Tornado Outbreak April 29-May 2, HIGH RISK AR, TN, MS

[Brent]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
517 PM CDT SUN MAY 2 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
WESTERN FRANKLIN COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ALABAMA...

* UNTIL 545 PM CDT

* AT 517 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 9 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF ATWOOD...OR ABOUT 12 MILES SOUTH OF RED BAY...MOVING
EAST AT 40 MPH.

* LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS TORNADO INCLUDE...
ATWOOD.
HODGES.
DUKETON.
SPRUCE PINE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WHEN A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED BASED ON DOPPLER RADAR...IT MEANS
THAT STRONG ROTATION HAS BEEN DETECTED IN THE STORM. A TORNADO MAY
ALREADY BE ON THE GROUND...OR IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SHORTLY. IF YOU
ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM...MOVE INDOORS AND TO THE
LOWEST LEVEL OF THE BUILDING. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF DRIVING...DO
NOT SEEK SHELTER UNDER A HIGHWAY OVERPASS.

&&

LAT...LON 3432 8811 3432 8813 3451 8777 3431 8768
3431 8769
TIME...MOT...LOC 2217Z 249DEG 35KT 3429 8806

$$

KDW

[brunota2003]

This is from down the road from my parents' place...also, they continue under a flash flood warning:

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
622 PM EDT SUN MAY 02 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0602 PM FLASH FLOOD STANTON 37.85N 83.86W
05/02/2010 POWELL KY PUBLIC

LARGE AMOUNT OF FLOODING INCLUDING WATER ALMOST OVER
ROAD...LESS THAN 1 INCH...ON BOONE STREET. YARDS FLOODED
UP TO PORCH IN SOME CASES...UP TO A MAX OF 1 FOOT IN
LOWER AREAS. MANY SMALL LIMBS DOWN. RAIN GAUGE SHOWS
APPROXIMATELY 6 INCHES OF STORM TOTAL RAINFALL. LITTLE TO
NO WIND.

[KWT]

Yeah, thankfully the number of flash flood warnings are starting to reduce, but the number of flood warnings out at the moment is nothing short of utterly insane!

[Stephanie]

Thanks, Steph - we only had to hit the hall closet once yesterday due to a funnel cloud sighting
(which passed over about a block away!), so I'm watching for the same activity, today. Local news
is all over the Nashville flooding....unbelievable!

[brunota2003]

Hm...I cant reach my parents and the phone is not going through to voicemail, so they must of at least lost power. There was/still is flooding going on in the area, with a lot of reports of mudslides. Mom thought (several hours ago) that they were possibly going to lose the culvert due to all the water in the creek, and it has rained a lot since then. Hope all is well and it is just a power outage!

Keep trying to call my grandma too, and keep getting busy on my Skype, so maybe they are on the phone with each other?


EDIT: Nevermind...got back on yim after talking to my grandma (she was on the phone with my uncle) and they logged in.

[KWT]

Thanks, Steph - we only had to hit the hall closet once yesterday due to a funnel cloud sighting
(which passed over about a block away!), so I'm watching for the same activity, today. Local news
is all over the Nashville flooding....unbelievable!

My friends had a very close encounter yesterday, a funnel started to lower right over thier heads when they were in the car, wind instrument recorded an 85mph wind peak, obviously they may well have had something of a lucky escape with that one!!

They ended up with 5 tornadoes yesterday, 2 on the Pine Bluff system then another 3 on the system that was near Star City, though obviously with that one being a night time chase, they are looking at images/video in case they missed any, which is always possible.

[brunota2003]

Well, got a hold of my parents finally. The front yard was flooded out from the creek and the culverts were washed out, but luckily the water stayed well away from the chicken/rabbit coops. Said they picked up 4.82 inches of rain and it is still raining! The bridge my dad built took the raging creek like a champ (the one that was there originally when my parents bought the place got washed out last July, along with the old culvert), and she reckons the only way it'll be taken out is if debris came down the creek (like a tree), it has quite a support system. My Vantage Vue performed flawlessly it seems, and the water never got near it, thankfully.

Also of note:

0805 PM FLASH FLOOD CLAY CITY 37.86N 83.93W
05/02/2010 POWELL KY FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

THE BEECH FORK RESERVOIR BETWEEN CLAY CITY AND STANTON IS
IN DANGER OF BREACH. WATER IS OVERFLOWING THE DAM
ACCORDING TO THE BEECH FORK WATER COMMISSION.

[Stephanie]

Glad to hear that your friends were alright KWT and you got a hold of your family brunota!

