ATL : TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALEX - RECON DISCUSSION

[cycloneye]

The mission is over as plane is acending.

[KWT]

Ah well thats a shame cycloneye, still we found out that the system is strengthening nicely and the vortex messages suggested it was at least picking up some latitude.

[CrazyC83]

Indeed 50 kt seems like a reasonable estimate.

[cwachal]

when is the first recon mission scheduled for after the storm emerges

[cycloneye]

when is the first recon mission scheduled for after the storm emerges

Tonight the mission departs around 5 PM EDT,arriving at Alex around 8 PM EDT.

FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 70
A. 28/0000, 0600Z
B. AFXXX 0401A ALEX
C. 27/2100Z
D. 20.5N 91.0W
E. 27/2300Z TO 28/0600Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

[KWT]

Looks like Alex should be close to getting off land by that time, plus for once its not too late for me to watch what unfolds!

[cycloneye]

Plenty of work for the squadron in the next few days. And includes yes The Gulfstream jet.

Code: Select all

000
NOUS42 KNHC 271500
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1100 AM EDT SUN 27 JUNE 2010
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
         VALID 28/1100Z TO 29/1100Z JUNE 2010
         TCPOD NUMBER.....10-027

I.   ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
     1. TROPICAL STORM ALEX
        FLIGHT ONE - NOAA 49
        A. 29/0000Z
        B. NOAA9 0601A ALEX
        C. 28/1330Z
        D. NA
        E. NA
        F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT

        FLIGHT TWO - TEAL 70
        A. 29/0000, 0600Z
        B. AFXXX 0701A ALEX
        C. 28/2030Z
        D. 21.1N 93.4W
        E. 28/2300Z TO 29/0600Z
        F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

        FLIGHT THREE - TEAL 71
        A. 29/1200, 1800Z
        B. AFXXX 0801A ALEX
        C. 29/0845Z
        D. 21.8N 94.2W
        E. 29/1100Z TO 29/1800Z
        F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

     2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: CONTINUE 6-HRLY FIXES.
        POSSIBLE G-IV FLIGHT FOR 30/0000Z.

     3. REMARKS: NOAA 42 WILL BE DOING RESEARCH FLIGHTS INTO
        ALEX WITH TAKEOFFS EVERY 12 HRS FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS.
        (28/0800Z, 28/2000Z ETC.) OPERATING ALTITUDE 12,000 FT.



[Hurricane Andrew]

Wen does today's take off?

[cycloneye]

Wen does today's take off?

Look four posts above.

[cycloneye]

Plane is flying towards Alex!!!

[cycloneye]

The question is if they can find tropical storm force winds to then upgrade Alex.

[KWT]

Recon is heading into there now as you say Cycloneye, my gut instinct is they may just be shy of TS winds given the lack of any real deep convection right now.

[cycloneye]

Crazy,I dont see it yet decending but they should do that very soon.

[KWT]

Looks like its starting to reach the very outer part of the broader circulation now.

[cycloneye]

Decending to operational altitud.

[cycloneye]

CrazyC83, how much is the % of reduction of the winds that we look for?

[HURAKAN]

Looks like 75%

[KWT]

Won't be long before we find out how strong Alex really is, probably between 30-35kts seems like the obvious level for now.

[cycloneye]

Pressures are very low (1000 mbs) and plane has not reacxhed the center yet.

[CrazyC83]

The broad atmosphere has a really low pressure, more typical of the western Pacific right now. The outermost closed isobar was like 1003mb, which is lower than the core of some tropical storms.