18:00 Model suite:LBAR has Florida on bullseye

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cycloneye
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18:00 Model suite:LBAR has Florida on bullseye

#1 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 09, 2003 1:48 pm

http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/ ... s/03080918

Chad will post the updated maps from this run of the tropical models and you will see how LBAR goes with it.
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#2 Postby OtherHD » Sat Aug 09, 2003 1:49 pm

But I have heard LBAR is useless outside of the deep tropics...
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#3 Postby Stormsfury » Sat Aug 09, 2003 1:53 pm

Overall consensus is closer to the East Coast.

SF
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#4 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 09, 2003 1:54 pm

HD Ukmet also has it almost that way.
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#5 Postby Steve H. » Sat Aug 09, 2003 3:00 pm

The LBAR would keep it near Daytona Beach. Can't understand it heading north if the ridge is building in. Is there a trough coming down again :roll: ? I initially thought this would keep heading south/SW and end up going through the Florida Straits into the GOM with building high pressure to the north. That plus the fact that we were putting up the Florida Cyclone deflector shield :lol: I think the models will push further to the west with this. Cheer!!
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#6 Postby vbhoutex » Sat Aug 09, 2003 3:05 pm

Steve H. wrote:The LBAR would keep it near Daytona Beach. Can't understand it heading north if the ridge is building in. Is there a trough coming down again :roll: ? I initially thought this would keep heading south/SW and end up going through the Florida Straits into the GOM with building high pressure to the north. That plus the fact that we were putting up the Florida Cyclone deflector shield :lol: I think the models will push further to the west with this. Cheer!!


Not unless the trough lifts further NE than it has today!! It is still digging into the N GOM off of the FL panhandle!! Strong High pressure to the West of that too. GOM is almost definitely safe on this one. GAWD, I hope I don't have to ear crow again!!! :oops: :oops:
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#7 Postby JetMaxx » Sat Aug 09, 2003 5:03 pm

Everyone from the Florida Keys to New England should keep an eye on it....just in case it strengthens into a hurricane....as it approaches the Bahamas, the sst's becomes warmer and warmer.
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#8 Postby bosag » Sat Aug 09, 2003 7:27 pm

Whatever might be comming, we dont need it right now! We've had our share of rain and tornados. Altho I have to say that Albertsons has had some KILLER sales on mac-n-cheese and tuna (4 FOR 1.00), So yes, I stocked up big time. Have a great day!

Barb in Jupiter
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#9 Postby ameriwx2003 » Sat Aug 09, 2003 10:09 pm

Agreed Everyone along the eastern Seaboard from Florida North should keep watch. The UKMET continues with its Florida threat and so does LBAR but like another poster said, I was lead to believe LBAR is not very good out of the deep tropics. Lets see if the GFS starts to trend more West, I have a feeling it will:):)..
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