[brunota2003]

Dad said they now have 4.95 inches of rain, with light rain continuing...and the creek is back inside the culvert (or what is left of it).

[bamajammer4eva]

4 fatalities from tornadoes last night in N Miss/Tennessee

Code: Select all

MEG: 2 Sw Abbeville [Lafayette Co, MS] emergency mngr reports TORNADO of F2 at 02 May, 02:14 AM CDT -- *** 1 fatal *** the starting point was near highway 7 just southwest of abbeville with an ending point near county highway 215 east of town. the track length was 1.4 miles with a width that varied from 30 to 75 yards. a fatality occured near the starting point where a single family home was destroyed. one doublewide trailer was destroyed along with three homes that were damaged. numerous trees were also uprooted.

Code: Select all

MEG: 2 E Ashland [Benton Co, MS] trained spotter reports TORNADO of F3 at 02 May, 02:46 AM CDT -- *** 3 fatal, 1 inj *** the starting point was two miles south of ashland near highway 5. the ending point was in the town of pocahontas tennessee. the track length was 27.7 miles with a width that varied from 100 yards to one half mile. at least 30 homes were destroyed or suffered extensive damage. three fatalities and one critical injury occurred when a separate double and single wide mobile home were destroyed along the path. one transmission tower had collapsed along with numerous trees debarked and snapped off.

[apocalypt-flyer]

What a BAD BAD weekend for Northern Mississippi, Arkansas and Tennessee. 10 dead from floodings and 5 tornado-related deaths.

[KWT]

Slight risk for today, but after this seems like a slightly quieter few days are coming up before the next pattern reload further west:


DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1259 AM CDT MON MAY 03 2010

VALID 031200Z - 041200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM WRN IND THROUGH CENTRAL
AND SRN IL TO SERN MO...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE CAROLINAS SWWD TO THE
CENTRAL/ERN GULF COAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO EVOLVE INTO MORE ZONAL FLOW BY 12Z
TUESDAY. A LEAD SHORTWAVE TROUGH LOCATED OVER THE LOWER GREAT
LAKES/UPPER OH VALLEY AT 12Z TODAY WILL MOVE ENEWD THROUGH THE NERN
STATES...WHILE AN UPSTREAM TROUGH TRACKS EWD FROM THE NRN PLAINS TO
GREAT LAKES/OH VALLEY THIS FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT UPSTREAM PACIFIC
SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO AMPLIFY ESEWD INTO THE NRN ROCKIES/
ADJACENT CANADIAN PROVINCES. MEANWHILE...A COMPACT SHORTWAVE
TROUGH...CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER NM PER WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...WILL
TRACK EWD THROUGH THE SRN PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON REACHING THE LOWER
MS VALLEY BY 12Z TUESDAY.

IN THE LOW-LEVELS...A SURFACE FRONT INITIALLY SITUATED ALONG THE
APPALACHIANS SWWD TO THE CENTRAL GULF COAST WILL SHIFT EWD TOWARD
THE MID AND SERN ATLANTIC COAST. ELSEWHERE...A COLD FRONT WILL
INTENSIFY TODAY WHILE PROGRESSING EWD THROUGH THE UPPER GREAT LAKES
AND MID MS VALLEY. THE SWRN EXTENSION OF THIS BOUNDARY ANCHORED BY
A WEAK SURFACE LOW OVER TX WILL SHIFT EWD AS WELL.

...LOWER MI SWWD THROUGH MID MS VALLEY TO OZARKS...
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH TRANSLATING THROUGH THE NRN PLAINS LONGWAVE
TROUGH SHOULD REACH THE UPPER MS AND LOWER MO VALLEYS BY LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...AND THEN MOVE INTO THE OH VALLEY/SRN GREAT LAKES REGION
TONIGHT. SURFACE HEATING AND DEWPOINTS IN THE 50S AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT FROM THE OZARKS INTO NERN IL/IND BENEATH PLUME OF STEEP MID
LEVEL LAPSE RATES ADVECTING NEWD AHEAD OF THE UPPER TROUGH WILL
RESULT IN MLCAPE 500-1000 J/KG. THE GREATEST INSTABILITY SHOULD BE
FROM SERN-ERN MO TO WRN IND WHERE HIGHEST DEWPOINT VALUES /MID 50S/
ARE FORECAST TO RESIDE BY PEAK HEATING. TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ALONG THE FRONT...AIDED BY INCREASING DEEP
ASCENT AHEAD OF APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH. SOME STRENGTHENING OF
SWLY MID LEVEL WINDS /40-50 KT/ WILL RESULT IN EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR
/30-40 KT/ FOR ORGANIZED STORMS ACROSS THE SLIGHT RISK AREA. THE
DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMICS/STEEP LAPSE RATES
SUGGEST BOTH HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS SHOULD BE THE PRIMARY
THREATS. FARTHER NNE...INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED TO BE WEAKER INTO
LOWER MI. HOWEVER...AN INCREASE IN SWLY LOW LEVEL WINDS MAY ENHANCE
THE WIND GUST POTENTIAL WITH STORMS MOVING ACROSS THIS AREA DURING
THE LATE AFTERNOON/EVENING.

