Deep South Winterwx Discussion 2015-2016

[Brent]

[Ivanhater]

Wow, Extreme NW Florida is now in the probability if 4 plus inches!

[Ivanhater]

18z GFS also says get the snow shovels ready for the Gulfcoast!

[MSUChristian88]

Hey, so what's it looking like for us in the Starkville, MS area??? We have had the short end of the stick on just about all the storms this winter and its time for us to get some accumulating snow here! Looking like they are gonna get pounded back at home in Prentiss,MS again on a weekend that i'm not going home .

[Stormcenter]

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
404 PM CST WED FEB 10 2010

...SIGNIFICANT SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING...

.AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN THE NORTHWEST
OF MEXICO AND TRACK EAST NORTHEAST ACROSS THE NORTH GULF THURSDAY
NIGHT AND FRIDAY. WITH COLD DRY AIR IN PLACE...SLEET AND SNOW IS
EXPECTED OVER AREAS MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE I 10/12 CORRIDOR.

LAZ034>040-046>050-MSZ077-080>082-110615-
/O.EXB.KLIX.WS.A.0001.100212T0300Z-100213T0000Z/
POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-TANGIPAHOA-
WASHINGTON-ST. TAMMANY-IBERVILLE-WEST BATON ROUGE-
EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON-PEARL RIVER-HANCOCK-
HARRISON-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW ROADS...LIVONIA...
ST. FRANCISVILLE...JACKSON...CLINTON...GREENSBURG...MONTPELIER...
HAMMOND...PONCHATOULA...BOGALUSA...FRANKLINTON...SLIDELL...
MANDEVILLE...COVINGTON...LACOMBE...PLAQUEMINE...WHITE CASTLE...
PORT ALLEN...ADDIS...BRUSLY...BATON ROUGE...GONZALES...
DONALDSONVILLE...DENHAM SPRINGS...WALKER...PICAYUNE...
BAY ST. LOUIS...WAVELAND...DIAMONDHEAD...GULFPORT...BILOXI...
PASCAGOULA...OCEAN SPRINGS...MOSS POINT...GAUTIER...ST. MARTIN
404 PM CST WED FEB 10 2010

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE WATCH HAS BEEN EXPANDED SOUTH TO INCLUDE
ALL AREAS SOUTH OF THE LOUISIANA MISSISSIPPI BORDER TO THE
I 10 AND 12 CORRIDOR.

FROZEN PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN AS EARLY AS LATE TOMORROW
AFTERNOON AND MORE SO DURING THE EVENING. SLEET WILL LIKELY BEGIN
FIRST. ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM NEW ROADS TO PICAYUNE ONCE
SLEET BEGINS IT COULD QUICKLY CHANGE OVER TO SNOW. SOUTH OF THAT
LINE AND TOWARDS THE 10 12 CORRIDOR...SLEET MAY PERSIST QUITE A
WHILE LONGER. THIS COULD PROVIDE A VERY HAZARDOUS SITUATION AS
SLEET BUILDS UP ON THE ROADS MAKING THINGS VERY SLICK. THE
LOCATIONS OF GREATEST CONCERN DUE TO SLEET BUILD UP WILL BE THE
BATON ROUGE METRO BEGINNING TOMORROW EVENING AND POSSIBLY AS EARLY
AS LATE AFTERNOON AND EAST ALONG THE 10 12 CORRIDOR. SLEET SHOULD
FINALLY COMPLETELY CHANGE OVER TO SNOW DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
FURTHER TO THE NORTH SLEET WILL HAVE A BETTER CHANCE OF QUICKLY
CHANGING OVER TO SNOW.

ONCE THE SNOW BEGINS IT IS EXPECTED TO PICK UP IN INTENSITY DURING
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS THURSDAY AND CONTINUE WELL AFTER SUNRISE FOR
PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA. MODERATE TO EVEN HEAVY SNOW IS
EXPECTED TO DROP VISIBILITIES BELOW A QUARTER OF A MILE AT TIMES
CREATING VERY HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. SNOW IS ANTICIPATED TO
TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE MID AND LATE MORNING HOURS
AND SHOULD BE DONE BY EARLY AFTERNOON. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION
WILL RANGE FROM A FEW TENTHS JUST SOUTH OF THE 10 12 CORRIDOR TO
AS MUCH AS 6 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ACROSS THE
NORTHERN FLORIDA PARISHES AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI.

