SE TX/SW LA Winter WX - 2011-2012

[Ptarmigan]

Interesting...though the #4 is not reliable as we have no complete data to make such a conclusion from that long ago!!!

This is based on records going back to 1895. It would be nice to have records going further back!

[CYCLONE MIKE]

In regards to the latest model data, what do things look like for us over here in the Baton Rouge area. No one is saying much about any winter weather. Our forecast right now is for a low near 39 with a 50% chance of showers.

[PTrackerLA]

NWS Lake Charles just updated their forecast discussion, I-10 corridor now under winter weather advisory with .5"-1" of accumulation! Three measurable snows in one winter season?!

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1105 PM CST MON FEB 22 2010

.UPDATE...
QUITE A BUSY UPDATE...AS WE SEEM TO BE IN THE NEVER ENDING WINTER
OF SOUTHERN SNOWS!

LATEST GFS/NAM12 STILL SHOWS STORM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF ON
ELEVATED SURFACES OF 2 TO 2.5 INCHES ACROSS NORTHERN TYLER...JASPER
...NEWTON COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...AND NORTHERN VERNON...RAPIDES
...AND AVOYELLES PARISHES IN CENTRAL LOUISIANA. THUS...UPGRADED
THE WINTER STORM WATCH TO A WARNING (LOCAL CRITERIA IS ABOVE 2
INCHES WITHIN A 12 HOUR PERIOD). ALSO...ROAD CONDITIONS COULD
BECOME QUITE HAZARDOUS BY WEDNESDAY MORNING...AS THE LOWS ARE
EXPECTED TO REACH 30 DEGREES IN THIS AREA. FURTHER SOUTH...1-2
INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED NORTH OF US-190...AND 0.5-1.0 INCHES CAN BE
EXPECTED FROM I-10 TO US-190. THUS...A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS
ISSUED FOR THIS REGION. THERE IS A BRIEF CHANCE AREAS BETWEEN I-10
AND US-190 COULD SEE SOME ICING ON ELEVATED ROAD SURFACES
WEDNESDAY MORNING AS THE TEMPERATURE APPROACHES 32 DEGREES BY
SUNRISE WED MORNING.

DUE TO CONTINUED CAA THIS EVENING...LOWERED TEMPS A COUPLE OF
DEGREES AREAWIDE...AND HIGHS TUES DUE TO THE ONSET OF PRECIP AND
EVAPORATIVE COOLING.

UPDATES ALREADY OUT.

[southerngale]

My new forecast. Not just rain/snow anymore, but whether it comes to fruition, is another story.

Tuesday Night: Rain and snow likely before midnight, then a chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32. North wind between 10 and 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of around an inch possible.

Wednesday: A 20 percent chance of snow before 9am. Partly cloudy, with a high near 52. North wind between 10 and 15 mph.

Winter Weather Advisory

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1048 PM CST MON FEB 22 2010

...LATE SEASON SNOW LIKELY OVER MOST OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS...CENTRAL
AND SOUTHERN LOUISIANA...

.A MID TO UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM PROGRESSING ACROSS THE TEXAS
AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES WILL FORM AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER
THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO...WHICH WILL LEAD TO LIGHT TO MODERATE
RAIN SPREADING ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON. AS COLDER AIR
CONTINUES TO FILTER ACROSS THE REGION AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT...RAIN
WILL MIX WITH SNOW AND SLEET ACROSS INLAND SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND
CENTRAL LOUISIANA BY LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON...CHANGING OVER TO ALL
SNOW BY EVENING NORTH OF US-190. AFTER MIDNIGHT...THE PRECIPITATION
IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW NORTH OF I-10...WITH SOME
ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED ON ELEVATED SURFACES NORTH OF US 190. DUE
TO THE WARM GROUND TEMPERATURES OF LATE...THE SNOW WILL LIKELY
MELT FAIRLY SOON ON GRASSY SURFACES...AND MELT UPON IMPACT ON AREA
ROADWAYS. THE SNOW WILL BE ENDING FROM WEST TO EAST JUST AFTER
SUNRISE WEDNESDAY MORNING.

