Moderate Risk Severe Weather - June 2010

[CrazyC83]

US51 KCLE 060330
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1130 PM EDT SAT JUN 5 2010

OHC123-060415-
/O.CON.KCLE.TO.W.0024.000000T0000Z-100606T0415Z/
OTTAWA OH-
1130 PM EDT SAT JUN 5 2010

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 AM EDT FOR OTTAWA
COUNTY...

AT 1121 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR CLAY
CENTER...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THE TORNADO INCLUDE...PORT CLINTON...
MARBLEHEAD AND PUT-IN-BAY.

TRAINED SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO NEAR MILLBURY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. OTHERWISE...SEEK
SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN INTERIOR HALLWAY OR
ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM EDT SUNDAY MORNING FOR
NORTHWEST OHIO.

&&

LAT...LON 4162 8331 4163 8310 4154 8299 4153 8289
4160 8283 4165 8288 4167 8284 4173 8283
4170 8277 4161 8283 4157 8280 4154 8261
4153 8270 4150 8270 4149 8296 4145 8303
4145 8333 4149 8334 4150 8341 4161 8341
TIME...MOT...LOC 0330Z 266DEG 49KT 4156 8322

$$

WILLARD

[CrazyC83]

Separate cell:

$$

ILC075-060400-
/O.CON.KLOT.TO.W.0011.000000T0000Z-100606T0400Z/
IROQUOIS IL-
1040 PM CDT SAT JUN 5 2010

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN IROQUOIS COUNTY
UNTIL 1100 PM CDT...

AT 1038 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR AND STORM
SPOTTERS WERE TRACKING A LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO. THIS
TORNADO WAS LOCATED 6 MILES WEST OF ASHKUM...OR 10 MILES NORTHEAST
OF PIPER CITY...MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

THIS TORNADO WILL WILL BE NEAR...
MARTINTON AROUND 1050 PM CDT.
DONOVAN AROUND 1055 PM CDT.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS LIFE THREATENING STORM. PERSONS IN THE PATH OF
THIS STORM SHOULD TAKE COVER NOW!

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORNADOES ARE DIFFICULT TO SEE AND CONFIRM AT NIGHT. TAKE COVER NOW.
TO REPEAT A TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND. TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE...TAKE
COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY
BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 4077 8808 4094 8808 4101 8766 4101 8755
4078 8755 4077 8796
TIME...MOT...LOC 0337Z 262DEG 42KT 4086 8798

$$

CMS

[CrazyC83]

Could this be like May 30-31, 1998, just farther south and east?

[CrazyC83]

Transition to derecho beginning?

WUUS53 KIWX 060355
SVRIWX
INC039-087-141-MIC027-149-060500-
/O.NEW.KIWX.SV.W.0041.100606T0355Z-100606T0500Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1155 PM EDT SAT JUN 5 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
CASS COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN...
ST. JOSEPH COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN...
NORTHWESTERN LAGRANGE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST INDIANA...
NORTHEASTERN ST. JOSEPH COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL INDIANA...
NORTHERN ELKHART COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL INDIANA...

* UNTIL 100 AM EDT

* AT 1153 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 80 MPH. THIS SEVERE STORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES WEST OF
CASSOPOLIS...OR 6 MILES SOUTH OF DOWAGIAC...AND MOVING EAST AT 50
MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GRANGER...SIMONTON LAKE...THREE RIVERS...STURGIS...EDWARDSBURG...
CASSOPOLIS...MARCELLUS...BRISTOL...CONSTANTINE...WHITE PIGEON...
CENTREVILLE...DAILEY...LA GRANGE...EAGLE LAKE AND DIAMOND LAKE.

DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED SOME ROTATION WITHIN THIS SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH LITTLE
OR NO WARNING. IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A
PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL
INTERIOR ROOM.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN NORTHERN INDIANA.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM EDT SUNDAY MORNING FOR
NORTHERN INDIANA AND SOUTHERN MICHIGAN AND NORTHWESTERN OHIO.

