065
31878953 31398894 30878846 30358835 29458845 28578893
29009151

[CrazyC83]

SPC AC 241555

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0955 AM CST THU DEC 24 2009

VALID 241630Z - 251200Z

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS MUCH OF SERN LA AND SRN MS...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM LWR MS VALLEY EWD ACROSS
CENTRAL AND SRN AL TO SWRN GA AND FL PANHANDLE...

...LWR MS VALLEY AND CENTRAL GULF COAST...
STRONG UPPER LOW TRACKING ACROSS NRN TX THIS AFTERNOON WITH VERY
IMPRESSIVE POLAR JET MAX ROTATING FROM SRN TX TO LOWER MS VALLEY BY
THIS EVENING. IN RESPONSE SURFACE LOW CURRENTLY ARKLATEX WILL
QUICKLY DEEPEN AND TRACK NNEWD INTO MO OVERNIGHT.

SHEAR PROFILES ALREADY VERY FAVORABLE FOR TORNADIC SUPERCELLS ALONG
AND AHEAD OF THE N/S SQUALL LINE NOW MOVING EWD ACROSS LWR MS
VALLEY. IT NOW APPEARS THAT THE 50-60KT LOW LEVEL JET OFF THE GULF
WILL PROVIDE SUFFICIENT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY TO
SUPPORT A CONTINUED THREAT OF TORNADIC SUPERCELLS EWD ACROSS SERN
LA/SRN MS INTO AT LEAST SWRN AL BY THIS EVENING.

BASED ON THE VERY STRONG SHEAR PROFILES AND LARGE SCALE ASCENT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE INTENSE DEVELOPMENT EXPECTED...HAVE UPGRADED THE
AREA AHEAD OF THE SQUALL LINE ACROSS LWR MS VALLEY TO A MDT RISK
WHERE SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY...ALBEIT GENERALLY LESS THAN 1000 J/KG
OF MLCAPE...WILL BE AVAILABLE.

FURTHER N AND E OF MDT RISK ACROSS GULF STATES...STRONG FLOW /70 KT/
WITHIN A FEW THOUSAND FEET OF THE GROUND AND A LARGE PRESSURE
FALL/RISE COUPLET WITH THE FRONT SUGGEST THAT THE SQUALL LINE WILL
BE CAPABLE OF TRANSPORTING HIGH-MOMENTUM FLOW TO THE
GROUND...DESPITE RATHER WEAK INSTABILITY /MUCAPE OF ONLY A FEW
HUNDRED J PER KG/.

THE SQUALL LINE IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN EARLY FRIDAY ACROSS
GA/N FL AS THE PRIMARY SYNOPTIC WAVE AND FORCING FOR ASCENT MOVE NW
OF THE REGION...AND INSTABILITY REMAINS MARGINAL. STILL...FORECAST
HODOGRAPHS SUPPORT DAMAGING WIND AND POSSIBLE EMBEDDED/SHALLOW
ROTATING STORMS.

..HALES.. 12/24/2009

CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z
CURRENT UTC TIME: 1601Z (11:01AM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME

[CrazyC83]

Might be looking at a PDS watch soon on the northern Gulf Coast as well.

[Dionne]

Might be looking at a PDS watch soon on the northern Gulf Coast as well.

We're already treating this like a dangerous situation.....we're just ahead of the squall line with several tornado warnings. It's hard to keep track the warnings are coming and going so fast.

[CrazyC83]

New watch (PDS?) coming...hopefully the Grinches (tornadoes) don't touch down though!

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2283
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1013 AM CST THU DEC 24 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...LOWER MS VALLEY INTO ADJACENT CENTRAL GULF COAST
STATES

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY

VALID 241613Z - 241715Z

NEW TORNADO WATCH WILL BE ISSUED BY 17Z FOR PARTS OF SERN LA...AND
SRN AND PARTS OF CENTRAL MS AND POSSIBLY INTO SWRN AL.

THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL SPREAD EWD TODAY ACROSS MODIFYING WARM
SECTOR AS WARM FRONT MOVES FARTHER INLAND THROUGH SRN MS AND
EVENTUALLY INTO SWRN AL/FAR WRN FL PANHANDLE BY LATE AFTERNOON.
SPEED OF SQUALL LINE MAY TEND TO LIMIT NWD EXTENT OF FAVORABLE WARM
SECTOR RETURN...BUT MUCH OF SERN LA AND SRN MS TO SWRN AL CAN EXPECT
SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY AND SHEAR VALUES TO SUPPORT THE THREAT FOR
TORNADOES.

AT 16Z...REGIONAL RADARS INDICATED A SQUALL LINE MOVING EWD AT 30 KT
THROUGH SERN AR/NERN LA AND NOW ENTERING FAR SWRN MS/SERN LA. AT
THIS SPEED...THE LINE IS EXPECTED TO EXIT THE ERN PORTION OF WW 807
BY 17-18Z...THUS THE NEED FOR A NEW WW. MEANWHILE...IN ADDITION TO
EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS WITHIN THE LINE...SLY LLJ WILL MAINTAIN BOUNDARY
LAYER MOISTENING/WARMING AND CONTINUED LIKELIHOOD FOR DISCRETE
TORNADIC STORMS IN ADVANCE OF THE SQUALL LINE. EFFECTIVE SRH VALUES
RANGING FROM 300-600 M2/S2 ARE MORE THAN ADEQUATE FOR TORNADIC
SUPERCELLS FROM LATE THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING.

