http://www.tormenta.net/frame_page.asp? ... XNT20.KNHC
Scroll down to surface features and read the second paragrafh and it says about the trough at the surface as a well defined one.I consider that statement at discussion important because if that is the case it only needs convection to begin the developing proccess.
Discussion from TPC 2:05 PM:Surface trough well defined
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145329
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Discussion from TPC 2:05 PM:Surface trough well defined
Last edited by cycloneye on Mon Aug 11, 2003 1:19 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
-
Stormsfury
- Category 5
- Posts: 10549
- Age: 53
- Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 6:27 pm
- Location: Summerville, SC
TWD also mentions another high amplitude TW exiting off the coast of Africa as well ... here's the excerpt regarding 91L...
MID/UPPER LOW OVER THE CENTRAL TO W ATLC HAS SLOWLY WORKED ITS
WAY TO THE SURFACE WITH A WELL DEFINED TROUGH NOW EVIDENT ON THE
SURFACE ANALYSIS EXTENDING FROM PUERTO RICO NWD OVER THE ATLC
ALONG 65W. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT AS
THE BROAD UPPER TROUGH CURRENTLY IN PLACE WEAKENS AND A E/W
RIDGE TAKES SHAPE. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...THE SYSTEM WILL
CONTINUE TO PRODUCE ACTIVE WEATHER IN THE FORM OF
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS AND ENHANCED WIND AS IT MOVES WESTWARD
TOWARD THE BAHAMAS AND FLORIDA AT 15-20 KT.
MID/UPPER LOW OVER THE CENTRAL TO W ATLC HAS SLOWLY WORKED ITS
WAY TO THE SURFACE WITH A WELL DEFINED TROUGH NOW EVIDENT ON THE
SURFACE ANALYSIS EXTENDING FROM PUERTO RICO NWD OVER THE ATLC
ALONG 65W. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT AS
THE BROAD UPPER TROUGH CURRENTLY IN PLACE WEAKENS AND A E/W
RIDGE TAKES SHAPE. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...THE SYSTEM WILL
CONTINUE TO PRODUCE ACTIVE WEATHER IN THE FORM OF
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS AND ENHANCED WIND AS IT MOVES WESTWARD
TOWARD THE BAHAMAS AND FLORIDA AT 15-20 KT.
0 likes
-
wxman57
- Moderator-Pro Met
- Posts: 22979
- Age: 67
- Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
- Location: Houston, TX (southwest)
Low
Actually, the discussion doesn't say that the <b>low</b> has worked its way down to the surface, it says a trof is now evident at the surface. Yowever, you are correct, development has to start somewhere, and this could be the very early stages.
MID/UPPER LOW OVER THE CENTRAL TO W ATLC HAS SLOWLY WORKED ITS
WAY TO THE SURFACE WITH <b>A WELL DEFINED TROUGH NOW EVIDENT ON THE SURFACE ANALYSIS</b> EXTENDING FROM PUERTO RICO NWD OVER THE ATLC ALONG 65W. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT AS THE BROAD UPPER TROUGH CURRENTLY IN PLACE WEAKENS AND A E/W RIDGE TAKES SHAPE. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE ACTIVE WEATHER IN THE FORM OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS AND ENHANCED WIND AS IT MOVES WESTWARD TOWARD THE BAHAMAS AND FLORIDA AT 15-20 KT.
MID/UPPER LOW OVER THE CENTRAL TO W ATLC HAS SLOWLY WORKED ITS
WAY TO THE SURFACE WITH <b>A WELL DEFINED TROUGH NOW EVIDENT ON THE SURFACE ANALYSIS</b> EXTENDING FROM PUERTO RICO NWD OVER THE ATLC ALONG 65W. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT AS THE BROAD UPPER TROUGH CURRENTLY IN PLACE WEAKENS AND A E/W RIDGE TAKES SHAPE. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE ACTIVE WEATHER IN THE FORM OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS AND ENHANCED WIND AS IT MOVES WESTWARD TOWARD THE BAHAMAS AND FLORIDA AT 15-20 KT.
0 likes
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145329
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Yes stormsfury a new wave is analized by TPC but it is not the one chad posted about because that one is still one day away from the coast.
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
-
PTrackerLA
- Category 5
- Posts: 5277
- Age: 41
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 8:40 pm
- Location: Lafayette, LA
-
ameriwx2003
- Category 4
- Posts: 980
- Joined: Tue Jul 22, 2003 10:45 am
-
Stormsfury
- Category 5
- Posts: 10549
- Age: 53
- Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 6:27 pm
- Location: Summerville, SC
-
chadtm80
-
Rainband
I can relate..the mosquito chopper was flying today!! :oameriwx2003 wrote:Yes, this is interesting.Like the TWD says regardless of developement it will continue to produce active weather in the form of Showers and T-stms. Here in Central Florida I am water Logged LOL.. It sure doesn't look like any break soon:):)
0 likes
-
chadtm80
-
ColdFront77
It sure has been wet here, but nothing like the flooding that has been occurring in Dunnellon along the Withlacoochee River and down the west coast, south of Tampa along the Myakka River.
If that 'mosquito chopper' would make a flyover from Jonathan's to Chad's... it would pretty much pass over me. :o
Every few night (usually a number of minutes after midnight, the last time 11:45pm ET) a truck drives down my street spraying for mosquitoes.
If that 'mosquito chopper' would make a flyover from Jonathan's to Chad's... it would pretty much pass over me. :o
Every few night (usually a number of minutes after midnight, the last time 11:45pm ET) a truck drives down my street spraying for mosquitoes.
0 likes
-
Rainband
The big worry is WNV..I hear they said it's gonna be bad this year..ColdFront77 wrote:It sure has been wet here, but nothing like the flooding that has been occurring in Dunnellon along the Withlacoochee River and down the west coast, south of Tampa along the Myakka River.
If that 'mosquito chopper' would make a flyover from Jonathan's to Chad's... it would pretty much pass over me. :o
0 likes
-
ColdFront77
-
GulfBreezer
- Category 5
- Posts: 2230
- Joined: Wed Oct 09, 2002 8:58 pm
- Location: Gulf Breeze Fl
- Contact:
We are so waterlogged here in the panhandle that the local mets are saying that IF we were to get ANY tropical moisture that hung around for any length of time, we could be looking at a disastrous and dangerous situation. The mosquitos are even sick of the rain, they are heading inside my house!! WNV is a huge concern and those trucks can only do so much when there is standing water EVERYWHERE! It has not rained here in 2 days and water is STILL standing. It is forecast to start back up with the T'storms tonight! We really just cant take much more, especially in the form of a tropical system! :o
0 likes
-
Rainband
Amen..I want some Tropical Action but not till we dry out!!!GulfBreezer wrote:We are so waterlogged here in the panhandle that the local mets are saying that IF we were to get ANY tropical moisture that hung around for any length of time, we could be looking at a disastrous and dangerous situation. The mosquitos are even sick of the rain, they are heading inside my house!! WNV is a huge concern and those trucks can only do so much when there is standing water EVERYWHERE! It has not rained here in 2 days and water is STILL standing. It is forecast to start back up with the T'storms tonight! We really just cant take much more, especially in the form of a tropical system! :o
0 likes
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: johngaltfla and 44 guests