ATL: INVEST 95L - DISCUSSION

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Dean4Storms
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#241 Postby Dean4Storms » Sun Jul 04, 2010 1:46 pm

Looks interesting this afternoon.
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#242 Postby Cainer » Sun Jul 04, 2010 1:47 pm

Sort of reminds me of last year's TD-1. Both tiny one-thunderstorm systems that sort of snuck up on the NHC :). That being said, even if the NHC does decide to upgrade, I don't see it making it past depression status; the winds are still pretty light.
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#243 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Jul 04, 2010 1:54 pm

Image

Floater up!

Link - http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/float1.html
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#244 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Jul 04, 2010 1:56 pm

Image

Latest
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#245 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Jul 04, 2010 1:57 pm

As a comparison,

Tropical Storm Marco

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#246 Postby brunota2003 » Sun Jul 04, 2010 1:58 pm

This one looks even smaller than Marco!
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#247 Postby Dean4Storms » Sun Jul 04, 2010 2:00 pm

I think this is very close to a TD now, we got a LLC and continuous convection over the center. I can only speculate that in that convection the winds are at least 25-30kts.
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#248 Postby brunota2003 » Sun Jul 04, 2010 2:03 pm

If only it could expand it's convective horizon, then the NHC would probably look harder at it.
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#249 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Jul 04, 2010 2:12 pm

Image

Looking pretty nice
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#250 Postby KWT » Sun Jul 04, 2010 2:18 pm

Ohhh that presentation *really* is starting to look good now, the NHC may well do a shock upgrade within the next 12hrs or so...
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#251 Postby bahamaswx » Sun Jul 04, 2010 2:26 pm

Looks like a TD to me.
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#252 Postby KWT » Sun Jul 04, 2010 2:33 pm

Yeah it sure does look like a tropical depression to me, hopefully the NHC takes this seriously and really ups the chances of development.
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#253 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Jul 04, 2010 2:37 pm

Image

Nice loop
Last edited by HURAKAN on Sun Jul 04, 2010 5:43 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - DISCUSSION

#254 Postby TexasF6 » Sun Jul 04, 2010 2:37 pm

The little guy is spinning!!! :flag:
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#255 Postby brunota2003 » Sun Jul 04, 2010 2:41 pm

I hope, compared to future storms, it is not a firecracker/sprinkler!
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#256 Postby Weatherfreak000 » Sun Jul 04, 2010 2:48 pm

Vorticity maps show that area actually decreased substantially. I'm not certain this is in as good shape as you guys may think.
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#257 Postby pepeavilenho » Sun Jul 04, 2010 2:49 pm

HURAKAN wrote:Image

Nice loop


now... :cheesy:

Before you missed the ''['' :oops:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - DISCUSSION

#258 Postby Steve » Sun Jul 04, 2010 2:49 pm

Looks cool the way it's wrapping up, but there really isn't any support for a depression. I checked most of the buoys, and the highest sustained was around 15k south of Terrebonne Parish. Highest gusts anywhere were around 19k which I think was Shell Beach which isn't actually anywhere near the mass of convection but is near the coastal showers that have been moving across South LA all day today south of New Orleans. MSLP near most of the coastal buoys was running from about 29.94 to 29.96 which was generally between .02 and .05 lower than it was yesterday. Obviously the circulation is there, and it's a miniature low pressure system. In the loop above, you can see what appears to be the low level center starting to pull north(ish).
Last edited by Steve on Sun Jul 04, 2010 2:54 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - DISCUSSION

#259 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jul 04, 2010 2:51 pm

Rising from the dead.

04/1845 UTC 27.5N 89.8W T1.0/1.0 95L -- Atlantic
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - DISCUSSION

#260 Postby LaBreeze » Sun Jul 04, 2010 2:53 pm

cycloneye wrote:Rising from the dead.

04/1845 UTC 27.5N 89.8W T1.0/1.0 95L -- Atlantic


What do you mean?
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