Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)
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- Portastorm
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Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)
Well, I know one thing ... the 18z GFS has the placement of the high coming down out of Canada further east than the 12z Euro (which has it coming down the Rockies).
That 18z GFS, especially the last panel, looks almost a dead ringer for the DFW Snowmageddon map!
That 18z GFS, especially the last panel, looks almost a dead ringer for the DFW Snowmageddon map!
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Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)
Portastorm wrote:Well, I know one thing ... the 18z GFS has the placement of the high coming down out of Canada further east than the 12z Euro (which has it coming down the Rockies).
That 18z GFS, especially the last panel, looks almost a dead ringer for the DFW Snowmageddon map!
Are we officially dubbing that storm (previous) DFW Snowmageddon?

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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)
Ntxw wrote:Portastorm wrote:Well, I know one thing ... the 18z GFS has the placement of the high coming down out of Canada further east than the 12z Euro (which has it coming down the Rockies).
That 18z GFS, especially the last panel, looks almost a dead ringer for the DFW Snowmageddon map!
Are we officially dubbing that storm (previous) DFW Snowmageddon?
Oh boy! 14 inches of snow. I am forum poster iorange55, and our crippling, record breaking storm COMES TODAY!!!!!!!! *exhales* 14 INCHES OF SNOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOW!!!!!!!!!!!!! BLOWING AND DRIFTING! OHHHHHHHH 3, 4, 5 FEET DRIFTS! So you shovel, and it drifts, shovel, drifts. AH!!!!!!!!!!
Thanks to accuweather meteorologist Jim Kosek.
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- Portastorm
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Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)
Well, it's up to y'all ... after all it was YOUR storm!
But I like the phrase and think it's catchy so that is why I have been using it.

But I like the phrase and think it's catchy so that is why I have been using it.
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Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)
Portastorm wrote:Well, it's up to y'all ... after all it was YOUR storm!![]()
But I like the phrase and think it's catchy so that is why I have been using it.
Snowmageddon works for me. It's catchy and quirky at the same time.
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Mom to 8 really is enough!
Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)
Portastorm wrote:Well, it's up to y'all ... after all it was YOUR storm!![]()
But I like the phrase and think it's catchy so that is why I have been using it.
Snowmageddon works for me!


