Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

[Ntxw]

iorange55 it's almost there to SA! Though looks a bit wimpy atm. It's still holding on to the very last breath!

[iorange55]

iorange55 it's almost there to SA! Though looks a bit wimpy atm. It's still holding on to the very last breath!

Lol, I don't know if it'll make it. Or what it'll be. Hopefully it's at least like we had earlier.


I think the solution is my friend just needs to come up here next winter. Because San Antonio has a really hard time seeing snow.

[Ntxw]

iorange55 it's almost there to SA! Though looks a bit wimpy atm. It's still holding on to the very last breath!

Lol, I don't know if it'll make it. Or what it'll be. Hopefully it's at least like we had earlier.


I think the solution is my friend just needs to come up here next winter. Because San Antonio has a really hard time seeing snow.

If they can make the quick drive an hour or so safely to Georgetown i'm sure they can see good snow!

[TeamPlayersBlue]

EDIT:
p.s. I like Nacogdoches chances for a few inches of accumulation.. that area up to palestine looks like it could catch some good snow

looking very good right now. It's gonna snow for a while tonight. Still very heavy snow. Just made a quick run to the store. Accumulating nicely on the grass right now and the temp is dropping.

[Ntxw]

The back edge of the heavy shield of precip is now showing up roughly from Tyler down to CLL, they should soon transition to periods of light snow

[Nederlander]

How much farther southeast is that freezing line going to make it? It looks like its trying to put on the brakes.. lets hope Toyota had a hand in the creation of this system

[iorange55]

Lol well the little bit that is left is showing up pink in west San Antonio where they are. Haha here is to hoping a few flurries are flying.

[CaptinCrunch]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
406 PM CST TUE FEB 23 2010

.DISCUSSION...
SNOWFALL TOTALS REACHED 3 TO 5 INCHES WITHIN MUCH OF THE WINTER
STORM WARNING AREA. ALTHOUGH THE SNOW HAS DIMINISHED IN WESTERN
PORTIONS OF THE WARNING...WILL MAINTAIN ENTIRE WARNING AREA AT
LEAST THROUGH THE EVENING COMMUTE. HEAVY SNOW BURSTS FROM TEMPLE/
KILLEEN...EASTWARD TO PALESTINE...HAVE RESULTED IN ACCUMULATIONS
ON ROADWAYS SUFFICIENT TO CAUSE DISRUPTIONS TO TRAVEL. A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE CWA SOUTH
OF I-20...WHERE SOME SNOWFALL TOTALS HAVE BEEN 2 TO 4 INCHES.
FLURRIES RECENTLY REPORTED IN ABILENE...BRECKENRIDGE...AND
COMANCHE. WILL CARRY FLURRIES IN INITIAL EVENING PERIOD ALONG AND
JUST NORTH OF I-20 CORRIDOR...BUT ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO
DIMINISH INTO THE EARLY EVENING. SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES
AREAWIDE WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH POTENTIAL FOR ICY PATCHES DURING
THE MORNING COMMUTE...PARTICULARLY WHERE SNOWFALL WAS GREATEST.

TWO MORE EVENTS ON TAP...AS PROGRESSIVE PATTERN CONTINUES. THE
FIRST WILL BE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY WHEN THE NEXT COLD FRONT
ARRIVES. A MORE PROLONGED RAIN EVENT IS IN STORE SUNDAY AND
MONDAY.

DRIER AIR WILL FILTER INTO NORTH TEXAS THROUGH WEDNESDAY...BUT
MOISTURE WILL SURGE BACK INTO THE REGION THURSDAY. APPEARS
DOWNGLIDE/DRYING ENSUES...AND 500MB TROUGH AXIS WILL HAVE
PASSED...BEFORE COLUMN COOLS ENOUGH TO SUPPORT SNOW. WILL CONTINUE
TO ASSESS AS EVENT APPROACHES...BUT REGARDLESS...PATTERN IS NOT
CONDUCIVE FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL. AT THIS TIME...WILL REFRAIN
FROM INTRODUCING SNOW ALONG THE RED RIVER...WHERE NORMAN HAS
RAIN/SNOW MIX WITH LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS ON OKLAHOMA SIDE.

GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT WITH CLOSED POLAR LOW SLOWLY MOVING ACROSS
THE LONE STAR STATE SUNDAY AND MONDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
PERILOUSLY CLOSE TO FREEZING FAR NORTHERN ZONES. WILL BEAR
WATCHING AS WELL.

Waiting on next system, so let the fun start all over again

[TeamPlayersBlue]

The latest run of the GFS shows snow for pretty much all of the Houston area tonight. Shows some wrap around moisture all the way up to here 12 hours out

[Ntxw]

Personal opinion, if it's going to snow in Houston proper area wide, I think it would be between 6-9pm if not that probably won't do much after.

[Nederlander]

:uarrow: Personal opinion, if it's going to snow in Houston proper area wide, I think it would be between 6-9pm if not that probably won't do much after.

Keep in mind that on the GFS run if its 12 hours out, then its showing precipitation for the previous six hours. So in other words, the precip could very well fall into that 6-9 p.m. window.. (at least thats how I think it works)

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Yeah, this storm looks like its coming to an end, but it will deepen in my opinion and pull in moisture.

Where do you guys think the low is? Accuweather has the low down near Cancun. lol

[Ntxw]

:uarrow: Personal opinion, if it's going to snow in Houston proper area wide, I think it would be between 6-9pm if not that probably won't do much after.

Keep in mind that on the GFS run if its 12 hours out, then its showing precipitation for the previous six hours. So in other words, the precip could very well fall into that 6-9 p.m. window.. (at least thats how I think it works)

the early 3 hours of those 6 would have the best chance at precip while it's cold as the moisture is moving out, this is based on radar trends that's why I think it's 6-9.

[Nederlander]

very discouraged from the last few frames of radar... It looks like the freeze line has ran into a wall on a line from katy, to conroe, to chester, to just south of lufkin.. I was planning to head toward chester after work, but now im not so sure its even worth it..

[weatherguy425]

Nederlander... its okay!! its only 435 ahhaha, plsu as weve seen just because the radar doesnt show pink...doesnt mean frozen precip isnt falling

[southerngale]

Congrats to everyone who is getting snow today. A nice treat in Texas!

My "around one inch accumulation" is down to "less than a half inch" possible, and I'm thinking I'll be lucky to even see any flakes at this point. NWS says all snow after 9pm. Will there be any precip left though?


Tonight: Rain and snow, becoming all snow after 9pm. Low around 33. North wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.



I'm getting some decent showers now and the temp is finally falling. It's a hair below 40° now.

*Edit 8 minutes later - went from 39.9 to 39 in 8 min. Keep going, baby!

[Nederlander]

Nederlander... its okay!! its only 435 ahhaha, plsu as weve seen just because the radar doesnt show pink...doesnt mean frozen precip isnt falling

I am trying to remain positive lol.. I am hoping temps start cooling as we go into the evening hours.. I just dont wanna make a two hour trip for nothing... i have to decide in the next 30 minutes

[setxweatherfreak]

Congrats to everyone who is getting snow today. A nice treat in Texas!

My "around one inch accumulation" is down to "less than a half inch" possible, and I'm thinking I'll be lucky to even see any flakes at this point. NWS says all snow after 9pm. Will there be any precip left though?


Tonight: Rain and snow, becoming all snow after 9pm. Low around 33. North wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.



I'm getting some decent showers now and the temp is finally falling. It's a hair below 40° now.

Such a Tragedy!!

[Ntxw]

There's a small small window of precip for the Beaumont area in cold air late tonight for flurries. Well after dark though from what I can see.

[southerngale]

:uarrow: There's a small small window of precip for the Beaumont area in cold air late tonight for flurries. Well after dark though from what I can see.

While flurries are nice to watch in the daytime, ehhh... if I can't even scrape up enough off a car to throw a snowball, what's the point? Yep, been spoiled the last few Decembers and I enjoy the snowball fights and making a snowman. Now I knew that IF I got anything, it wouldn't be enough for a snowman this time, but I was hoping for enough to make some snowballs and play in it a little, even if it wasn't much.

Oh well, there's always the oppressive heat to look forward to.