Possible winter weather-SE LA SW MS coastal MS next week?

[attallaman]

With all the discussion about winter weather impacting TX both this week and next week will the forecasted winter weather next week possibly impact parts of SE LA, SW MS and coastal MS next week? This inquiring mind from coastal MS would like to know.

[Nederlander]

just looking at the latest GFS, its looking like the 9 and 10 day range is showing the best chance at the moment. Theres potential for moisture along most of the gulf coast with below freezing temperatures dipping well into the GOM.

Of course the key phrase in what I just said was " the 9 and 10 day range ". For all we know, it could be sunny and 75 degrees in ten days.

[One Eye]

I agree, you can't trust the GFS or any model past 7 days. The last run of the
GFS has all but wiped out the winter storm but has the cold air still coming. Looks like we will get cold air intrusions the next 10 days. First tomorrow will be Canadian air mass then later next week(Wed or Thur)e will be some Artic air. Lets hope the models redevelop a low or this cold air will be entirely a waste besides killing mosquitoes and termites.

[Nederlander]

Yea the 18z gfs is nowhere near as wet as previous runs. lots of dry cold air.. get ready for flip flopping over the next week...

[Agua]

Lets hope the models redevelop a low or this cold air will be entirely a waste besides killing mosquitoes and termites.

Waste for you, but brings ducks for me! Bring it on!

[attallaman]

I watched 2 of the NOLA stations tonight, WDSU TV 6 and WWL TV 4 and both weather broadcasts showed a L developing next week, exiting off the S coast of TX near MX and entering the GOM, moving to the E but the L will be too far to the S to cause any problems here along my coast. Both stations did say it would be very cold here next week but little chance of precipitation.

[One Eye]

Looks like another low will develop next Thursday but that is a week away and a lot of things can happen. We need this low to develop in the gulf and keep us in the cold sector. After this low and attached artic front passes, the temps could possibly some of the coldest temps we've seen in a few years.

[attallaman]

Looks like another low will develop next Thursday but that is a week away and a lot of things can happen. We need this low to develop in the gulf and keep us in the cold sector. After this low and attached artic front passes, the temps could possibly some of the coldest temps we've seen in a few years.

How cold? Let your outside faucets drip pencil thin cold? Cover up your sago palms cold?

[One Eye]

Could possibly dip down to 20 degrees coast and teens inland, we'll have to see how the models play; still too early to tell but definitly freezing weather for lows the next several nights.

[attallaman]

Here's what Accuweather is saying for Biloxi next Tuesday night, January 05, 2010.

Tuesday Night, Jan 5
Low: 29 °F RealFeel®: 24 °F
Rain and ice late; otherwise, mostly cloudy with temperatures falling to near the record of 27

[attallaman]

Here's what Accuweather is saying for Biloxi next Friday night, January 08, 2010.

Friday Night, Jan 8
Low: 27 °F RealFeel®: 7 °F
Windy and colder with low clouds

[One Eye]