LAZ030>033-TXZ201-231400-
/O.UPG.KLCH.WS.A.0001.100224T0000Z-100224T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KLCH.WW.Y.0002.100224T0000Z-100224T1500Z/
BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-HARDIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DERIDDER...OAKDALE...VILLE PLATTE...
OPELOUSAS...LUMBERTON
1048 PM CST MON FEB 22 2010

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM TUESDAY TO 9 AM
CST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND SLEET MIXTURE...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6
PM TUESDAY TO 9 AM CST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR SNOW ACCUMULATION OVER TWO INCHES...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM 6 PM TUESDAY TO 9 AM CST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH
IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

RAIN WILL MIX WITH SNOW AND SLEET ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND
CENTRAL LOUISIANA BY TUESDAY EVENING...CHANGING OVER TO ALL
SNOW BY MIDNIGHT...ENDING JUST AFTER SUNRISE WEDNESDAY. SNOWFALL
ACCUMULATIONS ON ELEVATED SURFACES OF 1 TO 1.5 INCHES CAN BE
EXPECTED...MAINLY NORTH OF US-190. DUE TO THE WARM GROUND
TEMPERATURES...SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS ON THE GROUND WILL LIKELY
MELT SHORTLY AFTER IT FALLS. HOWEVER...ELEVATED ROAD SURFACES AND
BRIDGES COULD ICE OVER AS THE TEMPERATURES FALL TO NEAR 32 DEGREES
NEAR SUNRISE WEDNESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

[southerngale]

It's still 41 here... I thought it would be colder by now. That makes me nervous as far as seeing any snow later, but I'm not giving up hope yet.

Winter Weather Advisory

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
527 AM CST TUE FEB 23 2010

...LATE SEASON SNOW LIKELY OVER MOST OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS...CENTRAL
AND SOUTHERN LOUISIANA...

.A MID TO UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM PROGRESSING ACROSS THE TEXAS
AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES WILL FORM AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER
THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO...WHICH WILL LEAD TO LIGHT TO MODERATE
RAIN SPREADING ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON. AS COLDER AIR
CONTINUES TO FILTER ACROSS THE REGION AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT...
RAIN WILL MIX WITH SNOW ACROSS INLAND SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND CENTRAL
LOUISIANA BY LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON...CHANGING OVER TO ALL SNOW BY
EVENING NORTH OF US-190. AFTER MIDNIGHT...THE PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED TO CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW NORTH OF I-10...WITH SOME
ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED ON ELEVATED SURFACES NORTH OF US 190. DUE
TO THE WARM GROUND TEMPERATURES OF LATE...THE SNOW WILL LIKELY
MELT FAIRLY SOON ON GRASSY SURFACES...AND MELT UPON IMPACT ON AREA
ROADWAYS. THE SNOW WILL BE ENDING FROM WEST TO EAST JUST AFTER
SUNRISE WEDNESDAY MORNING.

LAZ030>033-041>045-TXZ201-215-216-231700-
/O.CON.KLCH.WW.Y.0002.100224T0000Z-100224T1500Z/
BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-
ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DERIDDER...OAKDALE...VILLE PLATTE...
OPELOUSAS...LAKE CHARLES...JENNINGS...CROWLEY...LAFAYETTE...
ST. MARTINVILLE...LUMBERTON...BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR...ORANGE
527 AM CST TUE FEB 23 2010

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS
EVENING TO 9 AM CST WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS
EVENING TO 9 AM CST WEDNESDAY.

