Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

[TeamPlayersBlue]

There is ALOT of moisture thats goingto come through. Dewpoint here in Nacogdoches is still low (18F), i'm jumping on board the suprise wagon. Lots of clouds here with the current temp at 32F. I also do not believe we reach our forecast high of 46F. This means a quicker evaporative cooling. Things will be very interesting 12 hours from now. You guys will have to enjoy it without me because i have a date tonight.

[Portastorm]

Yep, NWS receiving reports now of sleet falling in San Antonio in the northern and northwestern parts of town.

That was the forecast though wasnt it?

Wasn't supposed to start until after 12 noon today per NWS forecasts

[txagwxman]

Get ready GFS colder now...ha ha.

Get ready AUS/CLL/LFK...tomorrow evening.

[utweather]

Yep, NWS receiving reports now of sleet falling in San Antonio in the northern and northwestern parts of town.

That was the forecast though wasnt it?

Not this early and not that far south though.

[iorange55]

GFS 12z 36 hr




42 hr

[gboudx]

Has anyone posted Larry Cosgrove's forecast yet? If not, here's the link. It certainly appears he does not agree with the DFW NWS's current forecast.

http://www.examiner.com/x-3775-Houston- ... iner-email

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Well it's back on the GFS lol

[iorange55]

Has anyone posted Larry Cosgrove's forecast yet? If not, here's the link. It certainly appears he does not agree with the DFW NWS's current forecast.

http://www.examiner.com/x-3775-Houston- ... iner-email

How could he predict 8 inches, and the NWS says we'll be lucky to have an inch accumulate? THIS IS MADNESS!

[msstateguy83]

nws fwd we have a problem

[iorange55]

nws fwd we have a problem

Nah they'll crush our hopes soon enough.

[wgdade]

Looks like the I-20 snow storm is back in business. Looks like 3 to 5 inches possible from the Metroplex to Jackson, MS and all places in between. 12Z NAM BUFKIT data puts about 5" in Tyler, and that is after 6 hours of rain. Profile suports all snow except the at the surface which I think is too warm. We shall see. Someone will get a nice surprise the way this looks.

[msstateguy83]

wgwade what about to the north up near w.falls what is the 12z showing

[gboudx]

Looks like the I-20 snow storm is back in business. Looks like 3 to 5 inches possible from the Metroplex to Jackson, MS and all places in between. 12Z NAM BUFKIT data puts about 5" in Tyler, and that is after 6 hours of rain. Profile suports all snow except the at the surface which I think is too warm. We shall see. Someone will get a nice surprise the way this looks.

I guess we wait and see if this is a new trend developing?

[txagwxman]

Looks like the I-20 snow storm is back in business. Looks like 3 to 5 inches possible from the Metroplex to Jackson, MS and all places in between. 12Z NAM BUFKIT data puts about 5" in Tyler, and that is after 6 hours of rain. Profile suports all snow except the at the surface which I think is too warm. We shall see. Someone will get a nice surprise the way this looks.

You better hope the Canadian isn't right...there is more than 5" on that model.

[HockeyTx82]

And just like that we are back in business?

[msstateguy83]

on a side note... i tried logging into my account on accuwx pro verison to look at the models on there and accuwx.com said it was temp down for a few mins while ago due to record volume of traffic likely b/c of the east coast snow storm again!

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Has anyone posted Larry Cosgrove's forecast yet? If not, here's the link. It certainly appears he does not agree with the DFW NWS's current forecast.

http://www.examiner.com/x-3775-Houston- ... iner-email

How could he predict 8 inches, and the NWS says we'll be lucky to have an inch accumulate? THIS IS MADNESS!

Look at the pic at the bottom of the page of the subtropical jet. Wow, LOADS of moisture coming in. We need that to moisten the atmosphere pre low development in the Gulf. Looking good folks in Dallas. My drive will be very interesting

[ColdFusion]

As wxman57 said, DFW area is right on the battlelines, a couple of degrees one way or the other could make a big difference. An encouraging model run? Yes! But the NWS will likely do the smart thing and try to keep the forecast as steady and reasonable as possible.

[iorange55]

As wxman57 said, DFW area is right on the battlelines, a couple of degrees one way or the other could make a big difference. An encouraging model run? Yes! But the NWS will likely do the smart thing and try to keep the forecast as steady and reasonable as possible.

All I have to say is if there is a real chance we could get 5+ inches. And they only predict a rain snow mix with less than an inch accumulation it's not going to look good. But the same could be said for the other end of the spectrum, so I don't get why they can't just meet in the middle.

[msstateguy83]

totally agree orange there could be a meeting in the middle of this ATLEAST
let people know the chance is there of a MAJOR snow storm over parts of the north tx region... this could be quite serious imo...