Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

[srainhoutx]

We ain't done yet...lots of ECMWF ensemble members support the ECMWF solution next weekend.

Any chance Central and South Texas get in on the action next weekend? Portstorm is going to have to get grief counseling before too long.




BTW, we haven't enjoyed the white stuff down this way yet. But this winter has been great . Not one temp over 80 since early December! I can't recall a time where we've had a huge number of days below and sometimes way below normal down this way.

Really happy for everyone up north from here that got the snow. In 2004 when we got our snow miracle at Christmas and I had almost 7 inches in my front yard, it was a sight to behold. And thanks to this board and JB, I had a heads up to the possibilty.

Here Portastorm. This one is for you!

[Nederlander]

We ain't done yet...lots of ECMWF ensemble members support the ECMWF solution next weekend.

Any chance Central and South Texas get in on the action next weekend? Portstorm is going to have to get grief counseling before too long.

BTW, we haven't enjoyed the white stuff down this way yet. But this winter has been great . Not one temp over 80 since early December! I can't recall a time where we've had a huge number of days below and sometimes way below normal down this way.

Really happy for everyone up north from here that got the snow. In 2004 when we got our snow miracle at Christmas and I had almost 7 inches in my front yard, it was a sight to behold. And thanks to this board and JB, I had a heads up to the possibilty.

the models that ive seen look to have about the same '0' line as this storm had.. looks too warm down south..

[setxweatherfreak]

Thanks for sharing all the pics everyone!!

Any clue as to who may see some wintery precip in the next few weeks???

[Portastorm]

My good friend in Corpus Christi has given me the appropriate idea for my new avatar. I'll be in counseling for awhile friends, so if you'll excuse me ...

[Tireman4]

You will come back Porta a happy man. Have fun!!!

[HockeyTx82]

[southerngale]

well southerngale... although we missed out on it.. at least some parts of southeast texas saw some wintry precip.. this is from kfdm.com (i was getting ready for work when it was apparently sleeting so i missed it)

Snow in SETX
Comments 0 | Recommend 0
February 12, 2010 7:00 AM
Jessica Holloway

It has been snowing in parts of Southeast Texas. Tami Tarver from the Food Mart in Burkeville says it began snowing there at 4 a.m. Friday. She says there's about an inch on the ground. She sent KFDM photos.

Another view said it was snowing in Kountze at about 7:30 a.m. Sleet was reported in Nederland at 7:30 a.m.

As the crow flies, Kountze is only about 15 miles north of here. Dang, closer than I thought.

Oh well... after promising myself this morning to give it up for the winter and look towards spring, txagwxman already has me sniffing out models for the next potential letdown, I mean event.

[wxman57]

the models that ive seen look to have about the same '0' line as this storm had.. looks too warm down south..

Like I said, none of the models is forecasting it, just hinting at cold down south with an active southern stream storm late next week.

[txagwxman]

geez 60 hours GFS has snow flurries East Tx.

[srainhoutx]

geez 60 hours GFS has snow flurries East Tx.

12Z GFS at 60 Hours...notice the 1058mb High in the Upper right of the chart...

[Ntxw]

1058?! And I thought the 1055 from previous runs was amazing.

[srainhoutx]

Yesterday the 18Z chart showed a 1082mb, so take it for what it is worth.

[BrokenGlass]

geez 60 hours GFS has snow flurries East Tx.

12Z GFS at 60 Hours...notice the 1058mb High in the Upper right of the chart...

Can you give a quick layman's explanation of what this means? I'm assuming that is an intense High Pressure system, but what does the intensity and position translate for Texas weather?

[Texas Snowman]

:uarrow: Yesterday the 18Z chart showed a 1082mb, so take it for what it is worth.

Not that I believe a 1082mb high will develop, but there was this crazy uncle model run a few days ago that showed a foot of snow in Dallas/Fort Worth.

Yeah, right, who would believe that?!?

[Nederlander]

geez 60 hours GFS has snow flurries East Tx.

12Z GFS at 60 Hours...notice the 1058mb High in the Upper right of the chart...

Can you give a quick layman's explanation of what this means? I'm assuming that is an intense High Pressure system, but what does the intensity and position translate for Texas weather?

edit: see post below

thanks for clarification

[Ntxw]

High pressure in winter = domes of cold air, the stronger (higher numbers) the high, the more intense the cold could be. The January early cold snap I believe was derived from a 1052mb high at it's strongest point.

[srainhoutx]

Hour 144 500mb chart of the 12Z GFS...

[somethingfunny]

Is the Feb. 11 DFW Snowcopalypse already old news? There is a tree blocking my front door!!!!

I'll get photos uploaded as soon as I can. (after work....*grumbles*)

[wxman57]

geez 60 hours GFS has snow flurries East Tx.

12Z GFS at 60 Hours...notice the 1058mb High in the Upper right of the chart...

http://i228.photobucket.com/albums/ee29 ... p_060l.gif

Can you give a quick layman's explanation of what this means? I'm assuming that is an intense High Pressure system, but what does the intensity and position translate for Texas weather?

Nothing for the Dallas/Ft. Worth area most likely. The latest run just shows a fast-moving upper-level storm system (Alberta Clipper) that'll produce snow across Missouri and Arkansas as it races SE-ESE Sunday evening, perhaps a brief trace of snow near Texarkana. But the chart only shows precip over the past 6 hours, not at the valid time of the chart. So precip will shut down very quickly behind the cold front.

[Tireman4]

Is the Feb. 11 DFW Snowcopalypse already old news? There is a tree blocking my front door!!!!

I'll get photos uploaded as soon as I can. (after work....*grumbles*)

Chainsaw Somethingfunny...chainsaw