ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALEX - DISCUSSION

[hurricaneCW]

Maybe post analysis will give Alex a higher peak strength, even a lower pressure, possibly tying Audrey. Certainly if Alex had the same presentation out in the open Atlantic without recon access than it would likely be a major hurricane based on Dvorak estimates.

[Ivanhater]

H. 948 mb

[Raininfyr]

Still strengthening for sure

What an amazing shot, just amazing. Thanks for sharing that.

[bob rulz]

I can't tell from the recon pages...are they going to be able to make another pass through the NE eyewall?

[HurricaneStriker]

Seems like there's finally a clearing in the eye. Some sign of intensification.

[HurricaneStriker]

H. 948 mb

2mbar to Audrey. Let's see how Alex fares before landfall.

[hurricaneCW]

Isn't it strange that Alex almost seems to be purposely slowly down in order to allow a bit more intensification prior to landfall. The 948mb pressure was very close to tying Audrey but it is officially July in UTC time so Alex will have to settle for the second strongest June hurricane missing by 2 millibars.

[tolakram]

H. 948 mb

2mbar to Audrey. Let's see how Alex fares before landfall.

It's 12:12z July 1st, too late to break any records.

[HurricaneStriker]

Isn't it strange that Alex almost seems to be purposely slowly down in order to allow a bit more intensification prior to landfall. The 948mb pressure was very close to tying Audrey but it is officially June in UTC time so Alex will have to settle for the second strongest June hurricane missing by 2 millibars.

June?

[BigA]

Then in that case I should have said you have something else in common other than your name! Your'e both CAT 2's!

OK! Gotcha. Actually, given that I'm in the upper 700s and Cat 5 appears to start with 1000, I think I'm about to undergo some RI myself.

[Ivanhater]

[CrazyC83]

What is that blob off the Yucatan, Alex trying to spin off a potential little sister Bonnie?

[bob rulz]

I could realistically see this being upgraded to 100 knots right before landfall given how rapidly the presentation has increased....

The Rio Grande Valley is very very lucky that this didn't make landfall 30 miles or so further north.

[KWT]

H. 948 mb

2mbar to Audrey. Let's see how Alex fares before landfall.

It's 12:12z July 1st, too late to break any records.

Yep, mind you thats like seeing an October hurricane get down to 884mbs, 2mbs away from the record...thats how exceptional 948mbs is for a June Hurricane, even for July there aren't that many hurricanes that can compare really...

[Tireman4]

Then in that case I should have said you have something else in common other than your name! Your'e both CAT 2's!

OK! Gotcha. Actually, given that I'm in the upper 700s and Cat 5 appears to start with 1000, I think I'm about to undergo some RI myself.

I think 800 is Cat 3....I think....

[Raininfyr]

Look at the huge blow-up over the western part of the Yucatan? Is that from Alex?

[CrazyC83]

Yep, mind you thats like seeing an October hurricane get down to 884mbs, 2mbs away from the record...thats how exceptional 948mbs is for a June Hurricane, even for July there aren't that many hurricanes that can compare really...

July's record is 929mb by Emily (which beat a week old 930mb record by Dennis) in 2005. Not sure what the record was before 2005 for July.

I know for August the record is 899mb, for September 888mb, for October 882mb and for November 915mb.

[HurricaneStriker]

What is that blob off the Yucatan, Alex trying to spin off a potential little sister Bonnie?

Just some convection. Probably going to get sucked up into Alex rather than growing to Bonnie.

[jasons2k]

It's getting awfully "chatty" in here. Let's keep the posts to some pertinent things, and some of the comments WRT J.B., etc., are out of line at this point!

[neospaceblue]

It's 12:12z July 1st, too late to break any records.

Well, it's still June where Alex is...