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Re: Caribbean - CA Weather Thread=Watching Invest 92L

#5021 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jun 14, 2010 12:14 pm

Hugo1989 wrote:Los modelos de pronosticos que la mayorias de las veces son a 5 dias. pronostican el comportamiento de la atmosfera y el camino a seguir de los sistemas atmosferico. El mismo que utilizan los meteorologos en sus informes del tiempo, ese es el que queria saber si una persona comun podria tener asceso?

Gracias por la ayuda!


Estos son lo que estas buscando.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/
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Re: Caribbean - CA Weather Thread=Watching Invest 92L

#5022 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jun 14, 2010 12:46 pm

Down to 40% code orange

TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON JUN 14 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
LOCATED ABOUT 1375 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS HAVE BECOME
LESS ORGANIZED TODAY. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE MARGINALLY
CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT...BUT ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME LESS
FAVORABLE IN A DAY OR TWO. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE 48
HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 15
MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/KIMBERLAIN

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Re: Caribbean - CA Weather Thread=Watching Invest 92L

#5023 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jun 14, 2010 2:35 pm

Afternoon Discussion by NWS San Juan

A wet period comming as the 92L wave or else moves thru the Eastern Caribbean.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
330 PM AST MON JUN 14 2010

.SYNOPSIS...A TUTT TO THE EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES IS EXPECTED TO
LIFT NORTH TUE AS RIDGE ACROSS THE TROP ATLC BUILDS WEST TO THE
EASTERN CARIBBEAN. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ALONG 40W IS EXPECTED TO
ENTER THE CARIBBEAN SEA FRI.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SCT/NMRS TSRA WILL BE THE RULE OVER THE NEXT SVRL
DAYS DUE TO INTENSE HEATING AND SEA BREEZE CONVERGENCE. TUTT TO
THE EAST OF THE ISLANDS WILL LIFT NORTHWEST ALLOWING FOR
INCREASING INSTABILITY.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LIKELY HAD ITS BEST CHANCE OF BECOMING THE
FIRST TROPICAL DEPRESSION OF THE YEAR LAST NIGHT. VISIBLE IMAGERY
SHOWS THAT DRY AIR HAS ENTRAINED INTO THE CIRCULATION AND IR
IMAGERY SHOWS SIGNIFICANT WARMING OF THE CLOUD TOPS AND CONVECTION
GETTING DISPLACED TO THE NORTHEAST. THUS IT APPEARS WE WONT SEE
ANY IMMEDIATE DEVELOPMENT AT LEAST IN THE SHORT TERM. NEW 18Z
SHIPS GUIDANCE MAINTAINS 15-20 KT SHEAR OVER THE NEXT FIVE DAYS
MAKING DEVELOPMENT/INTENSIFICATION VERY UNLIKELY. REGARDLESS OF
WHETHER THIS SYSTEM DEVELOPS OR NOT...GLOBAL MODELS PAINT A VERY
WET FORECAST BEGINNING SAT AND CONTINUING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS
TROPICAL WAVE/DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION AND MOIST
SOUTHEAST FLOW DEVELOPS AND INTERACTS WITH AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
TO THE NORTH OF PR.


&&

.AVIATION...SHRAS AND TSRAS WILL DIMINISH OVER THE INTERIOR AND
WESTERN SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO BY 14/23Z...WITH TEMPORARY MVFR TO
LOCALLY IFR CONDITIONS ACROSS TJMZ UNTIL THEN. PREVAILING VFR
CONDITIONS EXPECTED ALL TAF SITES OVERNIGHT THROUGH 15/14Z...WITH A
VCSH POSSIBLE ACROSS THE VI...TNCM AND TKPK.

&&

.MARINE...SEAS 1-3 FT INCREASING TO 3-5 FT BY THU. TROPICAL
DISTURANCE ALONG 40W WILL ENTER THE CARIBBEAN SEA FRI WITH HEAVY
RAIN/TSTMS THE MAIN HAZARD.

