EPAC : EX TROPICAL DEPRESSION AGATHA

[HURAKAN]

Latest

[clfenwi]

Finally rating numbers from SSD (corection: It also received 1.0/1.0 at 0545) :

28/1145 UTC 12.9N 95.2W T1.0/1.0 90E -- East Pacific

[HURAKAN]

06z Best Track

EP, 90, 2010052806, , BEST, 0, 125N, 955W, 25, 1006, LO

[HURAKAN]

Latest GFDL

[ColdFusion]

Latest GFDL

Wow, not a good wind setup for keeping oil out the LA marshes.

[Hurricane Andrew]

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

I think TD by tonigt, TS by tommorow.

I also think the storm will peak as a 75 to 90 MPH cat 1 before making landfall, then restrengthen to a cat 2 before hitting florida. Then i think it will come up the coast.

[Macrocane]

It is very difficult for a system to survive the central american mountains, if something survives it will be an area of low pressure or a TD. Let's wait and see if the convection persists and does not decay as in previous days.

[CourierPR]

I think TD by tonigt, TS by tommorow.

I also think the storm will peak as a 75 to 90 MPH cat 1 before making landfall, then restrengthen to a cat 2 before hitting florida. Then i think it will come up the coast.

You may want to add the personal forecast disclaimer. Your scenario is entirely plausible.

[tailgater]

Latest GFDL

Wow, not a good wind setup for keeping oil out the LA marshes.

Not good because of the swells? The winds of something out toward Fla would likely be Northerly, which we would not mine. Just keep it to the east of us.

[Hurricane Andrew]

I think TD by tonigt, TS by tommorow.

I also think the storm will peak as a 75 to 90 MPH cat 1 before making landfall, then restrengthen to a cat 2 before hitting florida. Then i think it will come up the coast.

You may want to add the personal forecast disclaimer. Your scenario is entirely plausible.

What does "plasable" mean?

[CourierPR]

Plausible means credible, possible

[Hurricane Andrew]

Plausible means credible, possible

Ok. thanks. I added ther disclaimer. I wis i could upload a PROJECTED PATH but i don't want to instsall anything.

[tailgater]

Looks like it's getting it's act together today, let's hope it gets inland before CA has a wind problem to go along with rainfall they already recieved and what's to come if the projected path(GDFL, NAM) pans out.

[tolakram]

Not looking good on the TPW view.



Uploaded with ImageShack.us

Appears to be getting squashed similar to what happened to 90L.

Not sure how you are forecasting Andrew but it would be nice to see the how and why to your reasoning.

[thetruesms]

Latest GFDL

Certainly not a pleasant path, but fortunately that run has essentially no organization through the Caribbean. While I know the GFDL does have a terrain-following vertical coordinate, I'm not sure how well it would handle the crossing, either

[IvanSurvivor]

Trying to get caught up this morning...haven't really been paying attention to this system. Will it be coming into the Gulf and where might it be going?

[Hurricane Andrew]

Trying to get caught up this morning...haven't really been paying attention to this system. Will it be coming into the Gulf and where might it be going?

According to what Hurakan just posted, i would keep an eye on invest 90E.

[HURAKAN]

Looking better

[IvanSurvivor]

Trying to get caught up this morning...haven't really been paying attention to this system. Will it be coming into the Gulf and where might it be going?

According to what Hurakan just posted, i would keep an eye on invest 90E.

That's what I thought! Just making sure I was looking at that right.

[IvanSurvivor]

Where is everyone? Hello out there....