PUBLIC STATEMENT
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0341 AM CDT SAT JUN 05 2010
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE MID MISSISSIPPI
AND OHIO VALLEYS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE
DEVELOPMENT OF DAMAGING WIND...LARGE HAIL...AND TORNADOES OVER PARTS
OF THE MID MISSISSIPPI AND OHIO VALLEYS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE
SOUTHEASTERN IOWA
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN ILLINOIS
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN INDIANA
NORTHEAST MISSOURI
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN OHIO
ELSEWHERE...SEVERE STORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE OVER THE MID ATLANTIC
STATES AND NEW ENGLAND.
A BELT OF SEASONABLY STRONG JET STREAM WINDS WILL PREVAIL FROM THE
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PLAINS TO THE MID ATLANTIC AND NEW ENGLAND
COAST THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY. THESE WINDS WILL SERVE TO STRENGTHEN
AND SUSTAIN THE NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS THAT ARE LIKELY TO FORM THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT IN A ZONE OF VERY WARM AND HUMID AIR OVER
PARTS OF THE MID MISSISSIPPI AND OHIO VALLEYS.
THE COMBINATION OF JET STREAM ENERGY AND VERY UNSTABLE AIR WITH
DAYTIME HEATING WILL CREATE AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR THE STORMS
TO EVOLVE INTO LONG-LIVED LINES AND CLUSTERS. EACH OF THESE WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND POSSIBLY A
FEW TORNADOES AS THEY MOVE AND DEVELOP GENERALLY EAST ACROSS PARTS
OF THE MIDWEST AND OHIO VALLEY.
THE SEVERE THREAT MAY PERSIST INTO EARLY SUNDAY...AND SPREAD EAST
INTO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES AND THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
APPALACHIANS...AS AN APPROACHING JET STREAM DISTURBANCE FURTHER
DESTABILIZES THE REGION.
STATE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGERS ARE MONITORING THIS DEVELOPING
SITUATION. THOSE IN THE THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE
WEATHER SAFETY RULES AND TO LISTEN TO RADIO...TELEVISION...AND NOAA
WEATHER RADIO FOR POSSIBLE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND STATEMENTS LATER
TODAY.
..CORFIDI.. 06/05/2010
==========================
ILLINOIS
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
622 AM CDT SAT JUN 5 2010
ILZ027>031-036-037-061100-
FULTON-KNOX-MARSHALL-PEORIA-STARK-TAZEWELL-WOODFORD-
622 AM CDT SAT JUN 5 2010
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING... AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS CENTRAL ILLINOIS FROM
THE WEST. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS... AND LARGE
HAIL... WITH HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING ALSO EXPECTED. A
FEW TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY REACH UP
TO ONE OF TWO INCHES OVER A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME...CAUSING PONDING
OF WATER ON ROADS AND POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODING.
THE ILLINOIS RIVER DOWNSTREAM OF PEORIA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OR
GET INTO FLOOD FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE SPOON RIVER AT LONDON
MILLS IS EXPECTED TO CLIMB ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AGAIN TONIGHT.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
THERE IS ANOTHER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED BETWEEN 3 PM AND 11 PM. DUE
TO THE MODERATE RISK...A CONFERENCE CALL FOR EMERGENCY MANAGERS
AND MEDIA WILL BE HELD AT 11 AM CDT THIS MORNING. CALL INFORMATION
WILL BE SENT IN AN E-MAIL.
$$
====================
INDIANA
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
408 AM EDT SAT JUN 5 2010
INZ021-028>031-035>049-060815-
CARROLL-WARREN-TIPPECANOE-CLINTON-HOWARD-FOUNTAIN-MONTGOMERY-
BOONE-TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-VERMILLION-PARKE-
PUTNAM-HENDRICKS-MARION-HANCOCK-HENRY-
408 AM EDT SAT JUN 5 2010
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TODAY AND TONIGHT. THERE IS A MODERATE
RISK THAT SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY BE SEVERE. THE MAIN THREATS
FROM ANY STORM THAT BECOMES SEVERE WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
STRAIGHT LINE WINDS. HOWEVER AN ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED
OUT. SEVERE STORMS WILL BE MOST LIKELY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING HOURS. LIGHTNING AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN ARE THREATS FROM ANY
THUNDERSTORM.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY MORNING AS COLD
FRONT EXITS CENTRAL INDIANA. ANY STORMS ON SUNDAY MORNING ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE. HOWEVER...LIGHTNING IS A THREAT WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM.
ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
LIGHTNING IS A HAZARD IN ANY THUNDERSTORM.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
======================
OHIO
Severe Thunderstorms and Flooding Possible Today and Tonight
Numerous rounds of showers and thunderstorms are possible today, any of which could produce flooding, damaging winds, large hail and isolated tornadoes.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms this morning are expected to increase in coverage and intensity through this afternoon as the atmosphere becomes more unstable. Some of these storms may produce damaging winds and large hail. The best chance for thunderstorms through early afternoon will be across areas generally along and north of a Richmond-Wilmington-Waverly line.
A better chance for more widespread showers and thunderstorms will come later this afternoon and this evening as a complex of thunderstorms is expected to move in from the west. This thunderstorm complex will have the potential to produce widespread strong damaging winds, as well as large hail and a few tornadoes. The best chance for severe thunderstorms with this system will be across areas near and north of the I-70 corridor.
Finally, another round of thunderstorms will be possible late tonight and early Sunday morning as a cold front moves in from the northwest. While widespread severe weather is not expected with this system, a few storms may be capable of damaging winds and hail.
These numerous rounds of thunderstorms will have the potential to drop heavy rains which may lead to flash flooding later today and tonight. The best chance for flooding will be north of the I-70 corridor, where some areas may receive more than 2-3 inches of rainfall.
=======================
LOCALLY - RIPLEY COUNTY INDIANA
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
523 AM EDT SAT JUN 5 2010
INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ060>064-070>074-077>082-
088-060930-
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-
SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-
PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-
FAYETTE OH-PICKAWAY-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-ROSS-HOCKING-HAMILTON-
CLERMONT-BROWN-HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-SCIOTO-
523 AM EDT SAT JUN 5 2010
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA...SOUTHEAST INDIANA...NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...NORTHERN
KENTUCKY...CENTRAL OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY OF OHIO...SOUTH CENTRAL OHIO
AND SOUTHWEST OHIO.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
MODERATE INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON. THIS WILL ALLOW SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP. A FEW
OF THE STORMS MAY REACH SEVERE LIMITS THIS AFTERNOON.
A SIGNIFICANT WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK THROUGH OHIO TONIGHT.
THE AIRMASS WILL BE MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH MODERATELY STRONG
WESTERLY WINDS ALOFT. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR AN INCREASE IN
THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE THIS EVENING WITH FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR
SEVERE WEATHER. THIS ENVIRONMENT WILL SUPPORT FAST MOVING STORMS
WHICH WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS ALONG WITH LARGE
HAIL AND A FEW TORNADOES OVERNIGHT. ALONG WITH THIS SEVERE WEATHER
THREAT...THE THREAT FOR HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING WILL EXIST
DUE TO THE REPEATED ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS IN A VERY MOIST
ENVIRONMENT.
