SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION //
REF/A/MSG/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/212021ZJAN2010
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. REMARKS: THIS CANCELS REF A. THE AREA OF CONVECTION
PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.3S 147.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR
14.4S 147.1E, APPROXIMATELY 170 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF
CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA. RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC)
BECOMING LESS DEFINED AND BROADENING. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES
TO SHOW NO SIGNS OF SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. THE SYSTEM
HAS NOT CONSOLIDATED AS MUCH AS PREVIOUSLY ANTICIPATED AND
THE SYMMETRIC 25-30 KNOT LLCC HAS WEAKENED SIGNIFICANTLY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB.
DUE TO LACK OF CONSOLIDATION, AND LACK OF DEEP CONVECTION
OVER THE LLCC, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED
TO POOR.//
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