12Z tropical Model suite

[ameriwx2003]

The system has been intialized further North again at 23.7 N. Last run was intialized at 21.2:):)

http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/ ... s/03081114

[chadtm80]

SSM/I Pass by MWatkins The SSM/I pass at around 1230Z reveals that there is a surface low...and it's north of the overnight estimates. The TPC tracks just finished running and the position fix of 23.7 64.0 seems just about right

Guess this is why

[cycloneye]

Ameriwx2003 until there is a true well defined center we will see those jumps in iniciation from them.

[ameriwx2003]

Chad, Thanks for that heads up. Luis, I really only brought the intial point reference up to point out that it may look like the models are shifting the track north and south but its more that the intial start point has changed.:):)

[Stormsfury]

Chad, Thanks for that heads up. Luis, I really only brought the intial point reference up to point out that it may look like the models are shifting the track north and south but its more that the intial start point has changed.:):)

It's a very good point, Ameriwx2003 ... until we get a solid LLCC, we're going to have these erratic jumps in track and position. What we have are LLS fighting for dominance, and until we have that, don't expect 91L to do much anytime soon.

SF

[chadtm80]

Dosent look like its moving very S. of West right now to me, but very difficult to tell righ now

[ameriwx2003]

18 Z tropical runs out:):)

http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/ ... s/03081119