Caribbean - Central America Weather

[msbee]

Luis, yes, I agree. so far so good.

the seas are getting choppy on the eastern (Atlantic) side of the island

http://islandcam.columbiasussex.com/view/index.shtml

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1146 AM AST FRI JUN 18 2010

.UPDATE...
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH FRAGMENTS OF
PERIPHERAL MOISTURE ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF THE APPROACHING
STRONG TROPICAL WAVE NOW CROSSING THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...HAVE
CONTINUED TO QUICKLY MOVE WEST SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE LOCAL WATERS...
AND AFFECT THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND EAST SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO
FROM TIME TO TIME. THE SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORMS WILL CONTINUE
TO INCREASE AND SPREAD WESTWARD ACROSS THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND
REMAINDER OF PUERTO RICO LATER TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY. STILL
EXPECT THE BRUNT OF THE ASSOCIATED MOISTURE FIELD TO BE ON THE
NORTH AND TRAILING EDGE OF THE WAVE AXIS... SO EXPECT ACTIVE
WEATHER CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEKEND WITH
THE HEAVIEST CONVECTION EXPECTED LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
THROUGH SATURDAY. SO FAR THE VIRGIN ISLANDS LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGERS
IN SAINT THOMAS REPORTED PERIODS OF LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS AS
SHOWERS AND STORMS RACED ACROSS THE AREA...AS THE WAVE CONTINUED
TO CROSS INTO THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN. ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS MADE
TO INHERITED SHORT TERM FORECAST WHICH SO FAR HAD A GOOD HANDLE ON
PRESENT CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.

&&

.AVIATION...LOW TO MID LEVEL CLOUD COVER ALONG WITH SHRA AND TSRA
CONTINUED TO INCREASE ACROSS THE ANEGADA PASSAGE BTW THE VI AND
NRN LEEWARDS AS A STRONG TROPICAL WAVE APPROACHES FROM THE EAST.
EXPECT TEMPO PDS OF MVFR/IFR CONDS...DURING THE REST OF THE DAY
ACROSS TNCM... TKPK...TISX AND TIST AT LEAST THROUGH 18/24Z.
MEANWHILE...PASSING SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO RACE ACROSS THE
LOCAL WATERS AND AFFECT THE ERN SECTIONS OF PR...WITH VCSH AND
PSBL VCTS EXPECTED AROUND TJSJ...TJNR... FOR THE REST OF THE
MORNING HOURS...THEN SPREADING WESTWARD VCNTY OF TJBQ...TJMZ...
AND TJPS THROUGH 18/24Z. OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 KTS MAY
ACCOMPANY THE SHRA/TSRA ACTIVITY DURING THE AFTN. IN ADDITION...
EXPECT INTMT PDS OF LWR CIGS AND MTN TOPS OBSCURATIONS ACROSS
PICO DEL ESTE AND THE REST OF THE CORDILLERA CENTRAL OF PR DURING
THE AFTN AND EVENING HOURS AS WX CONDS ARE EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE
OVR NEXT 24-36 HRS.

[cycloneye]

Correspondant from Dominica.

http://stormcarib.com/

By Conan Shillingford <nichs at hotmail.com>
Date: Fri, 18 Jun 2010 15:14:41 +0000

Greetings to all!

Well the Indomitable 92 L has been relentless in reaching the islands and very early this morning it paid the Nature Isle a visit.
It was a rather impressive display of thunderstorm cell activity and many bright flashes of lightning illuminated what was at times a rain darkened sky.
Some parts of the island like near Roseau where Tommie girl is seems to have gotten more of the wind gusts. Here in the North the Atlantic Ocean has been churning and there have been a few brief gusts -but for now there is mostly the occasional thunder clap and ongoing moderate to heavy showers. However, the rain has been coming down in spurts, though I've heard that in other parts of the island so far it seems to have been near continuous -so we'll have to be vigilant for landslides and minor flooding as the day goes on.
I hope everyone stays safe on the island and if travel is not essential, then today proves to be the ideal day for book-reading or some other pleasurable indoor activity...

[Gustywind]

[Gustywind]

Seems that 92 L has lost a lot convection since 8AM, but let's see if this activity continues to decrease or increase this afternoon. Strong shear has destroyed the system in some parts. But we know that 92L is a fighther and anothers suprises could be in store ...

[cycloneye]

Lets see how much rain falls tonight and tommorow as the local effects tends to enhance the precipitation.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
301 PM AST FRI JUN 18 2010

.SYNOPSIS...AN APPROACHING TROPICAL WAVE WILL BRING ACTIVE WEATHER
ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS BEGINNING LATE
TONIGHT AND PERSISTING THROUGH MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.

