Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

Ptarmigan · #4841 Postby **Ptarmigan** » Thu Jan 28, 2010 4:10 pm

I see a nighttime storm from them. I expect thunder and lightning.

southerngale · #4842 Postby **southerngale** » Thu Jan 28, 2010 4:19 pm

Here's some pics from the Amarillo area. Be sure to check out the chaser videos.

http://www.newschannel10.com/global/Category.asp?c=163630

funster · #4843 Postby **funster** » Thu Jan 28, 2010 4:21 pm

Hope the bow echo doesn't cause much damage. Looks like DFW area will get the gusty winds and lightning. :grrr:

#4844 Postby **HockeyTx82** » Thu Jan 28, 2010 4:23 pm

What does the NWS have agianst Denton County. They has not put us under any kind of watch or anything today......

I feel left out...... :cry:

#4845 Postby **Ntxw** » Thu Jan 28, 2010 4:23 pm

Jacksboro and bridgeport are reporting thunderstorm and light snow at around 43 degrees, strange?

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?CityName=Jacksboro&state=TX&site=FWD&textField1=33.2231&textField2=-98.1541&e=0

katheria · #4846 Postby **katheria** » Thu Jan 28, 2010 4:24 pm

HockeyTx82 wrote:God Bless Texas!!!!!!

Only in Texas will you see this LOL

Freezing Rain/Sleet/Snow/Rain/Severe Storms/ and Tornadoes all in the same day... :ggreen:

#4847 Postby **jasons2k** » Thu Jan 28, 2010 4:32 pm

wxman57 wrote:jasons,
You missed a step in my instructions.

Thank you, and fixed :-)

Here is a comparison of 06Z and 12Z for IAH. Notice how much warmer the 12Z run is:

06Z:

12Z:

#4848 Postby **wxman57** » Thu Jan 28, 2010 4:35 pm

Ntxw wrote:Jacksboro and bridgeport are reporting thunderstorm and light snow at around 43 degrees, strange?

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?CityName=Jacksboro&state=TX&site=FWD&textField1=33.2231&textField2=-98.1541&e=0

Probably an errant automated observation. Current RUC sounding has the airmass WELL above freezing all the way up to 10,000 ft.

#4849 Postby **srainhoutx** » Thu Jan 28, 2010 4:40 pm

ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
TXZ000-OKZ000-
.
SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 01/28/10 1846Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 1815Z DS
.
LOCATION...CENTRAL/SW TEXAS...S CENTRAL/SE OKLAHOMA...
.
ATTN WFOS...TSA...FWD...OUN...EWX...SJT...LUB...MAF...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...ABRFC...WGRFC...
.
EVENT...RESTRENGTHENING MCS...TRAINING CELLS
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...CLOUDS TOPS HAVE SHOWN A COOLING TREND
SINCE 1730Z IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN MCS OVER CENTRAL-SW TX PRODUCING
LOCALLY HVY RAINFALL. WV IMAGERY DEPICTS A DRY SLOT WEDGING ITS WAY NEWD
ACROSS THE BIG BEND REGION WITH COMBINATION OF WV AND EXPRMTL MESOSCALE
WIND PRODUCTS DEPICTING AN UPPER LVL SPEED MAX JUST SW OF W TX WITH ITS
LEFT EXIT REGION JUST TO THE NW OF KDRT, TX. GOES SOUNDER LI/CAPE/CINH
PRODUCTS HAVE SHOWN RAPID DESTABILIZATION OF THIS AREA AND WITH PW VALUES
OF 1.1-1.2" STILL OVER SW TX WITH APPROX 35KTS SERLY 85H FLOW FEEDING
MOISTURE NNWWD..HVY RAIN PRODUCING TSTORMS COULD QUICKLY BECOME A PROBLEM.
.
VERY STRONG SFC MOISTURE CNVG IS PRESENT FROM BETWEEN 6R6 AND DRT NEWD TO
E OF ABI. VIS/RADAR IMAGERY SHOW A LINE OF CU/STORMS BEGINNING TO DVLP SW
OF SCHLEICHER COUNTY WHERE THE SW END OF THE ALREADY DVLPD CONVECTIVE LINE
IS CURRENTLY LOCATED. TRAINING CELLS IS VERY LIKELY TO OCCUR AS NEW CNVTN
GROWS AND PROGRESSES NEWD FOLLOWING ALONG APPROX THE SAME TRACK AS THE
CURRENT LINE OF STORMS. RAINFALL RATES OF AT LEAST 1-1.5"/HR ARE LIKELY
OCCURRING ALREADY WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS IN CURRENT CNVTN AND WHERE
ANY TRAINING CELLS SET UP AS NEW CNVTN FEEDS IN..RATES UP TO 2"/HR WILL
BE PROBABLE. THIS HVY CONVECTIVE RAINFALL WILL FOLLOW NEWD BECOMING MORE
MOD IN INTENSITY AS IT CROSS A STNRY BNDRY NR EXTREME N TX/OK AND PUSHES
IN A COLDER AIR MASS. PLEASE SEE WEB ADDRESS SHORTLY FOR GRAPHIC ANALYSIS.
.
SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
.
SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/