RAIN WILL MIX WITH SNOW ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND CENTRAL
LOUISIANA BY TUESDAY EVENING...CHANGING OVER TO ALL SNOW BY
MIDNIGHT...ENDING JUST AFTER SUNRISE WEDNESDAY. SNOWFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 1.5 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED...MAINLY ON
ELEVATED SURFACES NORTH OF US-190...WITH ACCUMULATIONS OF 0.5 TO
1 INCH EXPECTED ON ELEVATED SURFACES NORTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL
CANAL TO I-10. DUE TO THE WARM GROUND TEMPERATURES...SNOWFALL
ACCUMULATIONS ON THE GROUND WILL LIKELY MELT SHORTLY AFTER IT
FALLS. WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING
WEDNESDAY MORNING...NO SIGNIFICANT PROBLEMS ARE EXPECTED ON ROAD
AND ELEVATED SURFACES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
655 AM CST TUE FEB 23 2010

.DISCUSSION...
WHEW! BUSY FORECAST OVERNIGHT WHICH WAS COMPLICATED BY SOME
SOFTWARE ISSUES...SO MY APOLOGIES FOR THE DELAY. WHAT HAS BECOME
EVEN MORE APPARENT SINCE YESTERDAY MORNING IS THAT NEARLY ALL OF
THE AREA HAS A CHANCE TO EXPERIENCE SNOW BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. AS
USUAL...FIGURING OUT WHEN THE TRANSITION FROM RAIN WILL OCCUR AND
HOW MUCH IS LIKELY TO ACCUMULATE REMAINS THE CHALLENGE.

AN ANALYSIS OF FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOWS THAT THE TRANSITION FROM
RAIN TO SNOW SHOULD BEGIN TO OCCUR OVER THE EAST TEXAS LAKES INTO
WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON...WITH A CHANGE TO
ALL SNOW TAKING PLACE HERE BY EARLY EVENING. THE RAIN/SNOW MIX
LINE WILL LIKELY SHIFT A LITTLE EAST AND/OR SOUTH...BUT WILL LARGELY
REMAIN STATIC THROUGH THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON. THAT SHOULD
CHANGE BY THIS EVENING...WITH THE TRANSITION LINE RAPIDLY
SPREADING INTO SOUTHEAST TEXAS...THE REMAINDER OF CENTRAL
LOUISIANA...AND SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA PRIOR TO MIDNIGHT. SOUTH
CENTRAL LOUISIANA WILL FOLLOW SUIT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOWFALL TOTALS
OF 2 TO 2.5 INCHES STILL LOOKS ON TARGET FOR TYLER...NORTHERN
JASPER...AND NORTHERN NEWTON COUNTIES...AND VERNON PARISH. AMOUNTS
FARTHER EAST INTO RAPIDES AND AVOYELLES ARE LOOKING A LITTLE MORE
SUSPECT IN TERMS OF THE WINTER STORM WARNING...AS I AM CURRENTLY
EXPECTING GENERALLY 1.5 TO 2 INCHES THERE. HOWEVER...GIVEN THE
POTENTIAL FOR SOME HEAVIER BANDING TO PRODUCE HIGHER TOTALS...THE
AREAL EXTENT OF THE WARNING WILL REMAIN AS IS.

SOUTH OF THE WARNING AREA...AMOUNTS PREVIOUSLY ADVERTISED...1 TO
2 INCHES ALONG/NORTH OF THE US-190 CORRIDOR...AND LESS THAN ONE
INCH ALONG/SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 10 CORRIDOR STILL LOOK ON
TARGET.

LOOKING BRIEFLY AT THE MEDIUM TO EXTENDED RANGE...STILL LOOKS LIKE
TWO SYSTEMS ARE SLATED TO AFFECT THE REGION...THE FIRST ON FRIDAY
AND THE SECOND ON SUNDAY/MONDAY. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GENERALLY
GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE OVERALL FEATURES...BUT DO HAVE SOME RELATIVELY
SMALL TIMING ISSUES THAT NEED TO BE RESOLVED. WINTER PRECIP WILL
BE A CLOSE CALL WITH BOTH...BUT LETS GET THROUGH THE ONE
IMMEDIATELY IN FRONT OF US FIRST.

