Tornado Outbreak April 29-May 2, HIGH RISK AR, TN, MS

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CrazyC83
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#361 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat May 01, 2010 5:47 pm

The Amity and Lonsdale storms now have significant rotation.
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#362 Postby wx247 » Sat May 01, 2010 5:52 pm

Just got our first severe warning out of the Arkansas cells...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
GARLAND COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS
SOUTHWESTERN PERRY COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS
NORTHWESTERN SALINE COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS
WEST CENTRAL HOT SPRING COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS

* UNTIL 630 PM CDT
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Re: Tornado Outbreak April 29-May 2, HIGH RISK AR, TN, MS

#363 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat May 01, 2010 5:53 pm

This cell was rotating - could go to a Tornado Warning quickly.
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#364 Postby KWT » Sat May 01, 2010 5:54 pm

Yep things look like they are all systems go now, just hope it all stays out of urban areas really!
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#365 Postby wx247 » Sat May 01, 2010 5:55 pm

The fact that we have cells setting up SW of Little Rock concerns me some. We shall see how quickly they mature.
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Re: Tornado Outbreak April 29-May 2, HIGH RISK AR, TN, MS

#366 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat May 01, 2010 5:55 pm

Meanwhile, this came out...

WGUS54 KMEG 012206
FFWMEG
TNC047-157-167-020400-
/O.NEW.KMEG.FF.W.0054.100501T2206Z-100502T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
501 PM CDT SAT MAY 1 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN FAYETTE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE...
NORTHERN SHELBY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE...
SOUTHERN TIPTON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE...

* UNTIL 1100 PM CDT

* FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR NORTHERN SHELBY COUNTY...SOUTHERN TIPTON
COUNTY...AND NORTHWESTERN FAYETTE COUNTY. DANGEROUS FLOODING WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS THE WARNED AREA DUE TO A LEVEE BREAK ALONG THE BIG
CREEK.


* AT 501 PM CDT...SHELBY COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS
REPORTED THAT A LEVEE HAS BREACHED
ALONG BIG CREEK AND CONTINUES
TO FLOOD AREAS FROM SHELBY FORREST TO THE FAYETTE COUNTY LINE AND
WILL CONTINUE TO FLOOD THE WARNED LOCATIONS. AT THIS TIME...FIVE
FEET OF WATER HAS FLOODED THE NAVAL AIR STATION IN MILLINGTON AND
WATER CONTINUES TO RISE QUICKLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CITY OF
MILLINGTON. LIVE WATER RESCUES CONTINUE AND UPWARDS OF 200 PEOPLE
HAVE ALREADY BEEN RESCUED. IN ADDITION...200 TO 300 HOMES HAVE
BEEN FLOODED IN BASE HOUSING AT NAVAL SUPPORT ACTIVITY IN
MILLINGTON. THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION. IF WATER
BEGINS TO QUICKLY RISE IN YOUR LOCATION...MOVE IMMEDIATELY TO
HIGHER GROUND.


* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO MILLINGTON
AND MEEMAN SHELBY FOREST STATE PARK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

.MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE
INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE
USUALLY DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS
POWERFUL ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING
FLOODED ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

.ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL LATER TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY WILL LIKELY
RESULT IN FURTHER FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THESE AREAS.

.STAY TUNED TO THIS BROADCAST FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND INFORMATION.
TO REPORT FLASH FLOODING ONLY...CALL 1 800 4 3 2 0 8 7 5.

&&

LAT...LON 3531 9016 3532 9010 3537 9011 3542 9007
3541 9005 3545 9000 3546 9001 3549 8998
3550 8947 3521 8947 3523 9008 3526 9010
3526 9015 3529 9017

$$
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#367 Postby KWT » Sat May 01, 2010 5:57 pm

Yeah well pointed out Crazy, I heard earlier 500 people were evacuated because of that situation that was developing.

Also, those cells to the SW of Little Rock indeed are ones to watch, don't want another close shave like last night!
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Re:

#368 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat May 01, 2010 5:58 pm

KWT wrote:Yeah well pointed out Crazy, I heard earlier 500 people were evacuated because of that situation that was developing.

Also, those cells to the SW of Little Rock indeed are ones to watch, don't want another close shave like last night!


No less than 5 cells are rotating right now in southern Arkansas.
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Re: Tornado Outbreak April 29-May 2, HIGH RISK AR, TN, MS

#369 Postby srainhoutx » Sat May 01, 2010 5:58 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:Meanwhile, this came out...


Some major problems in the Memphis Metro Area. Webcam images are concerning.
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Re: Re:

#370 Postby wx247 » Sat May 01, 2010 5:59 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:
KWT wrote:Yeah well pointed out Crazy, I heard earlier 500 people were evacuated because of that situation that was developing.

Also, those cells to the SW of Little Rock indeed are ones to watch, don't want another close shave like last night!


No less than 5 cells are rotating right now in southern Arkansas.