...CAROLINAS SWWD TO THE CENTRAL/ERN GULF COAST...
THIS REGION WILL RESIDE ALONG THE SRN PERIPHERY OF STRONGER
MID-UPPER LEVEL WINDS...RESULTING IN EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR 40-60 KT
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. GENERALLY WEAK LAPSE RATES ACROSS THIS
SLIGHT RISK AREA TODAY ARE EXPECTED TO LIMIT THE DEVELOPMENT OF
STRONGER INSTABILITY...THUS PRECLUDING THE FORECAST OF HIGHER SEVERE
PROBABILITIES. THE GREATEST INSTABILITY /AROUND 1000 J/KG/ SHOULD
OCCUR WHERE SURFACE HEATING WILL BE STRONGEST. CURRENT FORECAST
SUGGESTS THIS SHOULD OCCUR ALONG THE CENTRAL/ERN GULF COAST
REGION...AND OVER THE CAROLINAS. GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF THE DEEP
LAYER SHEAR...A SLIGHT RISK IS BEING MAINTAINED FARTHER INLAND
ACROSS CENTRAL AL/GA...DESPITE THE POTENTIAL FOR WEAKER INSTABILITY.
SHEAR VECTORS ORIENTED PARALLEL TO THE FRONT MOVING ACROSS THIS
AREA SUGGESTS LINE SEGMENTS PRODUCING STRONG WIND GUSTS SHOULD BE
THE PRIMARY THREAT. HOWEVER...A 30 KT SWLY LLJ OVER THE ERN
CAROLINAS AND BACKED LOW LEVEL FLOW INTO THE CENTRAL/ERN GULF COAST
MAY SUPPORT AN ISOLATED TORNADO IN THESE AREAS.

...PART OF NRN TX/ADJACENT OK...
FORCING FOR ASCENT WITH THE COMPACT SHORTWAVE TROUGH SHOULD SUPPORT
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED TSTM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS NRN TX AND ADJACENT
SRN-SERN OK THIS AFTERNOON. EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR AROUND 25 KT
SHOULD TEND TO LIMIT STORM ORGANIZATION WITHIN A MARGINALLY UNSTABLE
ENVIRONMENT. HOWEVER...STEEP LOW AND MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES SUGGEST
ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY MORE SUSTAINED
STORMS...WITH A THREAT FOR ISOLATED HAIL AS WELL.

[CajunMama]

Unbelievable pics on a fb site, I Survived the Great Nashville Monsoon of May 1st. There's almost 1000 pictures on their page. I feel so bad for these people with all that water. I don't think i can ever complain about the 6" i had in my house.

[CrazyC83]

Unbelievable pics on a fb site, I Survived the Great Nashville Monsoon of May 1st. There's almost 1000 pictures on their page. I feel so bad for these people with all that water. I don't think i can ever complain about the 6" i had in my house.

Yeah me either (that was in 2004 after just 3 inches of rain - if something like that happened here, I would be under 6 to 9 feet of water)

[wx247]

The pictures and images from the Nashville area have been heartbreaking. I feel for them. The flooding still continues. Was just watching the stream from WSMV during an update... water is still causing sooo many problems.

[brunota2003]

Parents said they got a total of 6.47 inches of rain. They tried to go out and about yesterday to see how things were, but said the roads were flooded in less than a mile in both directions, so they were literally stuck at home.

[thetruesms]

So I guess they've got some itchy trigger fingers up in Tennessee. I was talking to my mom, and apparently that in addition to the sirens, her town also has one of those systems that calls everybody at home, as well. The problem being that they apparently don't pay attention to the polygons, and just activate both if something is issued for their county. She got to the point where she was about to disconnect her phone just to get some sleep, because every time she'd turn on the tv and see that it was on the other side of the county and heading away People are going to start tuning warnings out really quick if they're not careful about how they activate the really disruptive systems

[CrazyC83]

For all the talk of this being a non-event for tornadoes, there were more killer tornadoes in this outbreak than in the April 24 weekend outbreak.