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Re: Caribbean - CA Weather Thread=Watching Invest 92L

#5024 Postby tropicana » Mon Jun 14, 2010 4:43 pm

REGIONAL WEATHER SUMMARY

Mon Jun 14 2010

Monday's Highs and Rain (if any)


Piarco, Trinidad 32.2C 90F 8.8mm
Maraval, W. Trinidad 30.3C 86F 2.0mm
Crown Point, Tobago 31.4C 88F

Point Salines, Grenada 30.6C 87F 1.0mm
Arnos Vale, St Vincent 31.5C 89F trace
Grantley Adams, Barbados 30.7C 87F 0.1mm
Long Bay, Barbados 30.4C 87F 3.3mm
Rockey, S. Barbados 31.3C 88F 10.7mm
Hewannora, St Lucia 30.6C 87F trace
Vigie, St Lucia 31.3C 88F 2.0mm

Canefield, Dominica 33.5C 93F 0.6mm
Le Lamentin, Martinique 31.5C 89F
Le Raizet, Guadeloupe 32.3C 90F 0.6mm

VC Bird, Antigua 31.8C 89F
San Juan, Puerto Rico 31.7C 89F

Kingston, Jamaica 33.4C 92F
Montego Bay, Jamaica 34.0C 93F
Owen Roberts, Cayman Islands 31.8C 89F 4.3mm
Havana, Cuba 35.1C 95F
Key West, Florida 32.2C 90F
Miami, Florida 33.4C 92F


Nassau, Bahamas 32.4C 90F trace (est)
Hamilton, Bermuda 27.5C 82F
Last edited by tropicana on Tue Jun 15, 2010 5:24 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Caribbean - CA Weather Thread=Watching Invest 92L

#5025 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jun 14, 2010 7:03 pm

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT MON JUN 14 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1250 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES HAS CHANGED LITTLE TODAY...BUT CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF
ORGANIZATION. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN
SOMEWHAT CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LOW FOR THE NEXT DAY OR
SO...BUT ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME LESS FAVORABLE AFTER THAT. THERE
REMAINS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART/BLAKE
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Re: Caribbean - CA Weather Thread=Watching Invest 92L

#5026 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jun 14, 2010 10:05 pm

This model (NAM) brings some squally weather for the NE Caribbean by next weekend,so lets continue to watch 92L and see how it may affect us.

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Re: Caribbean - CA Weather Thread=Watching Invest 92L

#5027 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jun 15, 2010 5:00 am

Good morning.A wet weekend for the NE Caribbean.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
553 AM AST TUE JUN 15 2010

.SYNOPSIS...TUTT CENTERED NEAR 19 NORTH 55 WEST AND EXTENDING
ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS WILL WEAKEN SLOWLY
AND PULL NORTH WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC
WILL NOSE INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN LATE IN THE WEEK AND CONTINUE
TO DOMINATE THE CARIBBEAN THE FOLLOWING WEEK. AFTER THIS THURSDAY
LIGHT WEST OR SOUTHWEST FLOW PREVAILS THROUGH THE END OF THE 10
DAY PERIOD.

AT MID LEVELS...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT STRETCHES FROM
NORTHEAST FLORIDA TO THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC WILL MOVE NORTH AND
SPLIT BETWEEN SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES AND THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC.

AT LOWER LEVELS...AN AREA OF MOISTURE IS PASSING ACROSS PUERTO
RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS FROM THE EAST. A LOW PRESSURE
CENTER CURRENTLY NEAR 12 NORTH 43 WEST WILL CONTINUE MOVING WEST
NORTHWEST AND ENTER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN FRIDAY. CURRENTLY IT IS
EXPECTED TO CROSS THROUGH PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
ON SATURDAY. A SECOND OR THIRD TROUGH WILL PASS THROUGH THE
FOLLOWING THURSDAY.


&&

.DISCUSSION...EASTERLY FLOW WILL ONCE AGAIN CREATE A PATTERN OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN WESTERN PUERTO RICO DURING THE
AFTERNOON. SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY IS ALSO EXPECTED TO AFFECT EASTERN
PUERTO RICO. YESTERDAYS ACTIVITY SEEMED TO BE TRIGGERED BY A
PARTICULARLY STRONG SEA-BREEZE FRONT AS EVIDENCED FROM ITS POSITION
WITH RESPECT TO THE AVERAGE FLOW NOTED IN THE 00Z SOUNDING. A
SIMILAR SITUATION SHOULD DEVELOP TODAY AND TOMORROW. THIS WILL
LIKELY TRIGGER URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING IN A FEW AREAS.