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Here is what the Lubbock NWS AFD is saying about the upcoming weather
AM NOT EXPECTING ANY SENSIBLE WX WITH THIS WAVE AS MOISTURE
PROFILES AREA WIDE APPEAR QUITE PALTRY...THOUGH MAX TEMPS WILL
PROVE MORE CHALLENGING WITH AMPLE CAA ADVERTISED BY ALL NWP
GUIDANCE.
SURFACE RIDGE FOLLOWING FRIDAY/S COLD FRONT IS PROGGED TO RESIDE
EAST OF THE AREA INTO THE WEEKEND RESULTING IN A MOIST ELY LOW-
LEVEL FLOW VERY REMINISCENT OF LAST WEEK/S PERIODIC STRATUS AND
FOG. COULD SEE SOME DRIZZLE DEVELOP OVER THE EAST AS EARLY AS SAT
MORNING IN THIS PATTERN...THOUGH SAT NIGHT AND SUN MORNING
APPEAR TO HAVE BETTER POTENTIAL AS MOISTURE ADVECTION RAMPS UP
AHEAD OF THE FIRST SOUTHERN STREAM WAVE ORIGINATING FROM THE
PACIFIC. AS WOULD BE EXPECTED IN ZONAL FLOW...MODELS HAVE BEEN
STRUGGLING WITH THE TIMING AND INTENSITY OF THE EMBEDDED WAVES. AT
THIS TIME...AM NOT CONFIDENT IN MODIFYING THE INHERITED LIGHT SNOW
MENTION OVER THE NORTH SUN NIGHT EVEN THOUGH CURRENT MODELS NOW
SUGGEST PRECIP 24 HOURS SOONER. DEEPENING W-SWLY FLOW IN ADVANCE
OF THIS WAVE SHOULD HELP SCOUR OUT SOME OF THE STRATUS BEFORE
ANOTHER COLD FRONT SUN NIGHT SENDS MUCH OF THE CWA BACK INTO A
MOIST ELY SURFACE FLOW.
BY EARLY NEXT WEEK...THE DETERMINISTIC GFS...ECMWF AND CMC ALL
SUGGEST A SECOND IMPULSE WILL MAKE LANDFALL IN SRN CALIFORNIA. THIS
NEXT SRN STREAM WAVE CERTAINLY APPEARS TO POSSESS MUCH MORE PANACHE
THAN THE PRECEDING WAVE WITH A CLOSED LOW EVIDENT ON ALL OF THE
AFOREMENTIONED MODELS. HOWEVER...CONCERNS EMERGE WITH THIS NEXT
SYSTEM WHEN INSPECTING THE RECENT GEFS WHICH IS MUCH LESS
AMPLIFIED AND VISIBLY DRIER. CONSIDERING THIS POTENTIAL TROF/UPPER
LOW IS STILL SIX-SEVEN DAYS OUT AND LIKELY TO CHANGE...WILL KEEP
WX UNMENTIONABLE AT THIS JUNCTURE.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FRIONA 25 57 31 52 31 / 0 0 10 10 10
TULIA 29 58 32 51 32 / 0 0 10 10 10
PLAINVIEW 26 59 33 55 33 / 0 0 10 10 10
LEVELLAND 27 62 34 60 35 / 0 0 0 0 10
LUBBOCK 32 61 36 60 35 / 0 0 10 0 10
DENVER CITY 29 62 37 64 38 / 0 0 0 0 10
BROWNFIELD 31 62 36 63 36 / 0 0 0 0 10
CHILDRESS 30 59 34 55 35 / 0 0 10 10 10
SPUR 28 61 35 61 36 / 0 0 10 0 10
ASPERMONT 29 62 38 63 39 / 0 0 10 10 10
&&
.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&
$$
23
AM NOT EXPECTING ANY SENSIBLE WX WITH THIS WAVE AS MOISTURE
PROFILES AREA WIDE APPEAR QUITE PALTRY...THOUGH MAX TEMPS WILL
PROVE MORE CHALLENGING WITH AMPLE CAA ADVERTISED BY ALL NWP
GUIDANCE.
SURFACE RIDGE FOLLOWING FRIDAY/S COLD FRONT IS PROGGED TO RESIDE
EAST OF THE AREA INTO THE WEEKEND RESULTING IN A MOIST ELY LOW-
LEVEL FLOW VERY REMINISCENT OF LAST WEEK/S PERIODIC STRATUS AND
FOG. COULD SEE SOME DRIZZLE DEVELOP OVER THE EAST AS EARLY AS SAT
MORNING IN THIS PATTERN...THOUGH SAT NIGHT AND SUN MORNING
APPEAR TO HAVE BETTER POTENTIAL AS MOISTURE ADVECTION RAMPS UP
AHEAD OF THE FIRST SOUTHERN STREAM WAVE ORIGINATING FROM THE
PACIFIC. AS WOULD BE EXPECTED IN ZONAL FLOW...MODELS HAVE BEEN
STRUGGLING WITH THE TIMING AND INTENSITY OF THE EMBEDDED WAVES. AT
THIS TIME...AM NOT CONFIDENT IN MODIFYING THE INHERITED LIGHT SNOW
MENTION OVER THE NORTH SUN NIGHT EVEN THOUGH CURRENT MODELS NOW
SUGGEST PRECIP 24 HOURS SOONER. DEEPENING W-SWLY FLOW IN ADVANCE
OF THIS WAVE SHOULD HELP SCOUR OUT SOME OF THE STRATUS BEFORE
ANOTHER COLD FRONT SUN NIGHT SENDS MUCH OF THE CWA BACK INTO A
MOIST ELY SURFACE FLOW.
BY EARLY NEXT WEEK...THE DETERMINISTIC GFS...ECMWF AND CMC ALL
SUGGEST A SECOND IMPULSE WILL MAKE LANDFALL IN SRN CALIFORNIA. THIS
NEXT SRN STREAM WAVE CERTAINLY APPEARS TO POSSESS MUCH MORE PANACHE
THAN THE PRECEDING WAVE WITH A CLOSED LOW EVIDENT ON ALL OF THE
AFOREMENTIONED MODELS. HOWEVER...CONCERNS EMERGE WITH THIS NEXT
SYSTEM WHEN INSPECTING THE RECENT GEFS WHICH IS MUCH LESS
AMPLIFIED AND VISIBLY DRIER. CONSIDERING THIS POTENTIAL TROF/UPPER
LOW IS STILL SIX-SEVEN DAYS OUT AND LIKELY TO CHANGE...WILL KEEP
WX UNMENTIONABLE AT THIS JUNCTURE.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FRIONA 25 57 31 52 31 / 0 0 10 10 10
TULIA 29 58 32 51 32 / 0 0 10 10 10
PLAINVIEW 26 59 33 55 33 / 0 0 10 10 10
LEVELLAND 27 62 34 60 35 / 0 0 0 0 10
LUBBOCK 32 61 36 60 35 / 0 0 10 0 10
DENVER CITY 29 62 37 64 38 / 0 0 0 0 10
BROWNFIELD 31 62 36 63 36 / 0 0 0 0 10
CHILDRESS 30 59 34 55 35 / 0 0 10 10 10
SPUR 28 61 35 61 36 / 0 0 10 0 10
ASPERMONT 29 62 38 63 39 / 0 0 10 10 10
&&
.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&
$$
23
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Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)
Early Voting Started Yesterday, might wanna get that outta the way first ! 

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Re:
gboudx wrote:I have still have snow left from DFW Snowmarggedon. To clear the driveway, I rolled up a big snowman. The base probably weighed about 100lbs. There's still about 25 lbs of it left.
We still have some too! Snowman, snow fort, and an igloo still trying to thaw! LOVE IT!
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Mom to 8 really is enough!
Re: Re:
perk wrote:txagwxman wrote:18z finally catching a clue?
txagwxman exactly what is the 18z telling us.
Dallas snowdump part deux.
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- srainhoutx
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Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)


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Re:
gofrogs2 wrote:No its not dont let him get your hopes up as of right know its rain and in the upper 40s sorry folks.
In the winter that is...are you sure that's not Houston you're forecasting for?! lol joking aside, I do hope the rest of Texas gets in on the fun should it happen...
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)
Umm he is a Meterologist, Im going to go with a fellow Met on this one, Sorry.
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Re:
gofrogs2 wrote:That sounded harsh but its not meant to be just a joke seriously but from what i read that what it showed. whatever i give up.
Are you looking at the same 18z GFS we are? BTW if that were to come to fruition, Oklahoma could get hammered too, yet again!
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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