&&

.DISCUSSION...THE APPROACHING TROPICAL WAVE...WHICH ENTERED THE
EASTERN CARIBBEAN LATE THIS MORNING...WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY
TRACK WEST NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. CONTINUE TO EXPECT
INCREASING SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT...AND SPREADING ACROSS EASTERN SECTIONS OF
PUERTO RICO BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. WITH THE APPROACHING TIMING
OF THE UPCOMING WAVE...COULD SEE A TYPICAL NOCTURNAL FLARE UP
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT ACROSS THE USVI...SPREADING ACROSS EASTERN PUERTO
RICO BY SATURDAY MORNING. THEREFORE...EXPECT PERIODS OF VERY HEAVY
RAINFALL TO SPREAD ACROSS THE ISLANDS OVERNIGHT...AND FOR FLASH
FLOODING TO BECOME POSSIBLE FROM EAST TO WEST AS THIS WAVE
CROSSES THE LOCAL ISLANDS. WENT AHEAD AND ADDED HEAVY RAIN TO THE
FORECAST AS WELL AS INCREASED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
COVERAGE...ALONG WITH THE QPF...FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

MODELS DISAGREE SOMEWHAT ON THE EXACT TIMING OF THIS WAVE EXITING
THE FORECAST AREA...BUT LIKELY WILL SEE GOOD SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEKEND...WITH A SLOW
DRYING TREND EARLY NEXT WEEK...BEFORE THE NEXT ACTIVE TROPICAL
WAVE REACHES THE LOCAL ISLANDS LATER IN THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...SHRA AND ISOLD TSRA CONTINUED TO QUICKLY MOVE WEST
SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE ANEGADA PASSAGE BTW THE VI AND NRN LEEWARDS...
AS A TROPICAL WAVE ENTERS THE FLYING AREA FROM THE EAST. EXPECT
TEMPO PDS OF MVFR/IFR CONDS...WITH APPROACH OF THE WAVE ACROSS THE
FLYING AREA AND ALSO VCNTY OF TISX AND TIST AT LEAST THROUGH 19/03Z.
MEANWHILE...SHOWERS AND ISOLD TSTMS WILL CONTINUE TO RACE ACROSS THE
LOCAL WATERS AND AFFECT MAINLY THE EAST AND INTERIOR SECTIONS OF
PR...WITH TEMPO MVFR CONDS IN AND AROUND LOCAL TAF 18/24Z. OUTFLOW
SFC WIND GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 KTS ARE POSSIBLE WITH PASSING SHRA/TSRA
ACTIVITY DURING THE REST EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS. PDS OF LWR
CIGS AND MTN TOPS OBSCURATIONS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS THE EAST
SECTIONS OF THE CORDILLERA CENTRAL WITH THE PASSING SHOWER ACTIVITY.

[cycloneye]

Updated Flash Flood Watch

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
459 PM AST FRI JUN 18 2010

PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-190900-
/O.CON.TJSJ.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-100620T2000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
INCLUDING THE MUNICIPALITIES AND/OR ISLANDS OF...SAN JUAN...
CAROLINA...FAJARDO...HUMACAO...GUAYAMA...ARROYO...YABUCOA...
SALINAS...COCO...CAGUAS...ARECIBO...VEGA BAJA...DORADO...COAMO...
COROZAL...AIBONITO...VILLALBA...JAYUYA...PONCE...AGUADILLA...
ISABELA...HATILLO...QUEBRADILLAS...UTUADO...SABANA GRANDE...LARES...
ADJUNTAS...HORMIGUEROS...MOCA...AGUADA...LUYANDO...CABO ROJO...
LAJAS...CULEBRA...ESPERANZA...ANNA`S RETREAT...CHARLOTTE AMALIE...
CHARLOTTE AMALIE EAST...CHARLOTTE AMALIE WEST...CRUZ BAY...
CHRISTIANSTED...FREDERIKSTED...FREDERIKSTED SOUTHEAST...GROVE PLACE
459 PM AST FRI JUN 18 2010

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* ALL OF PUERTO RICO...CULEBRA...VIEQUES...AND ALL OF THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS.

* THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON

* A TROPICAL WAVE APPROACHING THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS LATE THIS
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...WILL MOVE SLOWLY WEST NORTHWEST ACROSS THESE
ISLANDS EARLY TONIGHT AND THEN ACROSS PUERTO RICO LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY. THIS FEATURE AND ITS ASSOCIATED MOIST
AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS...WILL COMBINE WITH LOCAL EFFECTS AND
FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY AND
LIKELY CONTINUING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...TO PRODUCE
PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH MODERATE TO
HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS.

* TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS...ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS RAINFALL
HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LIFE THREATENING FLASH AND RIVER
FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. ALL LOCAL
RESIDENTS...VISITORS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS ARE
URGED TO REMAIN ALERT TO DEVELOPING WEATHER CONDITIONS BEGINNING
TONIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY
RAIN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING. IF YOU ARE
IN THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...
ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS. KEEP INFORMED...
AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH
FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE AWARE OF THE
POSSIBILITY FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. AVOID LOW LYING AREAS...AND BE
CAREFUL WHEN APPROACHING HIGHWAY DIPS AND UNDERPASSES.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO...LOCAL TV...RADIO OR
YOUR CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS
DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE
INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU
OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV.

[tropicana]

looks like a cluster of thunderstorms is right over the island of Barbuda in the Leeward Islands.

-justin-

[cycloneye]

ABNT20 KNHC 182331
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT FRI JUN 18 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED NEAR THE VIRGIN ISLANDS IS PRODUCING AN AREA
OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINS...WHICH COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES...ARE
POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO OVER PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...AND HAITI AS THE WAVE MOVES WESTWARD OR WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT...AND THERE IS
A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON
THIS SYSTEM...PLEASE REFER TO PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN

[fd122]

It's been raining on and off here, at times heavily. Right now wind is probably 10-15kts along with some light showers.

[Gustywind]

Showers and lightnings are coming since 5 minutes in my area. It's raining on and off here too. Thunder is rumbling a bit.

[Gustywind]

Looks like 92L is moving very very slowly even a bit stationnary? Convection is trying to make a short comeback just between Guadeloupe and Antigua tonight, let's be vigilant as usual!
Gustywind

[Gustywind]

Hey sppeaking about Antigua here is a report from a correspondant of this island:
Updates from the Islands -
- - Antigua - -
- Wind
By fullerj at candw.ag
Date: Fri, 18 Jun 2010 23:50:43 +0000

Just had a gust of 36 mph. Rain.

[cycloneye]

Where I am,a moderate shower moved fast just a while ago.There is also a moderate NE breeze.But radar shows many more showers that will arrive later tonight and in the overnight hours.I will keep you informed.

[Gustywind]

Where I am,a moderate shower moved fast just a while ago.There is also a moderate NE breeze.But radar shows many more showers that will arrive later tonight and in the overnight hours.I will keep you informed.

Thanks Luis to keep us informed as usual! Stay safe and dry. We continue to follow 92L, as a nice cluster seems to repop nicely near north of Guadeloupe but especially at Antigua latitude...

[tropicana]

REGIONAL WEATHER SUMMARY

Fri Jun 18 2010

Friday's Highs and Rain (if any)


Piarco, Trinidad 34.5C 94F trace
Maraval, W. Trinidad 31.8C 89F 3.0mm
Crown Point, Tobago 31.5C 89F trace

Point Salines, Grenada 30.8C 87F 0.8mm
Arnos Vale, St Vincent 32.3C 90F 9.9mm
Grantley Adams, Barbados 30.5C 87F 1.0mm
Rockley, S. Barbados 31.2C 88F
Hewannora, St Lucia 31.4C 88F 3.9mm


Canefield, Dominica 32.8C 91F 15.9mm

Le Lamentin, Martinique 31.4C 88F 3.8mm
Le Raizet, Guadeloupe 30.8C 87F 7.2mm

Golden Rock, St Kitts 29.4C 85F 5.5mm
VC Bird, Antigua 31.5C 89F 41.4mm **onging..early evening temp 72F/22.4C
St Thomas, VI 31.1C 88F 7.0mm
St Maarten, VI 29.6C 86F 3.2mm
San Juan, Puerto Rico 31.1C 88F 0.8mm

Kingston, Jamaica 33.6C 93F

Owen Roberts, Cayman Islands 32.7C 91F
Havana, Cuba 34.1C 94F 4.0mm
Key West, Florida 32.8C 91F
Miami, Florida 32.8C 91F 2.0mm


Nassau, Bahamas 33.5C 93F 7.4mm
Hamilton, Bermuda 28.3C 83F trace

-justin-

[cycloneye]

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
928 PM AST FRI JUN 18 2010

VIC020-030-190330-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0204.100619T0128Z-100619T0330Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAINT JOHN VI-SAINT THOMAS VI-
928 PM AST FRI JUN 18 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING ISLANDS...

IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
SAINT JOHN AND SAINT THOMAS

* UNTIL 1130 PM AST

* AT 920 PM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN
DEVELOPING AND MOVING ACROSS ST THOMAS AND ST JOHN. SO FAR
ESTIMATED RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS HAVE NEARED AN INCH ACROSS SOME
PARTS OF THESE ISLANDS. AT LEAST UNTIL 1130 PM AST...ADDITIONAL
HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND STREAM ACROSS THE
ADVISORY AREA.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

[cycloneye]

WEATHER SUMMARY FOR PUERTO RICO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
958 PM AST FRI JUN 18 2010

VARIABLY CLOUDY SKIES WERE NOTED ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE
ADJACENT ISLANDS THIS EVENING. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
CONTINUED TO QUICKLY MOVE WEST SOUTHWEST ACROSS MUCH OF THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...VIEQUES...CULEBRA AND THE EASTERN SECTIONS
OF PUERTO RICO AS A TROPICAL WAVE ENTERED THE LOCAL AREA FROM THE
EAST. SOME SHOWERS PRODUCED QUICK BURSTS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
AS THEY PASSED BY...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE EAST SECTIONS OF PUERTO
RICO. THE WINDS HAVE BEEN OUT OF THE EAST NORTHEAST AROUND 10 TO
15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER GUSTS ACCOMPANYING THE PASSING
SHOWERS.

INCREASING MOISTURE AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING TROPICAL WAVE IS EXPECTED
TO SPREAD WESTWARD AND REACH THE REST OF PUERTO RICO DURING THE
REST OF THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE APPROACHING TROPICAL
WAVE CONTINUED TO SHOW POTENTIAL TO BRING VERY ACTIVE WEATHER...
WITH NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...GUSTY
WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS ALL OR PART OF THE
ISLANDS...OVERNIGHT AND THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEKEND. THEREFORE A
FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLANDS AT LEAST
UNTIL SUNDAY.

ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS...MARINERS SHOULD EXPECT WINDS OF 18 KNOTS
OR LESS AND SEAS OF 5 FEET. SMALL BOAT OPERATORS ARE HOWEVER URGED
TO EXERCISE CAUTION ACROSS THE LOCAL OFF SHORE COASTAL WATERS AND
CARIBBEAN PASSAGES DUE TO SQUALLY WEATHER CONDITIONS FORECAST TO
ACCOMPANY THE APPROACHING TROPICAL WAVE. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES
WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR THE OFFSHORE ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN WATERS.

[Macrocane]

Yesterday rainfall and temperatures in El Salvador.

Rainfall
Only the coast in the western half of the country and the departments of San Salvador and La Libertad received rainfall, so I'm only posting the rainfall in two stations.

Acajutla 37 mm/1.46 inches (yesterday highest amount)
San Salvador 12 mm/0.47 inches

Temperatures

Code: Select all

Acajutla         min:22.1°C/71.8°F      max:31.2°C/88.2°F
Santa Ana        min:18.7°C/65.7°F      max:28.6°C/83.5°F
San Salvador     min:19.5°C/67.1°F      max:29.3°C/84.7°F
Las Pilas        min:12.1°C/53.8°F      max:20.3°C/86.5°F
San Miguel       min:22.5°C/72.5°F      max:34.2°C/93.6°F


At this time a very strong thunderstorm is over the country, in San Salvador strong thunders and some strong wind gusts are occuring and heavy rains have been falling for 30 min, tomorrow I will post the observations.

[Gustywind]

000
AXNT20 KNHC 190600
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT SAT JUN 19 2010

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS
OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED
ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER
OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY
THROUGH 0515 UTC...

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 23N63W 18N64W
14N67W...MOVING WESTWARD ABOUT 15 KT. STRONG SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 15N TO 17N BETWEEN 60W AND 61W ACROSS
THE NEARBY EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ISLANDS...ROUGHLY FROM
MARTINIQUE TO DOMINICA TO GUADELOUPE. SIMILAR STRONG SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ALSO ARE FROM 18N TO 19N BETWEEN 59W AND
60W...AND FROM 17N TO 18N BETWEEN 63W AND 66W...TO THE SOUTH
AND WEST OF THE AREA FROM MONTSERRAT TO THE VIRGIN ISLANDS.
IT IS POSSIBLE THAT PUERTO RICO MAY BE AFFECTED BY THIS
PRECIPITATION IF IT REMAINS INTACT AND SPREADS WESTWARD