LAT...LON 4208 8532 4165 8545 4175 8623 4207 8606
TIME...MOT...LOC 0355Z 285DEG 41KT 4190 8612
WIND...HAIL 80MPH IN

$$


JC

[CrazyC83]

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0824
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1117 PM CDT SAT JUN 05 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...ECNTRL IL...NRN/CNTRL IND...SRN LWR
MI...WCNTRL/NWRN OH

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 267...268...269...

VALID 060417Z - 060615Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH
267...268...269...CONTINUES.

HIGHEST PROBABILITIES FOR TORNADOES WITHIN THE TORNADO WATCHES
THROUGH 06Z WILL EXIST ACROSS SCNTRL/SERN LOWER MI...EXTREME NWRN OH
AND NRN IND.

WARM FRONT HAS JUMPED N INTO THE FIRST ROW OR TWO OF COUNTIES IN
LOWER MI AS OF 04Z. WARM SECTOR TO THE S REMAINS VERY UNSTABLE WITH
AN E-W CORRIDOR OF MLCAPES TO 2000 J/KG. LONG-LIVED DISCRETE
SUPERCELLS THAT DEVELOPED OVER IL EARLIER HAVE GROWN INTO LARGER
CLUSTERS AND MAY BEGIN A TRANSITION INTO SEVERAL BOWING/EMBEDDED
SUPERCELL TYPE MCS/S WITH TIME. JOLIET VWP SHOWS 50 KT WLY FLOW
DOWN TO ABOUT 3 KM AND INCREASING ASCENT/UNIDIRECTIONAL NATURE TO
THE FLOW REGIME MAY BEGIN A TRANSITION TO VERY STRONG WIND GUSTS.
HOWEVER...HIGH-LEVEL FLOW REMAINS VERY STRONG AND GIVEN 0-1KM SHEAR
IN EXCESS OF 35 KTS PER WOLCOTT PROFILER...TORNADO THREAT WILL
CONTINUE...ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHLIGHTED AREA ABOVE. EXTRAPOLATION
HAS THE STORMS REACHING HILLSDALE MI-KSBN-KGUS 05-0530Z...ADRIAN
MI-DEFIANCE OH/KFWA REGIONS 06-0630Z. TO THE SW...SUPERCELL CLUSTER
NEAR LINCOLN IL AT 04Z WILL CONTINUE ESE TOWARD THE WABASH RIVER
NEAR/N OF KHUF AFTER 0515Z.

..RACY.. 06/06/2010


ATTN...WFO...CLE...ILN...DTX...IWX...GRR...IND...LOT...ILX...

LAT...LON 40698934 42648556 42698283 41138311 39838455 39368833
39488944 40698934

[CrazyC83]

WUUS53 KIWX 060419
SVRIWX
INC017-049-131-181-060515-
/O.NEW.KIWX.SV.W.0042.100606T0419Z-100606T0515Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1219 AM EDT SUN JUN 6 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN WHITE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST INDIANA...
NORTHERN CASS COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL INDIANA...
PULASKI COUNTY IN NORTHWEST INDIANA...
FULTON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL INDIANA...

* UNTIL 115 AM EDT

* AT 1114 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS
IN EXCESS OF 80 MPH. THESE SEVERE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 13 MILES WEST OF MEDARYVILLE TO 18 MILES WEST OF
FRANCESVILLE TO 22 MILES WEST OF MONON...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF DE MOTTE TO 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF
RENSSELAER TO 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF RENSSELAER...AND MOVING EAST AT
60 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE...
MEDARYVILLE AND FRANCESVILLE...
MONON...
WINAMAC...
ROYAL CENTER...
ROCHESTER...

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE
CLARKS...LEE...DENHAM...BEARDSTOWN...RIPLEY...LAKESIDE...SITKA...
ORA...HEADLEE...BUFFALO...VANMETER PARK AND PULASKI.

DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED SOME WEAK ROTATION WITHIN THIS LINE OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH
LITTLE OR NO WARNING. IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE
TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR
SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM EDT SUNDAY MORNING FOR
NORTHERN INDIANA AND SOUTHERN MICHIGAN AND NORTHWESTERN OHIO.

LAT...LON 4085 8710 4085 8700 4091 8699 4092 8694
4118 8693 4117 8617 4081 8617 4080 8711
TIME...MOT...LOC 0419Z 269DEG 52KT 4112 8705 4098 8713
4088 8720
WIND...HAIL 80MPH <.50 IN

$$

[CrazyC83]

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0825
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1130 PM CDT SAT JUN 05 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...NCNTRL/NERN OH...NWRN PA...ADJACENT LAKE ERIE

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 060430Z - 060700Z

04Z WARM FRONT EXTENDED FROM SERN LOWER MI SEWD INTO THE LAKE SHORE
COUNTIES OF NE OH/NW PA. THIS FRONT SHOULD DEVELOP FARTHER N WITH
TIME AS THE SFC LOW OVER SCNTRL LOWER MI TRACKS TOWARD SWRN ONTARIO.

CONVECTION HAS BEEN DEEPENING WITHIN THE FRONTAL ZONE OVER LAKE ERIE
AND ADJACENT NERN OH LAKE SHORE COUNTIES AS BOTH LARGE SCALE ASCENT
INCREASES AND LOW-LEVEL PROFILES DESTABILIZE. THE CLE VWP EXHIBITS
STRONG TURNING IN THE LOWEST 1KM WITH SRH OVER 300 M2/S2. SHOULD A
STRONGER STORM BECOME ESTABLISHED...THERE WILL BE A TORNADO THREAT
UNTIL THE GENERATION ZONE WITHIN THE FRONTAL INTERFACE LIFTS OVER
LAKE ERIE.

MEANWHILE...TO THE W...SUPERCELLS WERE CONGEALING INTO LARGER
CLUSTERS OVER SCNTRL LOWER MI AND NWRN IND. THESE STORMS WERE
BEGINNING TO SHOW SIGNS OF BOWING AS LARGER SCALE FORCING/50 KTS OF
FLOW ABOVE 3KM APPROACHES. EXTRAPOLATION HAS THESE STORMS REACHING
THE ERN EDGE OF TORNADO WATCH 269 AFTER 07Z. ADDITIONAL WATCHES
WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED DOWNSTREAM INTO CNTRL/NRN OH. ALTHOUGH STORM
MODE MAY TRANSITION INTO MORE LINEAR MODES...SUCH STRONG HIGH-LEVEL
FLOW WILL MAINTAIN THE RISK OF EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS WITH AT LEAST
ISOLATED TORNADO RISKS.

..RACY.. 06/06/2010


ATTN...WFO...BUF...PBZ...CLE...ILN...

LAT...LON 40528317 40148343 40088301 40248226 40688119 41548022
42167960 42337950 42517974 42558031 42278260 41208275
40528317

[Bunkertor]

Morning !

[Dave]

Live audio feeds from a Fire dept frequency in Kankakee county Indiana...touchdown location near St Ann Indiana

http://www.radioreference.com/apps/audi ... p&ctid=636

[Dave]

Most of the severe weather is still holding in central & northern Indiana, on standby down here in the southern part.

[Dave]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
147 AM EDT SUN JUN 6 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN GRANT COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA...
SOUTHEASTERN MIAMI COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL INDIANA...
SOUTHERN WABASH COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL INDIANA...

* UNTIL 230 AM EDT

* AT 143 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
TRACKING A TORNADO NEAR GRISSOM AFB...AND MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS TORNADO INCLUDE...
SWEETSER AND LA FONTAINE...
MARION...
VAN BUREN...

