SE TX/SW LA Winter WX - 2011-2012

[vbhoutex]

A snippet from HOU/GALV NWS outlook:

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

AN ARCTIC AIRMASS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST TEXAS LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT OR THURSDAY. THOUGH THE FORECAST IS SUBJECT TO
CHANGE IN THE COMING DAYS...LONG PERIODS OF FREEZING TEMPERATURES
ARE LOOKING TO BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...STARTING
THURSDAY AND GOING INTO NEXT WEEKEND. OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER
IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

[srainhoutx]

HGX thoughts this afternoon...

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
236 PM CST SAT JAN 2 2010

.DISCUSSION...
CIRRUS CONTINUES TO THICKEN ACROSS THE AREA AS PACIFIC MOISTURE
STREAMS ACROSS WITH AN UPPER LEVEL JET. ALSO SEEING SOME CU FORM
AROUND 4 KFT ACROSS SW SECTIONS WHERE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IS A
LITTLE DEEPER. OVERALL WILL SEE CLOUD COVER INCREASE TONIGHT WITH
MID AND HIGH CLOUDS. SLIGHT CHC OF RAIN ON SUNDAY ACROSS THE
SOUTHWEST 1/2 OF THE AREA WHERE DEEPER MOISTURE WILL RESIDE. THE
NEXT CF WILL REINFORCE THE COOL AIRMASS AND PUSH THROUGH THE AREA
ON SUN NIGHT.

MAIN ISSUE THIS FORECAST PERIOD CONTINUES TO BE THE ARCTIC AIRMASS
WHICH IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO AFFECT SE TX LATE WED NIGHT AND/OR
ON THU. LATEST GFS HAS THE ARCTIC FRONT ENTERING NW AREAS AROUND
SUNRISE ON THU...ECMWF IS A LITTLE SLOWER BRINGING IT IN DURING
THE DAY ON THU. HAVE SIDED WITH THE SLIGHTLY FASTER GFS. MADE
SOME SLIGHT TEMP ADJUSTMENTS UPWARDS EARLY ON THU FOR THE SE
1/2 OF THE AREA. TEMPS WILL FALL BEHIND THE FRONT ON THU...JUST
HARD TO TIME THIS EVENT ATTM. EXPECT A TIGHT TEMP GRADIENT ALONG
THE FRONT AND WHEN THE EVENT GETS CLOSER WE CAN HONE IN ON THOSE
DETAILS. STILL LOOKS LIKE WE MAY SEE SOME SLEET ACROSS NW AREAS ON
THU MORNING AS THE COLD AIR SLIDES IN AND THE PRECIP TAPERS OFF.
HOWEVER...EXPECT MOST PRECIP TO BE ENDING AS THE FRONT MOVES
ACROSS. STAY TUNED...STILL A LONG WAY OUT TO TRY TO FIGURE ALL OF
THIS OUT. FRI AND SAT MORNING TEMPS LOOK VERY COLD WITH MIN TEMPS
WELL BELOW FREEZING ACROSS ALL INLAND AREAS. IT DOES LOOK LIKE
THIS AIRMASS WILL BE COLD ENOUGH TO BRING GLS FREEZING TEMPS FRI
MORNING AND PERHAPS ON SAT MORNING.
&&

.MARINE... EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS MIGHT INCREASE ENOUGH ON
SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT IN RESPONSE TO WEAK COASTAL TROUGHING TO
WARRANT CAUTION FLAGS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WATERS. ANOTHER COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE COAST LATE SUNDAY NIGHT OR EARLY ON MONDAY
RESULTING IN STRENGTHENING OFFSHORE WINDS AND POSSIBLE
CAUTION/ADVISORY FLAGS. WINDS AND SEAS COME DOWN BEGINNING ON
TUESDAY AS THE GRADIENT RELAXES. WINDS THEN COME AROUND TO THE
EAST TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AND BEGIN TO STRENGTHEN IN
RESPONSE TO A TIGHTENING GRADIENT. EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS
WEDNESDAY THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING COULD REACH CAUTION OR
ADVISORY SPEEDS. A VERY STRONG ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO
AND THROUGH THE COASTAL WATERS THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. VERY STRONG NORTH WINDS POSSIBLY REACHING OR
EXCEEDING GALE FORCE AND VERY ROUGH SEAS CAN BE EXPECTED BEHIND
THE FRONT AS A VERY COLD AIRMASS SETTLES INTO THE AREA. GALE
WARNINGS MIGHT BE NEEDED. WINDS AND SEAS WILL START TO COME DOWN
SLOWLY ON FRIDAY AS THE GRADIENT BEGINS TO WEAKEN. 42

[srainhoutx]

Lake Charles thoughts this afternoon...