THE SNOW WILL ALSO BE A WET SNOW AND AS IT ACCUMULATES ON TREE
BRANCHES AND POWER LINES IT COULD BEGIN TO BRING SOME OF THESE
DOWN.

EVERYONE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD TAKE THE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
TO PREPARE FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS FOR THURSDAY NIGHT
AND FRIDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

&&

$$

MSZ068>071-110615-
/O.EXT.KLIX.WS.A.0001.100212T0300Z-100213T0000Z/
WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE-WALTHALL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CENTREVILLE...WOODVILLE...GLOSTER...
LIBERTY...CROSBY...MCCOMB...TYLERTOWN
404 PM CST WED FEB 10 2010

...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

FROZEN PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN AS EARLY AS LATE TOMORROW
AFTERNOON AND MORE SO DURING THE EVENING. SLEET WILL LIKELY BEGIN
FIRST. ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM NEW ROADS TO PICAYUNE ONCE
SLEET BEGINS IT COULD QUICKLY CHANGE OVER TO SNOW. SOUTH OF THAT
LINE AND TOWARDS THE 10 12 CORRIDOR...SLEET MAY PERSIST QUITE A
WHILE LONGER. THIS COULD PROVIDE A VERY HAZARDOUS SITUATION AS
SLEET BUILDS UP ON THE ROADS MAKING THINGS VERY SLICK. THE
LOCATIONS OF GREATEST CONCERN DUE TO SLEET BUILD UP WILL BE THE
BATON ROUGE METRO BEGINNING TOMORROW EVENING AND POSSIBLY AS EARLY
AS LATE AFTERNOON AND EAST ALONG THE 10 12 CORRIDOR. SLEET SHOULD
FINALLY COMPLETELY CHANGE OVER TO SNOW DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
FURTHER TO THE NORTH SLEET WILL HAVE A BETTER CHANCE OF QUICKLY
CHANGING OVER TO SNOW.

ONCE THE SNOW BEGINS IT IS EXPECTED TO PICK UP IN INTENSITY DURING
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS THURSDAY AND CONTINUE WELL AFTER SUNRISE FOR
PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA. MODERATE TO EVEN HEAVY SNOW IS
EXPECTED TO DROP VISIBILITIES BELOW A QUARTER OF A MILE AT TIMES
CREATING VERY HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. SNOW IS ANTICIPATED TO
TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE MID AND LATE MORNING HOURS
AND SHOULD BE DONE BY EARLY AFTERNOON. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION
WILL RANGE FROM A FEW TENTHS JUST SOUTH OF THE 10 12 CORRIDOR TO
AS MUCH AS 6 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ACROSS THE
NORTHERN FLORIDA PARISHES AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI.

THE SNOW WILL ALSO BE A WET SNOW AND AS IT ACCUMULATES ON TREE
BRANCHES AND POWER LINES IT COULD BEGIN TO BRING SOME OF THESE
DOWN.

EVERYONE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD TAKE THE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
TO PREPARE FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS FOR THURSDAY NIGHT
AND FRIDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

&&

$$

TD/CAB

[MSUChristian88]

Winter Storm Watch from NWS Jackson:Issued at: 4:10 PM CST 2/10/10, expires at: 10:30 PM CST 2/10/10 wow they saying up to 4 inches possibly above I-20 maybe we will get some good amounts after all.