THE LOW PRESSURE CURRENTLY NEAR 12 NORTH AND 43 WEST IS SLIGHTLY
BETTER ORGANIZED THAN IT WAS 24 HOURS AGO AND ROTATION IS STILL
REMARKABLE FOR A SYSTEM THIS TIME OF THE YEAR...NEVERTHELESS THE
MODELS HOLD NO MORE HOPE FOR IT TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL
CYCLONE NOW THAN THEY DID YESTERDAY AND SO EXPECT THIS SYSTEM TO
PASS AS AN OPEN WAVE. INCREASING SHEAR TO THE LOWS NORTHWEST
SUPPORTS THIS SCENARIO. THE LOW MAY ALSO BE INGESTING SOME DRY AIR
ON ITS WESTERN SIDE SINCE VISIBLE IMAGERY YESTERDAY SHOWED SAHARAN
DUST TO THE NORTH OF THE LOW THAT COULD MAKE ITS WAY INTO THE LOW
AND KEEP IT FROM DEVELOPING FURTHER. THE ECMWF SHOWS THIS DRY SLOT
PASSING JUST NORTH OF THE AREA WEDNESDAY EVENING. WITH THE OPEN
WAVE...THE ECMWF BRINGS IN THE HEAVIEST MOISTURE ON SATURDAY...BUT
THE GFS...ALTHOUGH NOT QUITE AS WET...PROLONGS THAT MOISTURE THROUGH
TUESDAY IN A LONG TAIL THAT MAY WELL BE THE REMNANTS OF THE MOST
RECENT WAVE TO HAVE CLEARED THE AFRICAN CONTINENT. EITHER
WAY...EXPECT INCREASED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY BEGINNING
FRIDAY AND PEAKING SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. A THIRD WAVE MAY ARRIVE ON
THE THURSDAY AFTER NEXT.


&&

.AVIATION...
PREVAILING VFR CONDS EXPECTED ACROSS ALL TAF SITES. FOR THIS
MORNING...EXPECT VCSH ACROSS MOST OF THE TAF SITES AS LLVL CLOUDS
AND SHOWERS MOVE ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA. BETWEEN 15/17Z TO
15/22Z...THE SEA BREEZE CONVERGENCE WILL HELP TO DEVELOP THE
AFTERNOON CONVECTION MAINLY OVER THE INTERIOR AND WESTERN
PORTIONS OF PR PRODUCING TEMPO MVFR CONDS ACROSS TJBQ AND TJMZ.
IN ADDITION...THE SHRA/TSRA ACTIVITY WILL PRODUCE MOUNTAIN
OBSCURATIONS ACROSS PARTS OF THE INTERIOR OF PR DURING AFTERNOON
HOURS.

&&

.MARINE...
STEADY EASTERLY FLOW AND A TROPICAL WAVE PASSAGE WILL KEEP SEAS
INCREASING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT IN THE ATLANTIC AND NOT FAR BEHIND
IN THE CARIBBEAN. SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS MAY BE EMERGING IN THE
ATLANTIC BY THE WEEKEND.
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#5028 Postby Gustywind » Tue Jun 15, 2010 5:15 am

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#5029 Postby Gustywind » Tue Jun 15, 2010 5:29 am

- 92L - To Be or not to Be? By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
Date: Mon, 14 Jun 2010 22:34:34 -0500

A pleasant good night to all!

To Be or not to Be. That is the question! However, we all need rain in the Caribbean; some more than others. We had to order a truck full of water today. Sporadic spurts of rain cannot supply the demand. So, we would be very happy if 92L dumped some much needed rain on us beginning this Friday. A concerned friend wanted to know if it's going to rain on Sunday -her son is getting married. We'll wish for a dry day especially. It's too early to tell. it could very well be dry.

The system behind 92L is quite a formidable one. That definitely bears watching. We enjoyed the beautiful, warm water at the beach this evening with a glorious sunset! Let's keep monitoring and make sure that we are prepared. God bless us all!