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
400 PM CST SAT JAN 2 2010

.DISCUSSION...
LATEST VIS SAT IMAGERY SHOWS SCT HIGH CIRRUS STREAMING OVER THE
ENTIRE AREA. RATHER COOL TEMPS CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION...MAINLY
IN THE LOWER/MID 50S.

FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND...THE LARGE SFC HIGH OVER THE
UPPER MS VALLEY INTO CANADA WILL CONTINUE TO INFLUENCE OUR WEATHER
WITH COLD CONDITIONS. THE BULK OF THE ARCTIC AIR WITH THIS HIGH
WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE UPPER MS VALLEY...WHERE -20 TO -30 TEMPS
WERE COMMON THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...WE WILL CONTINUE TO BE ON THE
EDGE OF THIS VERY LARGE HIGH...EXPECTING ANOTHER FREEZE TONIGHT
FROM THE I-10 CORRIDOR NORTHWARD WITH READINGS 30 TO 32...AND UPPER
20S ACROSS INLAND SE TX/C LA. HIGHS SUN WILL BE A COUPLE OF
DEGREES COOLER THAN TODAY...EXPECTING UPPER 40S N TO NEAR 50/LOWER
50S SOUTH.

THE UPPER AIR PATTERN WILL BECOME EVEN MORE FAVORABLE TO ALLOW
MORE COLD AIR TO SPILL SOUTH NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL BE CHARACTERIZED
BY A PREDOMINATE N-NW FLOW ALOFT...DOMINATED BY A DEEP LAYER TROF
OVER THE MS VALLEY WITH A PRONOUNCED LOW OVER HUDSON BAY/EASTERN
CANADA. THE SFC HIGH WILL CONTINUE TO SLIDE SOUTH...LOOSING SOME
OF ITS PUCH...BUT NEVERTHELESS CONTINUING TO BRING COOLER AIR TO
THE REGION. LOWS FOR MON AND TUE WILL REMAIN IN THE UPPER 20S
ACROSS INLAND SE TX/NEAR 30 ALONG THE I-10 CORRIDOR...WITH WED
MORNING SEEING MID TO UPPER 20S AREAWIDE.

BY WED...BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE SHOWING A VERY POTENT
SHORTWAVE AND JETMAX ACROSS THE UPPER ROCKIES TO MOVE RAPIDLY
SE...UNLEASING A LARGE FRIGED 1056MB HIGH OUT OF C CANADA. THIS
HIGH IS EXPECTED TO PLUNGE SSE ACROSS THE C PLAINS...AND MOVE
THROUGH THE AREA DURING THE DAY THU OF WHAT COULD BE THE MOST
SIGNIFICANT COLD SNAP FOR OUR REGION SINCE FEB 1996 (HOPEFULLY NOT
TO RIVAL THE DEC 1989 OUTBREAK). THE GFS MEX GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO
SHOW LOWS TOO WARM FOR THIS TYPE OF AIRMASS SPILLING SOUTH...ESPECIALLY
WHEN ITS LIKELY TO CONTAIN DEWPTS IN THE LOWER SINGLE DIGITS TO
POSSIBLY BELOW ZERO FAHRENHEIT. THE MODERATION (OR LACK OF) THE
AIRMASS WILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON HOW MUCH SNOWCOVER REMAINS
ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PLAINS. NEVERTHELESS...LOW TEMPS
FOR FRI AND SAT LOOK TO BE IN THE MID/UPPER TEENS FOR INLAND SE
TX/C LA...TO UPPER TEENS/NEAR 20 ALONG THE I-10 CORRIDOR. THIS
AREA HASN`T EXPERIENCE TEMPS THIS LOW SINCE FEB 1996.
DML

[southerngale]

re: my previous post on the bottom of the last page


Uh, nevermind.


Thursday: A 20 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 39.

Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 20.

