cycloneye wrote:Afternoon discussion by NWS San Juan
Important paragrafh about possible fires as the dry air takes control here.
http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php ... glossary=1
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
317 PM AST FRI APR 2 2010
.SYNOPSIS...COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTH AND AWAY FROM
THE LOCAL AREA. HIGH PRES WILL BUILD OVR THE REGION THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&
.DISCUSSION...VERY DRY AIR CONTINUES TO FILTER INTO THE REGION
THIS AFTERNOON ON NORTH WINDS AND BEHIND A CDFNT THAT MOVED
THROUGH THE AREA THIS MORNING. QUIET AND CLEAR TONIGHT BUT INFLOW
OF COLD/POLAR AIR INTO THE REGION ON BACKSIDE OF CUTOFF LOW WELL
NORTH OF THE REGION WILL SUPPORT A STRATOCUMULUS DECK WITH PERHAPS
A FEW SHOWERS ACROSS THE OFFSHORE ATLC WATERS. BELIEVE THIS WILL
REMAIN TOO FAR OFFSHORE TONIGHT AND NOT AFFECT ANY LAND AREAS.
BETTER CHANCES FOR EARLY MORNING SHOWERS ALG THE ATLC COAST EARLY
SUN MORNING AND THE DAYS AFTER THAT. STRONG CAP WILL INHIBIT
SHOWER DEVELOPMENT DURING THE DAY RESULTING IN BEAUTIFUL AFTERNOONS.
REALLY PERFECT WX AS TEMPS EXPECTED NEAR CLIMO WITH LOW HUMIDITY.
NO 90`S IN SIGHT FOR THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS.
OF GREATER CONCERN IS INCREASING FIRE DANGER POTENTIAL NEXT WEEK AS
GUSTY WINDS CONTINUE TO DRY FUELS. SOME FIRES HAVE DEVELOPED
RECENTLY ACROSS SOUTHERN PR AND ST. CROIX. PLEASE REFER TO FIRE WX
SECTION BELOW.
&&
.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS NEXT 24 HRS.
&&
.MARINE...MODELS SEEM TO BE BRINGING THE SWELL TOO FAST INTO OUR
ATLC WATERS. OBSERVATIONS FROM BUOY 41049 ABOUT 654 NM TO THE NNE
OF SAN JUAN SHOW 2.5 METER SWELLS AT 10 SECS. SWELL TRAVEL TIME
NOMOGRAM SUGGESTS THIS WILL TAKE ANOTHER 24 HRS TO GET HERE. SO
WILL HOLD OFF ON HIGH SURF AS THERE IS STILL TIME TO MONITOR BUOY
OBSERVATIONS.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL BE THE MAIN RULE
FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK AND MOST OF NEXT WEEK. FUELS WILL
CONTINUE TO DRY OUT AS WINDS STAY UP IN THE 10 TO 20 KT RANGE
DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS. MODIS IMAGERY SHOWS THE GROUND AT ST.
CROIX AND THE SRN COAST IS PRETTY MUCH ALL BROWN. ALL LOCAL
RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE REMINDED...TO PLEASE USE EXTRA CAUTION
WITH ANY OUTDOOR FIRES AND SAFELY DISCARD ANY FLAMMABLE MATERIALS.
Oh yeah for sure Cycloneye! And morever our firemans are keeping theirs fingers crossed today and during the next 72H because of Easter on the beaches, and elsewhere too, the risk really is high to see fires at anytime... and things can turn dramatically. Let's hope that nothing occur