Here is wA POTENTIALLY VERY INTERESTING SITUATION DEVELOPS WEDNESDAY NIGHT
INTO THURSDAY. THE GFS...GEFS...AND ECWMF ARE ALL IN GOOD AGREEMENT
OF A STRONG SHORTWAVE DIVING SOUTH OUT OF CENTRAL CANADA INTO THE
MIDWEST ON THURSDAY. A STRONG UPPER LEVEL JET ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE
TROUGH HELPS TO DEVELOP A SFC LOW OVER THE WESTERN GULF...WHICH MOVES
EAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. GIVEN THE EXTENT OF COLD AIR IN
PLACE PRIOR TO THIS LOW...THE EXACT TRACK WOULD HAVE SIGNIFICANT
IMPLICATIONS ON OUR WEATHER. THE ECMWF AND GEFS MEAN SHOW A MORE
SUPPRESSED TRACK OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COMPARED TO THE GFS. A
SUPPRESSED SOLUTION DOES MAKE SENSE WITH THE SFC RIDGING AND AMOUNT
OF COLD AIR PRECEDING THE LOW WHICH HELPS TO SHIFT THE BAROCLINIC
ZONE FURTHER SOUTH. IF THIS WERE TO COME TO FRUITION...THEN THERE WOULD
BE A CHANCE OF SOME SNOW...ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTHERN COUNTIES. IF
A 00Z GFS TRACK WITH THE LOW FURTHER NORTH HAPPENED...THEN WE WOULD
BE LOOKING AT MAINLY A RAIN EVENT. OUT OF RESPECT OF THE ECMWF AND
ITS AGREEMENT WITH THE GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN...HAVE INTRODUCED A CHANCE
OF RAIN AND SNOW OVER NORTHERN ZONES WED NIGHT...BUT CAPPED POPS AT
30 PERCENT. A SMALL CHANCE OF RAIN THEN CARRIES INTO THURSDAY AS
BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPS WARM. SINCE THIS IS STILL 6 DAYS OUT...A LOT OF
UNCERTAINTY EXISTS AND PLENTY OF TIME FOR THE GUIDANCE TO CHANGE
ITS TUNE. HOWEVER...THE ECWMF HAS BEEN STEADFAST IN SHOWING A LOW
FOR SEVERAL MODEL RUNS NOW AND IS GAINING SUPPORT OF OTHER MEDIUM
RANGE GUIDANCE. STAY TUNED. 34/JFB

&&

.AVIATION...(12Z ISSUANCE) GIVEN LATEST OBSERVATIONS UPSTREAM...A
BLEND OF IFR/MVFR CIGS IS POSSIBLE THROUGH THE MORNING. WE THINK THE
CLOUDS SHOULD MIX OUT AFT 18Z AS MID LEVEL SYSTEM MOVES OUT.
THOUGH...WOULDN`T BE SURPRISED TO SEE THEM HANG ON A LITTLE LONGER
PAST 18Z AS WELL BEHIND THE SYSTEM OVER THE UPPER TEXAS COAST FCSTRS
SEEING 1 TO 2 KFT CIGS. RADAR SHOWS LIGHT RAINS MOVING QUICKLY
EASTWARD EARLY THIS AM. THUS...ANY IMPACTS WILL BE BRIEF. OUTSIDE OF
CIGS...MAIN CONCERN FOR DEPARTURES/APPROACHES WILL BE INCREASED
NORTHERLY WINDS IN THE SURFACE TO 2 KFT LAYER. NOT ENOUGH TO MENTION
NON-CONVECTIVE LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR IN THE TAFS. BUT STILL AN ISSUE
TODAY. VFR CONDITIONS TONIGHT. /10

&&

.MARINE...A STRONG CANADIAN RIDGE OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING
OVER THE NATIONS HEARTLAND BRINGS A REINFORCING SURGE OF COLDER AIR. A
STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW AND A BUILDING TREND IN SEAS IS EXPECTED THROUGH
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. LATEST GRIDDED FORECASTS OF WINDS AND SEAS
SUGGEST EXTENDING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH 3 AM SATURDAY AM
FOR THE 20 TO 60 NM ZONES. WINDS DECREASE AND SEAS SUBSIDE LATER IN
THE WEEKEND AS THE AXIS OF THE HIGH MOVES MORE TO THE EAST...INTO THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. HOWEVER...BY THE START OF NEXT
WEEK...ANOTHER STRONG CANADIAN HIGH BECOMES ESTABLISHED OVER THE
CENTER OF THE COUNTRY. THE RESULT IS AN INCREASE IN NORTHERLY FLOW
AND A BUILD IN SEAS. THE HIGHER SEAS LATE IN THE FORECAST ARE
FORECAST WELL OFFSHORE AS THE STRONG NORTHERLY FETCH SUPPORTS BETTER
DEVELOPED SEAS THERE. /10