Friday: Sunny, with a high near 33.

Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 18.

Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 36.

Great Scott... that's cold. I've seen indications that the daytime highs might be too high though. Regardless, time to get more firewood.

[CajunMama]

Ugh. I've got 2 mardi gras balls this weekend. Not the kind of cold weather i want to go out in.

[srainhoutx]

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
338 PM CST SUN JAN 3 2010

TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-041200-
HOUSTON-TRINITY-MADISON-WALKER-SAN JACINTO-POLK-BURLESON-BRAZOS-
WASHINGTON-GRIMES-MONTGOMERY-LIBERTY-COLORADO-AUSTIN-WALLER-
HARRIS-CHAMBERS-WHARTON-FORT BEND-JACKSON-MATAGORDA-BRAZORIA-
GALVESTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROCKETT...TRINITY...GROVETON...
MADISONVILLE...HUNTSVILLE...SHEPHERD...COLDSPRING...LIVINGSTON...
CORRIGAN...ONALASKA...CALDWELL...LAKE SOMERVILLE...
COLLEGE STATION...BRYAN...BRENHAM...NAVASOTA...THE WOODLANDS...
CONROE...WILLIS...LIBERTY...CLEVELAND...DAYTON...COLUMBUS...
EAGLE LAKE...WEIMAR...SEALY...BELLVILLE...HEMPSTEAD...
PRAIRIE VIEW...BROOKSHIRE...HOUSTON...PASADENA...KATY...TOMBALL...
HUMBLE...WINNIE...MONT BELVIEU...ANAHUAC...EL CAMPO...WHARTON...
PIERCE...SUGAR LAND...MISSOURI CITY...RICHMOND...ROSENBERG...
EDNA...BAY CITY...PALACIOS...PEARLAND...LAKE JACKSON...ALVIN...
ANGLETON...FREEPORT...LEAGUE CITY...TEXAS CITY...FRIENDSWOOD...
GALVESTON
338 PM CST SUN JAN 3 2010

...ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL BRING MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES TO
SOUTHEAST TEXAS ON THURSDAY...

AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST TEXAS LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS WILL USHER IN A VERY COLD
AIRMASS ON THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL DURING THE
DAY ON THURSDAY WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE MID 20S ACROSS
NORTHWEST AREAS AND TO NEAR THE FREEZING MARK AS FAR SOUTH AS I-10
IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND CHILL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL
INTO THE TEENS AND 20S ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND REACH THE SINGLE
DIGITS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS ON THURSDAY NIGHT.

THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR SOME SLEET OR SNOW LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
AND INTO THURSDAY MORNING BEHIND THE ARCTIC FRONT FOR AREAS
NORTHWEST OF HIGHWAY 59. HOWEVER...MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO BE
LIMITED IN THE COLD AIRMASS AND LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATION IS
EXPECTED AT THIS POINT.

THE MUCH COLDER AIRMASS WILL PRODUCE A HARD FREEZE FOR INLAND
AREAS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING AND AGAIN ON FRIDAY NIGHT
AND SATURDAY MORNING. A FREEZE IS EXPECTED ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
COAST FRIDAY AND SATURDAY MORNINGS. FURTHER DETAILS ON THE DURATION
OF FREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL BE PROVIDED AS THE EVENT NEARS AND
THE MAGNITUDE OF THE EVENT BECOMES CLEARER.

RESIDENTS SHOULD PREPARE FOR EXTENDED PERIODS OF FREEZING
TEMPERATURES FROM THURSDAY TROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. SENSITIVE PLANTS
AND ANIMALS WILL REQUIRE PROTECTION AND A HARD FREEZE CAN CAUSE
DAMAGE TO EXPOSED PIPES.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL MEDIA...OR COMMERCIAL
RADIO FOR THE LATEST ON THIS EVENT...OR VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WEATHER.GOV/HOUSTON.

[attallaman]

Ugh. I've got 2 mardi gras balls this weekend. Not the kind of cold weather i want to go out in.

Do you decorate your place for Mardi Gras? Convert your artificial tree if you had one up for Christmas to a Mardi Gras tree? Hang a Mardi Gras wreath by your front door? Just curious. Before Katrina decorating for Mardi Gras was starting to be a big deal here but since Katrina not as much.

