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I'm going to disagree with 'looks like crap'.
I believe the new center is / will form SW of Jamaica where things seem to be coming together and MIMIC-TPW shows the most turning. There's a lot of spin there, just not obvious yet on the surface. Storms currently developing over what I think will be the NE side of a new surface low. I'm wrong 95.8% of the time so ....
Good observations though...
I was thinking the same thing Blown Away. The models seem to be initializing too far southwest IMO. They are starting from the far lower left edge of the NHC's 2pm Orange risk bubble. That area does have some spin, and might be where the most vorticity currently is, however if 93L actually develops I wouldn't be surprised if things come together a little further north and east closer to the convection. Overall though, this system still has a long way to go and nothing would really surprise me at this point. Until one area really begins to "take off", the exact model initialization point is probably not too important. 