[CYCLONE MIKE]

Wouldn't worry too much yet southerngale. Checked out regional obs and as of 11am in Lufkin they were at 40* and rain and Bryan is at 38 with rain. Looks like the colder air is slowly pushing se towards you. Looks even worse over here for us in SE LA. We are at 43 and still have all day to warm up before the rain moves in and cools things down. Think the bulk of the rain will be long gone before the colder air gets to us. Never really had my hopes up for this one though.

[vbhoutex]

Rain and 40ºf here in Houston. Radar is starting to fill in some to our SW which suggests there is plenty of moisture to work with. With the onset of precip temps should start to fall slowly. Reports of R/S in SA also. Will not be surprised if the progs are a little bit low for our area. Not gonna get excited though until I see the temps start going down.

[southerngale]

Rain and 40ºf here in Houston. Radar is starting to fill in some to our SW which suggests there is plenty of moisture to work with. With the onset of precip temps should start to fall slowly. Reports of R/S in SA also. Will not be surprised if the progs are a little bit low for our area. Not gonna get excited though until I see the temps start going down.

Me either and they're not dropping.


Latest updates from NWS LCH:

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1152 AM CST TUE FEB 23 2010

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF ISSUANCE...MVFR/IFR WITH LIKELY -SN AT TIMES BETWEEN
03-12Z. DIFFICULT FORECAST FOR AREA AIRPORTS WITH UNCERTAINTIES ON
TIMING OF WHEN PRECIPITATION WILL START AND WHEN SNOW WILL BEGIN.
BASED ON LATEST SURFACE OBSERVATIONS ACROSS TEXAS...APPEARS
PRECIP WILL BEGIN SOONER THAN PREVIOUS FORECAST AND WILL MOVE UP
TIMING OF RAIN AT ALL AIRPORTS. SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND DEWPOINTS
CURRENTLY TOO WARM TO SUPPORT ANY WINTRY PRECIP...AND APPEARS SNOW
WILL MOST LIKELY NOT BEGIN TO MIX WITH THE RAIN UNTIL THIS EVENING
AT KAEX BEFORE A COMPLETE CHANGEOVER TO SNOW AROUND 06Z. OTHER
TERMINALS WILL NOT SEE A RAIN/SNOW MIX BEGIN UNTIL LATE THIS
EVENING OR AFTER MIDNIGHT. DUE TO UNCERTAINTIES ON TIMING OF
COMPLETE CHANGEOVER TO SNOW AT THE AIRPORTS ALONG AND SOUTH OF
I-10...WILL KEEP -RASN FOR NOW BUT LATER TAFS MAY INCLUDE A FEW
HOURS OF ALL -SN. TIME HEIGHT TRENDS SHOW RAPID DRYING AT ALL
LEVELS FROM 12-16Z TOMORROW MORNING AND WILL SHOW A QUICK JUMP TO
VFR CONDITIONS DURING THAT TIME.

SHAMBURGER

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1031 AM CST TUE FEB 23 2010/

UPDATE...
BASED ON LATEST GUIDANCE AND CURRENT TRENDS...HAVE ADJUSTED WINTER
STORM WARNING AND ADVISORY. WILL KEEP WARNING GOING FOR UPPER
SOUTHEAST TEXAS AS THE 2 INCH CRITERIA MAY STILL OCCUR IN SPOTS
NORTHWEST OF A TOLEDO BEND TO WOODVILLE LINE. LOOKS LIKE THE
LOUISIANA PARISHES WILL SEE ONE INCH OR LESS WHICH DOES NOT MEET
WARNING CRITERIA. MAIN REASON LOOKS TO BE SURFACE TEMPERATURES
STAYING ABOVE FREEZING LONGER WHICH WILL PRECLUDE ACCUMULATION ON
ROADWAYS AND BRIDGES...AND WHEN TEMPERATURES DO FALL TO
FREEZING...BEST MOISTURE AND LIFT BEGINS TO WANE AND PRECIP WILL
BE LIGHT.

WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR AND AGAIN MAKE NECESSARY CHANGES WITH THE
AFTERNOON PACKAGE.

[CYCLONE MIKE]

Well we have made it to 50 and even the lower 50's around town. All the local guys say not much will become of this but a cold rain tonight with a few flakes mixed in early in the pre dawn hours. It is just to warm here. The dew point is at 37 as well. Not staying awake late tonight or getting up early for this one.

[southerngale]

I doubt we're going to see any real chances of snow the rest of the season (JMO), so I actually wouldn't mind a little warmer weather. It was COLD this morning! The Weatherbug just to my west hit 27° and the one just to my east hit 26° - brrr! It even hit 29° down at the airport! Looking around at various stations... lots of upper 20s recorded. And 23° in Saratoga, NW of here. Wow. This winter just won't quit. My bathrooms are so cold in the morning... the built-in heaters are the most fantastic invention ever. Shut the door and heat yourself up, like you're in an oven, slowly warming up.

[Stormcenter]

As far as I'm concerned Winter could last right through Sept. It's better then dealing with the alternative (hurricane season). JMHO.

[southerngale]

hmm, maybe I spoke too soon.

I'm sure they mean further north anyway, but I'm not getting sucked into 24/7 model watch alert again so soon. And it's just the possibility of a mix, not a mountain of the good stuff.

This is from the early morning NWS LCH AFD:

LONG TERM...GOING TO BE ANOTHER CLOSE CALL ON A DECISION INTRODUCING
A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIP FRIDAY NIGHT. ALTHOUGH THICKNESSES ARE
SUPPORTIVE OF A MIX OVER INTERIOR SE TX...CEN AND S CEN LA...TIME
HEIGHT SOUNDINGS SHOW THE FREEZING LEVEL AT OR ABOVE 3K FEET. OF
COURSE WE WILL MONITOR SUBSEQUENT MODEL RUNS BUT FOR NOW WILL STAY
WITH A COLD RAIN FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT.

[Sambucol]

This is from the early morning NWS LCH AFD:

LONG TERM...GOING TO BE ANOTHER CLOSE CALL ON A DECISION INTRODUCING
A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIP FRIDAY NIGHT. ALTHOUGH THICKNESSES ARE
SUPPORTIVE OF A MIX OVER INTERIOR SE TX...CEN AND S CEN LA...TIME
HEIGHT SOUNDINGS SHOW THE FREEZING LEVEL AT OR ABOVE 3K FEET. OF
COURSE WE WILL MONITOR SUBSEQUENT MODEL RUNS BUT FOR NOW WILL STAY
WITH A COLD RAIN FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT.

Is this for tomorrow night or a week from tomorrow?

[southerngale]

hmmm. I assumed it was tomorrow night since their 7 day forecast doesn't even touch next Friday. I'm not sure why it says "LONG TERM..." though... I didn't even really notice that. Here's the link. It's the discussion from 5:06 a.m. this morning.

http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=LCH&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1

[vbhoutex]

As far as I'm concerned Winter could last right through Sept. It's better then dealing with the alternative (hurricane season). JMHO.

I'm tired of the cold, but I understand where you are coming from, especially after going through Ike and with a probable active season approaching.

[srainhoutx]

Will this winter ever end...

[vbhoutex]

Geez!!! We haven't seen normal temperatures here in forever and now the NE is getting slammed again!! What a winter we are witnessing. I think this one will be talked about for a long time. I won't even speculate about what we may see in the next several weeks. I think I'd jinx us if I did.

[CYCLONE MIKE]

Well for you guys wishing that winter will hurry up and end it does not look to promising at least for another week. Here is our latest long term discussion...

LONG TERM...