[Jagno]

I feel for ya CajunMama......................if they would just make these evening gowns with sleeves. Since DH is once again the President of Mardi Gras for SW Louisiana we attend way too many balls but have narrowed it down to 3 or 4 per season. I refuse to ever attend 31 balls again in my life. That's called "Too much of a good thing!"

attallaman; I'm not CM but I do decorate every room in the house for Mardi Gras and no, it doesn't include recycling the Christmas Tree although I've do use the greenery on the mantel and around the doorways and wreaths. I fill them full of masks, purple/green/gold decorative balls and fleur de lis ornaments and ribbons. I have the beautiful dishes that I set out on my diningroom table with accent peices in the china cabinet. I have a georgeous table runner and place mats that I found at Wal Mart last year. I have the purple, green and gold sheet sets and comforters for my bed with mardi gras satin pillows. I have tapestry throw pillows and afghan throws for the couch. I even acquired purple rugs with a large gold fleur de lis emblem for the bathroom which I had a carpet company add a beautiful green braid trim to as well as I added it on my decorative towels I had embroidered to match the rugs. I'm still missing a few peices from Rita but even 4 years later we're still finding missing things so there's always hope.

Okay, back on topic. I just saw a thread where the SE part of our state is forcasted for snow. Helloooooooo, didn't they get the memo that we were the ones requesting it here in the SW part of the state? DH was doing plumbing most of the day on a new addition. We are hoping to finish it up tomorrow and get it covered before the freezes burst the pipes.

I know that we kid alot about getting some of the white fluffy stuff while we've got folks in dire straights in the mid section of the country paralyzed by this terrible storm. We do keep you in our prayers.

[LaBreeze]

I feel for ya CajunMama......................if they would just make these evening gowns with sleeves. Since DH is once again the President of Mardi Gras for SW Louisiana we attend way too many balls but have narrowed it down to 3 or 4 per season. I refuse to ever attend 31 balls again in my life. That's called "Too much of a good thing!"

attallaman; I'm not CM but I do decorate every room in the house for Mardi Gras and no, it doesn't include recycling the Christmas Tree although I've do use the greenery on the mantel and around the doorways and wreaths. I fill them full of masks, purple/green/gold decorative balls and fleur de lis ornaments and ribbons. I have the beautiful dishes that I set out on my diningroom table with accent peices in the china cabinet. I have a georgeous table runner and place mats that I found at Wal Mart last year. I have the purple, green and gold sheet sets and comforters for my bed with mardi gras satin pillows. I have tapestry throw pillows and afghan throws for the couch. I even acquired purple rugs with a large gold fleur de lis emblem for the bathroom which I had a carpet company add a beautiful green braid trim to as well as I added it on my decorative towels I had embroidered to match the rugs. I'm still missing a few peices from Rita but even 4 years later we're still finding missing things so there's always hope.

Okay, back on topic. I just saw a thread where the SE part of our state is forcasted for snow. Helloooooooo, didn't they get the memo that we were the ones requesting it here in the SW part of the state? DH was doing plumbing most of the day on a new addition. We are hoping to finish it up tomorrow and get it covered before the freezes burst the pipes.

I know that we kid alot about getting some of the white fluffy stuff while we've got folks in dire straights in the mid section of the country paralyzed by this terrible storm. We do keep you in our prayers.

Just the SE part? What about the SW? Is it only expected there? I'm hearing northern part of the state and now the SE. Hmm, I guess we'll just be dry and cold here.

[CajunMama]

I don't decorate very much. I'm usually too tired after Christmas. I put out my collection of over 100 santas. I do decorate the foyer table and fireplace mantle. I'm hoping that the weather will be nice for our parade on Feb. 6 (hear that mother nature??????).

OT...Jagno, we spent new years eve in moss bluff. Went into lake charles for dinner at the harlequin. Great steaks! Then went to L'Auberge where i won $80. First time i've ever won at a casino.

[LaBreeze]

Congrats CajunMama on the casino win! Are you thinking we may get some moisture with this arctic cold? Your thoughts?

[southerngale]

NWS LCH overnight update: Beaumont went from 20% chance sleet on Thursday to 40% chance snow/sleet!

I'm still not holding my breath, but definitely liking the trend.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
326 AM CST MON JAN 4 2010


.DISCUSSION...

