MM5 is a-honking development.

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Stormsfury
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MM5 is a-honking development.

#1 Postby Stormsfury » Tue Aug 12, 2003 10:15 am

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Colin
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#2 Postby Colin » Tue Aug 12, 2003 10:19 am

Wow...it sure is...thanks for the link SF... ;)
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#3 Postby Guest » Tue Aug 12, 2003 10:23 am

What are your thoughts on this Stormsfury? MM% model and development?
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#4 Postby PTrackerLA » Tue Aug 12, 2003 10:33 am

South Texas needs to be watching this one...
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#5 Postby Stormsfury » Tue Aug 12, 2003 10:39 am

From what I understand about the MM5 ... it's actually a better short-range model ...

"The PSU/NCAR mesoscale model (known as MM5) is a limited-area, nonhydrostatic, terrain-following sigma-coordinate model designed to simulate or predict mesoscale atmospheric circulation. The model is supported by several pre- and post-processing programs, which are referred to collectively as the MM5 modeling system. The MM5 modeling system software is mostly written in Fortran, and has been developed at Penn State and NCAR as a community mesoscale model with contributions from users worldwide."
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#6 Postby Stephanie » Tue Aug 12, 2003 12:14 pm

It doesn't seem like this storm is developing from anything already out there - it's a new system developing in the SE GOM. Is that correct?

It looks like it could be a pretty nasty one again ala Claudette! :o
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#7 Postby Guest » Tue Aug 12, 2003 12:20 pm

PTrackerLA wrote:South Texas needs to be watching this one...


South Texas eek Man I'm in hog heaven with this forum, I've got two tax returns on my desk and 85 Oct extension to do and haven't even looked down since discovering this forum. After watching Claudette for two weeks I'm just now catching up :lol:
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#8 Postby Stormsfury » Tue Aug 12, 2003 12:25 pm

Stephanie wrote:It doesn't seem like this storm is developing from anything already out there - it's a new system developing in the SE GOM. Is that correct?

It looks like it could be a pretty nasty one again ala Claudette! :o


The current area of thunderstorm activity over the SE GOM right now is from the retrograding ULL heading towards TX right now ... nothing tropical but is responsible for all that thunderstorm activity along the LA/MS/AL coast right now ...

We're still watching 91L (SE of the Bahamas).

SF
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#9 Postby Lindaloo » Tue Aug 12, 2003 12:32 pm

true about the rain here on the ms coast sf. we have already received 3 inches of rain this morning. lots of thunder and lightning too.
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#10 Postby southerngale » Tue Aug 12, 2003 12:48 pm

We had a 70% chance for today but when the rain didn't come, they lowered our chances. :roll: Brilliant, eh?

Steph, I think the system starts developing in the Atlantic and it looks like it tracks just south of Florida.
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#11 Postby ColdFront77 » Tue Aug 12, 2003 12:52 pm

southerngale wrote:We had a 70% chance for today but when the rain didn't come, they lowered our chances. :roll: Brilliant, eh?

Steph, I think the system starts developing in the Atlantic and it looks like it tracks just south of Florida.

The National Weather Service shouldn't leave the chanecs of rain at 70% (seven-tenths of the forecast zone seeing rain during the period forecast) if they see reason to not leave the chances that high because further development of what exists/any more development is expected.
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