Winter storm watch now in effect from Thursday evening through friday afternoon,
The winter storm watch is now in effect from Thursday evening through Friday afternoon.
Snow is expected to overspread the region late Thursday afternoon and Thursday evening. Some sleet or rain could mix with the snow at the onset of the precipitation before changing to all snow, especially over east central Louisiana and southern mississippi. The snow will then continue into Thursday night and friday, and will become heavy overnight. The snow is then expected to taper off from west to east on Friday.
Total snow accumulations for the area south of interstate 20 will range from 4 to 6 inches with locally higher amounts possible. Along interstate 20, including the vicksburg, jackson and meridian areas, totals of 3 to 5 inches are currently anticipated. Just north of interstate 20, amounts will range from 2 to 4 inches.
In the highway 98 corridor, the potential for some sleet to mix in with the snow could hold accumulations down into the 3 to 4 inch range. However, if precipitation remains all snow, heavier amounts will occur.
These snow accumulations could result in dangerous travel conditions. The heavy, wet nature of the snow will have the potential to down tree limbs and power lines, particularly south of interstate 20 where heavier amounts should occur. Everyone in the watch area should take the necessary precautions to prepare for major snow accumulations for Thursday night and Friday.
Precautionary/preparedness actions,
A winter storm watch means there is a potential for significant snow accumulations that may impact travel. Continue to monitor the latest forecasts.

[Dk2Dead.Rising]

[MSUChristian88]

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
410 PM CST WED FEB 10 2010

...HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED FOR THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY...
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON
AND THURSDAY EVENING. THE SNOW WILL THEN CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY
NIGHT AND FRIDAY. THE SNOW IS THEN EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF FROM WEST
TO EAST ON FRIDAY.

TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES
ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI ALONG AND SOUTH OF HIGHWAY
82. 1 TO 2 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED FROM AREAS ALONG AND NORTH
OF A INDIANOLA TO COLUMBUS MISSISSIPPI LINE.

THESE SNOW ACCUMULATIONS COULD RESULT IN DANGEROUS TRAVEL
CONDITIONS. EVERYONE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD TAKE THE NECESSARY
PRECAUTIONS TO PREPARE FOR MAJOR SNOW ACCUMULATIONS FOR THURSDAY
NIGHT AND FRIDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR
THE LATEST FORECASTS.

[baygirl_1]

And South Alabama joins the others...

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
351 PM CST WED FEB 10 2010
...SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE LATE THURSDAY NIGHT
INTO FRIDAY...
.DUE TO A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM PASSING EASTWARD ACROSS THE
NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...AND WITH COLD
AIR POURING INTO OUR REGION FROM THE NORTH...RAIN WILL BEGIN TO
CHANGE OVER TO WET SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT THURSDAY OVER THE INTERIOR
COUNTIES...ESPECIALLY NORTH OF THE HIGHWAY 84 CORRIDOR. WET SNOW
WILL BE IN PROGRESS FROM MID MORNING FRIDAY OVER THE INTERIOR
COUNTIES AND WILL CONTINUE DOING SO PROGRESSIVELY FURTHER SOUTHWARD
TOWARD THE COAST DURING THE AFTERNOON AS THE LOW PASSES TO THE SOUTH.
SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE INTERIOR SECTIONS OF
SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA.
ALZ051>062-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-110600-
/O.NEW.KMOB.WS.A.0001.100212T0600Z-100213T0000Z/
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-
STONE-GEORGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUTLER...LISMAN...SILAS...CHATOM...
MILLRY...JACKSON...THOMASVILLE...GROVE HILL...CAMDEN...
PINE HILL...HOMEWOOD...MONROEVILLE...EVERGREEN...GREENVILLE...
LUVERNE...BRANTLEY...ATMORE...BREWTON...EAST BREWTON...
ANDALUSIA...OPP...MOBILE...PRICHARD...SARALAND...BAY MINETTE...
WAYNESBORO...RICHTON...BEAUMONT...NEW AUGUSTA...LEAKESVILLE...
MCLAIN...WIGGINS...LUCEDALE
351 PM CST WED FEB 10 2010
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD INTO SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THURSDAY EVENING.
AS THE PRECIPITATION MOVES IN...A MIXTURE OF RAIN AND SNOW IS LIKELY
GENERALLY NORTH OF INTERSTATE 65 WITH PRECIPITATION BECOMING ALL SNOW
ROUGHLY ALONG THE HIGHWAY 84 CORRIDOR AFTER MIDNIGHT. COLDER AIR WILL
CONTINUE TO FILTER INTO THE AREA DURING THE DAY FRIDAY AS SURFACE LOW
PRESSURE TRACKS ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO. RAIN WILL
GRADUALLY TRANSITION TO ALL SNOW TO AS FAR SOUTH AS THE INTERSTATE 10
CORRIDOR BY EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. PRECIPITATION WILL QUICKLY TAPER
OFF BY FRIDAY EVENING.
SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF TWO TO FOUR INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
NORTHERN HALF OF THE WATCH AREA WITH TOTALS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES
POSSIBLE FURTHER SOUTH. THE SNOW WILL BE WET AND HEAVY IN NATURE
WHICH COULD RESULT IN SOME DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES.
THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE FORECAST TRACK OF THE
SURFACE LOW...WHICH IN TURN WILL AFFECT THE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE AND
COLD AIR AVAILABLE FOR SNOW.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE
TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