AN ARCTIC BLAST APPEARS TO BE HEADING OUR WAY FOR THE END OF THE
WEEK...WITH POSSIBLY THE COLDEST AIR WE HAVE SEEN SINCE THE WINTER
OF 1996 AND RECORDS COULD BE THREATENED BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

LATEST IMAGERY SHOWS A DECK OF CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA AND ANOTHER
REINFORCING SHOT OF COLD AIR BEHIND A COLD FRONT MOVING SOUTHWARD
ACROSS NORTHERN LOUISIANA THROUGH EAST TEXAS. CLOUDS WILL BE AROUND
MOST OF TODAY AND TEMPS WILL STRUGGLE TO REACH THE MID TO UPPER
40S AREA WIDE THANKS TO COLD AIR ADVECTION. TONIGHT LOOKS VERY
CHILLY WITH CLEARING SKIES AND COLD HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN WITH
TEMPS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 20S. WENT AHEAD AND ISSUED A HARD
FREEZE WARNING FOR ALL AREAS WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE VERY
IMMEDIATE COASTLINE FOR TONIGHT.

COLD AND QUIET WEATHER ANTICIPATED UNTIL WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
THURSDAY MORNING WHEN AN ARCTIC FRONT WILL BLAST THROUGH THE
AREA. THERE IS QUITE A SNOW PACK ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE
CONUS AND A VERY COLD DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE 1054 MB WILL SLIDING
SOUTH FROM CANADA. THIS PIECE OF ARCTIC WILL HAVE NO PROBLEM
MAKING ITSELF FELT ALL THE WAY TO THE SOUTHERN CONUS. THE TIMING
OF THE COLD AIR ADVECTION WITH THE FRONT AND THE LAGGING PRECIP
BEHIND THE FRONT ON THURSDAY BECOMES PROBLEMATIC. LOOKS LIKE THE
ARCTIC WILL BE ABLE TO CATCH UP WITH THE PRECIP FROM NORTHWEST TO
SOUTHEAST BEFORE LEAVING THE AREA AND CHANGE FROM LIGHT RAIN TO
SLEET TO MAYBE EVEN SOME LIGHT SNOW BEFORE ENDING THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. THIS FORECAST WILL BE FINE TUNE AS THIS EVENT GETS
CLOSER. THE MAIN STORY FOR FRIDAY MORNING AND SATURDAY MORNING
WILL BE THE EXTREMELY FRIDGED AIR ACROSS THE REGION AND RESIDENTS
NEED TO PREPARE FOR OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER TEENS WITH HIGHS
ONLY BE IN THE 30S FRIDAY. WIND CHILLS VALUES COULD BE IN THE
SINGLE DIGITS WHICH WOULD JUSTICE POSSIBLE WIND CHILL ADVISORIES.
A SLOW MODERATION OF TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN BY THE EARLY PART OF
NEXT WEEK BUT STILL BELOW AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.


&&

.MARINE...
A REINFORCING SHOT OF COLD AIR WITH A FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE
COASTAL WATERS TODAY. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION WITH
WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN AFTER TONIGHT AND A
STRONG ARCTIC FRONT WILL ARRIVE THURSDAY MORNING WITH POSSIBLE
GALE FORCE WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT ON THURSDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH 48 27 49 29 52 / 0 0 0 0 10
KBPT 48 26 49 31 52 / 0 0 0 0 10
KAEX 43 25 44 25 49 / 0 0 0 0 10
KLFT 46 27 48 26 52 / 0 0 0 0 10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...HARD FREEZE WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM CST TUESDAY
FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: ACADIA...ALLEN...AVOYELLES...
BEAUREGARD...CALCASIEU...CAMERON...EVANGELINE...IBERIA...
JEFFERSON DAVIS...LAFAYETTE...LOWER ST. MARTIN...RAPIDES...
ST. LANDRY...ST. MARY...UPPER ST. MARTIN...VERMILION...
VERNON.

TX...HARD FREEZE WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM CST TUESDAY
FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: HARDIN...JASPER...JEFFERSON...
NEWTON...ORANGE...TYLER.

[srainhoutx]

HGX this morning. Surprisingly or not, the Cold Front this morning is colder than was progged. Amazing what a fresh layer of snow cover to our N can do. Stepping Down...

