Severe Weather Threat. April 21st-25th, 2010 High Risk!

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CrazyC83
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#81 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Apr 22, 2010 5:38 pm

http://www.ksn.com/content/weather/liveradar.aspx

KSN now streaming with occasional voice coverage.
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Re: Severe Weather Threat. April 21st-25th, 2010 Moderate Risk!

#82 Postby alan1961 » Thu Apr 22, 2010 5:40 pm

Bill Tabor, live chase cam, tornado on the ground, clarendon, Texas
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Re: Severe Weather Threat. April 21st-25th, 2010 Moderate Risk!

#83 Postby Texas Snowman » Thu Apr 22, 2010 5:41 pm

alan1961 wrote:Bill Tabor, live chase cam, tornado on the ground, clarendon, Texas


IN Clarendon or near Clarendon?

Makes a big difference, pretty open country in that part of the Panhandle.
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Re: Severe Weather Threat. April 21st-25th, 2010 Moderate Risk!

#84 Postby alan1961 » Thu Apr 22, 2010 5:44 pm

Texas Snowman wrote:
alan1961 wrote:Bill Tabor, live chase cam, tornado on the ground, clarendon, Texas


IN Clarendon or near Clarendon?

Makes a big difference, pretty open country in that part of the Panhandle.


between clarendon and claude
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#85 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Apr 22, 2010 5:49 pm

Tyler Costantini's camera: Tornado headed for Garden City, Kansas (population 30,000)
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Re: Severe Weather Threat. April 21st-25th, 2010 Moderate Risk!

#86 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Apr 22, 2010 5:58 pm

WFUS54 KAMA 222255
TORAMA
OKC007-222330-
/O.NEW.KAMA.TO.W.0008.100422T2255Z-100422T2330Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
555 PM CDT THU APR 22 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AMARILLO HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN BEAVER COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF OKLAHOMA.

* UNTIL 630 PM CDT

* AT 551 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO NEAR
GRAY
...OR ABOUT 10 MILES NORTH OF PERRYTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30
MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE GRAY...
ELMWOOD...BRYANS CORNER AND BALKO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO HAS BEEN CONFIRMED! TAKE COVER IN A STURDY BUILDING NOW.
MOBILE HOMES AND VEHICLES ARE NOT SAFE.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...PLEASE CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
AT 8 0 6 3 3 5 1 1 2 1.

&&

LAT...LON 3681 10068 3677 10032 3649 10065 3650 10094
TIME...MOT...LOC 2255Z 220DEG 27KT 3655 10074

$$

JJB
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Re: Severe Weather Threat. April 21st-25th, 2010 Moderate Risk!

#87 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Apr 22, 2010 6:01 pm

New watch could be coming farther south. No mention of replacement watch for 75 though.

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0340
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0557 PM CDT THU APR 22 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...OK/TX PANHANDLES...FAR WRN OK...AND SWD TO WEST
CENTRAL TX

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 75...

VALID 222257Z - 230000Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 75 CONTINUES.

AN INCREASE IN MDT CU/CBS ACROSS THE TX PANHANDLE SWD THROUGH MUCH
OF W TX /VICINITY OF MAF/ SINCE 21Z IS LIKELY INDICATIVE OF STRONG
DEEP FORCING FOR ASCENT SPREADING ENEWD ACROSS THIS REGION WITHIN
EXIT REGION OF 70-85 KT SWLY MID LEVEL JET. THIS JET IS NOW MOVING
OUT OF THE BASE OF THE LARGE SWRN U.S. CLOSED LOW CENTERED OVER THE
LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. ENVIRONMENT ACROSS WW 75
WILL CONTINUE TO BECOME INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE FOR TORNADIC
SUPERCELLS AS EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR INCREASES TO 50+ KT WITHIN A
CORRIDOR OF MODERATE INSTABILITY /1500-2000 J/KG/ ALONG AND E OF THE
DRY LINE.

