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I had to water part of the yard today because it dries out faster than the parts with more shade. I had also planted some grass(homemade sod for lack of better words}and it was already looking dry. Just a nice shower would be good.
Got one good shower so far, but nothing near an inch. Thundering again. Hope lives!!vbhoutex wrote:Definitely looking at the possibility of reopening the cactus forum.
Wow! I may get my wish. I just heard thunder!
It popped up right over us according to the radar. I checked radar before I went out to set the sprinkler and there was nothing showing. Anyway, it is a happy bonus. 
Flyinman wrote:WOW!! Had another wonderful rain for almost an hour (5:30pm to 6:30pm). Don't know how much as I took my rain gauge up while mowing the yard today. I would estimate at least an inch judging by the amout of water standing. If this is what happens during High Pressure, perhaps we will finally catch up on some rain. Every little bit helps...
We ended up with only 0.12" out of the downpours.
srainhoutx wrote:Thunder, thunder everywhere and not a drop of rain...time to move the sprinkler...
my Cowboys my Rockets my Astros Changes and possible tropical concerns
From: Lindner, Jeffrey
Sent: Mon 6/21/10 8:24 AM
Upper air high sitting over TX this morning with activity ringing the ridge over W TX, the northern plains, and across the eastern Gulf states.
This ridge that provided the 99 yesterday afternoon at IAH will shift northward over the next 48 hours and flatten allowing a deeper easterly flow to develop through the air column. Activity over Louisiana will begin to spread closer to SE TX each afternoon while aloft subsidence weakens and moisture increases providing a better chance of LA convection making it into our area and storms possibly going up along the seabreeze. Models show a couple of vorts in the E/NE flow aloft that could/may enhance thunderstorms on Wednesday…so with hit this day with the highest rain chances of 30-40%.
Upper high remains just to the north and builds ESE this weekend allowing a continued moist flow into the region from the Gulf of Mexico. Daily seabreeze chances will be had each afternoon….which is good since IAH is now running over 7.0 inches below normal in the rainfall department for 2010.
Tropics:
Active tropical waves over the eastern Caribbean Sea this morning are moving westward under the Bermuda ridge to their north. While disorganized at the moment, conditions are forecast to becoming increasingly favorable for development as the area reaches the western Caribbean Sea. Numerous forecast models show tropical cyclone formation late this week or this weekend in the western Caribbean Sea or Gulf of Mexico. The EURO and CMC are by far the most aggressive taking a strong TC into and through the Gulf of Mexico with landfalls aimed at the east-central Gulf coast, while the NOGAPS slowly tacks a system toward the Yucatan and the Bay of Campeche and surprisingly the GFS shows nothing at all…only a few of its ensemble members even show anything. I will discount the EURO and CMC as being much too intense resulting in a rightward track over the Gulf. Will side instead with the weaker solution of the NOGAPS, but stronger than the GFS. HPC progs yesterday afternoon inserted a 1008mb closed low over the NW Caribbean this Saturday and moves it WNW to off the NW tip of the Yucatan this Sunday and this seems most reasonable at the moment. Forecasted steering patterns by this weekend favor a WNW to NW track of any tropical system in the Gulf of Mexico as low to mid level ridging develops over the SE US. Hopefully model run-to-run consistency will begin to improve with this system this week…obviously a close watch is needed on any developing tropical system in the Gulf this time of year and our local forecast may have significant changes by this weekend into next week depending on what transpires.
Strong tropical wave over the east-central Caribbean Sea is becoming better organized.
Visible satellite images show numerous developing convective clusters, but as of yet no well defined surface circulation. Moist envelop surrounds this system of interest and strong shear in the Caribbean will be weakening over the next 24-48 hours allowing the development of favorable upper air conditions. NHC has risen the threat of TX development in the next 48 hours into the 30-50%. Conditions only get better aloft and at the surface as the system heads for the western Caribbean Sea by the end of the week.
Intensity guidance is very aggressive with this system, with SHIPS taking it well into a hurricane by days 4 and 5 which is very aggressive for a June tropical system…but it has happened before. Gulf water temperatures are now running in the low to mid 80’s and are more than warm enough to support a tropical cyclone. Models are forecasting the development of an anticyclone aloft over the system as it enters the Gulf, so conditions do look ripe for intensification.
Model guidance remains inconsistent on the potential track with various possibilities playing out. CMC and EURO are strongest and show a weakness in the southern US ridge over the central Gulf states allowing the system to gradually recurve into the eastern Gulf coast. The GFS is still showing no development at all…which is really strange for this model along with the UKMET. The NOGAPS shows a weaker system sliding WNW into the western Gulf of Mexico. Way too early to tell either way with anything.
Recon aircraft is tasked to investigate if needed on Wednesday
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