..PETERS.. 12/24/2009


ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX...LZK...LCH...SHV...

LAT...LON 28329202 29989156 31199191 32129216 33229295 33589166
33369051 32498962 32148863 31918826 31518776 30978741
30018718 29248715 28638836 28438939 28329202

[CrazyC83]

Might be looking at a PDS watch soon on the northern Gulf Coast as well.

We're already treating this like a dangerous situation.....we're just ahead of the squall line with several tornado warnings. It's hard to keep track the warnings are coming and going so fast.

With so many people out and about and probably not thinking about the weather with this being Christmas Eve, they do need to height up awareness for sure...I'd personally go PDS here for sure to build awareness, but will the forecaster in charge do so?

[CrazyC83]

Tornado probs are 60/30.

SEL8

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 808
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1040 AM CST THU DEC 24 2009

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SMALL PART OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA
MUCH OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
MUCH OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI
COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1040 AM UNTIL
600 PM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 75 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
JACKSON MISSISSIPPI TO 10 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF BOOTHVILLE
LOUISIANA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 807...

DISCUSSION...WELL DEVELOPED SQUALL LINE N/S FROM NEAR NERN LA/MS
BORDER SWD INTO GULF WITH EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS WILL CONTINUE EWD
AHEAD OF STRONG UPPER SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM TX. WITH THE 100KT
MID LVL WIND MAX ROTATING NEWD ACROSS LWR MS VALLEY THIS
AFTERNOON...CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN VERY FAVORABLE FOR TORNADIC
SUPERCELLS WITHIN THE SQUALL LINE AS WELL AS ANY DESCRETE STORMS
AHEAD OF LINE PARTICULARLY SRN PORTION OF WATCH WHERE MORE UNSTABLE
AIR MASS WILL BE AVAILABLE. IN ADDITION INCREASING THREAT OF
DAMAGING WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE SQUALL LINE AS JET MAX MOVES
ACROSS AREA DURING AFTERNOON.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23040.


...HALES

[CrazyC83]

No Christmas Day off for the SPC, unfortunately...Mother Nature, you stupid grinch!!!

SPC AC 241653

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1053 AM CST THU DEC 24 2009

VALID 251200Z - 261200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM NERN FL NEWD INTO SERN
NC...

...SYNOPSIS...

SIGNIFICANT...NEGATIVELY-TILTED SHORT WAVE TROUGH INITIALLY FROM THE
MID MS VALLEY INTO SERN STATES WILL PIVOT NWD THROUGH THE TN/OH
VALLEYS AND GREAT LAKES...EFFECTIVELY REDEVELOPING DEEP-LAYER
CYCLONE NEWD TO OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST BY 26/12Z. AT THE
SURFACE...LOW PRESSURE INITIALLY OVER THE MID MS VALLEY WILL BECOME
DEEPLY OCCLUDED WHILE DEVELOPING NWWD INTO IA. MEANWHILE...24/12Z
MODEL GUIDANCE IS QUITE CONSISTENT IN SUGGESTING THAT SECONDARY
CYCLOGENESIS WILL OCCUR AT INTERSECTION OF SYNOPTIC COLD FRONT AND
RETREATING WEDGE FRONT...WITH THIS FEATURE DEVELOPING NEWD FROM NERN
GA INTO THE TIDEWATER REGION BY SATURDAY MORNING.

...NERN FL INTO THE SERN NC...

SRN EXTENSION OF SSELY LLJ WILL SERVE TO MAINTAIN AN INFLUX OF A
MOIST AIR MASS WITHIN SYSTEM WARM SECTOR...SUPPORTING DEWPOINTS IN
THE LOWER/MID 60S. WHILE LAPSE RATES WILL REMAIN RATHER WEAK...THIS
MOISTURE COUPLED WITH DIABATIC HEATING SHOULD SUPPORT WEAK
CONVECTIVE INSTABILITY WITH MLCAPE APPROACHING 500-1000 J/KG.

A FORCED BAND OF TSTMS IS EXPECTED TO BE ONGOING 25/12Z ALONG COLD
FRONT FROM CNTRL GA SWD INTO THE ERN FL PNHDL. NRN SEGMENT OF THIS
CONVECTIVE BAND BOUNDED BY THE SURFACE LOW AND WEDGE FRONT SHOULD
REMAIN WELL-ORGANIZED FRIDAY WHILE RAPIDLY DEVELOPING NEWD ACROSS
THE COASTAL PLAIN. ISALLOBARIC FORCING ALONG SURFACE LOW TRACK WILL
SERVE TO MAINTAIN BACKED LOW-LEVEL WINDS WITH RESULTANT WIND
PROFILES QUITE CONDUCIVE FOR SUPERCELLS EMBEDDED WITHIN LARGER-SCALE
CONVECTIVE SYSTEM. ANY MORE SUSTAINED/INTENSE STORMS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS ACROSS SLIGHT RISK AREA.