It's exciting, but this could really mess up Mardi Gras!

[Ivanhater]

Mobile/Pensacola AFD

..WINTER STORM BECOMING MORE LIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN
GULF COAST...

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT) HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDING
FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST TO THE LOWER MS VALLEY WILL ALLOW FOR ANOTHER
CHILLY NIGHT ALONG THE GULF COAST. ALREADY SEEING AN ABUNDANCE OF MID
AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS STREAMING INTO THE REGION WELL IN ADVANCE OF
THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM. THIS WILL LIKELY KEEP TEMPERATURES SOMEWHAT
WARMER THAN THEY WOULD OTHERWISE BE. STAYED ON THE WARMER SIDE OF
GUIDANCE WITH UPPER 20S INLAND TO LOWER 30S ALONG THE COAST.

THE SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER THE NORTHERN BAJA/SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA WILL CONTINUE TO PROGRESS EAST DURING THE DAY
THURSDAY...ENTERING INTO CENTRAL TEXAS THURSDAY NIGHT. A SURFACE LOW
WILL DEVELOP OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND THEN TRACK EAST
ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY...AHEAD OF
THE MID LEVEL ENERGY. MODEL GUIDANCE HAS COME INTO MUCH BETTER
AGREEMENT ON THE LOW TRACK...WITH IT MOVING A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH
OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST.

ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP LATE THURSDAY AFTN INTO THE
EVENING...RESULTING IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF LIGHT PRECIPITATION
SPREADING NORTHEAST INTO THE FORECAST AREA. THE PRECIP WILL LIKELY
START OUT AS LIGHT RAIN...BUT FORECAST SOUNDINGS AND CRITICAL
THICKNESSES INDICATE THAT SNOW COULD QUICKLY MIX IN OVERNIGHT NORTH
OF INTERSTATE 65. AS WE HEAD INTO DAYBREAK FRIDAY...PRECIP INTENSITY
WILL LIKELY INCREASE WITH THE APPROACH OF THE 850 MB LOW. THE 850 MB
LOW IS FORECAST TO TRACK JUST SOUTH OF THE COAST...SETTING THE STAGE
FOR AN AREA OF ENHANCED LIFT AND DYNAMIC COOLING TO THE NORTH AND
WEST OF THE 850 MB LOW TRACK. TEMPERATURE PROFILES QUICKLY DROP TO AT
OR BELOW FREEZING ACROSS THE FAR INTERIOR BY DAYBREAK AND TRANSITION
SOUTH AND EAST THROUGH THE DAY. BASED ON THE LATEST DATA...THE
RAIN/SNOW LINE COULD BE AS FAR SOUTH AS INTERSTATE 10 BY MIDDAY
FRIDAY WITH EVEN A WINTRY MIX POSSIBLE CLOSER TO THE COAST FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. THE LOW QUICKLY SHIFTS EAST FRIDAY EVENING...WITH ALL
PRECIP EXPECTED TO BE EAST OF THE REGION.