A NEW WW MAY BE NEEDED TO THE SOUTH OF WW 75 IN THE MAF
VICINITY...AND POSSIBLY FARTHER S...WHERE REGIONAL RADARS INDICATED
AN INCREASE IN TSTM DEVELOPMENT SINCE 2145Z. THIS ACTIVITY IS
DEVELOPING WITHIN THE SRN EXTENT OF A STRENGTHENING DRY LINE BENEATH
STRONG FORCING FOR ASCENT SPREADING ENEWD INTO MUCH OF W TX AT THIS
TIME. IN ADDITION STRONG SURFACE PRESSURE FALLS OVER SW TX /AROUND
MAF/ AND AXIS EXTENDING NWD INTO TX/OK PANHANDLES WILL CONTINUE TO
AID IN BACKED S/SELY WINDS ALONG AND E OF THE DRY LINE IN RESPONSE
TO ISALLOBARIC FORCING. THESE WINDS WILL SUPPORT AN INCREASE IN LOW
LEVEL HODOGRAPH CURVATURE AND THE ATTENDANT THREAT FOR TORNADOES.
ONGOING ACTIVITY OVER DAWSON TO MIDLAND COUNTIES TX WILL TRACK NNEWD
INTO SRN EXTENT OF WW 75. IF OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST A GREATER SWD
DEVELOPMENT...THEN A NEW WW WOULD BE NEEDED.

..PETERS.. 04/22/2010


ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...AMA...MAF...

LAT...LON 36970200 36959920 34549924 32619994 31580075 31190160
31310210 31750217 32980214 33550212 36870209 36970200
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Re: Severe Weather Threat. April 21st-25th, 2010 Moderate Risk!

#88 Postby srainhoutx » Thu Apr 22, 2010 6:10 pm

:uarrow:
Image
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#89 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Apr 22, 2010 6:12 pm

This so far is turning into a storm chaser's dream...lots of tornadoes and some big ones, but all staying in the open country. Not aware of any significant damage at this point.

But tomorrow and especially Saturday could be a different story...
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#90 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Apr 22, 2010 6:22 pm

LIVE Storm chaser report: LARGE WEDGE TORNADO about twice as wide as tall, estimated location 38.26N 101.00W - 6 miles WNW of Friend, KS

http://www.severestudios.com/cgi-bin/pl ... ni&uid=157
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Re: Severe Weather Threat. April 21st-25th, 2010 Moderate Risk!

#91 Postby srainhoutx » Thu Apr 22, 2010 6:25 pm

Image
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#92 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Apr 22, 2010 6:30 pm

The good news on that wedge: it has about 15 miles of open country ahead of it before any communities are seriously threatened.
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#93 Postby Cookie » Thu Apr 22, 2010 6:47 pm

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Re:

#94 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Apr 22, 2010 6:50 pm



That is one impressive tornado there...second circulation off that supercell perhaps?
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#95 Postby Bunkertor » Thu Apr 22, 2010 6:50 pm

Worthington has got an ~ F3 ?? :eek:
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#96 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Apr 22, 2010 6:51 pm

From my count, there have to be at least 4 or 5 cells with tornadoes on the ground right now.
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Re:

#97 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Apr 22, 2010 6:52 pm

Bunkertor wrote:Worthington has got an ~ F3 ?? :eek:


I'm not aware of any damage so far, so they would all be EF0's unless they find tree or power line or other damage.
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#98 Postby weunice » Thu Apr 22, 2010 6:53 pm

The one Steve Worthington had north of Lakin, KS lasted a few minutes and is roping out. It was spectacular for its whole life. He is getting some good shots on the ground as it ropes out. Looked to be in open country thank God.
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#99 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Apr 22, 2010 6:54 pm

The Tyler Costantini-tracked tornado is now approaching Scott City. Could our luck run out???
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Re:

#100 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Apr 22, 2010 6:55 pm

weunice wrote:The one Steve Worthington had north of Lakin, KS lasted a few minutes and is roping out. It was spectacular for its whole life. He is getting some good shots on the ground as it ropes out. Looked to be in open country thank God.


So far all of them have been in open country, but how long can our luck last???
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