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...LIGHT RAIN WILL QUICKLY SHIFT EAST TODAY AS A POTENT
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. MUCH DRIER AND COOLER
AIR WILL BEGIN TO FILTER INTO THE AREA TODAY...WITH THE AIRMASS
CONTINUING TO GET COOLER AND DRIER OVER THE WEEKEND. AFTN RH VALUES
WILL LIKELY DROP TO BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR SEVERAL HOURS ON
SATURDAY...PROMPTING THE NEED FOR A FIRE WEATHER WATCH OVER THE NW FL
PANHANDLE. 34/JFB

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE 51 29 51 26 / 20 00 00 00
PENSACOLA 55 31 53 29 / 30 00 00 00
DESTIN 56 35 53 31 / 30 00 00 00
EVERGREEN 49 27 48 24 / 30 00 00 00
WAYNESBORO 49 28 49 23 / 20 00 00 00
CAMDEN 49 26 47 22 / 20 00 00 00
CRESTVIEW 52 26 52 23 / 30 00 00 00

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM NOON SATURDAY TO 5 PM SATURDAY FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...
COASTAL SANTA ROSA...INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA...
AND INLAND SANTA ROSA.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
AND MOBILE BAY.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM...AND
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20
NM.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 AM SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES: WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60
NM...AND WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20
TO 60 NM.

&&








Here is what I was saying last might hope this better explains it.

[attallaman]

Our local met with WLOX TV 13 mentioned tonight the possibility of some form of frozen precip here late on Thursday into early Friday and very cold temps. I have a washer out in a utility room off of my carport which is not a part of the main house which gets heated, if the temps do drop here into the low 20's later this week any suggestions on how I could take measures to protect my washer? Hang a light over the faucets coming out of the wall? My house is old, built back in the 60's at a time when developers didn't build homes here with the washer and dryer in heated or cooled areas of the house. I have a natural gas hot water tank, my utility room doors are louvered for ventilation. I do plan to let my outside faucets drip pencil thin on the coldest nights this coming week and might let a few drip inside the house just to play it safe.

[One Eye]

Our local met with WLOX TV 13 mentioned tonight the possibility of some form of frozen precip here late on Thursday into early Friday and very cold temps. I have a washer out in a utility room off of my carport which is not a part of the main house which gets heated, if the temps do drop here into the low 20's later this week any suggestions on how I could take measures to protect my washer? Hang a light over the faucets coming out of the wall? My house is old, built back in the 60's at a time when developers didn't build homes here with the washer and dryer in heated or cooled areas of the house. I have a natural gas hot water tank, my utility room doors are louvered for ventilation. I do plan to let my outside faucets drip pencil thin on the coldest nights this coming week and might let a few drip inside the house just to play it safe.

If you're Steven from Biloxi, the weather Channel just posted the answer on how to weatherize your pipes and washer. Basically said to insulate pipes as much as possible.

[attallaman]

Our local met with WLOX TV 13 mentioned tonight the possibility of some form of frozen precip here late on Thursday into early Friday and very cold temps. I have a washer out in a utility room off of my carport which is not a part of the main house which gets heated, if the temps do drop here into the low 20's later this week any suggestions on how I could take measures to protect my washer? Hang a light over the faucets coming out of the wall? My house is old, built back in the 60's at a time when developers didn't build homes here with the washer and dryer in heated or cooled areas of the house. I have a natural gas hot water tank, my utility room doors are louvered for ventilation. I do plan to let my outside faucets drip pencil thin on the coldest nights this coming week and might let a few drip inside the house just to play it safe.

If you're Steven from Biloxi, the weather Channel just posted the answer on how to weatherize your pipes and washer. Basically said to insulate pipes as much as possible.

Thanks, I missed it.

[attallaman]

7-Day Forecast: Keesler Afb
Sunday

50°
29°
Partly Cloudy
Monday

48°
25°
Partly Cloudy
Tuesday

46°
22°
Mostly Sunny
Wednesday

51°
17°
Increasing Clouds
Thursday

47°
35°
Scattered PM Showers
Friday

41°
25°
AM Showers
Saturday

44°
21°Mostly Sunny