QPF IS ACTUALLY FAIRLY CONSISTENT IN THE GUIDANCE...AVERAGING NEAR A
HALF INCH ACROSS THE NORTH WITH THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH CLOSER TO
THE COAST. FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE THAT TEMP PROFILES WILL BE
ISOTHERMAL AND NEAR FREEZING OVER MUCH OF THE AREA. THIS TYPICALLY
LENDS ITSELF TO SNOW RATIOS OF AROUND 8:1. RATIOS COULD BE CLOSER TO
10:1 ACROSS THE FAR NORTH AS TEMPERATURES WILL BE COLDER. WITH THIS
IN MIND...AND CONSIDERING LOSING SOME OF THE QPF TO MELTING AND
COMPACTION SETTLING...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR 2-4 INCHES ACROSS
THE FAR NORTH WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES BETWEEN HIGHWAY 84 TO INTERSTATE 10.
KEEP IN MIND THESE ARE ROUGH BOUNDARIES WE ARE REFERRING TO. WE
CANNOT DISCOUNT THE POTENTIAL FOR A BAND OF EVEN HIGHER TOTALS...IF A
SOLID DEFORMATION BAND ON THE NW SIDE OF THE 850 MB LOW MATERIALIZES.
THAT IS TOO DIFFICULT TO ASSESS AT THIS RANGE AND THIS ULTIMATELY
WILL BE DETERMINED BY MESOSCALE PROCESSES. WE HAVE ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WATCH FOR ALL AREAS EXCEPT COASTAL BALDWIN/MOBILE AND THE FL
PANHANDLE. CLOSER TO THE IMMEDIATE COAST...THE SHORT DURATION OF
ANY SNOW IS EXPECT TO RESULT IN THE POTENTIAL FOR ONLY MINOR
ACCUMULATIONS. THIS COULD CHANGE HOWEVER...BASED ON THE LOW TRACK.
WILL CONTINUE A SPS FOR AREAS OUTSIDE OF THE WATCH TO COVER THE
POTENTIAL FOR MINOR ACCUMULATIONS.

LOOKING FOR LOW TEMPS IN THE LOWER 30S THURSDAY NIGHT WITH
TEMPERATURES MAKING LITTLE RECOVERY DURING THE DAY GIVEN THE
PRECIPITATION EXPECTED. THEREFORE...SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERCUT
STATISTICAL GUIDANCE. NAM AND GFS BUFR SOUNDINGS SHOW TEMPERATURES
STRUGGLING TO CLIMB ABOVE FREEZING DURING THE PERIOD OF HEAVIEST
PRECIPITATION.

AS ALWAYS...THE EXACT TRACK OF THE SFC LOW WILL GO A LONG WAY IN
DETERMINING WHERE THE RAIN/SNOW LINE SETS UP. HOWEVER...CONFIDENCE
HAS CONTINUED TO INCREASE GIVEN THAT THE GUIDANCE IS GRADUALLY COMING
INTO GOOD AGREEMENT. IF ANYTHING...THE TREND HAS BEEN FOR A COLDER
SOLUTION WITH THE RAIN/SNOW LINE SHIFTING FURTHER SOUTH. WE WILL
CONTINUE TO CAREFULLY MONITOR AND FINE TUNE THE FORECAST AND EXPECTED
SNOWFALL AMOUNTS AS THE EVENT DRAWS CLOSER. 34/JFB

[Ivanhater]

18z GFS Precip type..trend has been all day snow all the way to the coast.

[RNGR]

It's getting to the point when I stop watching the models and start watching what really happens.. as for snow on the coast, I'll believe it when it happens.

[Brent]

It's getting to the point when I stop watching the models and start watching what really happens.. as for snow on the coast, I'll believe it when it happens.

Me too. I'm pulling for it to happen but very skeptical.

[Ivanhater]

Regardless if it happens, this is the best shot we have had in a very long time, especially this much snow.

[SunnyThoughts]

I'm also very skeptical. I honestly don't care if we have any accumulation...I would enjoy just seeing a few flakes fall. 1996 was the last time we saw any at all here. ( In the mid to late 1970's) telling my age there, we actually had about 3 inches on the ground. Since then, just a few flurries here and there.

[Sabanic]

Regardless if it happens, this is the best shot we have had in a very long time, especially this much snow.

Exactly

[Dean4Storms]

If that Low tracks just 75miles further south than what the majority of these models are depicting we could see a good snow all the way down to the beaches. Going to be interesting!!!!

[DEEDEE911]

Hear in franklin county they are saying we could see up to 6 inches of snow possiable more depending on how it tracks 6 inches of snow sounds good to me

[Brent]

[Ivanhater]

00z nam 42 hours..loving it