FARTHER S...TSTMS MAY TEND TO BECOME LESS ORGANIZED WITH TIME WHILE
PROGRESSING ACROSS THE CNTRL/SRN FL PENINSULA OWING TO WEAKENING
LARGE-SCALE FORCING AND VEERING LOW-LEVEL WIND FIELD.
NONETHELESS...THE PRESENCE OF MODEST INSTABILITY AND VERTICAL SHEAR
SUGGEST THAT THE MOST INTENSE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF STRONG WIND
GUSTS AND PERHAPS A BRIEF TORNADO OR TWO.

..MEAD.. 12/24/2009

CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z
CURRENT UTC TIME: 1730Z (12:30PM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME

[CrazyC83]

ZCZC SPCPWOSPC ALL
WOUS40 KWNS 241708
LAZ000-MSZ000-250200-

PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1108 AM CST THU DEC 24 2009

...SIGNIFICANT SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON...

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW STRONG TORNADOES OVER PARTS OF THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON.

THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE

SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI

ELSEWHERE...SEVERE STORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE FROM LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY EWD TO SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA AND FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

AT 11AM A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH A HISTORY OF SEVERE WEATHER
INCLUDING TORNADOES WAS LOCATED FROM VICINITY OF THE BORDER OF NERN
LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI SOUTHWARD INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO AND WILL
CONTINUE MOVING EASTWARD REACHING SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA BY LATE THIS
AFTERNOON. WITH A POWERFUL SYSTEM SURFACE AND ALOFT CONTINUING TO
DEVELOP ACROSS THE SOUTH CENTRAL U.S. TODAY AND THE APPROACH OF A
100 KT MID LEVEL JET...CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR NOT ONLY
TORNADOES BUT DAMAGING WINDS WITH AND AHEAD OF THE SQUALL LINE.
THERE IS THE POTENTIAL OF ISOLATED STRONG TORNADOES THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON ACROSS SERN LOUISIANA/SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI WHERE THE AIR
MASS CONTAINS GREATER MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY.

STATE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGERS ARE MONITORING THIS DEVELOPING
SITUATION. THOSE IN THE THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE
WEATHER SAFETY RULES AND TO LISTEN TO RADIO...TELEVISION...AND THE
NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR POSSIBLE WATCHES...WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS
TODAY.


..HALES.. 12/24/2009

$$

[fwbbreeze]

as I type this...pretty good rotation south of Navarre

TORNADO WARNING
FLC033-091-113-250130-
/O.NEW.KMOB.TO.W.0052.091225T0036Z-091225T0130Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
636 PM CST THU DEC 24 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN ESCAMBIA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...
SOUTHERN OKALOOSA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF FORT WALTON BEACH...
SOUTHEASTERN SANTA ROSA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF NAVARRE...

* UNTIL 730 PM CST

* AT 630 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
A TORNADO...30 MILES SOUTH OF NAVARRE...MOVING NORTH AT 40 MPH
TOWARDS THE BEACHES.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
NAVARRE BY 715 PM CST

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING...PREFERABLY IN AN INTERIOR HALLWAY OR A ROOM SUCH AS
A CLOSET OR BATHROOM. IF POSSIBLE...GET UNDER A WORKBENCH OR OTHER
PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY
AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CST FRIDAY MORNING FOR
SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

LAT...LON 3038 8699 3038 8697 3039 8699 3043 8698
3046 8693 3047 8697 3072 8690 3057 8646
3043 8655 3044 8658 3041 8657 3039 8658
3040 8674 3036 8700
TIME...MOT...LOC 0032Z 201DEG 34KT 3001 8698

[wgdade]

1st...Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays to all. A very rough night here in East Texas last night. I was either on the air or streaming live for 13 hours. Anyway, The tornado in Longview was rated an EF-2. From the damage I saw coming in during the broadcast it appeared to be EF-1 damage but affter daylight, and seeing all the damage, it was a bit stronger. The Lufkin damage appears to be an EF-3 at least from what I have seen. This could be one of the strongest tornadoes to hit without warning in quite some time. Another huge reason we need a doppler radar in SE Texas. This storm never really showed rotation from either the KPOE or KSHV sites. Under the beam! We are very lucky no one was killed in this storm. I have a doppler radar in Tyler and our sister station has one in Lufkin. However, I have no controll over the radar in Lufkin from our studio. This storm continued to show strong signs of rotation all the way to Gary, south of Carthage. As soon as I find out all the tornado paths I will post that information. I also plan on doing a study on this event to show why one of the largest radar holes in the country needs a new doppler radar for the NWS. If there was a doppler in SE Texas, that storm would have had a warning issued early. Shreveport did a very good job with their warnings last night. The warning for Cherokee CO was out 15 minutes before the tornado touched town and about 10 minutes before the Longview tornado touched down. There was no way to see the low level rotation developing in Angelina county before it was too late.

I will have more info on my blog over the next few days. I will post the link when it is up.