Isabel
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Re: Caribbean - CA Weather Thread=Watching Invest 92L

#5030 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jun 15, 2010 7:01 am

Down to 30%

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE JUN 15 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW PRESSURE AREA
LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES HAVE BECOME
LIMITED THIS MORNING. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
BECOME LESS FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR SO. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT HAS DECREASED AND
THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN

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Re: Caribbean - CA Weather Thread=Watching Invest 92L

#5031 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jun 15, 2010 12:46 pm

Good news for us is that it looks like it will not be a cyclone as it moves thru the NE Caribbean.The bad news is plenty of rain will move into the Caribbean this upcomming weekend.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT TUE JUN 15 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES IS PRODUCING A FEW DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE BECOMING LESS FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL
CYCLONE FORMATION AND THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF THIS
SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT
MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN
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Re: Caribbean - CA Weather Thread=Watching Invest 92L

#5032 Postby Hugo1989 » Tue Jun 15, 2010 12:51 pm

Acaba de salir el boletin de las 2:00 y acaban de bajar a un 20% las probabilidades de desarrollo de la baja presion en el Atlantico. Veo que las aguas estan mas calidad rondando los 50 de longitud. Tendra alguna reorganizacion este sistema a medida que se vaya acercando al mar caribe o no le ven ninguna posibilidad?? Creo que ya perdio lo suficiente de nubosidad y tronadas para que pueda reorganizarse.
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Re: Caribbean - CA Weather Thread=Watching Invest 92L

#5033 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Jun 15, 2010 12:53 pm

Hugo1989 wrote:Acaba de salir el boletin de las 2:00 y acaban de bajar a un 20% las probabilidades de desarrollo de la baja presion en el Atlantico. Veo que las aguas estan mas calidad rondando los 50 de longitud. Tendra alguna reorganizacion este sistema a medida que se vaya acercando al mar caribe o no le ven ninguna posibilidad?? Creo que ya perdio lo suficiente de nubosidad y tronadas para que pueda reorganizarse.


Todavía tiene una circulación bastante potente pero las condiciones ambientales van a estar desfavorables en los próximos días excepto por las aguas cálidas. Yo no espero que gane fuerzas en los días siguientes y es muy posible que pierda el sistema de baja presión y sea solamente una onda tropical cuando llegue a las Antillas Menores.
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Re: Caribbean - CA Weather Thread=Watching Invest 92L

#5034 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jun 15, 2010 2:27 pm

Wet weekend ahead.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
308 PM AST TUE JUN 15 2010

.SYNOPSIS...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL
WILL MAINTAIN A MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH TRADE WIND FLOW ACROSS
THE REGIONAL WATERS THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. A TROPICAL WAVE
NEAR 1000 HUNDRED MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES IS EXPECTED
TO ENTER THE CARIBBEAN SEA FRIDAY AND WILL BRING INCREASED SHOWER
AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS WITH THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED ACROSS THE
CORDILLERA CENTRAL ONCE AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON. THESE SHOWERS WERE
THE RESULT OF AVAILABLE MOISTURE COMBINE WITH STRONG HEATING AT
THE SURFACE AND OROGAPHIC EFFECTS. MOST OF THIS ACTIVITY IS
EXPECTED TO DISSIPATED NEAR SUNSET. DURING MOST OF THIS
AFTERNOON...BREEZE CONDITIONS HAS PREVAILED ACROSS ALL COASTAL
AREAS. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL ATLANTIC IS
PRODUCING THESE BREEZE CONDITIONS. THIS WEATHER CONDITIONS WITH
CONVECTION DEVELOPING ACROSS THE CORDILLERA CENTRAL OF PUERTO
RICO...WILL CONTINUE EACH AFTERNOON AT LEAST THROUGH THURSDAY.
HOWEVER...BY FRIDAY...A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN MOISTURE IS
EXPECTED. A TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY NEAR 45 WEST...WHICH IS NEAR
1000 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES...IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH
THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN. COMPUTER MODELS SUGGEST THIS WAVE WILL
BRING A SURGE IN MOISTURE STARTING ON FRIDAY...AND PROBABLY
LASTING UNTIL SUNDAY. LATEST SJU-GFS PROG SOUNDINGS INDICATED PW
VALUES WILL INCREASE AS HIGH AS 2.3 INCHES BY SUNDAY. ALSO...UPPER
LEVEL DYNAMICS LOOKS BETTER FOR SUNDAY....AS THE WAVE INTERACT WITH
THE TUTT LOW. THEREFORE...AT THIS MOMENT...SUNDAY LOOKS VERY WET
ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA. STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER INFORMATION AS WE
APPROACH THE FATHER`S DAY WEEKEND.