I am not seeing all this rotation you speak of. Give it time and I think it will be obvious.
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#371 Postby RL3AO » Sat May 01, 2010 6:00 pm

Image
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#372 Postby KWT » Sat May 01, 2010 6:03 pm

That radar image is pretty mental, going to be many warnings coming out in the next hour due to those thats for sure, and well beyond of course!
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#373 Postby wx247 » Sat May 01, 2010 6:05 pm

I am picking up rotation on the svr warned cell SW of Hot Springs now...
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#374 Postby KWT » Sat May 01, 2010 6:08 pm

One thing is for sure these storms are looking very discrete right now...

Conditions primed, now just a waiting game to see whats the first one to produce.
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Re: Tornado Outbreak April 29-May 2, HIGH RISK AR, TN, MS

#375 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat May 01, 2010 6:13 pm

CURRENT CONDITIONS in the initiation/threat area - 6:00 pm CDT:

Arkansas
El Dorado - A few clouds, 86 (74)
Hot Springs - Partly cloudy, 79 (70)
Jonesboro - Partly cloudy, 76 (68)
Little Rock - Partly cloudy, 81 (72)
Monticello - A few clouds, 82 (72)
Mount Ida - A few clouds, 76 (66)
Mountain Home - Mostly cloudy, 71 (55)
Pine Bluff - A few clouds, 85 (73)
Russellville - Mostly cloudy, 77 (61)
Texarkana - A few clouds, 86 (69)

Louisiana
Alexandria - Light rainshower, 80 (75)
Monroe - Mostly cloudy, 80 (75)
Shreveport - A few clouds, 86 (75)
Tallulah - Mostly cloudy, 79 (74)

Mississippi
Columbus - Thunder, 77 (73)
Greenville - Partly cloudy, 80 (74)
Greenwood - Mostly cloudy, 79 (74)
Jackson - Light rainshower, 77 (75)
Tupelo - Light rainshower, 77 (72)
Vicksburg - Mostly cloudy, 79 (74)

Missouri
Cape Girardeau - Mostly cloudy, 71 (65)
Poplar Bluff - Mostly cloudy, 73 (67)
St. Louis - Partly cloudy, 72 (53)

Tennessee
Dyersburg - Partly cloudy, 73 (66)
Jackson - Heavy rain, 73 (70)
Memphis - Mostly cloudy, 77 (72)
Nashville - Light rain, 64 (62)
Union City - Partly cloudy, 69 (66)

Texas
Longview - A few clouds, 86 (70)
Lufkin - Clear, 87 (71)
Tyler - A few clouds, 81 (67)
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#376 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat May 01, 2010 6:14 pm

TVS now showing up on the Hot Springs warned cell.
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#377 Postby KWT » Sat May 01, 2010 6:16 pm

Just seen this on another forum (easternuswx) and thought it was a good idea to post the last part here:


...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MAJOR TO RECORD SEVERITY FOR THE FOLLOWING
RIVERS IN TENNESSEE...

MILL CREEK NEAR ANTIOCH AFFECTING DAVIDSON COUNTY

.HEAVY RAINFALL IN THE MILL CREEK AND HARPETH RIVER BASINS HAS CAUSED WATER LEVELS TO RISE AND CREATE A DANGEROUS SITUATION. EXPECT WATER LEVELS TO BE NEAR
LEVELS NOT SEEN SINCE 1979 ALONG MILL CREEK ESPECAILLY NEAR ANTIOCH...WHEN THE LEVEL NEAR ANTIOCH REACHED ALMOST 24 FEET. WATER LEVELS ON THE HARPETH RIVER NEAR
KINGSTONS SPRINGS WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR MAJOR FLOOD LEVELS BY TOMORROW MORNING
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Re: Tornado Outbreak April 29-May 2, HIGH RISK AR, TN, MS

#378 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat May 01, 2010 6:17 pm

WFUS54 KSHV 012315
TORSHV
ARC139-020000-
/O.NEW.KSHV.TO.W.0031.100501T2315Z-100502T0000Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
615 PM CDT SAT MAY 1 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL UNION COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS...

* UNTIL 700 PM CDT

* AT 615 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 8 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF URBANA...OR 9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF EL DORADO...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
LAWSON AND CALION...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
STURDY SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST
DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

&&

LAT...LON 3305 9250 3303 9256 3313 9268 3338 9257
3337 9254 3333 9251 3333 9245 3330 9245
3328 9239 3330 9235 3327 9230 3326 9223
TIME...MOT...LOC 2315Z 214DEG 29KT 3314 9255

$$

15
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#379 Postby RL3AO » Sat May 01, 2010 6:21 pm

Image

I don't like the look of things over Southern Arkansas.
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#380 Postby RL3AO » Sat May 01, 2010 6:21 pm

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
619 PM CDT SAT MAY 1 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN CLARK COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS
DALLAS COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS
OUACHITA COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS

* UNTIL 700 PM CDT

* AT 619 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR STEPHENS...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 70 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CAMDEN...
CARTHAGE...
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