Tornado Outbreak April 29-May 2, HIGH RISK AR, TN, MS

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#161 Postby Bunkertor » Fri Apr 30, 2010 9:05 pm

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#162 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Apr 30, 2010 9:07 pm

CONFIRMED: At least 3 dead, many injured in Van Buren County, AR.
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#163 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Apr 30, 2010 9:10 pm

SEL7

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 117
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
905 PM CDT FRI APR 30 2010

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
FAR WESTERN KENTUCKY
SOUTHEASTERN AND EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 905 PM
UNTIL 300 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTHWEST OF
CHAMPAIGN ILLINOIS TO 20 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF POPLAR BLUFF
MISSOURI. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 115. WATCH NUMBER 115 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
905 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 116...

DISCUSSION...ONGOING ORGANIZED STORMS ACROSS SERN MO AND NRN AR WILL
CONTINUE TO TRACK NEWD INTO THE MID MS VALLEY THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT. AIR MASS IS MODERATELY UNSTABLE AND STRONGLY
SHEARED...SUPPORTING A THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23540.


...PETERS/THOMPSON
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#164 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Apr 30, 2010 9:10 pm

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0433
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0905 PM CDT FRI APR 30 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN/ERN MS...WCNTRL AL

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 010205Z - 010300Z

TSTMS HAVE DEEPENED ALONG NRN EDGE OF RETURNING LLVL GULF/CARIBBEAN
MOISTURE ACROSS NRN/ERN MS THIS EVENING. EXPECT THAT STORMS WILL
CONTINUE TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY ALONG ERN EDGE OF THE SLY LLJ AXIS AND
GRADUALLY LIFT NE TOWARD NWRN/WCNTRL AL FOR SVRL HOURS. GWX VWP
SHOWS SUBSTANTIAL 0-1KM SRH AND SUPERCELLS WILL POSE AT LEAST AN
ISOLD TORNADO RISK. REGION IS BEING MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE
TORNADO WATCH.

..RACY.. 05/01/2010


ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...MOB...MEG...JAN...

LAT...LON 32208851 32228904 33358981 34728969 34898870 34188799
32808734 32208851
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Re:

#165 Postby Texas Snowman » Fri Apr 30, 2010 9:11 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:That area had a SLGT risk (high-end though) this afternoon. Went to MDT at 2000 and HIGH at 0100. Last time such a rapid change happened? May 3, 1999 - the day of the infamous F5 in Moore, OK.



Wow...step away for a while this evening to go fishing and come back to this.

What a wicked evening unfolding in Arkansas and Missouri...
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#166 Postby Bunkertor » Fri Apr 30, 2010 9:11 pm

I gotta apologize to KWT. He was right. It´s hard to keep up with the warnings prompted.
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#167 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Apr 30, 2010 9:11 pm

New Watch 118, probably PDS, coming to replace 116.
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Re:

#168 Postby Texas Snowman » Fri Apr 30, 2010 9:12 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:CONFIRMED: At least 3 dead, many injured in Van Buren County, AR.


Not good, not good.

Was that the one that some were seeing a debris ball with?
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Re: Re:

#169 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Apr 30, 2010 9:12 pm

Texas Snowman wrote:
CrazyC83 wrote:CONFIRMED: At least 3 dead, many injured in Van Buren County, AR.


Not good, not good.

Was that the one that some were seeing a debris ball with?


One of them.
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#170 Postby Dave » Fri Apr 30, 2010 9:13 pm

PDS - TW #118

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Re: The next severe weather outbreak? April 29-May 2

#171 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Apr 30, 2010 9:14 pm

As expected, WW 116 was killed off to put out a PDS. Probs 95/70.

SEL8

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 118
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
910 PM CDT FRI APR 30 2010

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

CENTRAL AND EASTERN ARKANSAS
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL
EXTREME SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
EXTREME NORTHEAST TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 910 PM
UNTIL 400 AM CDT.

...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...

DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTHEAST OF WALNUT
RIDGE ARKANSAS TO 30 MILES SOUTH OF TEXARKANA ARKANSAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 116. WATCH NUMBER 116 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
910 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 117...

DISCUSSION...DANGEROUS TORNADO SITUATION IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST
OVERNIGHT AS MULTIPLE DISCRETE SUPERCELLS TRACK THROUGH A
MOIST...MODERATELY UNSTABLE...AND STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT.
GIVEN THE RECENT DEVELOPMENT OF SUPERCELLS IN A WARM SECTOR
CONFLUENCE BAND RUNNING THROUGH THE LITTLE ROCK AREA...THE TORNADO
THREAT WILL SOON EXTEND EAST INTO MOST OF ERN AR. A FEW
LONG-TRACK...STRONG TORNADOES ARE EXPECTED.


AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.


...THOMPSON
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Re: The next severe weather outbreak? April 29-May 2

#172 Postby Texas Snowman » Fri Apr 30, 2010 9:16 pm

East End fire station was apparently directly hit by tornado near Little Rock, Ark.

Fox16.com TV reporter says one wall is completely destroyed and an engine damaged pretty heavily.
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Re: The next severe weather outbreak? April 29-May 2

#173 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Apr 30, 2010 9:17 pm

Texas Snowman wrote:East End fire station was apparently directly hit by tornado near Little Rock, Ark.

Fox16.com TV reporter says one wall is completely destroyed and an engine damaged pretty heavily.


Sounds like a solid EF3.
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Re: The next severe weather outbreak? April 29-May 2

#174 Postby Texas Snowman » Fri Apr 30, 2010 9:19 pm

Cell crossing into SE Oklahoma's McCurtain County looking as bad as the tornadic storms in Arkansas. Wouldn't be surprised to see that one pop a twister shortly...
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#175 Postby Dave » Fri Apr 30, 2010 9:24 pm

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
923 PM CDT FRI APR 30 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN STE. GENEVIEVE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...
ST. FRANCOIS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 1000 PM CDT

* AT 920 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR ROSELLE...OR 8 MILES EAST OF IRONTON...AND
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

IN ADDITION...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS UP TO 65 MPH
ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FARMINGTON...KNOB LICK...WOMAC...COFFMAN...WEINGARTEN...
LIBERTYVILLE...MINNITH AND RIVER AUX VASES.
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#176 Postby Dave » Fri Apr 30, 2010 9:25 pm

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
923 PM CDT FRI APR 30 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN GRANT COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS
SOUTH CENTRAL SALINE COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS
EXTREME NORTH CENTRAL DALLAS COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS
EASTERN HOT SPRING COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS

* UNTIL 1000 PM CDT

* AT 922 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 11 MILES SOUTH
OF MALVERN MUNICIPAL AIRPORT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
POYEN...
LANDERS...
HASKELL...
BENTON...
BELFAST...
BUIE...
PRATTSVILLE...
TRASKWOOD...
TULL...
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#177 Postby Dave » Fri Apr 30, 2010 9:26 pm

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
925 PM CDT FRI APR 30 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
WESTERN CLINTON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
SOUTHEASTERN MADISON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS...
ST. CLAIR COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS...
WEST CENTRAL WASHINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS...

* UNTIL 1015 PM CDT

* AT 920 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORNADOES. THERE WERE TWO
CIRCULATIONS WITH THIS STORM...ONE NEAR CASEYVILLE AND THE OTHER
APPROXIMATELY 3 MILES SOUTH OF BELLEVILLE. THIS DANGEROUS STORM
WAS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING DAMAGING TORNADOES.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MASCOUTAH...COLLINSVILLE...PONTOON BEACH...LEBANON...MARYVILLE...
NEW BADEN...GLEN CARBON...TROY...EDWARDSVILLE...HIGHLAND...NEW
MEMPHIS...ALBERS...TRENTON...ST. JACOB...AVISTON...MARINE...
CARPENTER...WORDEN...ALHAMBRA AND LIVINGSTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OBSCURE THIS TORNADO. DO NOT WAIT TO SEE OR HEAR
THE TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW.
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#178 Postby Dave » Fri Apr 30, 2010 9:30 pm

Here you go Snowman

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
928 PM CDT FRI APR 30 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL HOWARD COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...
NORTHWESTERN LITTLE RIVER COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...
SEVIER COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF HORATIO...

* UNTIL 1015 PM CDT

* AT 928 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR ARKINDA...
OR 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF FOREMAN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
WINTHROP...HORATIO AND LOCKESBURG...
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#179 Postby Dave » Fri Apr 30, 2010 9:33 pm

If anyone sees something grab it, I'm on high dosage of antibiotics right now and feel like I"m more in left field than anywhere....caught some kind of virus this week and it refuses to die. I'll stay on the warnings for a little while longer then prob go back to sleep again. Forgot I was still logged in last time.
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#180 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Apr 30, 2010 9:34 pm

The big killer today was the fact that it appears it remained mostly sunny all day in Arkansas and had maximum energy buildup with no junk cells or MCS's to break up the flow until now. And with the atmosphere at maximum, it set the stage for this.
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