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE AMBOY...
SOMERSET...MIER...JALAPA...HOME CORNER...HANFIELD...LAKE WOOD...
LANDESS AND ARCANA.

THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND LIFE THREATENING SITUATION. THIS
SEVERE STORM IS PRODUCING STRONG TORNADOES. IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH
OF THIS TORNADO...TAKE COVER IMMEDIATELY!

[Dave]

MIAMI IN-CASS IN-
144 AM EDT SUN JUN 6 2010

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM EDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN CASS AND SOUTHERN MIAMI COUNTIES IN NORTH CENTRAL
INDIANA...

AT 139 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
TRACKING A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED 3 MILES WEST OF
GRISSOM AFB...AND MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

THIS TORNADO WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
SOUTHEASTERN CASS AND SOUTHERN MIAMI COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS SANTA FE.

THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND LIFE THREATENING SITUATION. THIS SEVER STORM IS PRODUCING STRONG TORNADOES. IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS TORNADO...TAKE COVER IMMEDIATELY!

[Dave]

WABASH IN-MIAMI IN-GRANT IN-
155 AM EDT SUN JUN 6 2010

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 AM EDT FOR NORTHERN
GRANT...SOUTHEASTERN MIAMI AND SOUTHERN WABASH COUNTIES...

AT 148 AM EDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO 1 MILE EAST
SOUTHEAST OF WALTON. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED 14 MILES WEST OF SWEETSER...
OR ABOUT 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GRISSOM AFB...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE...
SWEETSER...
LA FONTAINE...
MARION...
VAN BUREN...

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE AMBOY...
SOMERSET...MIER...JALAPA...HOME CORNER...LAKE WOOD...HANFIELD...
LANDESS AND ARCANA.

THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND LIFE THREATENING SITUATION. THIS SEVERE STORM IS PRODUCING STRONG TO VIOLENT TORNADOES. IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS TORNADO...TAKE COVER IMMEDIATELY!

[Dave]

[Dave]

GRANT IN-
213 AM EDT SUN JUN 6 2010

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 AM EDT FOR NORTHERN
GRANT COUNTY...

AT 209 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH STRONG ROTATION. THIS SEVERE
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR SWEETSER...OR ABOUT 7 MILES WEST OF
MARION...AND MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE...
MARION...
VAN BUREN...

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE HOME
CORNER...HANFIELD...LANDESS...LAKE WOOD AND ARCANA.

[Dave]

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0103 AM CDT SUN JUN 06 2010

VALID 061200Z - 071200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM NEW ENGLAND SWWD THROUGH
THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS TO TN VALLEY...

...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER TROUGH...ANCHORED BY A VORTEX OVER QUEBEC...IS EXPECTED TO
AMPLIFY ACROSS THE NERN U.S. AND SWD TO THE MID ATLANTIC STATES
REGION. A PROGRESSIVE SHORTWAVE TROUGH...CURRENTLY TRACKING ESEWD
THROUGH THE WRN GREAT LAKES/MIDWEST REGION...ATTENDANT SURFACE LOW
AND TRAILING COLD FRONT ARE EXPECTED TO BE THE PRIMARY FOCI FOR TSTM
DEVELOPMENT TODAY AS THEY MOVE FROM THE LOWER GREAT LAKES/UPPER OH
VALLEY TO OFF THE NEW ENGLAND AND MID ATLANTIC COASTS.

IN THE SOUTHEAST...A MIDLEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH...CURRENTLY TRACKING
EWD THROUGH SRN AL PER WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN
SOME TODAY AS IT TRACKS SEWD THROUGH SRN GA TO THE NRN/CENTRAL FL
PENINSULA...S OF THE AMPLIFYING NERN/MID ATLANTIC REGION TROUGH.