THE DEEP LAYER RIDGING WILL QUICKLY SLIDE TO THE EAST SUNDAY
NIGHT...AS ANOTHER STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVES INTO THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS. STRONG ASCENT ON THE SOUTHEAST SIDE OF THE SYSTEM IN A
REGION OF ENHANCED DIFLUENCE...COMBINED WITH A SHARP THERMAL
GRADIENT OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO WILL ALLOW FOR A VERY
STRONG GULF LOW TO FORM IN THE WESTERN GULF SUNDAY NIGHT. AT THE
SAME TIME...A POOL OF COLD AIR WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA. INCREASING CLOUD COVER IS EXPECTED SUNDAY NIGHT AS THE
STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW APPROACHES FROM THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST FLOW
IN THE MID-LEVELS RIDES UP AND OVER A MORE STABLE AND COLDER
AIRMASS AT THE SURFACE. WITH STRONG ISENTROPIC FORCING IN THE MID-
LEVELS AND HIGH OMEGA VALUES ALOFT...EXPECT RAIN TO OVERSPREAD THE
ENTIRE FORECAST AREA ON MONDAY. THIS BROAD PRECIP FIELD WILL
CONTINUE INTO MONDAY NIGHT AS THE LOW TRACKS THROUGH THE NORTHERN
GULF OF MEXICO AND BEGINS TO DEEPEN RAPIDLY OVER THE NORTHEAST
GULF AND THE SOUTHEASTERN ATLANTIC SEABOARD. AS THE LOW
DEEPENS...COLDER AIR WILL BE DRAWN SOUTH INTO THE REGION LATE
MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. ADDITIONALLY...THE MAIN
COLD POOL ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BE PASSING
THROUGH. IT APPEARS THAT A CHANGE OVER TO WINTRY PRECIP COULD TAKE
PLACE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. IT IS FAR TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE
THE EXACT TIMING AND TYPE OF PRECIP ALONG WITH ANY ACCUMULATION
AMOUNTS. THIS NEXT SYSTEM WILL HAVE TO BE MONITORED CAREFULLY
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND DRY AIR ADVECTION WILL TAKE HOLD OF THE CWA
TUESDAY NIGHT WITH RAPIDLY CLEARING SKIES AND COLD TEMPERATURES
EXPECTED. COLDER THAN NORMAL READINGS AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AS UPPER LEVEL RIDGING REMAINS OVER
THE AREA.

Its is unreal. Another week and another possibility of snow for the gulf states. And this is after our chances tomorrow night into saturday morning.

[srainhoutx]

Interesting Climatology Info from HGX this afternoon concerning February...A bust on forecasting a cold month with the blocking pattern, I think not...

.CLIMATE...
WITH JUST THREE DAYS LEFT IN THE MONTH...FEBRUARY 2010 IS SET TO END
UP BEING ONE OF THE COLDEST ON RECORD. THROUGH THE 25TH...IAH`S AVERAGE
TEMPERATURE WAS 47.9 DEGREES WHICH IS 7.2 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL AND WOULD
END UP BEING THE 5TH COOLEST FEBRUARY ON RECORD. HOU`S AVERAGE TEMPERATURE
WAS 48.7 DEGREES WHICH IS 8.7 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL AND WOULD END UP
BEING THE 2ND COOLEST FEBRUARY ON RECORD. GLS`S AVERAGE TEMPERATURE
WAS 49.9 DEGREES WHICH IS 7.8 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL AND WOULD END UP
BEING THE 6TH COOLEST FEBRUARY ON RECORD. CLL`S AVERAGE TEMPERATURE
WAS 46.1 DEGREES WHICH IS 8.0 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL AND WOULD END UP
BEING THE 5TH COOLEST FEBRUARY ON RECORD. PRETTY AMAZING! 42

[CajunMama]

I woke up this morning, looked out of my window to see some happy and quite plump robins in my yard. I always view this as spring close, real close.