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
402 AM CST MON JAN 4 2010

.DISCUSSION...
LOOKS LIKE THE REINFORCING FRONT THAT IS PUSHING THRU THE REGION
IS A BIT COLDER THAN YDAY`S THINKING. IN ADDITION...CLOUDINESS MAY
LINGER INTO THE LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTN HOURS WHICH SHOULD KEEP
TEMPS FROM WARMING ALL THAT MUCH. TWEAKED TEMPS DOWNWARD FOR BOTH
TODAY AND TONIGHT. IN FACT...NE PORTIONS OF THE CWA (GENERALLY
FROM MADISONVILLE TO CLEVELAND NEWD) WILL FLIRT WITH HARD FREEZE
WARNING CRITERIA TONIGHT - TEMPS <25 FOR 2+ HOURS. WILL LET THE
NEXT SHIFT TAKE ANOTHER LOOK AT THINGS BEFORE ISSUING AS THEY ARE
BORDERLINE AT THE MOMENT.

ARCTIC FRONT TO ON TRACK TO ARRIVE LATE WED NIGHT AND EARLY THURS
MORNING. PREFER GFS FRONTAL TIMING ALTHOUGH IT`S THE FASTEST ONE
OUT THERE. DENSE COLD AIR AND SNOWPACK TO THE NORTH SHOULD FAVOR
A FASTER SOLN. EXPECT RAINFALL AHEAD OF AND ALONG THE BOUNDARY AS
IT NEARS THE AREA. STILL UNCERTAINTY IF THERE WILL BE ANY POST
FRONTAL PRECIP WHICH MAY BECOME MIXED WITH SLEET/SNOW...BUT
LONGEVITY OF ANY WINTERY PRECIP SHOULD BE JUST A MATTER OF A FEW
HOURS WITH NO SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION EXPECTED.

ONLY CHANGES THE THE REST OF THE PACKAGE WERE TO LOWER TEMPS FRIDAY
THRU SUN MORNING...ESP FRI NIGHT. THIS SHOULD BE THE COLDEST WX IN
YEARS WITH EXTENDED PERIODS OF FREEZING TEMPS. HWO AND SPS ALREADY
HAVE THINGS WELL COVERED AND WILL RESEND BY 5 AM.

GRADUAL WARM-UP (BUT STILL COOL BY SE TX STANDARDS) EXPECTED EARLY
NEXT WEEK...FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER HEALTHY FRONT TOWARD JAN 13. 47

&&

.MARINE...
THE COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE COASTAL WATERS ATTM. NLY WINDS SHOULD
PICK UP OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HRS AS THE COLDER AIR SETTLES ACROSS
THE REGION. HOWEVER WILL LIKELY JUST MAINTAIN THE SCEC OVER JUST THE
OFFSHORE (20-60NM) WATERS THROUGH MID MORNING AS HIGH PRESSURE LOOKS
TO BE BUILDING IN QUICKLY FROM THE NORTH. WINDS TO DIMINISH TONIGHT/
TUES BEFORE SHIFTING TO THE E/SE AND INCREASING ON WEDS AHEAD OF THE
DEVELOPING COASTAL LOW. STILL FORECASTING A STRONG COLD FRONT TO HIT
THE WATERS AROUND DAYBREAK THURS. GALE FORCE WINDS ARE VERY POSSIBLE
BEHIND THIS FRONT FOR THURS/THURS NIGHT. GIVEN THE PUSH OF VERY COLD
ARCTIC AIR WINDS NOT REALLY EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA
UNTIL MAYBE LATE SAT. 41

