ARABIAN SEA - DEEP DEPRESSION (03A)

[soul2006]

Warming the Arabian Sea to this day




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from Ali salim in omany.com
warming A sea on 31 - 5 - 2007

[HURAKAN]

Latest

[soul2006]

based on building deep convection and favorable surface conditions,
the potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone
within the next 24 hours is upgraded to fair

[harith]

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[soul2006]

.94A.INVEST.30kts.1000mb.14.9N.63.6E

now it move to the west
waiting for update

[harith]

The movement of clouds




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[harith]

We expect that hurricane to move the actual on 1/6/2010 and have shifted north and then deviates slightly to the north-west and has a direct impact on southern Pakistan and parts of India's border with Pakistan has been in the situation some of the changes would lead to entering the Gulf of Oman, according to the system pressure, but this less likely to gather for

The situation is expected to become a hurricane within 24 hours at least

And will bring you all new

[HURAKAN]

Why is Accuweather naming this system already?

[HURAKAN]

ARB 02/2010/02 Dated: 31.05.2010

Time of issue: 1930 hours IST

Sub: Depression over eastcentral and adjoining westcentral Arabian Sea

Latest satellite imageries and surface observations indicate that a depression has formed over eastcentral and adjoining westcentral Arabian Sea moved northwestward and lay centred at 1730 hrs IST of today, the 31st May 2010 near latitude 15.50N and 63.50E, about 1050 km southwest of Mumbai, 1050 km south-southwest of Naliya and 1200 km south-southwest of Karachi.

The current environmental condition and numerical weather prediction (NWP) models suggest that the system would intensify gradually into a cyclonic storm and continue to move initially in a northwesterly direction for next 48 hours and then recurve northeastwards towards Gujarat and adjoining Pakistan coast.

Under the influence of this system, fairly widespread rainfall with isolated heavy to very heavy falls would commence over coastal areas of Gujarat from 3rd June 2010. Squally winds with speed reaching 45-55 kmph would commence along and off Gujarat coast from 2nd June 2010.

Sea condition will be rough to very rough along and off Gujarat coast from 2nd June 2010. Fishermen are advised not to venture into the sea during that period.

Next bulletin will be issued at 0230 hrs IST of 01st June 2010.

[ugaap]

ARB 02/2010/02 Dated: 31.05.2010

Hello Hurakan,
I had already posted this earlier.

[harith]

Why is Accuweather naming this system already?

Because there is no list of names of the Indian Ocean, hurricanes are called Balentzam
Will transmit to you after the list of hurricanes of the Indian Ocean

[HURAKAN]

List:

* Laila
* Bandu
* Phet (unused)
* Giri (unused)
* Aag (unused)
* Jal (unused)
* Keila (unused)
* Thane (unused)
* Mujan (unused)
* Nilam (unused)
* Mahasen (unused)
* Phailin (unused)

[HURAKAN]

Because there is no list of names of the Indian Ocean, hurricanes are called Balentzam
Will transmit to you after the list of hurricanes of the Indian Ocean

My problem is that they're naming a system that hasn't been named yet

[harith]

Because there is no list of names of the Indian Ocean, hurricanes are called Balentzam
Will transmit to you after the list of hurricanes of the Indian Ocean

My problem is that they're naming a system that hasn't been named yet

Sorry I did not understand what you mean

:::::
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This is one of the tracks projected




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[HURAKAN]

Visible

[harith]

A site where storm warming is excellent and this in itself will accelerate the evolution of a hurricane

Follow ....

[harith]

Anzero to the drag force associated with the storm.

Reach the temperature of these clouds to less than 70 - below zero

[djones65]

Going to the NDBC marine observation site I see that at 0600 UTC 31 May 2010 an unidentified ship reported westerly (270 degrees) winds at 41 knots. Other unidentified ships appeared to confirm a closed surface circulation with pressures as low as 29.59 inches or 1002.7 mb well away from the center of circulation. Of course we don't know how accurate these observations are, but with multiple reports of pressure around 1003 mb well removed from the estimated center of circulation and multiple reports of 25 to 30 knot winds including the 41 knot wind mentioned above tells me this system is quite possibly already a cyclone deserving a name. That may be why Accuweather named the system as Phet?

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/radial_search. ... =A&time=12

[ugaap]

Harith,

Terminology "Hurricane" is not used for Indian Ocean. It is called "Cyclonic Storm".

[salmon123]

Likely Ho Hit Pakistan Coast KETI BANDAR....