WPAC: EX TROPICAL STORM OMAIS

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HURAKAN
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#101 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Mar 25, 2010 8:07 pm

ZCZC 757
WTPQ20 RJTD 252100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1001 OMAIS (1001)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 252100UTC 17.2N 132.1E FAIR
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 90NM NORTHEAST 70NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 262100UTC 19.4N 133.8E 85NM 70%
MOVE NE 07KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
45HF 271800UTC 21.4N 136.6E 160NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =
NNNN


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Re: WPAC: (JTWC) TD (02W) (JMA) TS OMAIS (PAGASA) TS AGATON

#102 Postby cycloneye » Thu Mar 25, 2010 10:03 pm

Image

WTPN31 PGTW 260300
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (OMAIS) WARNING NR 018
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
260000Z --- NEAR 17.5N 131.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 17.5N 131.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 18.1N 131.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 18.5N 131.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
260300Z POSITION NEAR 17.7N 131.5E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 02W (OMAIS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 615 NM
NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 12
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260900Z, 261500Z AND 262100Z.//
NNNN

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#103 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Mar 26, 2010 8:47 am

Image

WTPN31 PGTW 260900
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (OMAIS) WARNING NR 019
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
260600Z --- NEAR 18.2N 131.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N 131.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 18.8N 132.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 19.3N 133.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
260900Z POSITION NEAR 18.3N 132.1E.
TROPICAL STORM (TS) 02W (OMAIS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 655 NM
SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY INTERACTING WITH A
BAROCLINIC BOUNDARY AND IS RAPIDLY LOSING ITS TROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS. ENHANCED POLEWARD OUTFLOW AHEAD OF THE SUPPORTING
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH HAS HELPED SUSTAIN DEEP, ALBEIT SHEARED
CONVECTION. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS ELEVATED TO NEAR 40 KNOTS
ACCORDING TO THE LATEST CIMMS ANALYSIS. DVORAK ESTIMATES RANGE FROM
30 TO 35 KNOTS FROM PGTW AND RJTD, THROUGH PGTW IS NO LONGER
CLASSIFYING THE SYSTEM AS TROPICAL. AMSU TEMPERATURE CROSS SECTIONS
FROM 252000Z INDICATE THAT THE WARM CORE IS SHEARED SEVERAL DEGREES
FROM THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), AND A COOLER
TEMPERATURE ANOMALY HAS BEGUN TO DEVELOP OVER THE LLCC. THE INITIAL
POSITION IS CONSISTENT WITH A 260429 AMSU-B MICROWAVE IMAGE, WHICH
SHOWS THE LLCC LAGGING BEHIND THE SHEARED CONVECTION TO THE
SOUTHWEST. THE LLCC IS FORECAST TO TRACK ALONG THE BAROCLINIC
BOUNDARY TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST AND WILL INCORPORATE INTO THE
BOUNDARY WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS BECOMING FULLY
EXTRATROPICAL. THIS IS A CHANGE IN PHILOSOPHY FROM THE PREVIOUS
FORECAST, WHICH HAD CALLED FOR DISSIPATION. THIS IS THE FINAL
WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER
(NAVMARFCSTCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF
REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z IS 12
FEET.//
NNNN
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#104 Postby StormingB81 » Fri Mar 26, 2010 8:58 am

Final Warning out. SO long!
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#105 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Mar 26, 2010 10:10 am

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Feeling the breeze!
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#106 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Mar 26, 2010 10:51 am

26/1430 UTC 18.3N 132.4E T2.5/2.5 OMAIS -- West Pacific

Wait, it's back!! lol
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#107 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Mar 26, 2010 2:38 pm

Image

Looks like the shear increased
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Re:

#108 Postby Cookie » Fri Mar 26, 2010 6:20 pm

HURAKAN wrote:Image

I have $100 on shear!! lol


you certinalty seem in a good mood at the moment mate.

I always find you're posts informative and intresting, 2nite they also makeing me laugh as well :lol:
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Re: Re:

#109 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Mar 26, 2010 6:23 pm

Cookie wrote:
HURAKAN wrote:Image

I have $100 on shear!! lol


you certinalty seem in a good mood at the moment mate.

I always find you're posts informative and intresting, 2nite they also makeing me laugh as well :lol:


You would rarely see me mad. I always say that life is too short to be mad. But there are days I'm happier than others. I guess that night was one of them!!!

I know that many come to this site to find informative updates but when there is something like this storm that's not a menace to anyone, I think you can relax and make some jokes about it!! Check TC Imani and you will see!!
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Re: Re:

#110 Postby Cookie » Fri Mar 26, 2010 6:25 pm

HURAKAN wrote:
Cookie wrote:
HURAKAN wrote:Image

I have $100 on shear!! lol


you certinalty seem in a good mood at the moment mate.

I always find you're posts informative and intresting, 2nite they also makeing me laugh as well :lol:


You would rarely see me mad. I always say that life is too short to be mad. But there are days I'm happier than others. I guess that night was one of them!!!

I know that many come to this site to find informative updates but when there is something like this storm that's not a menace to anyone, I think you can relax and make some jokes about it!! Check TC Imani and you will see!!


agreed mate, cant be serious all the time.
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