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
437 AM CST MON JAN 4 2010

TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-050400-
HOUSTON-TRINITY-MADISON-WALKER-SAN JACINTO-POLK-BURLESON-BRAZOS-
WASHINGTON-GRIMES-MONTGOMERY-LIBERTY-COLORADO-AUSTIN-WALLER-
HARRIS-CHAMBERS-WHARTON-FORT BEND-JACKSON-MATAGORDA-BRAZORIA-
GALVESTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROCKETT...TRINITY...GROVETON...
MADISONVILLE...HUNTSVILLE...SHEPHERD...COLDSPRING...LIVINGSTON...
CORRIGAN...ONALASKA...CALDWELL...LAKE SOMERVILLE...
COLLEGE STATION...BRYAN...BRENHAM...NAVASOTA...THE WOODLANDS...
CONROE...WILLIS...LIBERTY...CLEVELAND...DAYTON...COLUMBUS...
EAGLE LAKE...WEIMAR...SEALY...BELLVILLE...HEMPSTEAD...
PRAIRIE VIEW...BROOKSHIRE...HOUSTON...PASADENA...KATY...TOMBALL...
HUMBLE...WINNIE...MONT BELVIEU...ANAHUAC...EL CAMPO...WHARTON...
PIERCE...SUGAR LAND...MISSOURI CITY...RICHMOND...ROSENBERG...
EDNA...BAY CITY...PALACIOS...PEARLAND...LAKE JACKSON...ALVIN...
ANGLETON...FREEPORT...LEAGUE CITY...TEXAS CITY...FRIENDSWOOD...
GALVESTON
437 AM CST MON JAN 4 2010

...ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL BRING MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES TO
SOUTHEAST TEXAS ON THURSDAY...

AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST TEXAS LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS
WILL USHER IN A VERY COLD AIRMASS ON THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO FALL DURING THE DAY ON THURSDAY WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING
INTO THE MID 20S ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND
TO NEAR THE FREEZING MARK AS FAR SOUTH AS I-10 BY LATE AFTERNOON.
WIND CHILL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL INTO THE TEENS AND
20S ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND REACH THE SINGLE DIGITS ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS ON THURSDAY NIGHT.

THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR SOME SLEET OR SNOW LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
AND INTO THURSDAY MORNING BEHIND THE ARCTIC FRONT FOR AREAS
NORTHWEST OF HIGHWAY 59. HOWEVER...MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO BE
LIMITED IN THE COLD AIRMASS AND LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATION IS
EXPECTED AT THIS POINT.

THE MUCH COLDER AIRMASS WILL PRODUCE A HARD FREEZE FOR INLAND
AREAS BETWEEN THURSDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...MAINLY IN THE OVERNIGHT
AND MORNING HOURS. A FREEZE IS EXPECTED ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
BEACHES THROUGH THE SAME TIME PERIOD...BUT NOT LIKELY BELOW THE 25
DEGREE THRESHOLD FOR A HARD FREEZE WARNING. FURTHER DETAILS ON
THE DURATION OF FREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL BE PROVIDED AS THE
EVENT NEARS AND THE MAGNITUDE OF THE EVENT BECOMES CLEARER.

RESIDENTS SHOULD PREPARE FOR EXTENDED PERIODS OF FREEZING
TEMPERATURES FROM THURSDAY TROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. SENSITIVE PLANTS
AND ANIMALS WILL REQUIRE PROTECTION. A HARD FREEZE CAN CAUSE
DAMAGE TO EXPOSED PIPES. BEGIN MAKING PLANS FOR FOLKS THAT MIGHT
NEED A LITTLE EXTRA HELP...ESPECIALLY THE ELDERLY. EXTRA PROTECTIVE
CLOTHING WILL BE NEEDED FOR ANYONE EXPECTED TO BE OUTDOORS AT
THESE TIMES.

[southerngale]

Well, now it's just a slight chance of sprinkles/flurries for Thursday and slight chance of flurries on Friday. Not even a percentage amount. lol

And they raised the temps... lots of low to mid 20s this week, but the lowest low predicted for me is now 21, instead of the teens.


Yes, srain... it seems to always be colder than expected.

[southerngale]

Hard freeze warning for tonight/tomorrow morning. Think about laying next to the pool in 90° weather to warm up. lol
Oh how the summer was so hot and I couldn't wait for winter. Now a warm day every blue moon might be appreciated. It's so cold outside!! Brrrr... and it's just going to get colder!

Please just send snow as it's been exactly a month since I've had a snowball fight. What's the holdup?

Hard Freeze Warning

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1254 PM CST MON JAN 4 2010

...HARD FREEZE WARNING FOR LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING...

RESIDENTS MAY BEGIN TO START THINKING ABOUT HOW TO PROTECT
PEOPLE...PIPES...PETS...AND PLANTS FROM THESE FREEZING
TEMPERATURES.