&&

.AVIATION...SHRAS AND TSRAS WILL DIMINISH OVER THE INTERIOR AND
WESTERN SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO BY 15/23Z...WITH TEMPORARY MVFR TO
LOCALLY IFR CONDITIONS ACROSS TJMZ UNTIL THEN. PREVAILING VFR
CONDITIONS EXPECTED ALL TAF SITES OVERNIGHT THROUGH 16/14Z...WITH
A VCSH POSSIBLE ACROSS THE VI...TNCM AND TKPK.

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Re: Caribbean - CA Weather Thread=Watching Invest 92L

#5035 Postby msbee » Tue Jun 15, 2010 3:10 pm

too bad I don't understand Spanish :(
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Re: Caribbean - CA Weather Thread=Watching Invest 92L

#5036 Postby msbee » Tue Jun 15, 2010 3:12 pm

cycloneye wrote:Good news for us is that it looks like it will not be a cyclone as it moves thru the NE Caribbean.The bad news is plenty of rain will move into the Caribbean this upcomming weekend.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT TUE JUN 15 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES IS PRODUCING A FEW DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE BECOMING LESS FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL
CYCLONE FORMATION AND THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF THIS
SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT
MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


let's hope the wet weekend does not bother St. Maarten until Saturday afternoon. we have a huge clean up scheduled at our zoo with 100 volunteers!
Let the rains begin after we finish! :D
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Re: Caribbean - CA Weather Thread=Watching Invest 92L

#5037 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jun 15, 2010 3:44 pm

let's hope the wet weekend does not bother St. Maarten until Saturday afternoon. we have a huge clean up scheduled at our zoo with 100 volunteers!
Let the rains begin after we finish!


Good luck with that Barbara. :) Hopefully,the clean up goes well.
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Re: Caribbean - CA Weather Thread=Watching Invest 92L

#5038 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jun 15, 2010 5:06 pm

NAVTEX MARINE FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT TUE JUN 15 2010

A 1011 MB LOW NEAR 14N46W WILL MOVE NW AND
GRADUALLY WEAKEN...REACHING NEAR 15N52W WED AFTERNOON...THEN
WEAKEN TO A TROUGH THU AS IT MOVES NW ACROSS THE N HALF OF THE
TROPICAL ATLC WATERS...REACHING THE LEEWARD ISLANDS OVERNIGHT
THU...INTO THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE NE CARIBBEAN FRI
AFTERNOON AND ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SAT AND SUN.

http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/ ... ZNT25.KNHC
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Re: Caribbean - CA Weather Thread=Watching Invest 92L

#5039 Postby tropicana » Tue Jun 15, 2010 5:23 pm

REGIONAL WEATHER SUMMARY

Tue Jun 15 2010

Tuesday's Highs and Rain (if any)


Piarco, Trinidad 33.1C 92F trace
Maraval, W. Trinidad 31.9C 89F 5.6mm
Crown Point, Tobago 31.5C 89F

Point Salines, Grenada 30.1C 86F 0.5mm
Arnos Vale, St Vincent 32.8C 91F 4.4mm
Grantley Adams, Barbados 30.0C 86F 1.5mm
Long Bay, Barbados 30.3C 86F 6.1mm
Rockey, S. Barbados 31.2C 88F 5.3mm
Hewannora, St Lucia 31.1C 88F 1.0mm
Vigie, St Lucia 30.2C 86F 4.0mm

Canefield, Dominica 32.9C 91F 5.7mm
Le Lamentin, Martinique 31.8C 89F 3.0mm
Le Raizet, Guadeloupe 31.8C 89F

VC Bird, Antigua 31.8C 89F 0.2mm
San Juan, Puerto Rico 31.7C 89F 9.0mm

Kingston, Jamaica 33.0C 91F
Montego Bay, Jamaica 33.9C 93F
Owen Roberts, Cayman Islands 32.7C 91F
Havana, Cuba 34.0C 93F
Key West, Florida 32.2C 90F
Miami, Florida 34.4C 94F (record high tied 2009)


Nassau, Bahamas 32.1C 90F 9.9mm
Hamilton, Bermuda 28.0C 82F
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cycloneye
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Re: Caribbean - CA Weather Thread=Watching Invest 92L

#5040 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jun 15, 2010 6:48 pm

Down to 10%

TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT TUE JUN 15 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 900 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES IS PRODUCING LIMITED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS HAVE BECOME UNFAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
FORMATION AND THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BEVEN
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