South and Central Florida Be On Guard/GOMERS later this Week

Steve H. · #1 Postby **Steve H.** » Mon Aug 11, 2003 5:35 am

Don't like what I see on the loops this morning. Convection beginning to build from what appears to be the surface low at about 25N/64W. moving west :o Perhaps this is temporary burst, but enough to make me checkout the plywood situation. This area should continue westward during the next couple of days. hopefully it will stay out there or stall, but I don't think so. Cheers!! :?

Toni - 574 · #2 Postby **Toni - 574** » Mon Aug 11, 2003 6:07 am

It has my attention. Even though I am on the W. coast, we could still feel some of the affects. Especially if the ships intensity holds true. Will be thinking of you East Coasters, and like you said now is the time to think about some prep work. Let's see what today brings!

chadtm80 · #3 Postby **chadtm80** » Mon Aug 11, 2003 7:18 am

Im on the E. coast, but it just dosnet have me concerned yet at all... I dont see a burst of convection??

ColdFront77 · #4 Postby **ColdFront77** » Mon Aug 11, 2003 2:17 pm

A tropical system coming from the east can have an affect across the western side of Florida with a system coming in from the Atlantic and vice versa.

Hurricane Erin in 1995 was offshore when the system spawned tornadoes across central Florida, including about a half hour southeast of where I live now.

Rainband · #5 Postby **Rainband** » Mon Aug 11, 2003 2:20 pm

ColdFront77 wrote:Any tropical system can affect the western side of Florida with a system coming in from the Atlantic and vice versa.

Hurricane Erin in 1995 was offshore when there were tornadoes occuring across central Florida, about a half hour southeast of were I live now.

By the time erin reached me it was a TS but man the rain and wind were persistant and heavy rain and wind did some major damage around here..in retrospect :wink:

Derek Ortt · #6 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Mon Aug 11, 2003 2:44 pm

Florida residents,

Don't lose much sleep over this. Even if it were to rapidly develop, cat 1 at worst, and only a <2% chance of that

ameriwx2003 · #7 Postby **ameriwx2003** » Mon Aug 11, 2003 2:55 pm

Well. Derek right now even a tropical Storm, heck a Depression could cause major flooding problems as the ground in West Central Florida is saturated:):)

Rainband · #8 Postby **Rainband** » Mon Aug 11, 2003 2:57 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:Florida residents,

Don't lose much sleep over this. Even if it were to rapidly develop, cat 1 at worst, and only a <2% chance of that

Florida residents are already flooded so anything more makes us lose sleep..I don't know where you are but it's bad!!!! HERE on the west coast :o

slosh · #9 Postby **slosh** » Mon Aug 11, 2003 3:01 pm

I agree ameriwx2003.

I am more concerned about the rain that this system could bring. It could produce serious prop loss for our area. Some local rivers are already above flood stage.

ameriwx2003 · #10 Postby **ameriwx2003** » Mon Aug 11, 2003 3:05 pm

Rainband. Yep its not just winds or Storm Surge that causes problems in a tropical system. Here is an excerpt from a hurricane awareness page.

"In the last 30 years, inland flooding has been responsible for more than half the deaths associated with tropical cyclones in the United States."
Ed Rappaport
National Hurricane Center

Link to full article
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/HAW2/english/inland_flood.shtml

slosh · #11 Postby **slosh** » Mon Aug 11, 2003 3:10 pm

There have also been some fatalities reported by the St Pete Times caused by the recent flooding.

http://www.sptimes.com/2003/08/11/Tampa ... ks_t.shtml

Rainband · #12 Postby **Rainband** » Mon Aug 11, 2003 3:16 pm

slosh wrote:There have also been some fatalities reported by the St Pete Times caused by the recent flooding.

http://www.sptimes.com/2003/08/11/Tampa ... ks_t.shtml

They say it's the worst flooding we have ever seen in tis area!!! :wink:

Stormsfury · #13 Postby **Stormsfury** » Mon Aug 11, 2003 3:26 pm

Statisically speaking in the modern era, Inland flooding has been the leading killer in hurricanes ... Agnes, and Floyd are prime examples, not to mention Alberto in 1994, and Allison in 2001.

Let's not forget Hurricane Mitch in 1998.

SF

Rainband · #14 Postby **Rainband** » Mon Aug 11, 2003 3:34 pm

Yes and the whole south-eastern US is saturated already!! Any storm anytime soon would be a massive flooding problem :o

#15 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Aug 11, 2003 3:34 pm

And stormsfury here in Puerto Rico hurricane Hortense was a massive flooding event over 23 inches fell in portions of the island that left thousands homeless and many mudslides occured so it is not only the winds but the copious amounts of rain that these systems have.

Stormsfury · #16 Postby **Stormsfury** » Mon Aug 11, 2003 3:35 pm

Good information, Luis ...

SF

Derek Ortt · #17 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Mon Aug 11, 2003 4:17 pm

In South Miami, where I now live, it has not been raining enough. People have been watering their lawns, before the recent rains due to the lack of rain

Rainband · #18 Postby **Rainband** » Mon Aug 11, 2003 4:23 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:In South Miami, where I now live, it has not been raining enough. People have been watering their lawns, before the recent rains due to the lack of rain

You can have some of ours Derek!! :wink:

I can relate tow years ago..heck even last year we couldn't buy an inch of rain..this year however we are 10 inches above normal/approx for the year :o

South and Central Florida Be On Guard/GOMERS later this Week

South and Central Florida Be On Guard/GOMERS later this Week

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