LAZ027>033-041>045-051>055-TXZ180>182-201-215-216-050600-
/O.CON.KLCH.HZ.W.0001.100105T0600Z-100105T1400Z/
VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-
CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-
CAMERON-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-LOWER ST. MARTIN-TYLER-JASPER-
NEWTON-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEESVILLE...ALEXANDRIA...MARKSVILLE...
DERIDDER...OAKDALE...VILLE PLATTE...OPELOUSAS...LAKE CHARLES...
JENNINGS...CROWLEY...LAFAYETTE...ST. MARTINVILLE...CAMERON...
ABBEVILLE...NEW IBERIA...MORGAN CITY...WOODVILLE...JASPER...
NEWTON...LUMBERTON...BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR...ORANGE
1254 PM CST MON JAN 4 2010

...HARD FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
8 AM CST TUESDAY...

A HARD FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
8 AM CST TUESDAY.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A HARD
FREEZE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM
CST TUESDAY.

HARD FREEZE WARNING HAS BEEN POSTED FOR ALL AREAS WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF THE IMMEDIATE COASTLINE FOR TONIGHT. OVERNIGHT
TEMPERATURES WILL COOL INTO THE MID TO UPPER 20S BY SUNRISE
TUESDAY MORNING.

RESIDENTS NEED TO TAKE THE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS FOR THESE VERY
COLD TEMPERATURES. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BEGIN NOW FOR THESE
FREEZING COLD TEMPERATURES. BE SURE TO WRAP EXPOSED WATER PIPES
AND BRING IN OR COVER SENSITIVE VEGETATION TO PROTECT THEM FROM
THE UPCOMING HARD FREEZE. RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO USE EXTREME
CAUTION WHEN USING SPACE HEATERS...AND ENSURE THAT CLOTHING AND
OTHER FLAMMABLE OBJECTS ARE KEPT WELL AWAY TO PREVENT THEM FROM
CATCHING FIRE. BE SURE TO FREQUENTLY CHECK ON THE ELDERLY AND
ENSURE THAT THEY ARE WARM. IF POSSIBLE...BRING IN OUTDOOR PETS OR
PROVIDE ADEQUATE PROTECTION IF THEY REMAIN OUTDOORS. IF YOU HAVE
TO GO OUTSIDE...DRESS IN LAYERS AND WEAR GLOVES AND A HAT.

[Tireman4]

Please just send snow as it's been exactly a month since I've had a snowball fight. What's the holdup?

Southerngale, this is Mother Nature. We will send that snow right away. Thanks for asking

[CajunMama]

It's depressing when pensacola, florida has a chance of snow and you're forecasted rain. Feel free to help me have a pity party.

Edit to add: It's really depressing when brownsville, tx AND mexico have a higher chance of frozen precip than me.

[JenBayles]

Lord have mercy! I've enjoyed winter long enough. UNCLE already! <stalks off to a hot bathtub muttering: mudane noodle! Daggumit Bob! Sticklepheifer! Bumpusses!>

Keep the plumber's helper handy this weekend - along with a hairdryer and plenty of firewood. We stocked up on wood today and got about the last load from the local lot. They're sending out for another semi-truck load from Central TX tomorrow.

[attallaman]

It's depressing when pensacola, florida has a chance of snow and you're forecasted rain. Feel free to help me have a pity party.

Edit to add: It's really depressing when brownsville, tx AND mexico have a higher chance of frozen precip than me.

Let it snow, let it snow, let it snow.

[gboudx]

Winter Weather Advisory for portions of SELA/SWMS. Click the link for entire text.

http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.p ... r+Advisory

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
633 PM CST MON JAN 4 2010

...WINTRY MIX FOLLOWED BY AN ARCTIC OUTBREAK IS ON THE WAY...

.THE FIRST IN A WAVE OF ARCTIC AIRMASSES IS ALREADY MOVING IN
TONIGHT BUT FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK WE WILL SEE A GULF LOW
DEVELOP AND MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF WITH A MUCH STRONGER
ARCTIC AIRMASS QUICKLY ON THE HEELS OF THIS SYSTEM. WITH THE MUCH
COLDER AIR MOVING INTO THE GULF COAST STATES THERE IS THE RISK OF
RAIN QUICKLY CHANGING OVER TO SLEET AND SNOW EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA. ADDITIONALLY...VERY
COLD TEMPERATURES WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION FOR THURSDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY.