Severe Weather 5/24/2010

[CrazyC83]

The cell near the NE-SD border sure is developing a strong hook echo...

[Dave]

BANNER NE-SCOTTS BLUFF NE-BOX BUTTE NE-DAWES NE-SIOUX NE-
1209 PM MDT MON MAY 24 2010

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN SIOUX...
SOUTHWESTERN DAWES...WESTERN BOX BUTTE...SCOTTS BLUFF AND
NORTHEASTERN BANNER COUNTIES UNTIL 100 PM MDT...

AT 1205 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LAKE ALICE...OR 13 MILES NORTH OF
SCOTTSBLUFF...MOVING NORTH AT 65 MPH.

THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
GLEN AROUND 1240 PM MDT.

[cwachal]

Probabilities on the Severe Thunderstorm Watch

Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
Low (20%)

Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
Very Low (05%)


Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
Low(20%)

Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
Low (10%)



Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
Mod (40%)

Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
Mod (40%)

Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
High (70%)

[Bunkertor]

http://weather.wdtinc.com/popout/?M=10164&C=20226&V=10078&U=10078&P=true

storm chaser on the kimball cell

That´s one huge downdraft

[cwachal]

WWUS53 KUNR 241824
SVSUNR

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
1224 PM MDT MON MAY 24 2010

SDC033-047-241900-
/O.CON.KUNR.TO.W.0005.000000T0000Z-100524T1900Z/
CUSTER SD-FALL RIVER SD-
1224 PM MDT MON MAY 24 2010

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN FALL RIVER AND
EXTREME SOUTH CENTRAL CUSTER COUNTIES UNTIL 100 PM MDT...

AT 1220 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF OELRICHS...OR 25 MILES SOUTH
OF DOWNTOWN HOT SPRINGS...MOVING NORTH AT 40 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
DOWNTOWN HOT SPRINGS...OELRICHS...ANGOSTURA RESERVOIR...
SMITHWICK...MAVERICK JUNCTION...ORAL...COTTONWOOD SPRINGS DAM AND
COLD BROOK RESERVOIR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 4301 10338 4309 10356 4348 10364 4350 10300
4313 10317
TIME...MOT...LOC 1825Z 188DEG 36KT 4313 10336

$$

BUNKERS

[Dave]

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 214
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
100 PM CDT MON MAY 24 2010

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

WEST TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 100 PM UNTIL 800
PM CDT.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTHWEST OF
CHILDRESS TEXAS TO 115 MILES SOUTH OF MIDLAND TEXAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 212...WW 213...

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ALONG
THE SLOW-MOVING DRYLINE...WITH NEW DEVELOPMENT EXPECTED FARTHER N
INTO THE SOUTH PLAINS...AND FARTHER SW TO THE E OF THE DAVIS
MOUNTAINS. THOUGH THE MAIN SYNOPTIC WAVE WILL MOVE NNEWD AWAY FROM
W TX...DEEP-LAYER FLOW WILL REMAIN SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELLS GIVEN
THE STRONG INSTABILITY PRESENT OVER W TX. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN SEVERE THREATS.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 25015.

[cwachal]

Take a look at the KUDX radar and we have problems all of those storms have nothing to their south indicating nothing to cut off the inflow into the rotation... this also is in a very unstable airmass and these storms took just minutes to form

[Dave]

CUSTER SD-FALL RIVER SD-
1224 PM MDT MON MAY 24 2010

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN FALL RIVER AND
EXTREME SOUTH CENTRAL CUSTER COUNTIES UNTIL 100 PM MDT...

AT 1220 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF OELRICHS...OR 25 MILES SOUTH
OF DOWNTOWN HOT SPRINGS...MOVING NORTH AT 40 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
DOWNTOWN HOT SPRINGS...OELRICHS...ANGOSTURA RESERVOIR...
SMITHWICK...MAVERICK JUNCTION...ORAL...COTTONWOOD SPRINGS DAM AND
COLD BROOK RESERVOIR.

[cwachal]

I think an upgrade to high risk may be needed later today with such instability

[cwachal]

http://www.severestudios.com/cgi-bin/player.pl?username=andy.gabrielson&uid=140

this storm chaser is in that line across SD right now

[Dave]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1235 PM MDT MON MAY 24 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTH PLATTE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
WESTERN HOOKER COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL NEBRASKA...
CENTRAL MCPHERSON COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL NEBRASKA...

* UNTIL 100 PM MDT/200 PM CDT/

* AT 131 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR SCHNICK LAKE...OR 13 MILES WEST OF TRYON...
AND MOVING NORTH AT 50 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MULLEN...EAST CODY LAKE AND HIGHWAY 2 MILE MARKER 170.

[Dave]

BOX BUTTE NE-DAWES NE-SIOUX NE-
1236 PM MDT MON MAY 24 2010

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN SIOUX...
SOUTHWESTERN DAWES AND NORTHWESTERN BOX BUTTE COUNTIES UNTIL 100 PM
MDT...

AT 1233 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES EAST OF AGATE...OR 38 MILES NORTHEAST OF
TORRINGTON...MOVING NORTH AT 65 MPH.

THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
GLEN AROUND 1245 PM MDT.

[Bunkertor]

Much CAPE available in Dave-County...

[Dave]

1242 PM MDT MON MAY 24 2010

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTH CENTRAL FALL RIVER
AND EXTREME SOUTH CENTRAL CUSTER COUNTIES UNTIL 100 PM MDT...

AT 1238 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR ANGOSTURA RESERVOIR...OR 12 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
DOWNTOWN HOT SPRINGS...MOVING NORTH AT 45 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
DOWNTOWN HOT SPRINGS...MAVERICK JUNCTION...ORAL...COTTONWOOD
SPRINGS DAM AND COLD BROOK RESERVOIR.

[Dave]

Be back later....going to go hang a phone in a tree.

[thetruesms]

1710 100 4 W PLUMMER RED LAKE MN 4792 9613 (FGF)

1738 175 2 N GERMANTOWN SHELBY TN 3512 8979 GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL AT GERMANTOWN PARKWAY AND TRINITY ROAD (MEG)

1744 175 5 SSW WESKAN WALLACE KS 3879 10200 (GLD)

pretty good hail size already

I should call my aunt and see if she got anything good

[cwachal]

sorry had to step out for a minute and now I come back to more tornado warnings and a line of svr warnings in SD

[cwachal]

a tornado watch will likely get issued shortly for areas east of the current watches

[cwachal]

WFUS53 KLBF 241845
TORLBF
NEC113-171-241915-
/O.NEW.KLBF.TO.W.0012.100524T1845Z-100524T1915Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
145 PM CDT MON MAY 24 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTH PLATTE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN LOGAN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL NEBRASKA...
EASTERN THOMAS COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA...

* UNTIL 215 PM CDT

* AT 136 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR TARBOZ LAKE...OR 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF
STAPLETON...AND MOVING NORTH AT 50 MPH.

* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
HALSEY AROUND 205 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS DANGEROUS STORM INCLUDE HIGHWAY 83
MILE MARKER 130 AND HIGHWAY 2 MILE MARKER 220.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 4189 10026 4156 10026 4155 10050 4207 10057
4208 10037 4208 10027
TIME...MOT...LOC 1845Z 178DEG 44KT 4166 10039

$$

HIRSCH

[cwachal]

27 current Svr Warnings, 5 current torn warnings

incredible outbreak already