rainman31 · #4850 Postby **rainman31** » Thu Jan 28, 2010 4:43 pm

0.62 inches of rain so far at my house, 47.8 degree. I'm wondering what time the temps are going to start dropping. They have been hovering in the upper forties all day.

#4851 Postby **jasons2k** » Thu Jan 28, 2010 4:53 pm

Maybe this is for the USA Weather forum, but we're all here...

Tornado Watch now for SC Texas. Crazy for sure:

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0014.html

Reminds me of back in 1998 (I think) - one of the worst hailstorms I ever got caught in, in Dallas, was in February. We had several waves of severe hailing thunderstorms pass over the area.

msstateguy83 · #4852 Postby **msstateguy83** » Thu Jan 28, 2010 5:03 pm

as was talked about earlyer just some more hinting at what might be to come i know we got our hands full rightnow attm BUT.. GFS 18Z hinting also at something around 02/04 which would be about a week from today! seems like it wants to push some really cold air south towards us not sure the gfs is handling it well as usual.. stay tuned

#4853 Postby **Portastorm** » Thu Jan 28, 2010 5:05 pm

jasons wrote:Maybe this is for the USA Weather forum, but we're all here...

Tornado Watch now for SC Texas. Crazy for sure:

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0014.html

Reminds me of back in 1998 (I think) - one of the worst hailstorms I ever got caught in, in Dallas, was in February. We had several waves of severe hailing thunderstorms pass over the area.

Yeah Jason ... EWX referenced this a moment ago in their AFD. There's been some breaks in the cloud cover out west (southwest part of the state) which has destabilized the atmosphere even more. Look for a healthy squall line to form out in the Hill Country and march east. I expect multiple severe weather reports from my neck of the woods and probably into yours tomorrow morning.

rainman31 · #4854 Postby **rainman31** » Thu Jan 28, 2010 5:25 pm

Wind now out of northwest and temps dropping.

#4855 Postby **Ntxw** » Thu Jan 28, 2010 5:47 pm

What is the upper low hanging around southeast AZ going to do? It hasn't really moved much except maybe the slightest east.

#4856 Postby **srainhoutx** » Thu Jan 28, 2010 5:56 pm

Ntxw wrote:What is the upper low hanging around southeast AZ going to do? It hasn't really moved much except maybe the slightest east.

#4857 Postby **Texas Snowman** » Thu Jan 28, 2010 5:57 pm

I think if I were to go to Webster's and look up the term "winter storm", this is the photo that would be attached to that definition.

Impressive, widespread winter storm!

http://www.intellicast.com/National/Rad ... imate=true

#4858 Postby **Ntxw** » Thu Jan 28, 2010 5:58 pm

Actually that would make a good setup for almost a classic early spring storm too =P.

#4859 Postby **Texas Snowman** » Thu Jan 28, 2010 6:01 pm

Ntxw wrote:Actually that would make a good setup for almost a classic early spring storm too =P.

True that is, true that is!

#4860 Postby **Ntxw** » Thu Jan 28, 2010 6:02 pm

srainhoutx wrote:
Ntxw wrote:What is the upper low hanging around southeast AZ going to do? It hasn't really moved much except maybe the slightest east.

Does that look any bit ominous to you Srain? HPC has changed that like almost every run. :wink:

Odd how the nam decided to keep something behind.

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