IN THE WEST...A LOW AMPLITUDE PACIFIC TROUGH APPROACHING THE PAC NW
LATE SATURDAY NIGHT WILL MOVE INLAND TODAY...RESULTING IN AN EWD
SHIFT OF THE NRN EXTENT OF THE UPPER RIDGE FROM THE NRN ROCKIES TO
THE NRN PLAINS. MEANWHILE...THE SRN EXTENT OF THE RIDGE WILL REMAIN
ANCHORED OVER AZ/NM WITH A WEAK IMPULSE OR TWO ROTATING SSEWD ALONG
ERN PERIPHERY OF RIDGE THROUGH THE SRN HIGH PLAINS.

...A SUBSTANTIAL SEVERE WEATHER EVENT /DAMAGING WINDS AND A FEW
TORNADOES/ REMAINS POSSIBLE TODAY FROM SERN NY/SRN NEW ENGLAND SWD
THROUGH ERN PA/NJ TO NRN MD AND DELMARVA REGION...

...CENTRAL APPALACHIANS/MID ATLANTIC STATES TO NEW ENGLAND...
AT 12Z TODAY...THE SURFACE LOW SHOULD BE LOCATED OVER WRN NY WITH
THE COLD FRONT TRAILING SWWD THROUGH THE OH VALLEY TO NRN AR.
TSTMS...SOME SEVERE...WILL BE ONGOING ALONG THESE SURFACE FEATURES
WITH BOTH DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES POSSIBLE EARLY THIS
MORNING. GIVEN THE PROGRESSIVENESS OF THIS SYSTEM... THE SURFACE
LOW IS EXPECTED TO REACH SERN-ERN NY BY MID-LATE AFTERNOON...WITH
THE COLD FRONT TRAILING SWWD THROUGH ERN PA TO WRN VA TO TN AND SRN
AR. A WARM FRONT WILL RETURN NWD ACROSS SRN NEW ENGLAND WITH THE
APPROACH OF THE SURFACE LOW/MIDLEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH. SURFACE
DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 60S-LOWER 70S...CURRENTLY ANALYZED OVER SRN
NJ TO VA...WILL SPREAD NWD TODAY IN ADVANCE OF THE COLD FRONT WITH
THESE VALUES LIKELY REACHING SRN NEW ENGLAND BY THIS AFTERNOON.
THIS MOISTURE COMBINED WITH SURFACE HEATING AND MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES
AROUND 6.5 C/KM WILL SUPPORT MODERATE INSTABILITY.

STRONG DEEP LAYER WIND FIELDS ACCOMPANYING THE SRN GREAT LAKES
SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND AMPLIFYING LARGE SCALE TROUGH WILL RESULT IN
MORE THAN SUFFICIENT EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR /45-60 KT/ TO SUPPORT
ORGANIZED STORMS. GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF THE FORCING FOR ASCENT WITH
THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND WITHIN THE NOSE OF A 80-90 KT WSWLY
MIDLEVEL JET MOVING ACROSS PA/NY TO NEW ENGLAND TODAY...SHOWERS AND
TSTMS ONGOING AT 12Z IN VICINITY OF LOW AND COLD FRONT SHOULD NOT
WEAKEN TOO MUCH THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...AN INCREASE IN STORM
INTENSITY IS EXPECTED FROM CENTRAL PA/NY AS THE COLD FRONT
ENCOUNTERS A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS IN THESE REGIONS...
POSSIBLY AS EARLY AS MID-LATE MORNING. STRENGTH OF WLY LLJ /40-50
KT/ WILL SUPPORT DAMAGING WINDS WITH THE MORNING ACTIVITY. THIS JET
IS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN TO 50-60 KT ACROSS SRN NEW ENGLAND BY THIS
AFTERNOON FURTHER ENHANCING THE LIKELIHOOD FOR STRONG...DAMAGING
WINDS TO SPREAD ACROSS ERN NY/ NRN NJ TO SRN NEW ENGLAND.

ALTHOUGH STRONGER LOW LEVEL WINDS SHOULD BE CONFINED N OF MD AND THE
DELMARVA REGION...EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR 30-35 KT AND MODERATE
INSTABILITY WILL SUPPORT STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS AS THE COLD FRONT
ADVANCES ACROSS THIS REGION DURING THE AFTERNOON.

...KY/TN INTO NRN EXTENT OF CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES...
MODERATE INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THIS REGION IN
ADVANCE OF THE COLD FRONT WHICH WILL BE MOVING S/SEWD ACROSS THIS
REGION TODAY. MID-UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THIS AREA
AS THE UPPER TROUGH AMPLIFIES OVER THE ERN U.S. TODAY...WITH 40-50
KT NWLY WINDS IN THE 700-500 MB LAYER. EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR 30-40
KT SHOULD SUPPORT ORGANIZED STORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL
ACROSS PARTS OF KY/TN.

...SRN GA/FL...
MODERATE INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THIS REGION
TODAY. FORCING FOR ASCENT SPREADING SEWD ACROSS SRN GA AND THE NRN
HALF OF FL AHEAD OF THE WEAKER SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL SUPPORT TSTM
DEVELOPMENT TODAY. 35 KT WNWLY MIDLEVEL JET ACCOMPANYING THIS
TROUGH WILL SUPPORT 25-30 KT EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR FOR A FEW
ORGANIZED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD BE MAINLY
DIURNAL AND THUS WEAKEN DURING THE EVENING.

..PETERS/SMITH.. 06/06/2010

[Dave]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
215 AM EDT SUN JUN 6 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EAST CENTRAL LENAWEE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN...
NORTHERN MONROE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN...

* UNTIL 300 AM EDT

* AT 214 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR DUNDEE...AND MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
IDA AROUND 225 AM EDT.
MAYBEE AND SCOFIELD AROUND 230 AM EDT.
MONROE AND CARLETON AROUND 235 AM EDT.
NEWPORT AND ESTRAL BEACH AROUND 245 AM EDT.

THE WARNING INCLUDES AREAS SURROUNDING THESE LOCATIONS...
PETERSBURG... MONROE... MAYBEE...
IDA... DUNDEE... DEERFIELD...
CARLETON... BRITTON...

[Dave]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
226 AM EDT SUN JUN 6 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
LUCAS COUNTY IN NORTHWEST OHIO
NORTHERN WOOD COUNTY IN NORTHWEST OHIO

* UNTIL 330 AM EDT

* AT 224 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR HOLLAND...OR 7 MILES NORTH OF WATERVILLE...
AND MOVING EAST AT 70 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ROSSFORD...
NORTHWOOD...
WALBRIDGE...
TOLEDO...
OREGON...
MILLBURY...
HARBOR VIEW...

[Dave]

Going to make a quick swing through parts of our county, be back in an hour or so.

[Dave]

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 270
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
205 AM EDT SUN JUN 6 2010

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHEASTERN INDIANA
SOUTHWESTERN NEW YORK
MUCH OF OHIO
WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA
THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA
LAKE ERIE

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY MORNING FROM 205 AM UNTIL 900 AM EDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTHWEST OF DAYTON
OHIO TO 20 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF BRADFORD PENNSYLVANIA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 267...WW 268...

DISCUSSION...SEMI-DISCRETE SUPERCELLS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH
LATER THIS MORNING OVER PARTS OF THE UPR OH VLY AND LWR GRT LKS AS
SEASONABLY STRONG WIND FIELD/UPR IMPULSE TRACK E ACROSS REGION.
STORMS SHOULD FOCUS BOTH ALONG WARM FRONT NEAR LK ERIE/NW PA/SW
NY...AND ALONG TRAILING COLD FRONT/PREFRONTAL WIND SHIFT NOW IN NW
OH/ERN IND. STRENGTH OF SHEAR...QUALITY OF MOISTURE INFLOW...AND
CONVERGENCE NEAR DEEPENING SFC LOW SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES
...DESPITE TIME OF DAY.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27045.